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China Scrambling After "Discovering" Thousands Of Tons Of Rehypothecated Copper, Aluminum Missing

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"Banks are worried about their exposure," warns one warehousing source, "there is a scramble for people to head down there at the minute and make sure that their metal that they think is covered by a warehouse receipt actually exists."

The rehypothecated catastrophe that we discussed in great detail here (copper financing), here (all commodities), and here (global contagion) appears to be gathering speed as the China's northeastern port of Qingdao has halted shipments of aluminum and copper due to an investigation by authorities after they found "there is a discrepancy in metal that should be there and metal that is actually there."

 

Copper prices are tumbling already (despite Gartman's most recent prognostication on Dr. Copper's China recovery meme) as the world's 7th largest port disallows any shipments until the probe is complete.

"It's such a massive port I would think virtually everybody has exposure," warned one analyst, adding that this will be bearish for metals as "a lot of Western banks will try to offload material and try not to deal with Chinese merchants."

Reuters reports,

China's northeastern port of Qingdao has halted shipments of aluminium and copper due to an investigation by authorities, causing concern among bankers and trade houses financing the metals, trading and warehousing sources said on Monday. Port authorities could not immediately be reached for comment. China has a public holiday on Monday.

 

"We were told we can't ship any material out while they do this investigation," a source at a trading house said. The port of Qingdao is China's third-largest foreign trade port and the world's seventh-largest port, trading with 700 ports in more than 180 countries, according to its website (www.qdport.com/).

 

"Banks are worried about their exposure," one warehousing source in Singapore said.

 

"There is a scramble for people to head down there at the minute and make sure that their metal that they think is covered by a warehouse receipt actually exists," he said.

Metal imports have been partly driven in China as a means to raise finance, where traders can pledge metal as collateral to obtain better terms. In some cases the same shipment can be pledged to more than one bank, fuelling hot money inflows and spurring a clampdown by Chinese authorities.

"It appears there is a discrepancy in metal that should be there and metal that is actually there," said another source at a warehouse company with operations at the port.

 

"We hear the discrepancy is 80,000 tonnes of aluminium and 20,000 tonnes of copper, but we hear that the volumes will actually be higher. It's either missing or it was never there - there have been triple issuing of documentation," he said.

 

Beijing last year set new rules to curb currency speculation amid signs that hot money inflows helped push the yuan to a series of record highs. The rules required banks to tighten the management of their foreign exchange lending and types of clients that are able to access those loans.

 

"It's such a massive port I would think virtually everybody has exposure," the trading source said.

 

"Once the investigation is over, it could be bearish for metals. I think that a lot of Western banks will try to offload material and try not to deal with Chinese merchants," the trading source added.

Critically - this is a major problem for any shadow-banking credit creation process as if the rehypothecated commodity-backed CCFDs are ultimately unwound, 1) someone will not get their collateral (payment problems - bailouts?), 2) less real collateral means less real credit expansion (which banks can;t fill because the firms that use this method of financing are anything but creditworthy), and 3) liquidation of any assets will proceed rapidly...

Goldman concludes that "an unwind of Chinese commodity financing deals would likely result in an increase in availability of physical inventory (physical selling), and an increase in futures buying (buying back the hedge) – thereby resulting in a lower physical price than futures price, as well as resulting in a lower overall price curve (or full carry)." In other words, it would send the price of the underlying commodity lower.

 

 

 

Finally, as we showed before when it comes to commodity financing deals, in terms of total notional value, both copper and aluminum pale by comparison to the one metal most used (by value) in China as a funding substitute: gold

As we commented previously:

When we previously contemplated what the end of funding deals (which the PBOC and the China Politburo seems rather set on) may mean for the price of other commodities, we agreed with Goldman that it would be certainly negative. And yet in the case of gold, it just may be that even if China were to dump its physical to some willing 3rd party buyer, its inevitable cover of futures "hedges", i.e. buying gold in the paper market, may not only offset the physical selling, but send the price of gold back to levels seen at the end of 2012 when gold CCFDs really took off in earnest.

 

In other words, from a purely mechanistical standpoint, the unwind of China's shadow banking system, while negative for all non-precious metals-based commodities, may be just the gift that all those patient gold (and silver) investors have been waiting for.  This of course, excludes the impact of what the bursting of the Chinese credit bubble would do to faith in the globalized, debt-driven status quo. Add that into the picture, and into the future demand for gold, and suddenly things get really exciting.

So if tens of thousands of tons of copper and aluminum are suddenly "missing", one can assuredly say: "at least the gold is still there." Right?

 

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Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:09 | 4823233 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

If you had an empty city, would you bother wiring it up?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:28 | 4823299 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Why, to attract prudent investors, of course.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:00 | 4823446 walküre
walküre's picture

Investors buy "show home". All the time, always.

The Chinese fake everything including their dragons.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:27 | 4822805 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

nice big empty warehouse...echo echo echo

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:28 | 4822809 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

missing? YSROW

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:28 | 4822811 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Just put all the commodity in question , in the middle of room....divide the room into 8 partitions and Windows....Show everyone "their commodity"..... No more problems for another 7 years. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:28 | 4823296 Cobra
Cobra's picture

It is brilliantly amazing the illusion you can create using mirrors...

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:29 | 4822814 bardot63
bardot63's picture

Suddenly there's no copper?  Why would that drop prices? Because Goldman says so?  What would you expect Goldman to say? 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:41 | 4822835 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Because suddenly a shit ton of paper claims are worthless. It's fucked up I know.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:46 | 4822907 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Sounds like it would create a great buying opportunity.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:23 | 4823083 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

I'm sure they'd be glad to sell you their contracts. Ask em.
Just as good as having the real thing.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:02 | 4822994 Gaius Frakkin' ...
Gaius Frakkin' Baltar's picture

It also bears mentioning that most of these paper holders had no intention of acquiring actual metal in the first place. So they're not going to go out and buy it somewhere else.

It's another consequence of central banking and all the places that newly printed hot money goes to roost.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:41 | 4823139 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

On the question why this is bearish or prices would drop (and this could especially also be valid for Gold) - there is a logical explanation for it IMHO according to the following timeline (correct me if I'm wrong):
1) Physical commodity is found missing
2) People hearing about it are all scrambling to still find a stupid buyer for their PAPER claims on this commodity
3) Overall prices (PAPER and PHYSICAL) tank until
4) People understand that PAPER is not PHYSICAL then
5) Prices for PHYSICAL shoot through the roof, PAPER is worthless
The big question is: How long is the time frame between 3 and 4?
Long enough to not stack now and hope for an opportunity to get hold of physical during this dip?
I prefer to sit on PHYSICAL now and wait until it shoots through the roof. Don't mind a dip, even if it takes half a year. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:10 | 4823235 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

All paper claims will go to zero.

Watch the pemiums on the phyz, not the paper pricing.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:10 | 4823486 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Leverage. "They don't actually own the gold."

So the actual (bank owned) gold sits in a bank while everyone levers up to buy more of the banks gold...putting it in the bank.

Once "the collateral call" hits...well, this is why you buy JPM's former HQ in downtown Manhattan.

"Your gold is safe there" as the Government won't confiscate it (unlike say in Europe. Or Xhina for that matter.)

So the price starts to fall and the banks begin "tonning it" as everyone turns over their gold to raise ever more collateral "to keep the bubble alive."

And that is indeed a massive bubble (over extension of credit.). "All premised on a recovery that has never existed!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:30 | 4822818 youngman
youngman's picture

If you say you have 100 tons and only have 10 tons..I would think you would have to buy 90 tons to make good.....that should be good for the price of copper I would think.....I hope this is how it works in PMs when they find out about all the paper promises out there too....

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:35 | 4822851 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Derivatives bite.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:36 | 4822852 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Only if you had the money to buy that other 90 tons.  Which you don't, since you already borrowed to the hilt against the original 10 tons and then sold the collateral, too.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:38 | 4822863 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

They don't have the 'money' to buy 90 tons. that's why they borrowed against the copper they don't own in the first place.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:01 | 4822991 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

No problemo. Money can be printed just as easily as warehouse receipts.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:14 | 4823052 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Same reply and you get 5X the up-arrows as me.  Bastard!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:18 | 4823059 Tinky
Tinky's picture

He's a doctor, hence, gravitas.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:46 | 4823160 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

And a better icon - taste

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:32 | 4823107 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Lol... that happens to me all the time. I guess it's your turn.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:11 | 4823493 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"And put all the gold in the Bank."

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:31 | 4822822 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

How in the world we came up with a system that is based on selling items that you don't own is beyond me. The fact that it has been able to go on this long is a real testament to the stupidity of the sheep. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:34 | 4822840 Bryan
Bryan's picture

We all love to pretend, don't we.  It's all part of the mark-to-fantasy fun we've all been having.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 21:21 | 4825337 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

Like having a blow-up doll with life-like hair, a Kung-Fu grip and vibrating anus ?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:53 | 4822951 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

This kinda goes hand in hand with trusting your investment advisor.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:07 | 4823468 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Meeow.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:56 | 4822970 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Santa Claus came up with it. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:08 | 4823032 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

If you change "we" to crooked accountants or banksters does it make more sense?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:22 | 4823079 sleigher
sleigher's picture

What would happen to me if I sold something that I didn't own?  Or something that ostensibly doesn't exist?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:28 | 4823097 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

Depends where you are employed.

Some employers might give you a handsome bonus for such a "sale"...

Perhaps The Honorable John Corzine will weigh in with an reply?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:56 | 4823186 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

Met a not-so-young farm boy who told me his uncle sold some cows that were sick to a rendering plant to be made into dog food.  The herd was financed by a bank loan guaranteed by the FHA.  So the uncle was charged and convicted of selling what was not his and went to the Fed. Work Camp system for two years.  The boy who drove the truck was charged with accessory to the crime and got federal probation.

All would have been OK if the cows had just died and been buried after a Vet was called.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:39 | 4823348 Boxed Merlot
Boxed Merlot's picture

All would have been OK if the cows had just died and been buried after a Vet was called...

 

 

Sounds like he should have left them together with the rest of the FHA owned herd and let them all die. 

 

Sometimes I think the wisdom our founding fathers had in limiting WDC to 10 square miles was so the people could set up an effective quarantine area to keep them from infecting the rest of the nation.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:32 | 4822828 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Gold bears please proceed in the line behind the bond bears...

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:32 | 4822831 agstacks
agstacks's picture

So when it is understood that the COMEX, and Fed for that matter, do not have the metal they claim, it will be negative for the price?

OK.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:55 | 4823423 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

Don't tell Germany.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:33 | 4822834 Infinite QE
Infinite QE's picture

Why do I think JPM/GS must be involved?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:40 | 4823135 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

If they aren't, it's not for a lack of trying.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:33 | 4822837 tuttisaluti
tuttisaluti's picture

They build now ac units with paper hoses

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:34 | 4822845 intric8
intric8's picture

Dont metals work on a fractional reserve basis too? Copper is the new gold!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:33 | 4823319 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Say, maybe someone oughta make money out of it.  Round little medallions, maybe, with the name of the issuer on it.  Something to jingle around the pockets and exchange for goods. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 13:07 | 4823668 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Is that Ron Paul, or the "it's just a glitch" guy from Robocop?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:35 | 4822846 sandiegoman
sandiegoman's picture

Could someone explain why this is bearish? Seems like missing would be bullish.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:46 | 4822905 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

Paper copper ?

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:56 | 4823431 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

Better living thru chemistry. Look what was possible with PVC.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:40 | 4823588 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Made possible by relaxing building codes to permit combustibles within fire seperations, what could possibly go wrong?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:51 | 4822940 Rakshas
Rakshas's picture

..... it's the new normal.... seems somewhat tied to the freak weather systems that have been gripping the planet over the past year or so - cold winters, wet rain, wind, sun .......

Pretty sure Al Gore was right; the planet is in deep trouble - why just this morning I saw a fireball in the sky in the early morning hours but thankfully I live under a main flight path for commercial airlines so I now have shade so helpfully provided by the passing of a few aircraft - I was getting worried there for a while......

At any rate here in the new normal when the world financial system is on the verge of collapse the price of precious metals tumbles, as you would expect when the cost to mine exceeds the market price - it looks like the same rules apply to base metals now as well, if thousands of tonnes of metals disappear it must mean nobody wants them so the price has to go down because the costs for mining diminishing grades is going up........ make sense??

Now if you'll excuse me Bo Peep is calling........

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:59 | 4822979 Counterfiat
Counterfiat's picture

When the shorters are caught short, they SAY things are bearish.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:38 | 4823340 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

How can the tail wag the dog, when there is no longer any tail?

Price is set by paper traders, who have suddenly found their paper to be worthless, hence a price collapse in paper, while the remaining physical is being locked down, so it isn't part of a market either.

Also consider that the "demand" for copper is based upon this paper chase, and the real demand by producers is likely non-existent, as the real demand by end-consumers is as well.

Rehypothetically speaking, that is.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:35 | 4822849 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

 

 

And so, the GREAT RESET begins.

Wake me up when the gold vaults are found empty.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:35 | 4822850 F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek's picture

All your base metals are belong to us.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:36 | 4822854 Central Wanker
Central Wanker's picture

Soon we'll learn what "precious" means in "precious metals".

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:36 | 4822856 jjsilver
jjsilver's picture

Normaly that kind of news would be good for a smash in gold. However, seeing Goldman just secured equador's gold I would have to say mission accomplished and we might see a lift back to 1300.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:01 | 4822995 viahj
viahj's picture

breach of $1300, GS rehypothecates Ecuador's gold, smashes prices back down, buys it back for $1200, voila...instant profit/bonus

rinse/repeat

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:37 | 4822859 beegle
beegle's picture

what a whore house , the commodity business .... makes al capone look like winnie de po

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:39 | 4822861 Reference Variable
Reference Variable's picture

This is counterintuitive. It seems to me if the commodities are determined to not exist how does the near term price fall? Also, I'm sure the contracts were traded too, not just used for collateral!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:40 | 4822869 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Like I said earlier, a bunch of paper claims are now worthless and the entities involved don't have the money to buy the copper that's why they borrowed against the copper they don't own to begin with.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:43 | 4822887 White Owl
White Owl's picture

Exactly

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:35 | 4823325 Badabing
Badabing's picture

the outcome should be a disconect

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:48 | 4822918 SWCroaker
SWCroaker's picture

You say that like it should make sense.   I read it multiple times, and all I get is a headache.   Did I switch realities at some point without noticing?  

So these guy can't afford copper, but want some, so they get a loan against COPPER THEY DON'T OWN, to pay for a paper contract that pretends to represent copper that will turn out to have 5 or 6 similar claims against it should it ever show up.   Um, how did they initially get the COPPER THEY DON'T OWN in the first place?

Is it just me?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:57 | 4822966 Toronto Kid
Toronto Kid's picture

I have a ring made of copper. I don't wear it because it makes my skin itch. Do I have more copper than those guys?

Should I sell them my unwearable ring?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:33 | 4823113 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

Only if you want to take a loss

For some reason.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:04 | 4823009 F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek's picture

If we're talking physical metals, payment is usually 30 days after delivery date so they wouldn't have paid for something they hadn't received yet. Your point is probably more that multiple parties hold claims to metal that just isn't there.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:45 | 4823067 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

If the party involved has 10 tons of copper in their wharehouse but  borrowed against it with 10 different banks they don't have the money they need to buy the 90 tons worth af claims against the copper that they have. That is why debt destruction in a debt based fiat system is deflationary. There is no money to buy the actual goods and services.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:16 | 4823265 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

OK, Doc

But consider ... There are Three factors involved - Phiz, Credit, and Cash.  The physical metal was once there, shipped under a letter of credit and confirmed as unloaded and placed in a warehouse.  Then it went somewhere else.  Following the public outcry, a lot of effort will be made to try and find the commodity and here heads may indeed roll, but one thing is clear - there will be a LOT of publicity and the tweeterverse will hum with rumour.  I think Cash will become as scarce as Credit. And credit may become non-existent until the banks and the shadow bankers trust each other again.  It's like the sign says; "In God We Trust  (all others pay cash)"  Cash = On Deposit in a bank only as long as the bank's credit (trust) is good.

This will have unintended consequences - I believe I hear the rustling of wings in the distance.  

A Swan, perhaps?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 13:40 | 4823776 WmMcK
WmMcK's picture

caterpillar:butterfly::ugly duckling:swan?

I was never good at that analogy stuff.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 13:58 | 4823859 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

A Black Swan ...

per the law of unintended consequences ... random events eventually produce an unexpected result that no one could have foreseen.  And so no one is prepared and reacts without thinking.

 

The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility" (Incerto) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Apr 3, 2008)

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 20:09 | 4825145 lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

correct.  if at some point somebody actually says - 'no more credit.  PAY ME.'  there's no cash to pay.  regardless of the QE money printing - nobody actually has the cash.  it is all invested into something worth nothing, that when i actually have to go and sell it, it's worth less, or more likely and worse, it's invested in basically 'IOU'.

huge deflation - nobody actually has cash, not a single business entity - and not the banks, because they only have digital zeros.  they would all have to go out and get another loan to get 'cash' and pay off in full.

banks are crushed.  just depends when the reality hits.  everybody high in finance knows it.

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:35 | 4823121 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

...If we're talking physical metals...

You keep saying that word. Physical. I do not think that word means what....

Never mind.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:32 | 4823094 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

My company needs 1 ton of copper to turn into cables.

I buy 2 tons of copper, take out 10 loans against it, use 1 ton to make cables, and sell the other ton to another guy.

10 of my buddies do the same.

I only physically used up 1 ton of copper, the other ton is somewhere... just not where it was supposed to be.

 

Eventually, that other ton of copper will return to the market as a mysterious supply showing up somewhere far away from Qingdao. Only thing you don't know is when and where that 'extra' ton will make it back to market.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:39 | 4822866 White Owl
White Owl's picture

URGENT. Get Barney Fife and Sheriff Andy on a plane to China right away. We need Mayberry's finest to find the missing copper. Let Opie tag along with Aunt Bea. They're the best at finding crooks!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:41 | 4822879 SpanishInquisition
SpanishInquisition's picture

So is Jon Cozine working in China now?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:01 | 4822989 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Is there a timeframe after which Jon cannot be charged with a crime.  I know it is just a theoretical question

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:41 | 4822880 hairball48
hairball48's picture

Count me in the "I'm absolutely shocked that this could happen" camp.

/sarc

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:44 | 4822898 youngman
youngman's picture

I would think the guy that owns the warehouse would have to come up with the missing metal..if he wants to live a long life...

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:18 | 4823060 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Well....he and his family now live in Vancouver, BC under the name of Hong Lee. Or is it Lee Hong? Whatever, he is long gone now.

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 14:18 | 4827505 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Lon Gon Now? That sounds like a good name. They need look for Lon Gon Now in Vancouver B.C. to get the copper.

 

LOL

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:46 | 4822909 agstacks
agstacks's picture

"Gold spot prices fell 40% over the last two week on the news that 8000 tons of gold is missing from the US." 

Nothing surprises me anymore.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:46 | 4822911 atthelake
atthelake's picture

If you can't touch it, if you can't see it, if you don't have it...You don't own it.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:21 | 4823077 CHX
CHX's picture

... You won't own it (when the time comes). Fixed.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:59 | 4822927 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Funny how the same crimes keep appearing and appearing?  

Maybe it is more about human nature?

Maybe they should enforce laws so suits and normal criminals know they is some, minute, downside to crimes?

This has minimal to do with derivatives; they have been around since seasons began.  It has to do with the Expected profit from crimes.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:53 | 4822950 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

 "Mechanistical?". Ouch.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:54 | 4822958 OMG
Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:58 | 4822976 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Many years ago I worked at an amusement park.  We did not have enough ice scoops when the health inspector came.  So we had a runner that would take the scoop after we left one stand and run to the next, while I kept the health inspector occupied by getting him into some of the shows, on the front row, where he could watch the dancing girls.

 

He saw the same scoop many times.  

 

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 09:58 | 4822978 F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek's picture

Where are Marc Rich and Pinky Green when you need them?

And who are today's Metal Men?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:04 | 4822993 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

"As sure as the sun rises in the west and sets in the east, your metals are safe with us. We are the big banks and our word is true". 

What FOOL does not take delivery of a purchased good? Oh, bigger fools than the banks!

What dumb fuck even deals with banks? China, as an older culture, has perfected corruption. See Vancouver, Hong Kong, Seattle, Portland, San Francisco...this is where you flee to when you loot your home country.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:24 | 4823085 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

ALL the world's Gold is in a vault somewhere

in somebody else's name.

Damn bankers - they somehow own all the vaults.

https://ia600503.us.archive.org/23/items/TheGatlinBrothers-AllTheGoldInC...

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:02 | 4823000 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

It should be apparent by this point that many financiers world wide, and the bankers, are operating as virtual criminals. The legal system and regulators of finance pretent to oversee and maintain legal norms. This is a hoax! As we saw before the 2008 USA crash, the system was corrupted to it's core, and finance had captured both regulators and law enforcement. Government was an ally in the use of finance, accounting and banking to rob openly and skim from all transactions and attempts to invest.

I think when China unravels, it will expose so many giant finance scams that it will put American and EU financial scams to shame. China adopted state capitalism married to Party control. The financiers who are crooked, are operating under state protection in many cases. Thus it will be hard to break them up or stop the looting. Or as in the USA, the government could simply join in and openly devise central bank policies to aid finance capital rod and loot.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:04 | 4823011 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

Button, button, who's got the button?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:11 | 4823039 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

"You no worry. We have you plenty metals for you enjoy and happiness".

Wei Noe Got spokesperson for Fu King Yu metals exchange.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:13 | 4823047 fzrkid
fzrkid's picture

are all tese problems posted here in ZH real? They do not seem to be leading to the demise of the world economy..

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:05 | 4823214 viahj
viahj's picture

not paying attention?  there has been a global finance war waging for quite some time now.  there are actual shooting wars popping up.  there are resource wars raging.  the global economic/financial system is on the brink.  the problem is the scope and the human perception of time and magnitude.  a freight train doesn't stop on a dime but an avalanche starts with one snow flake.  take this time to prep in the ways you see fit, or take a vacation.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 20:00 | 4825117 lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

and - if you come shooting at me, and i don't have copper for casings, then i have to go find some.  and if you have all the copper, and all the production for making casings, well, i'm kind of in a bad spot.  don't cha think?

etc.  expand it.  and if you produce all the foot wear, and jackets and blankets on the planet, then my army is getting pretty fucking cold while we figure out how to manufacture all that again.

get it?

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:13 | 4823048 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

So let me get this straight . . . time and time again we see that although USD is no panacea China is one of if not the biggest scams/mirage/smoke and mirrors experiences the world has ever seen - yet we are supposed to be intimidated by big, bad China and its march to establish a global reserve currency where the entire world would trust and rely on China?  Got it.  I understand. 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:24 | 4823287 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

Trying to figure that meme out as well....

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:56 | 4823427 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

Because China, dispite all of the fucked-up crazy finance shit going on, Actualy owns the means of production, which is real wealth, and lots of gold to boot. They can also de-ball us in an instant by dumpping treasuries. 

Don't forget we crated-up our countries real wealth (factories) and shipped it completely to China brick-by-brick.  

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 19:27 | 4825023 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

PLUS we can establish they are stacking Au.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:13 | 4823050 Fiat agnostic
Fiat agnostic's picture

If Goldman really thinks this is going to drive prices lower this totally confirms the make believe Alice in Wonderland world we now inhabit. It must rank as the ultimate in hubris to such a degree I wonder if it was meant to be ironic. What do these people take us for? When they find there are 100 paper contracts for each ounce of gold does that mean gold is only worth 1% of its current value - maybe it does in their mind. Next stop the Comex....

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:14 | 4823051 Droid Fuel
Droid Fuel's picture

I am still confused.  Isn't this the exact reason people are stacking?  Why stack if the price drops when the vaults are exposed as empty?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:19 | 4823065 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

Now you see it

Now you don't 

Will you get it ?

No you won't.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 13:42 | 4823787 redux2redux
redux2redux's picture

If you like your copper, you can keep your copper.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:20 | 4823072 James Dandy
James Dandy's picture

Bearish for metals because Western banks will offload material?

Where do they come up with this shit?  They apparently don't have the material to offload to begin with.  

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:21 | 4823075 Casserole of no...
Casserole of nonsense's picture

I'm really struggling with how this is bearish for the missing metals. Does this mean that having 100 claims for every ounce on Comex is bearish? Help a brother out.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:23 | 4823286 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

Having 100 claims for every dollar in a Madoff investment was neither bullish or bearish for securities in the underlying portfolio...

It seems this (copper issue) is bearish for the paper, but to me no impact on the metal...

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:22 | 4823081 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

check the bottom of the ocean and notice the conical shape of metal piles down there.

 

now China needs MOAR copper to build MOAR empty cities

 

just another efficient approach to keeping prices up and inflation in check

 

will it work?  not really

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:27 | 4823093 JRobby
JRobby's picture

As the world wide ponzi scheme unravels..........

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:29 | 4823099 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

Vaporized!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:30 | 4823102 rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

I have gravel certificates available.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:33 | 4823117 CHX
CHX's picture

Fractional gold is a ...

(pls speak up)

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:35 | 4823118 CaptainSpaulding
CaptainSpaulding's picture

Don't look at me.. I'm cool, I'm cool

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:37 | 4823127 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

Rehypothapocus! Abracapothecation!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:39 | 4823130 joego1
joego1's picture

And it's gone.....

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:40 | 4823136 sleestak
sleestak's picture

To propose that this in itself is bearish for the metals in question is counterintuitive.  A bunch of bankrupt fractional lenders having to liquidate collateral may indeed bring supply to market, but the 10x "borrowers" who expected to have the metal will be looking for it.

However, it does expose yet another facet of China's debt-bloated economy that may mean lower demand in the future, if not immediately.  Of course, they can print aggressively because they don't owe foreigners any money, so who knows?

Relatedly, this should increase suspicion of all derivative exposure to metals, especially gold.  And so we can expect continued divestment of futures contracts, ETFs and other "expressions of long interest," expressions that unfortunately for the bulls set the price of the underlying.  I think that ultimately these constructs will be worthless while the metal itself will be unattainable.

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 05:03 | 4825964 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

Couldn't agree more.

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:43 | 4823148 All is chosen
All is chosen's picture

"If only we had a strong controlling body, like the Comex" said ... just about everybody

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:44 | 4823151 jal
jal's picture

Now I finaly understand ... 

IT'S A TIME SHARE!

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:48 | 4823163 F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek's picture

The preferred phrase is interval ownership.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:03 | 4823212 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

Yup. Exactly.
A time share with say, 366 other folks in the 'share'...

Labor Day weekend is going to be sooo fucking fun!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:46 | 4823156 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

I think the old chestnut "rehypothecated" should be replaced with the "slightly" more defensible term "oxidized" which is slightly closer to the real condition in the first place.

Vaporized.

Not the truth or accuracy is the issue here. It's just that if you're going to float a raft of bullshit my way, it would be nice if you could be more creative in the lie.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:46 | 4823158 The Most Intere...
The Most Interesting Frog in the World's picture

LOL, some people steal gold and silver out of storage, others copper?  The copper thievs need to find a new line work...really....

That is, of course, if the shit ever existed in the first place - which is more likely.... it didn't!!!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:47 | 4823162 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

When a loan is given; two bets are made, one long one short. The long bets are coming off leaving only the shorts, add in lots and lots of leverage, ring the register.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:54 | 4823178 IndyPat
IndyPat's picture

I'm sure the insurance that these folks bought on their 'contract' will make them whole.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:56 | 4823184 Chippewa Partners
Chippewa Partners's picture

Let the CFTC sort it out.  That's like Obama math.   5 = 1.

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:56 | 4823187 Atlas Crapped
Atlas Crapped's picture

In our derivative world, only expectations matter. What is real, is by and large irrelevant ... for now ...

But DO be careful not to topple the apple cart by pricking the paper bubble !!

www.roacheforque.blogspot.com

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:57 | 4823191 andrewp111
andrewp111's picture

What is a few 10's of thousands of tons when there is half a trillion kg of copper in Chinese warehouses?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:40 | 4823352 Rainman
Rainman's picture

allegedly half a trillion kg

Assume you are being lied to until proven otherwise.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 21:37 | 4825377 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

What if your half a trillion turned out to be only a few thousand tons of copper ?

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 10:58 | 4823195 docmac324
docmac324's picture

AND Goldman Sachs research!  gotta be ligit..

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:00 | 4823205 vyeung
vyeung's picture

legacy of the Zemin era. It needs to be blown out. Won't be pretty, but must happen.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:01 | 4823208 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Confucius say:

"He who rehypothecate copper will shirley come a cropper..."

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:02 | 4823216 silentboom
silentboom's picture

This could cause doubt in all paper vs metal holdings everywhere including the US.  Well played China.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:51 | 4823403 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Brilliantly digested!  +100

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:36 | 4823575 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

China is proving how dangerous it is to actually count the physical inventory.

America doesn't do such a stupid thing as audit the gold in Ft. Knox so there's no shortage problem there.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:05 | 4823225 grunk
grunk's picture

I blame the weather.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:11 | 4823240 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

this is the bernanke economy, the lower the price of something goes, the less of it is available, just turn your old supply demand charts upside down. this is extreme malinvestment. bizarro rules also apply to interest rates, the fed is running a controlled deflationary crash of the economy, when the markets figure that out it will be a sad day (if you give the markets 85b a month against a deflationary headwind you are bound to get results). in the great depression things like onions weren't worth the storage costs. ergo the great evaporation of everything, including hard cash. first people hoard money faster than the fed can print it, and then they spend what they have in lieu of anything coming it eventually that money disappears, or is hoarded by a few rich investors, (and those who have gold and can trade a little gold for a lot of paper) thats the final answer

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:11 | 4823242 Sixdeuce062
Sixdeuce062's picture

hahahahhahahahahaha bwuhahahahahahahahahaahaha ha ha haa............. when does everyone find out about the same for gold and silver

 

It aint yours unless yo are holding it

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:22 | 4823282 novictim
novictim's picture

<--Zero Hedge is right to ignore the Tiananmen Square Massacre.

<--Zero Hedge should cover the 25th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Massacre

 

It is the 25th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Massacre.  George Bush, being a good Republican, felt that the way to get China to become a pluralistic and democratic state was to foster MORE trade.  The Republican dogma was “Countries that trade together adopt progressive policies”. 

It gets worse! Under Bill Clinton, the US granted China a designation of Most Favored Nation Status in trade dealings allowing China to grow its market to what we see today.

Zero Hedge, it is VERY strange that you are choosing NOT to cover the anniversary of the massacre and crackdown on democracy demonstrators.

 

 

 

 

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 11:37 | 4823335 Proofreder
Proofreder's picture

So I agree and was going to give you a red

But I want to give a greenie for the excellence in spelling ...

Rats !

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 21:11 | 4825304 novictim
novictim's picture

Ok, I am a terrible speller.  But I find that spelling is a deeply idiotic criteria to judge an argument. Yet people seem to do so...and these folks almost never have an argument of their own much less a coherent counter argument.

But you got me!  What did I miss spell?

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 00:05 | 4825733 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Hav you mett the gramar puhlize? Proofreder editts for Jet maggazine.

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 00:21 | 4825754 novictim
novictim's picture

Damn...I didn't know!  How could I have known that?!  Shit!  Who would know somethin' like that ?  Jet Magazine? Shit!  My bitchez should'a known this honkey bastard then...bitchez didn't warn me!  Shiiiittttt!

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 01:27 | 4825842 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Shiii....blood don't want da help, blood don't get da help!

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 12:08 | 4823474 teslaberry
teslaberry's picture

the only democracy you get with your assinine voting 'poll' is the right to not read this fucking website. 

did you buy a partnership stake and/or invest your labor into making this media platform. 

why don't you write a blogpost on your own blog about tianmen and put the link in the comments. if your article

 

is good enough eventually you'll get linked on zh , or maybe even a post. 

 

you ass muncher. take your poll about what you think the content on this page should be and shove it up your hole.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 14:06 | 4823894 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

This novictim guy is a Kievan Yatzi Junta Citizen, and Kievan Yatzi Junta Citizens are big on denial and side tracking.

Pouring attention on Tianmen Square massacre nostalgy is simply duplicious blattering and circonvolution to draw attention away from massacres in Odessa and Mariupol and ongoing aggressings on ethnies in southern eastern Ukraine.

And that is what this Kievan Yatzi Junta (US extension) paid shill wants to offuscate.

Wed, 06/04/2014 - 21:03 | 4825288 novictim
novictim's picture

Did you lose your brain?  What does Ukraine have to do with this Chinese authoritarian crackdown and murder of pro-democracy demonstrators??  How could any civilized person not be incensed by the actions of the Chinese Dictators?

Stooge, why would the Chinese people's suffering be justified by ...Ukraine??!!  Weird, Stooge.  

I find no connection between 1989 China and 2014 Ukraine...do you?  What is it?  Why would the Chinese people need to bear this burden?  

I've understood our disagreement on Ukraine.  You are a Russian nationalist.  I get it.  And I even accept that there is certain legitimacy in that position (though I think it borders on fascist).

What I can't understand or respect is your rejection of the plight of the Chinese people who live their lives in a cage with guards hired by a REAL JUNTA.

It is a stain on your clown-like persona, Stooge.

Thu, 06/05/2014 - 01:22 | 4825832 Zeta Reticuli
Zeta Reticuli's picture

You must be smoking crack in a trailer park in Florida. I live in China and I don't see any of the paranoid visions that inhabit your addled brain.

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