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Guess What Happens Next?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Now where have we seen this before? Who could have guessed that the weather-induced rebound exuberance would be slowly but surely reduced? US Economic Forecasting - where New Year's hopes go to die...

 

It's like deja-vu all over again, again...

 

h/t@Not_Jim_Cramer

 

Between the IMF proclaiming US growth will be below trend 2% for years and the bond market's implied forwards, it seems the Fed's meme that growth is back bitches (and thus you are all ok on your own without our constant money printing) appears to be breaking bad.

And then there's this...

  • *TREASURY'S RASKIN SAYS U.S. ECONOMY IS DOING BETTER
  • *RASKIN SAYS `THINGS LOOKING GOOD' FOR U.S. ECONOMY

Now look at the chart above again!!

 

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Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:30 | 4869417 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

The term forward guidence is spot on, as it is them trying to guide the economy.  Too bad it went over the cliff years ago and the only guiding they are doing is down.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:37 | 4869469 So Close
So Close's picture

It is one thing to drive off the cliff blind folded.  It is another to lie to everyone on the bus and say it is going to be O.K!  And another all together to be on the bus listening to and beleiving the liars in the first place.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:42 | 4869500 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

This guy Raskin is one happy-ass motherfunker, isn't he?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:47 | 4869538 knukles
knukles's picture

Hockey Sticks En Regailia

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 12:02 | 4869613 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

Well said.

 

The dope in DC is primo. Grade A chit.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:31 | 4869422 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

BULLISH!

 

PRINT YOU NASTY, LYING MOTHERFUCKERS...PRINT....STEAL..THINK UP MONEY....BACK HAND THE MARKET...RIG IT MOAR...

 

BLOAT MY LONG SIDE...I'LL SCALP PROFITS LIKE I HAVE FOR NEARLY 4 YEARS....

BUY...BUY....FUCKING BUY

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:33 | 4869436 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

What happens next??  Are they asking for serious??

I'll tell you what happens next.  The S&P grabs another 50-100 handles by year end, that's what.

Market returns have NEVER had a strong correlation to economic growth rates.  In todays world, the correlation is probably NEGATIVE.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:41 | 4869489 maskone909
maskone909's picture

positive economic #'s never benefit wallstreet.  good economies indicate job growth.  its actually quite counterintuitive.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 12:10 | 4869625 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

Where do we go from here?

 

 

More bankruptcies, stagnant wages, illegal immigrants, GM screw-ups, negative GDP, and moar wars to stimulate grote. You will have to go to the Museum of Natural History, Antiquities Section, to see what a Middle Class Sheeple used to look like before they disappeared from merika...next to the other extinct animals.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:35 | 4869452 stant
stant's picture

Add a sovreign debt crisis on top of that

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:38 | 4869476 useless_fact
useless_fact's picture

Mushrooms contain virtually no salt.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:51 | 4870199 Okienomics
Okienomics's picture

Best laugh of the day, so far anyway.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:39 | 4869480 maskone909
maskone909's picture

motherfucking depression.  all hands on deck.  to the printers!  excelsior!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:39 | 4869481 rum_runner
rum_runner's picture

Stocks rise?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:44 | 4869515 lipskid
lipskid's picture

I wish I could make a levered short on the Fed's US GDP forecast....

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:45 | 4869526 sbenard
sbenard's picture

The Propaganda Ministry is hard at work misleading everyone, including both the public and Wall St, to accept the doctrine that "all is well". It's only "well" in the bubble factory!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:46 | 4869533 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

at this point, either stocks or bonds crumble.  higher rates or much lower stock prices.  the fed gets to pick its poison.  pretty sure either of these options is murder for the green shoots.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:48 | 4869542 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

The personal lives and friends networks of these economists probably is doing very well, as they are all fully paid up members of the scam.   It is what is outside that is doing badly, but they will never see it from inside their private bubble universes. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:48 | 4869545 NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

over lay the GDP with a chart showing the weath and power of those pulling the strings and you will have your answer

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:48 | 4869547 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

US economy now okey dokey! YAY!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:49 | 4869550 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

<= more green shoots

<= more red shoots

Do I even need to ask here?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:49 | 4869553 realWhiteNight123129
realWhiteNight123129's picture

Sounds like well organized entity with board meetings, conference calls, forward guidance and road shows. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:57 | 4869570 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

What happens next?  ES 2000 on Amazon 3D phone, taper, and the recovery unicorn.  Shorts should get ready for another Kev'Henry reaming at 2pm. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 14:27 | 4869672 sodbuster
sodbuster's picture

I hear the recovery unicorn shoots Skittles out his ass!!! Way cool!!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:54 | 4869579 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

The economy for the top 20% (or so) is doing great.   Not sure why we keep blending the Trash Class economy with Elysium Class & Elysium Support Class economy.   The Trash Class hasn't mattered for decades now,  except as debt serfs and cannon-fodder.  

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:59 | 4869597 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Does VIX and Hedge Funds give a shit about a potential explosion of volatility right now?  Fuck no.  Every cockroach knows that Kev' and Belgium got us covered till EOQ. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 11:58 | 4869598 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

FOMC rate in about 2 hours.

 

Negative GDP is bullish.  50M Food stampers - that's bullish.  Record low job participation rate - bullish again.  Over 50% American homeowners can't afford - bullish bullish.

 

FOMC is the last marble to drop - how about some all time highs again?? hmmm????

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 12:01 | 4869609 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

It is all champagne, canapes, chunky Richard Mille watches, blow and dancing girls at your regional Fed reception hall until somebody loses an eye. 

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 12:04 | 4869620 BobTheSlob
BobTheSlob's picture

Guess what happens next?

We all by moar stox?

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 12:20 | 4869690 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

Hey...I think I'm starting to get it now...

It isn't about what's happening in the so-called 'real world'. It's about your PERCEPTIONS. It's like that old saying, "If you can dream it, you can DO it!"

External realities? Ha! Only an old-school reactionary would be worried about THOSE. This is the New Age, folks, and the old rules no longer apply...

So, in looking over my own finances, I see where the problems are...It appears I have two columns of figures, one for 'incoming' and one for 'outgoing'. The refusal of those two sets of figures to match-up has given me fits for a long time. But I was going about this whole thing wrong...why SHOULD they match up when I organize them the way I have been? Obviously, I need to rejuggle those figures...

So, I've just removed my mortgage payment from the 'outgoing' column, and placed it into a new, third column marked 'Projected Future Liabilities'. Being "future" liabilities, I can ignore them for now and use the money to increase my monthly disposeable income. This will allow me to borrow more money from my bank, who now sees me as a good risk because of my lower monthly expenses. I can use the money to buy stocks and pocket the profits. Then, when the shit hits the fan, I can quit my position as CEO of my household, take my profits (and a healthy 'golden parachute') and go on to become CEO of one of my neighbors households...rinse and repeat.
It's the American way.

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:34 | 4870120 starman
starman's picture

Its a underground economy!! No body really knows its improoving.Yeah!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:35 | 4870128 csmith
csmith's picture

Didn't think Raskins were allowed any more in DC ???!!!

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:26 | 4870683 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
MASTER OF UNIVERSE's picture

What happens next?

Good propagandists always repeat the message until it sticks

like mud on a white shirt. If one throws enough mud around eventually the waters get muddied enough for the confidence game to proceed with caution. Expect more 'good news' from Wall Street and the shills that shill for it.

BTW....BlackBerry is doing fine lately don't ya know. Now expect

           a very large sale of BlackBerry shares, next.

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