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Ebola Outbreak Spreads To 6th African Nation: 20 Cases In Senegal
Despite border closures, flight bans, cordoning off the sick (and healthy), and rubber (and live) bullets and tear gas on 'protesters'; the world's worst outbreak of Ebola just keeps spreading, now to a sixth African nation. Just day after Congo (5th nation) reported cases of Ebola, as The BBC reports, Senegal's health minister confirmed the first case of Ebola in his nation yesterday and Bloomberg confirms 20 more people are "under surveillance." Meanwhile, in Guinea a Red Cross official said riots had broken out in the nation's 2nd largest city over rumors that health workers had infected people with the virus; and Nigerians are protesting plans to build isolation units in some local clinics. "contained"
Senegal becomes the 6th African nation with Ebola after Congo, Nigeria, Guinea, Sierra-Leone, and Liberia
As The BBC reports, Senegal had tried to block this...
Senegal had previously closed its border with Guinea in an attempt to halt the spread of Ebola, but the frontier is porous.
It had also banned flights and ships from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone - the three worst-hit countries.
But...
- *EBOLA-INFECTED MAN ENTERED SENEGAL BY CAR FROM GUINEA: MINISTER
Awa Marie Coll Seck told reporters on Friday that a young man from Guinea had travelled to Senegal despite having been infected with the virus.
The man was immediately placed in quarantine, she added.
For now he is 'stable'...
- *EBOLA CASE IN SENEGAL IS STABLE, NO FEVER, MAY RECOVER
But...
- *ABOUT 20 PEOPLE UNDER SURVEILLANCE FOR EBOLA: SENEGAL MINISTER
And...
- *SENEGAL WILL REQUEST EBOLA DRUG VIA WORLD HEALTH ORG.: MINISTER
* * *
In Guinea, a 24-hour curfew has been imposed in the second city, Nzerekore, because of a riot after the main market was sprayed with disinfectant in an attempt to halt the spread of the virus.
The exact cause of the riot is not clear - some people reportedly feared the spray would spread Ebola, while other chanted: "Ebola is a lie". Police responded by firing tear gas.
"A rumor, which was totally false, spread that we had sprayed the market in order to transmit the virus to locals," Traore said. "People revolted and resorted to violence, prompting soldiers to intervene."
The city is the capital of the Forest Region, where the Ebola epidemic has its epicentre - near the town of Gueckedou.
However the BBC's Alhassan Sillah in Guinea says the town has miraculously remained free of Ebola so far.
And Nigerians are not happy...
In Nigeria, meanwhile, some have pushed back against government plans to build isolation units in their neighborhoods, even saying they would sooner burn Ebola centers down than allow them to operate.
In the northern city of Kaduna, hundreds of people on Wednesday protested plans to convert sections of a local clinic into an Ebola treatment center. Many carried signs that said: "No Ebola in our hospital."
* * *
Much worse than expected and is crushing Africa's GDP...
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it is difficult to get the real news about ebola. that probably means the outbreak is a lot worse than it is. good news. can't let those people breed. you know what happens when that happens.
The only solution here is a vaccine. Containing it will only suppress it until the next outbreak. It will get here - this year or in 5, it is inevitable.
Just another reason to stay indoors, watch more tv, and do not gather in large groups.
"Meanwhile, in Guinea a Red Cross official said riots had broken out in the nation's 2nd largest city over rumors that health workers had infected people with the virus; and Nigerians are protesting plans to build isolation units in some local clinics."
These people clearly do not want outside help, nor do they want western doctors, medicine, or any kind of 1st world sanitation practices. Let their Shamans and Witch Doctors take care of them.
Why jeopardize western medical personnel? As if the diseases weren't deadly enough they have to worry about violent reactions for the populations they're trying to treat? No thanks.
Since only TPTB will get the vaccine, would a mustard-weed poultice and hackberry tea be suitable as a homespun cure?
For a possible cure for Ebola watch this. I am not kidding.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDriQenJYhg
Have used this method myself to cure colds, toothache and stomach distress.
"The outbreak continues to accelerate. More than 40% of the total number of cases have occurred within the past 21 days." - WHO
Ebola virus disease update - west Africa
Disease outbreak news
28 August 2014
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_08_28_ebola/en/
That's only counting "official" cases. Fuck....
I believe they are going to continue to say that.
hey fucknutters, remember west africa has 340 MILLION people.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Africa
almost exactly half o the population is in nigeria. and the gdp of the 17 states is collectively under 1 trillion dollars.
"....if you like your Obola, you can keep your Obola..." We will determine with 43 layers of paperwork to see if we much charge you for this "improvement" in your life, A hueristic increase.
About now would be a good time to pick up a serious glue sniffing habit...especially if stuck inside of West Point, Monrovia.
If a gov't agency is going to trap people like rats, the least they could do is 1)serve up plenty of drugs and 2) Read the excellent history of the Jews trapped in Warsaw in the late 1930s by the Nazis. You want some chilling horror stories involving human dignity......
'Oy vey, the sufferink, the sufferink'
I heard a short press story from the WHO on National Public Radio morning news yesterday. The WHO was upset over radical government actions like cancelling flights, stopping immigration and closing borders between infected and uninfected nations. I suspect the WHO was sending a message to Europe and America, that was "Keep your bordes wide open" Why? Seems the WHO is just another Neoliberal organization, bent on the end of borders, the end of nation states and the end of representitve democracy!
The fear expressed by WHO was that "Nations would react by stopping needy refugees and asylum seekers heading to Europe, that borders would be closed to family membes from infected countries seeking to visit family in the West. Afraid of economic impacts on trade agreements. Fearful of racism.
The excuse they gave, and it is fucking lame as hell, was. These border restrictions and border closings between certain nations was making bringing relief to vicitms very hard! Like a gang of WHO doctors could not go to infected city, work for months, and just fly on back home on a whim. WHich is what they want to do. The want to be with the infected for months, and have a perfect right to fly global flights from nation to nation.
It is all WHO bullshit. Neoliberals afraid that globalization might hit a snag!
For all the hundreds of millions of dolllars the globalists spent on planning, and
think tanks, they royally fucked up by not allowing for a viral pandemic. Not like history
isn't full of them .
So they fuck up, just like other humans .Where's the infallible conspiratists folks on
this ?
Chaos is the natural human condition, not to say its not aided along, and certainly profited
from.To err is human, to truly fuck up is psychopathy.
You are aware that the targeted borders are and always have been almost exclusively those of White countries. Have you heard any globalists pushing Saudi Arabia or Pakistan, to name but two, to open their borders?
Nailed it, Jack. WHO is BS and needs to have its microphone taken away.
Question, At what point that this outbreak hits critical mass and CAN NOT be contained and goes global? 5,000...10,000.....20,000 infections.....
Maybe when WHO describes it as "Out of control"? Oops, that already happened...
There are two point of interest: First is the point where it realistically cannot be stopped. Second is the point where the first point is generaly acknowledged. I think we're somewhere between #1 and #2 right now.
"Critical mass" is not the correct notion. You cannot do these projections in a spreadsheet. It will not spread like water across the floor. There are oceans to cross, borders, limited means of travel easily interrupted. That they are not now limiting travel could quickly reverse itself, you can't project the current attitudes much further into a pandemic. Things can change very quickly.
I think that this could devour Africa outright. Or most of it. Certainly the central band from Senegal to Somalia. From Somalia it could jump into India and the rest of south Asia very easily, if only as a few cases. From Indonesia into south China, same story. But I think by then the gates are slammed shut. Nothing would remain the same, no air travel, no shipping, no commerce. Now, India and China are a big chunk of humanity but they are also modern countries (no jokes) with well establish modern police and military forces and significant healthcare systems, so even though panic would ensue I'm not confident the virus would spread.
The critical factor is not the number of humans infected, but the means of contagion.
If ebola becomes easily spread via "casual contact" meaning here being around someone with a cough, then this gets really fucked up really quickly because in that case I don't think they can shut the gates nearly fast enough. They think now this is not the case and they can easily contain it to Africa. I'm not in disagreement (yet) but I'm watching for something bad to happen and this shit to take off for a second surprise run just like it surprised all those trained and experienced healthcare workers.
Apart from backward systems and poor facilities, the biggest problem in Africa is corruption. If a wealthy person catches ebola he'll be able to buy his way to wherever he wants to go. Anything can be bought in Africa if you're prepared to fork out good cash.
To get a bit of insight on this read Return of the Black Death: http://www.amazon.com/Return-Black-Death-Worlds-Greatest/dp/0470090006/r...
Very informative though still controversial. It looks highly likely the Black Death was caised by a hemorrhagic virus such as Ebola rather than Yersinia pestis. The authors make an excellent case for this scenario and in so doing explain why the disease was so transmissible. If I remember correctly, an infected person wasn't infectious for the 1st week but then was infectious but symptom free for about 3 weeks bedore manifesting symptoms and rapidly thereafter dying. Very hard to control a disease like that.
Well, seeing as the CDC have changed their tune in terms of "close contact", casual contact seems to be already accepted as a means of transmission.
The big problem is the very variable incubation period. If you're accidentally infected, and you've got a 21 day period of relative good health, then you could be anywhere when the initial symptoms start to develop, and you may have no recollection of when, or where you were infected.
Add in the Northern Hemisphere now approaching their cooler months, infamous for the "Cough and Cold" season, and your delayed incubation, with "typical viral illness" initial symptoms, may be initially overlooked (by the sufferer), or assigned a low priority if the sufferer tries to gain help via an Emergency Department.
If these Countries intend to "slam the gates shut" on asymptomatic individuals, that in itself sets an interesting precedent, and would play havoc with World trade.
Africa, India, both now have large footholds in America and Europe for that matter. Just as Indians brought the resurgence of bedbugs to the US, amongst other goodies, so will these extremely dangerous contagious diseases flood the White homelands. However, it isn't too late to stop this, to reverse it. Of course you would be up against the most powerful single group in the USSA, and ZHers know who that group is...
NAACP?
The Victoria Secret Girls? Taylor Swift's nice butt?
Am i getting warm?
"it isn't too late to stop this"
Setting aside why we might not be allowed to do such a thing ... what exactly would you propose doing?
Maybe holding ones breath until it passes ?
Western countries are extremely vulnerable precisely because the population has no
experience of anything like this in modern history.
Or they are not vulnerable at all because the virus hasn't found a way to travel.
You think it has, but it has not. If it had you would know about it, oh yes you would know.
Report: Dogs Eating Dead Bodies Of Ebola Victims On Liberian Streets
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3198412/posts
Yeah, this is going to work out real well.
Add in the rats (a known asymptomatic Ebola vector) and any "Cordon Sanitaire" becomes pretty much window-dressing.
Yeah. Rats can swim the Atlantic ocean, so don't bother shutting down air travel.
Actually rats can swim, and are pretty accomplished swimmers too. They also climb - hence the rat-guards on mooring ropes (which are not entirely successful in keeping them out).
So, they don't have to swim that far, do they, since International Marine Trade can (and historically always has) provided them with "free travel".
there is also this bit from the AP via flutrackers.com-
According to reports from the WHO this past week has seen the largest jump in new ebola cases since the outbreak began with 500 new cases being reported...
500 in one week and that's not including how many new or current infected there are in these shadow zones. you can see why there is now a mad scramble to come up with some kind of treatment or cure. these people are going to start running, if they haven't already and you can be sure that there are plenty of oppertunistic smugglers and corrupt officials who will gladly take bribes and payments to ensure those who are willing to pay get out.
but where to? south or north Africa, Asia, Europe, the Americas? once they get outside containment from the worst hit areas the possibilities are endless espcially if they have a little money and some documentation, real or forged. they can go anywhere really, they can travel for 21 days and reach the other side of the world before showing any symptoms.
and you've got to know with something like this containment is only as viable as the location an infected person or persons shows up in. NYC or LA or Washington or Dallas or Boston or any US city with a large population and an extensive public transportation system is a disaster waiting to happen. lots and lots of people in constant motion and constant contact with one another...
the good thing is so far it appears that Lagos hasn't yet seen a wild fire in the dry grass type of spead many feared would happen once it showed up there, at least not that we know of. if it can be controled there, if the spread can be limited in a city that large maybe there will be some valuable lessons that can be applied if or when it shows up in a major US population center.
like I said before sometimes this whole thing is almost to surreal to believe, its like the worst case senirio sci-fi horror viral outbreak movie or book has suddenly sprung to life. and here we are, like those characters who, in the early days and months of the outbreak struggle to cut through all the noise, all the hype and project blue, captian trips references and doomsday predictions. all the while knowing and understanding that the official sources of information, the government authorities and various organizations are no more trustworthy than the most ardent doomsday prognosticator...
leaving us all looking for the signal in all that noise that gives us some hard data, some facts, some truth, some idea of how bad this really is and how bad it's going to get. sadly at this point I don't think anybody, not the black bible preacher with fire and brimstone in his blood or the CDC researcher with spinning centerfuges and viral gene sequencers knows for sure...not yet.
...and the powerful play goes on
but for how much longer?
I am willing to make a hard bet that no more than 6 billion will die before the virus burns out.
any takers?
>> this whole thing is almost to surreal to believe, its like the worst case senirio sci-fi horror viral outbreak movie or book has suddenly sprung to life.
Everything with geometric growth is tiny to begin with. It's only in the last 4 cycles of growth that it gets insanely fast.
This is just a hypothetical death chart doubling every 21 days
Cycle Dead Date
1 1 3/1/2014
2 2 3/22/2014
3 4 4/12/2014
4 8 5/3/2014
5 16 5/24/2014
6 32 6/14/2014
7 64 7/5/2014
8 128 7/26/2014
9 256 8/16/2014
WE ARE HERE [and already at 1500 deaths, so this is off a lot]
10 512 9/6/2014
11 1,024 9/27/2014
12 2,048 10/18/2014
13 4,096 11/8/2014
14 8,192 11/29/2014
15 16,384 12/20/2014
16 32,768 1/10/2015
17 65,536 1/31/2015
18 131,072 2/21/2015
19 262,144 3/14/2015
20 524,288 4/4/2015
21 1,048,576 4/25/2015
22 2,097,152 5/16/2015
23 4,194,304 6/6/2015
24 8,388,608 6/27/2015
25 16,777,216 7/18/2015
26 33,554,432 8/8/2015
[This is as bad as the 1918 pandemic got]
27 67,108,864 8/29/2015
28 134,217,728 9/19/2015
[kiss the current paradigm of college, career, kids, suburbia, retirement goodbye]
29 268,435,456 10/10/2015
30 536,870,912 10/31/2015
[Dark Age coming as we've lost 10% of the population]
31 1,073,741,824 11/21/2015
32 2,147,483,648 12/12/2015
[Past this point kiss civilization goodbye]
33 4,294,967,296 1/2/2016
34 8,589,934,592 1/23/2016
35 17,179,869,184 2/13/2016
People just DON'T GET geometric growth. But then they dont get compound interest either which explains a LOT.
Your model is way off. What you are doing is keeping the Doubling Rate as a constant. It may work for constant Interest Rates but it is not a Real World model.
The rate of doubling is also subject to change.
The numbers are not way off unless you are using an incorrect model....which you are. You need to change your model in order for the data to fit.
Hint...It is a Natural Logarithm Function...Base 'e'.
As a side note...Actually I think that the collapse of civilization is well past the point of no return and has been for quite some time.
The Ebola pandemic just may turn out as the coup de grace. Many indicators are in convergence at once. While any of these indicators would be enough of a stressor to cause systemic collapse the chances of recovery are compounded and diminished through the addition of other predicaments.
The prognosis for the Human species is poor, at best, to dismal, to outright extinction at worst. We are dying from a plethora of metatstatic cancers. Systemic failure is assured.
So we are writing the requiem of a dying species, documenting that for whom knows whatever follows. Perhaps they will learn from our follies and failures but, if History is any guide, then most likely not.
I intentionally used an incorrect model (21 day incubation and doubling) specifically to show geometric growth.
I did not take into account second derivative functions that normally happen in pandemics (acceleration of infection)
Extinction? Nope, loss of civilization is a distinct possibility but then I'm of the opinion that this is not the first rise and fall of recorded history in the first place (too many out of place objects and other cryptohistorical artifacts suggest that there have been earlier rounds of civilization)
There is no radiological signature for the previous civilizations. There is a no evidence of "naturally" occuring Plutonium, for example. The previous civilizations were no where as technically advanced.
Furthermore the Fossil Fuels had not been depleted during the time when these civilizations took root and prospered. (I am not in disagreement with their existence as it is evidentiary.) That demonstrates, once again, that they were not as advanced. There are no natural plastics.
There will be all of those relics, and more, after our civilization perishes.
Plastics will continue to be here, as many are resistant to biodegradability, long after we are gone.
With the death of the phytoplankton in the Oceans, due to Nuclear Meltdowns as Fukushima, our atmosphere will become Oxygen depleted.
As the Oceans die so will we.
It is not the primary affects that will do us in. It is those damnable secondary affects.
edit: Did not downarrow you
Not worried about the down arrows ... this is fight club after all.
But radiological signatures? Don't be so certain.
Plastics have only been around for less than 100 years.
http://www.amazon.com/Cataclysm-Compelling-Evidence-Cosmic-Catastrophe/dp/1879181428
Interesting book. I'm not saying it's 100% accurate but there is enough evidence out there to compel us to ask more questions.
Why are you starting cycle 1 on 3/1/2014, when the current outbreak began three months earlier?
Mathematical example of doubling only. This was not connected to the known cases, etc. Mea culpa on that one.
There may be a scrammble for a vaccine, but even so it's a few years out. You can forget about even speculating about it until they say they have it in hand and what they mean then is they'll have it in a year. Until then, you have to stay out of the way of this thing.
You cannot "contain" ebola once it reaches any major city. Period. Not happening. Game over. If they do not contain it to the (relatively) smaller metro areas in West Africa, this game changes and it does not change back for a long time.
It's not quite worse-case-scenario. Very ugly, but it hasn't broken down the door yet. Might it? Not sure leaning toward I think not. I can't tell you what I'm looking for in that regard -- this is a moving target -- but I will absolutely know it when I see it and if my opinion means anything then know also that I will absolutely say something when I think the situation is dire.
But no, not yet.
The big unknown is how the virus will adapt to the new host (us). Historically Ebola has been pretty stable, but we're certainly entering uncharted waters, and it is difficult to accurately predict outcomes based on maybe "less than completely accurate" data.
Then there's the problem of fear, especially with MSM reporting aimed at selling papers / downloads, not necessarily providing accurate information. Add in the initial symptoms being pretty nondescript "just another virus infection", and we could have a situation where the panicked flood ERs with common colds, whilst the really infected are scared witless and hide away from society.
People lose their heads in crowds, and with today's obsession with "Social Media", it might not take much to initiate a full-blown panic (deliberately or accidentally). After all, there are plenty of crazies who telephone bomb scares, so I'm sure there will be enough out there who might think "wouldn't it be fun to start an Ebola scare"?
Whatever happens, we'll know soon enough, and I suspect many of us will be cancelling Annual Leave for obvious reasons.
2 people made it to the US and both lived. If I was had a few bucks and was infected, you bet your ass I would be on the first plane to Atlanta or New York. Why the fuck not! Nurses will soon demand combat pay.
So will their family. My wife is a nurse at a major port city hosptial. This scares the shit out of me but not her. I guess she see so much each day you have to get used to it.
Cognitive dissonance is a bitch for nurses, too.
Who was that guy in Wild Kingdom again? Sam or John or something?
It was always "Sam will now constrain the Boa Constrictor" and "Sam will now take the Lion" etc, etc.
Long "knockout darts." Can't have any splatter I would imagine to get the potential "hazards" under control.
That would be Jim, as in Jim would wrestle the boa constrictor while marlin perkins explained the benefits of Mutual of Omaha insurance.
Speaking insurance, life insurance companies would probably go under in a large ebola outbreak in the US.
Read the fine print....
They will claim force majeure (I think that is the term) and loan you a shovel to dig your own grave with.
...and charge you a weekly fee.
Sometimes also called an "Act of God".
A particularly interesting example is that of "rainmaker" Charles Hatfield who was hired in 1915 by the city of San Diego to fill the Morena reservoir to capacity with rainwater for $10,000. The region was soon flooded by heavy rains, nearly bursting the reservoir's dam, killing nearly 20 people, destroying 110 bridges (leaving 2), knocking out telephone and telegraph lines, and causing an estimated $3.5 million in damage in total. When the city refused to pay him (he had forgotten to sign the contract), he sued the city. The floods were ruled an act of God, excluding him from liability but also from payment.
Even if the insurers paid, they would be promptly bailed out. Life insurers are TBTF.
BY JAMES HARDING GIAHYUE AND SALIOU SAMB
MONROVIA/CONAKRY Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:05pm EDT
(Reuters) - Crowds sang and danced in the streets of a seaside neighborhood in Liberia on Saturday as the government lifted quarantine measures designed to contain the spread of the deadly Ebola virus.
I could't agree more. It's a disaster and the fact that thw WHO is since 1 week NOT reporting on the number of cases says it all : it's out of control. See : http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/year/2014/en/
Sadly it looks like they manually update their website. You can find the latest (28 Aug) release here
http://www.afro.who.int/en/clusters-a-programmes/dpc/epidemic-a-pandemic...
and here
http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/disease/ebola/en/
and situation report (29 Aug) here
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/
http://wtfrly.com/2014/08/30/fox-news-writer-asks-is-there-a-microchip-i...
Not if I see it first.
No worries, mate. Anything on FOX is total BS.
EEEEEEBOLaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Is this anything to worry about?
U.S. Colleges See Little Risk From Ebola, but Depend on Students to Speak Up
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/30/us/us-colleges-see-little-risk-from-eb...
With college students from countries hit by the Ebola outbreak entering the United States for a new school year, universities are downplaying the risk they might pose while admitting that they have limited ability to track students’ travels or their health.
Schools know which students are from the affected countries — the primary ones are Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone — and even the largest universities have no more than a few dozen. But most schools have no idea how many students, faculty and staff members may have visited the region over the summer. Some are trying to identify and question people who have been there recently, to take their temperatures and to ask them to watch for symptoms like fever and diarrhea for as long as three weeks.
“We basically ask people to advise us if they become ill,” said Craig M. Roberts, an epidemiologist with the University of Wisconsin’s student health service and chairman of the American College Health Association’s task force on emerging health threats.
If you see something, say something. Where's my microscope?
This'll be the one you're looking for, Sir??
http://www.technicalsalessolutions.com/item_description.php?IID=332
(my "Favourite Manufacturer" - well priced, and they "do the job" extremely well too!)
These protests and breaking up equipment looks like the Darwin Effect in action.
Seems a few of us are getting our regular "single downvote".
Dear reader - if we are all so very wrong, please enlighten us with your viewpoint, so we can at least have a meaningful discussion.
Thank you.
'A SUSPECTED case of the Ebola virus has been discovered in the Swedish capital Stockholm'
news.com.au - If this turns out to be correct it will be interesting to see how the virus spreads in a developed country with stricter quarantine measures.
ZMapp cures the world articles:
Geisbert also strongly said in this interview that didn't get quoted in 90% of published articles over the weekend... (Note Ebola has already mutated 300 times)...
"The diversity of strains and species of the Ebola and Marburg filoviruses is an obstacle for all candidate treatments," said Geisbert. "Treatments that may protect against one species of Ebola will probably not protect against a different species of the virus, and may not protect against a different strain within the species."
Pat Doyle PhD has found a link between oil and Ebola.
www.rense.com/general96/eboseng.html
It's called Ebolagate at exopolitics.blogs.com