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Finally, A Plausible Scenario Of What Happened To Flight 370
Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,
The scenario that best fits the facts is a spontaneously initiated "drastic political protest" by the captain that went awry.
At long last, a plausible scenario of what happened to Flight 370 has emerged. By plausible I mean that the scenario fits all the known facts.
The key piece of evidence has finally been released by Malaysian authorities: Pilot Spoke to Air Controllers After Shutoff of Data System (NYT.com).
This proves that one of the pilots turned off the ACARS communications link and then reported to air traffic control (ATC) as if all was normal. Twelve minutes later, one of the pilots switched off the aircraft's transponder, which transmits the aircraft's altitude and location.
This sequence of events more or less proves that one of the pilots was in charge of the aircraft. Given the lack of evidence of duress, this sequence strongly suggests one of the pilots was executing a plan of his own rather than following orders of hijackers.
Given the strong political views of the captain and his mastery of the Boeing 777, all evidence points to the captain as the pilot who turned off the communication links and was in command of the aircraft thereafter.
Post-disappearance moves suggest sophisticated handling, experts say (CBSnews.com)
Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 search grows as pilots face increased scrutiny (CNN.com)
Though early reports on the captain were limited to neutral comments by peers that he was a nice guy and a devout family man, the strength of his opposition to the current regime in Malaysia is now coming to light:
'Democracy is dead': 'Fanatical' missing airliner pilot pictured wearing political slogan T-shirt (Daily Mail)
Captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah, a father-of-three, was said to be a 'fanatical' supporter of the country's opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim - jailed for homosexuality just hours before the jet disappeared.
It has also been revealed that the pilot's wife and three children moved out of the family home the day before the plane went missing.
Anwar Ibrahim is a broadly popular democracy icon and former deputy prime minister whose prosecution on a charge of sodomy is seen by many Malaysians as political persecution.
‘Colleagues made it clear to us that he was someone who held strong political beliefs and was strident in his support for Anwar Ibrahim,’ another investigation source said. ‘We were told by one colleague he was obsessed with politics.’
What makes this significant is the Malaysian authorities' attempts to suppress this possible motive.
Malaysian officials initially appeared keen not to direct any suspicion towards Zaharie or his co-pilot, 27-year-old Fariq Abdul Hamid, who was last week revealed to have invited two women passengers into the cockpit and smoked on an earlier flight to Phuket.
But evidence of the way the plane’s transponder and communication systems were disabled and the way the plane was expertly flown over the Indian Ocean apparently using navigational waypoints meant only a skilled aviator could have been at the controls. Investigators were also baffled by why, if hijackers took over the plane, there was no Mayday call or signal from the two pilots to say the cockpit had been breached.
Thus we have motive and clear evidence that it was the captain, not the co-pilot, who was in command of Flight 370. Enraged by the Soviet-style show-trial and imprisonment of his political hero, the captain may have "sabotaged the flight as a form of drastic political protest." Flight 370: Was Hijacking The Pilot’s Political Revenge?
Now add in that neither the co-pilot nor the captain requested each other, and it seems increasing likely that the captain was making it up as he went along, applying his deep knowledge of the aircraft and navigation to sketch out a makeshift initial plan that was dynamically modified along the way.
I think we can easily trace a plausible series of steps the captain initially took, and then speculate knowledgeably about the challenges and decision trees that arose later in the flight.
The first challenge would be to render the co-pilot unable to contest his control of the aircraft. The easiest way would have been to dissolve a sedative in a beverage and coax the co-pilot into drinking the Mickey Finn.
The "mumbling co-pilot" heard by the airline pilot flying to Japan who radioed Flight 370 offers tantalizing (if scant) evidence of this. (Interestingly, that pilot was confident he spoke with the co-pilot, not the captain.)
Alternatively, the co-pilot fought for control of the aircraft, one explanation of the abrupt climb to 45,000, well above the aircraft's designed ceiling.
If there was a struggle, clearly the co-pilot lost that battle or had already been incapacitated by other means.
Another explanation for the climb to 45,000 feet and the subsequent drop to 23,000 feet is that the captain sought to deprive the passengers of oxygen for long enough to render them unconscious but not long enough to kill them.
Given the profile of the captain that is emerging, I see little evidence of a personality who would set out to kill everyone on board, including himself. I believe the evidence strongly suggests a political motive, to embarrass the Malaysian government and perhaps to do so by seeking asylum in another country.
Once again, the key here is to understand the incomplete nature of the captain's plan: after the initial phase was successful--turning off the ACARS and transponder, incapacitating the co-pilot, and moving beyond the range of Malaysia's military radar-- a number of destinations might have occurred to the captain. It's important to note that flying was not just the captain's vocation, it was also his hobby. I think it is safe to say his life revolved around aviation and flying.
Data showing the number of plausible runways where the plane could have touched down - which need to be at least 5,000ft - offer a baffling number of potential locations.
According to a map drawn up by U.S. radio station WNYC, there are 634 locations which could fit, from Australia to the Maldives to Pakistan.
However, the true number is likely to be even higher, as estimates of how far the plane could have travelled have been increased since the calculations were carried out.
Here is the best current map of the possible routes of Flight 370. I have added the decision tree the captain faced: either fly north and seek political asylum or a remote landing site or fly south and search for a remote landing site.
If the co-pilot had regained control of the aircraft, either alone or with the aid of crew and passengers, he would have first turned on the ACARS and transponder and sent a Mayday signal. Since this didn't happen, we can be confident that the captain was in command of Flight 370 for the duration of the flight--roughly 7.5 hours.
While we don't know if the aircraft landed at some point, we do know the last ping to the satellite was at 8:11 a.m., roughly 6 hours after the last military radar contact.
Here are some other points to consider:
The fact that the Malaysian authorities withheld the sequence of events in the cockpit strongly suggest that they quickly identified the potential for a political motivation for the flight deviation and sought to suppress speculation along this line of inquiry.
This also explains why they withheld the military radar data for three days, and their continuing reluctance to share information or come clean about what they know. They fear the truth, and with good reason.
The captain's home flight simulator suggests that he may well have practiced all sorts of landing scenarios, just out of curiosity or to sharpen his skills in outlier situations. Think about it: if you already have over 18,000 hours in the cockpits of advanced aircraft, you're not going to practice conventional landings you could do in your sleep. That would be beyond boring to someone of his experience.
Given the few hours the captain had to assemble his plan, it is likely that once the initial phase was successful, he might have changed his mind, perhaps more than once.
Given his long experience in aviation, I think it very likely that he knew that the primary and military radars in the region were usually turned off at night. Off-the-record confirmations of this have come from Thailand and Indian officials with knowledge of radar covering the Andaman and Nicobar islands.
Thus it is not surprising there were no primary radar sightings in the region: most or perhaps all of the radars were turned off.
It's also worth noting that most of the primary radars in the region have limited ranges--100 miles or less appears to be average. It is more than possible to thread a flight through the gaps in coverage, even if the radars were active.
Let's assume my speculation is accurate and the captain had no intention of crashing the 777 and killing all on board. As I noted in my first entry on Flight 370, if that was his intention (or simply suicide), why fly for hours? Despite his best intentions, he may have encountered some problem that he responded to incorrectly; it's even possible that he missed his intended destination or became confused about his location.
What Happened to Flight 370? An Analysis of What Is Known (March 13, 2014)
The scenario that best fits the facts is a spontaneously initiated "drastic political protest" by the captain that went awry, despite his intentions and experience.
One last thought: since the U.S. must monitor potential airborne threats and nuclear explosions virtually everywhere on the planet (with the exception of Antarctica), why wouldn't the U.S. have wide-aperture thermal imaging assets in space? And if the U.S. has space-based thermal imaging assets, would they be so low quality that the heat signature from two large jet engines would not show up? That seems unlikely.
Since it has long been known that the U.S. has "wired the oceans for sound," (SUBMARINES, SECRETS, AND SPIES - NOVA/PBS) it's also likely that the sound of a large aircraft hitting the water would also have been detected, regardless of the remoteness of the location.
All of which is to say that it seems probable that the global and space-based intelligence gathering assets of the U.S. recorded some sort of signals that could provide clues to the final resting spot of Flight 370.
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sure it didnt stop in galts gultch?
mystery of how pilot evaded radar and got to Pakistan or elswhere
http://keithledgerwood.tumblr.com/post/79838944823/did-malaysian-airline...
The plane didn't go to Pakistan, they tracked the plane north up through Myanmar, and then you would have to go west, cuz if you continued north you would hit the Himalaya's. They had to stay out of India, because there they have tracking, but Myanmar is shit poor. Bhuta is poor, Bangaladesh poor,...
Myanmar, to Nepalese lowlands, to Kazakhstan/Xinjiang
Then from Xinjiang, it would be easy for chinese to enter kazakhstan, with CIA support to nab oil from russian interests. Hell the ZIO's could even agree to source the Kazak oil to the Chinese, like they were going to sell Saudi Oil through syria to europe.
*
Once the plane is known to be in Kazak/Xinjiang area, then CIA/MSS have a pretext to send in troops to "find the plane", once ZIO led troops outnumber Russian troops its game-over for putin.
That upper track runs by Mt. Everest. A height of 23000 feet would not be high enough in the Himalayas. It could be impacted on the side of a mountain, and in an area that remote in wintertime, who would know?
some dudes took the plane hostage with a chinese billionare on oard riding coach, yeah I know they would not be in coach and his bodyguards fought them off after several hours but caused a wreck and the maylaysians are scared china will retaliate
FLASH: MH-370 has been found near the Bermuda Triangle. Amelia Earhart found on board, alive and well...
http://www.independent.co.uk/incoming/article9194659.ece/ALTERNATES/w620...
RE
Or maybe the trillions we've spent on thinking these systems can do anything "like the movies" actually ended up going into Rumfeld's pockets.
But hey, that;s what the private sector is for!
Sometimes the simple explanation is the best - not sure about this or the idea of drafting behind the Singapore Airlines Flight 68, but it's clear the Malaysian government is run by clowns
Two great posts:
https://plus.google.com/app/basic/stream/z13cv1gohsmbv5jmy221vrfyiz3vdhb...
http://keithledgerwood.tumblr.com/post/79838944823/did-malaysian-airline...
Find the wife and you find the answer.
This must be the crowd Peter Pan was marketed to.
There is no evidence any one turned anything off, only that it was didn't respond or transmit. No evidence that anyone was at the controls of the plane, which had 3000 miles of fuel and was set to fly when the pilots died from the decompression, when it flew back over land. And it was in the middle of the ocean with virtually no surveillance. They turned and went back over radar to avoid detection, where it is unlikely they could do that with a 777 at 5000 feet <lol>? Ground avoidance is what they do in drug runner movies, not with a 777 over Malaysia. Get a grip.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=SyaWdb1GPJM
It was a battery, or perhaps flight crew O2, (the same thing that burned EgyptAir 777 to ashes on the ground - at 35,000 feet it would likely result in the death of everyone aboard, plane just flys the way it was headed till it falls into the sea. Controls may have even turned it in a long arc.
Oh, and generally speaking, real pirates aren't near as common as imaginary pirates of one J.M. Barrie.
But, ok. Bangarang.
If it's Of2minds you know it's BULLSHIT. Charles is a radical leftie.
when you finally figure out the point youre trying to make-let us all in on it - rofl!
This article is so ridic.
Thanks for the vocabulary upgrade:
ri·dic r??dik/ adjectiveinformal
Riddick: All back of the bus and shit ...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnm9AChEcro
;-)
One of many staged events, planned to villify political outspokeness. They are describing the pilot, as an opinionated extremist, such that anyone similarly expressing opinions should be targeted???
One of many staged events, planned to villify political outspokeness. They are describing the pilot, as an opinionated extremist, such that anyone similarly expressing opinions should be targeted???
One of many staged events, planned to villify political outspokeness. They are describing the pilot, as an opinionated extremist, such that anyone similarly expressing opinions should be targeted for censorship?
Come on people. This is ZH. It had to be Zionists or banksters behind this.
Bush did it
Elsewhere, Insanity reigns:
https://www.drugfree.org/join-together/addiction/zohydro-to-be-manufactu...
From the Conca shill at Forbes, ANOTHER article, the bastards that be are pulling out all the stops to protect their precious....that is how I know we are close to a tipping point, tip it.
-------------------------------------
Conca
Let me be really, really clear – there is no concern whatsoever that radioactivity from Fukushima could ever harm America.
==============================================
Really freaking insane to make a statement like that whent he releases continue.
Please stop in and place a well worded comment, and a link to truth
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2014/03/16/radioactive-fukushima-waters-arrive-at-west-coast-of-america/
They don't know when the ACARS was shut off. They know the last transmission was at 1:07 AM, and there was no transmission at 1:37 AM as expected.
The press, as typical, completely fucked up differentiating "last transmission" and "shut off".
HERE is the best alternative plausible scenario:
A super mother fucker UFO captures the plane in mid-air, and hypnotises everyone, at that moment the pilot responds that ‘everything was alright…’ Then the UFO with the plane in its belly, start flying erratic, first to 45000 feet and then 23000 feet, and in zig-zag, wich is basically what UFOs do.
As the Aliens start having fun with the passengers doing experiments and flirting with the flying attendants, they end up in the Indian Ocean, by then the Alien captain decides that the plane was too much fun to let it go and decides to take the whole lot to Alien land thought a wormhole.
Please. It got caught in the vortex of the global fiat Ponzi debt trap.
We'll all be there soon.
Pilot choice. South to die in ocean. North to maybe live. US may know but dont want to tip people how much detection gear they have.
New search area according to Australia press is pretty far south. If it could have gotten this far, it could have reached to Diego Garcia on slight more SE trajectory.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/search-for-missing...
The question for me is not who was in the plane, but who wasn't. If there are indeed 50 people who were supposed to board but didn't. The questions need to be asked.
Who were those people (VIP's, connected)?
By whom were they notified they were not allowed to board?
Interesting, as about half of that area given for the 18th's search area falls just south of the (official) operational arc of the observational view area of the JORN OTHR. Emphasis on officially, the real performance and scan volume addressed is something else entirely. That official area is just the original design mid-1990s area that was assured to have reliable coverage, even in poor ionospheric conditions, that degraded transmission and bounce-return path reception. In other words, beyond this area the reception of contacts only BEGINS to degrade, but the actual useful routine scan area and volume is about three times larger, than the initial claimed early operational range of the JORN system. We know that system has been extensively expanded and upgraded ever since that initial operational range at time of delivery acceptance by the ADF, was established. That OTHR system now sees everything in South East Asia and the central and northern Indian oceans, plus well into southern China, and almost as far as Japan and Hawaii in good ionosheric conditions.
The question is, did the JORN system of today, see something down there, or are they just following the geostationary satellite reception's arc, across the ocean?
Well that area depicted seems to fall to the south of the arc line on this image:
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2014...
So why are they looking that far south?
MH370 on remote control?
Boeing received a US patent for a system that, once activated, removes all control from pilots to automatically return a commercial airliner to a predetermined landing location.
Boeing's uninterruptible autopilot system: New technology can be activated by the pilots, government agencies, even on-board sensors; not even a tortured pilot can give up control;more:
http://homment.com/boeings-uninterruptible
Hmm ... any flight plan can be uploaded to the FMS and activated at any time ... ok, so you can take the pilot out of the terrorist cycle ... but how do you take govt out of the terrorist cycle? ... that seems to be the main problem with this:
Original article source:
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/diagrams-boeing-patents-anti-t...
Never ever forget this document, this one should be mandatory reading the world over:
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/news/20010430/northwoods.pdf
Did you really have to ruin my relaxed morning mood by mentioning this document?! Well, okay, on second thought that may be appropriate ... ;-)
Sorry mate, it's such a turd in the punch bowl, it cuts right through all the Good Morning America vibe :D
"And now for your weather, bought to you by Schmuckers"
Yep, the CIA Northwoods project, shows clear history that the USA-CIA would have no hesitation to create a fake airplane sabatogue to start a war.
Peronally I think that CHINA is in cahoots, but MALAYSIA ain't playing 'ball' but then they hate the USA, on the other hand CHINA playing 'good cop' while USA is playing 'bad cop'.
*
War to be in Kazakhstan, to get the next Libyan size OIL reserve, ... CHINA/USA allies.
CIA al-queda in Syrian, same in Kazak
If we pay you, will you go away? ... nah ... you're probably backed by the FED.
How much does the zio-google pay you to fill ZH with your bullshit.
No crash, explosion or disintegration
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/malaysia-airlines-flight-mh370un-nu...
Question: why are investigators concentrating the search on those two arcs, north and south, as opposed to any other area? In other words, why search exclusively in those two air corridors, and not, for example going due west or any alternative destinations?
My money is still on the pilot being deeply involved in this hijacking. Whether he flew the plane discreetly to a safe landing strip "somewhere" or ditched it in the sea killing everybody is hard to say. That depends on his motive(s).
And as Tyler has pointed out several times in articles, I'm also interested to know exactly what was in the cargo. If there was gold in them there holds, that might explain the motive. Otherwise it is probably a political statement.
And it does look like the Malaysian govt were slow to reveal a lot of info/data because if it was a political statement, it does not look good on themselves.
According to a Beijing based New York Times research staffer who was with the Chinese relatives, an MH370 passenger cell phone was tracked to Kansas said one relative
https://www.twitter.com/BreeFeng/status/444087214268362752?screen_name=B...
Wichita, Kansas - McConnell Airforce Base - used by Boeing - since it's near Spirit Aerosystems - Spirit have a new facility in Kuala Lumpur beside the airport.
how about if we know where it is and the wimp in the WH wont do anything about it.... it fits in nicely with his anti israel agenda and discounts that the USSA is the real target... who says that the plane wasn't guided by paki isi ground air controller.
the jackass is overwhelmed by political events already.... his burned out brain cant deal with reality anymore... the fantasyworld has crashed around him.. alll we await is the total meltdown..
boeing says the plane landed in pakiland near the afghan border...how about the pakis check it out and report... and we verify...
C'mon ZH'ers! This is NOT Rocket Science! The aircraft is in a hangar awaiting its debut for the glory of Allah. Who else steals/Hijacks/destroys/sabotages commercial airliners (and then uses them for weapons) and disregards all human life?... hmmmm, let me think. This proves that Political Correctness DISARMS brain power.
AIRPLANE is in Kazakhstan CIA Al-Queda Base
Well for 2+ days, the CIA-ZIO MSM everything they could to obfuscate the truth, All the world, outside of the USA controlled zio-msm is now reporting the plane is in Kazakhstan.
Everything leads to a CIA operation
http://news.oneindia.in/international/mh-370-3000-miles-to-kazakhstan-30...l
MISSING MH370: 'Search in 2 corridors has begun' New Straits Times - 11 minutes ago THE new phase of search-and-rescue (SAR) operations for MH370 in the ... Among the countries within the two corridors are Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, China, ...*
42T ukraine gold clandestinely loaded aboard large body unmarked airlcraft in cover of darkness; then flies away, dest. unknown.
25T gold reputed to be in cargo hold of Flight 370.
So easy to imagine any sort of hijack plot, particularly involving nation states whose lust to own that AU is so palpable, that they would do anything EXCEPT crash the cargo.
Ran amuk, eh?