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What Weather? US PMI Explodes To Highs, Ignites USDJPY Momentum, Sends Futures Surging

Tyler Durden's picture




 

WTF will be the head-scratching meme of the day. After spending weeks 'denying' facts and blaming weather for just how bad all the macro data in the US has been recently (US Macro index at six-month lows), Markit's US PMI just smashed expectations, printing at 56.7 (vs 53.6 exp.). All the main sub-indices from new orders to employment rose markedly suggesting all is well with the recovery and that weather has had no effect whatsoever. In fact, US PMI jumped the most on record in February. Of course, USDJPY was spanked on this 'great news' and that smashed US equity markets higher, filling the China PMI miss gap down.

 

Despite US Macro at six-month lows (blamed on the weather effect...

 

US PMI is soaring... What Weather effect?

 

It's all good - no weather here...

 

And sure enough that's all we need to smack USDJPY back above 102 and fill the gap from China PMI on S&P futures...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:19 | 4457026 The Shootist
The Shootist's picture

Dupe

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:25 | 4457060 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

And this, friends, is a ZH Fat Finger.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:29 | 4457080 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

Maybe traders jump becasue they are....MOAR bored. 

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:58 | 4457189 derek_vineyard
derek_vineyard's picture

us is taking china market share due to cheaper labor

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:20 | 4457032 maxmad
maxmad's picture

well it was soaring... That was short-lived!

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:23 | 4457040 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Symmetry is beautiful.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:23 | 4457042 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

futures are soaring 1 point

 

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:27 | 4457070 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

after being down 10

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:23 | 4457047 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

yawn.  just getting a green open to prevent a gap down.  going back to close gaps is really a pain in the ass for mm's.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:24 | 4457052 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The news was so good Tyler posted it twice.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:24 | 4457054 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

So, what happens to the user comments from the dumped dupe thread? 

 

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:27 | 4457066 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

They go to comment heaven.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:25 | 4457059 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

You guys are never, ever going to win. Just BTFATH.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:40 | 4457115 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

You sir are correct

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 15:04 | 4458630 Dollarmedes
Dollarmedes's picture

I'm sure they said the same thing in Venezuela and Argentina.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:28 | 4457073 alfred b.
alfred b.'s picture

 

       Road salt accounted for 15% of that number!

 

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:34 | 4457101 madbraz
madbraz's picture

Markit PMI is owned mostly by banks - even Singapore's sovereign fund has a 10% stake.   They are even planning an IPO, so the last thing they want is for the market window to close on them.   Enough said.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:36 | 4457104 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

Philly Fed and leading indicators at 10 should tell the tale for the day.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:39 | 4457113 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Whew.....that was close.

<All able bodied men to the fiat pumps.>

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:52 | 4457117 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Darn, Tyler took the other post down. So long commentary. We knew you only for a brief moment, but you will live in that great commentary archive heaven forever.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:42 | 4457125 Frostfan1
Frostfan1's picture

So according to the government, everyone is buying everything but they're just not doing it at Wal-Mart.......

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:43 | 4457127 mrdenis
mrdenis's picture

very long lines buying Chocolates this morning .......

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:50 | 4457145 MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture

Absolutely insane the level of fraud we are witnessing! It is utterly sickening to think that this govement has reached the level where which every report they post is unrealistic to the point of being laughable!

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:47 | 4457148 Oso
Oso's picture

well, given the huge amount of weather related damage, and accessory to get through it, just replacing things that need to now get replaced (from power lines and generation damage to roads, etc) would require a jump in purchasing. 

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 10:49 | 4457160 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Wonder how much was fuel/ Nat gas, harsh winter related activity?

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 11:17 | 4457283 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

weather only matters when the news is bad, when its good weather has no effect.

 

of course markets r up, no surprise, wtf would they ever be down.

 

did u not here the news of fuckshit buying whatsapp for 16 billion, this is a very normal world and market we r witnessing.

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 12:20 | 4457561 CaptainSpaulding
CaptainSpaulding's picture

Is that you Jim Cantore.. Is this me?

Thu, 02/20/2014 - 13:16 | 4457892 Luckhasit
Luckhasit's picture

Goddamn it sucks having not money.  The con game is easy to see once you start following it. 

The question then becomes when to hold'em or fold'em.  2013 was the year to hold it and watch it build to ridiculous levels then sell it near the closing months. But the only guys getting that cash the gov is shittin out are the ones driving this monstrosity.

God I would have killed it. 

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