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WHO Warns Up To 10,000 Ebola Cases Per Week By December
With more than 4,400 people dead from Ebola - mainly in West Africa - senior WHO official Bruce Aylward told reporters on Monday that the outbreak was continuing to spread geographically to new districts in the capitals of Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea. As The BBC reports, the WHO says it is alarmed by the number of health workers exposed to the disease and warned the epidemic threatens the "very survival" of societies and could lead to failed states. "Any sense that the great effort that's been kicked off over the last couple of months is already starting to see an impact, that would be really, really premature," Aylward said, as WHO further warned the number of new Ebola cases may jump to 10,000 a week by Dec. 1 as the deadly viral infection spreads - "the virus is still moving geographically and still escalating in capitals, and that’s what concerns me."
First - the good news:
- *WHO TO DECLARE END OF EBOLA IN SENEGAL OCT. 17 IF NO NEW CASES
But - as The FT reports,
The Ebola epidemic in west Africa is set to reach a peak of between 5,000 and 10,000 cases a week by early December – up to 10 times the current official figure – before international action is likely to reverse the rise, the World Health Organisation has predicted.
Dr Bruce Aylward, who recently took charge of the WHO’s operational response to the crisis, also warned on Tuesday not to misinterpret the official Ebola lethality numbers. The latest figures show 8,914 cases and 4,447 deaths so far, suggesting that about half the patients recover, but may only show half the real toll.
...
“We anticipate that the number of cases [per week] occurring by that time will be 5,000 to 10,000,” he said. “It could be higher, it could lower, but it’s going to be in that ballpark.”
* * *
Outside of West Africa, cases continue to rise:
Sadly, European cases continue to deteriorate...
A UN medical worker infected with Ebola has died at a hospital in Germany. Doctors at the hospital in Leipzig said the man, 56, originally from Sudan, died despite receiving experimental drugs to treat the virus. (via BBC):
The man who died in Leipzig had been working as a UN medical official in Liberia - one of the worst affected countries - when he caught Ebola.
He arrived in Germany last Thursday for treatment and was put into a hermetically sealed ward, accessed through airlock systems.
"Despite intensive medical measures and maximum efforts by the medical team, the 56-year-old UN employee succumbed to the serious infectious disease," a statement from St Georg hospital said.
He was the second member of the UN team in Liberia to die from the virus, the BBC's Jenny Hill in Berlin says.
He was also the third Ebola patient to be treated for the virus in Germany after contracting the disease in West Africa.
The Spanish nurse remains in critical condition after becoming the first person to contract the disease outside of Africa last week, although doctors say there are signs of improvement
In the US, potential cases continue to appear...
In Jacksonville, Florida a patient with flu-like symptoms was isolated and tested for Ebola “on the basis of self-reported casual contact with a West Africa traveler,” according to the hospital.
In Boston, Massachusetts on Monday, a patient who had recently traveled to Liberia was evaluated for Ebola and deemed not to have the virus.
And finally, the most worrying case for Americans remains in Kansas...
Kansas University Hospital officials have placed a man into isolation while awaiting the results of Ebola tests, officials said Monday. The patient—a medic who had recently worked in West Africa treating locals for the virus—admitted himself to the hospital with flu-like symptoms. Despite his exposure, officials described his case as “a low risk patient.”
Since once Ebola hits the heartland, one might expect domestic air travel to slow dramatically.
* * *
We leave it to UN Ebola mission leader Tony Banbury to sum up what's needed:
"We need everything. We need it everywhere, and we need it superfast."
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Technically speaking....
It is not wise to gobble ebola shit up. Just say'n
ZH has been reporting this way, way before the MSM.
I have to fly back to the USA next week....I am a little worried.....I have to go thru Dallas....I hate to travel and this just adds to it...
Don't worry, your favorite airport security crew should be doing anal swabs by then to check everyone for Ebola, so you'll be fine; big daddy government will keep you and your fellow Americunts safe as usual.
They caught this picture of your last TSA "examination."
http://yourproductsucks.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/anus-thumb.jpg
I take it you know this by running down for a free couple of fingers to the prostate by the TSA at the local airport there Cpt Sphincter Scope?
Tom Frieden of the CDC has been complacent and is seriously underestimating the risk of Ebola. And he blamed the Dallas nurse for violating protocols while refusing to consider that his precious protocols may be inadequate.
He is thoroughly discredited and should resign!
Why are CDC, WHO, and the likes so highly esteemed on ZH? It's pretty clear that they are just a few more political interests... nothing more honest or valuable than, say, the Fed, the United Nations, Greenpeace, or so on.
I wouldn't say the CDC is esteemed on ZH, which has been critical of them from the start.
But they do have power. In particular, I suspect Frieden is doing doing everything he can to keep flights coming in from West Africa by arguing that Ebola is no big deal, everything is under control, etc.
"If you like your health care plan, you can keep your health care plan. If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor. Premiums will go down $2,500." As anybody with a brain cell should know by now, anything President Chalky Chavez Goebbels says is a total lie; witness his comments on ebola. Now, of course, we know it's total bullshit - but hey, in the words of G. Paltrow, "You're so handosme I can't even speak". The world is in the very best of hands. WTF.
www.traderzoo.mobi
Ebola..."could lead to failed states".
A silver lining?
States are destructive, self-replicating pathogens...so, how about a bit of fire with fire?
Just stirring here folks, nobody actually takes a pro-Ebola position.
ZHers have generally spotted the more destructive entity.
The human population on planet Earth is due for a correction in size. As we put it off by fighting against the pressures of correction (one of which is disease) and continue to further increase our population size and impact, those pressures continue to mount. If the pressure builds high enough, humanity might not survive the blow when it eventually comes. In any other field, one would slowly release pressure in such a situation to get it under control and keep it at a safe level. Allowing Ebola to run its course (or even aiding it) would be an easy technique to do so. So why fight it?
The difference in this field is that most people are unable to act rationally in it due to their overwhelming "emotions", "feelings", or "values" on the matter. The prevailing moral values are remnant of Christianity, which invented and popularized them. Although God has largely been shed, the Judeo-Christian value system remains thoroughly engrained in our society. The vast majority of us these days are, frankly, not very intelligent, rational, or capable of challenging these prevailing values (they don't teach that in university). Ideas such as "it's bad for people to die/suffer" are as near universally accepted and unchallenged as the official story of the Holocaust -- most people are simply incapable of conceiving of anything different: the thought of it would never cross their minds and they'd have a million arguments and reasons to defend their position along with the herd if questioned. And if suffering and death are bad and Ebola causes them, then Ebola is bad. Easy.
But as we've seen in recent history, there is something harmful in these values, which have never before in human history run as rampant (they've always been subjugated by a stronger force with different values). For example, all of socialism rests upon them. The government isn't to blame for the surge in socialism; it's the voters and specifically the values that they hold which are to blame. These values are unfortunately self-propetuating via a positive-feedback loop as we continue to increase our dependence on the government, lower our intelligence and personal competency, and so on. Their critical mass is very high, so they won't easily be conquered or subjugated again (keep in mind that it took Christianity 2000 years to do the reverse process).
A significant crisis or event is the only thing that could wake people from their slumber, end the "decline of culture" and of the middle class that we've been witnessing, force people to start thinking again, change our prevailing, engrained moral value system, also our political system, and lead to a new phase of human evolution (social, political, psychlogical, and so forth). Perhaps Ebola could be the crisis that actually materializes (as H1N1, SARS, terrorism, and so on have all failed to do, despite having just as much media hype and fear-mongering around them) and lead to change, rather than the status quo of everyone acting as though the sky is falling and rejoicing when the government steps in to save them?
There are alternatives, of course. In fact, just running the present course for long enough we can expect the lower classes to eventually weaken to the point where the power structure of society will be substantially changed. But the point is that, for anyone who wants the current situation to change in favor of the little people (ie. not in favor of the government), something has to happen as a catalyst for it. Ebola is merely one interesting option for a catalyst.
For the rest of us, for the rational and enlightened observers, we really do believe that it boils down to the word "interesting". The phantasmagoria of life continues, always changing and evolving and unpredictable, risky, and spontaneous, and that is actually what makes life interesting and worth living in my estimation. The security that socialists, dependents, Christians, slaves, lower classes, etc, long for will never be found (unless humanity ceases to be interesting and stagnates which doesn't seem likely in the foreseeable future, despite their best efforts). To desire to fight against the things which make life interesting and enjoyable is a folly and stupidity, from our perspective. From this logic, from this 1000-foot view, a rational man who knows and appreciates the value of life is very neutral: Ebola and being pro- or against it doesn't phase him in the slightest (selfish interests aside).
The only real argument we have against Ebola these days stems from fear or an inability to challenge social norms and prevailing values. That is to say that, essentially, it stems from a sickness, perhaps a psychological disease, in humanity (weakness, stupidity, dependency, and submissiveness blown to a massive proportions in our world and given the reigns!). For the few who reject that argument, Ebola is not such a bad thing, perhaps even a blessing, and sure to be fun to watch.
The size of the elite's wealth and power is due for a correction in size.
No arguments against letting a natural population correction happen, but let's start with you, the entire police force, every politican and every oligarch in the world. And the full cast of The Jersey Shore. And all fanatics, especially religous fanatics. And MSM actors. And EVERY CENTRAL BANKER. And every whale of an American. And everyone who is willing to give up essential liberties for comfort.
It's just plain bullshit that commercial flights are still available from infectious areas to clean areas. Tom Frieden, the dual citizen Israeli, needs to be personally hugging and greeting every passenger getting off the plane from West Africa.
As soon as he personally gets infected, ebola will be considered a crisis in the US.
If he somehow doesn't get infected and flies back to Israel, it should be the duty of every Jew, for every American Jew that dies or will die from Ebola, to execute this cocksucker.
Jewish Jihad on Tom Frieden.
That's not how things work. ;-) The elites are generally more likely to survive. And the size of the elites' wealth and power is probably relatively small compared to much of mankind's history.
Most EBV infections IMHO are airborn. Not from coughing but from projectile vomiting which most victims develop.
"Vomiting Larry," a research robot tells it all at http://bji.sagepub.com/content/15/5/176.full
Positive air pressure respirators are needed because projectile vomiting creates aerosols, few treatment centers have such protective equipment.
Even a N90 or N95 respirator is insufficient.
Further since a support persons PPE (Protective equipment) will become covered with tiny droplets of vomitus, removal of PPE becomes exceedingly difficult.
In all American states a worker removing asbestos must exit containment and strip naked under a shower while removing protective gear. EVD virions are so infective that double exit showers separated by airlocks is what is needed. Hospitals do not have the shower decon ability, much less dual negative air pressure exit showers resulting in the "protocol errors" infecting health care workers.
Thus not only are adequate PPE required but in addition adequate exit showers are required too. I doubt that few hospitals have this capability.
What is needed is to monitor all travelers who "could" have been in contact with EBV materials/patients/victims and require appropriate isolated quarantine (hopefully comfortable ones) before letting such exit travelers from source countries continue onwards. This needs to include returning volunteers and returning militia unless it can be proven that such workers were continuously isolated.
Remember that in Monovia people routinely move infected family members by taxi, going in desperation from one medical facility to another, often to be refused entry. Since at that point the victim being transported is probably experiencing projectile vomiting and explosive diarrhea this has now has created a foment, an object of infection that transmits the disease to others who later unknowingly use the taxi. Many people in Liberia are likely to become exposed unwittingly simply by using taxis.
Support flights to affected countries need not be curtailed as long as crew remain totally isolated. Volunteers should expect to be quarantined upon return to the USA.
Absent such actions I suspect that cells of infection will occur and quickly overwhem our resources.
Consider too that the law HIPPA forbids disclosure of personal health information. Thus Thomas Duncan's girlfriend and the three children that shared the apartment may well be infected and in treatment as I write this, thus the extent of spread of infected persons may become vastly uderreported to the public's eye.
How about the CDC spend an hour or so editing the Hawaii Rabies Quarantine Brochure and send it out to every state health dept:
http://hdoa.hawaii.gov/ai/files/2013/01/aqsbrochure.pdf
Oh goody, I was getting nervous at the fact nobody published an article on how the world is doomed yet today.
I thought you were "never coming back". I hate the doctor. I don't go to my doctors office and bitch in the lobby about how "I hate the doctor and I'm never coming back." Only to come back the next day and do it again.
You're a special kinda stupid.
TheEndTimes,
I thought you'd gone forever. Cannot resist making yourself angry, huh?
Great memory folks.
My guess?
A bitchez gotta get paid. Or maybe a bot. A bitch bot.
Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.
a new mantra for ebola patients ?
can we get some leadership here... obama and heads of cdc need to visit those ebola patients for a photo op and put our minds at ease .... oh benevolent leader where art thou
how fast do you think a cure will be found if that sucka caught it...
They ain't guarding him at the White House too carefully. Maybe never?
Nah, it'll fade out by Dec, hazmat suit maker stock already dropping, WallSt knows this ebola thing is a joke.
They said the same thing in July, August, September....go trade that paper fuckstick.
Lol, you must be one of those psychos wanting a million deaths so you can say you were right.
Lots of you deathmongering psychos here on EbolaHedge. You're just like our deathmongering president.
Those "cases" are people.
Seems the man behind the curtain is going all in on this fearporn bullshit. When it fails, what then?
Interesting times.
Blank checks all around! What nothing happened? Victory!
Ebola! That thing still around?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q9A0Vufw3NQ
So today I'm supposed to panic calmly?
WHO asshole are worse than the MSM with their body counts. Now they're posting projections due their criminal incompetence in containing the outbreak
No worries, those big bad viruses just can't get traction in America. Not till we drop to 3rd world anyway.
3rd world conditions is the biggest factor of all. If we drop that far, then ok, we might have something to worry about.
If cases here in US start going viral, expect major economic upheaval. People will avoid large gatherings such as NFL games (and sports bars....maybe), grocery stores, public transportation, malls, etc. I'm not going to panic, but will keep this in mind. Hopefully we're prepared to prevent this.
I stay away from crowds anyway. One person is rational. A crowd is loony.
I remember Station Club fire, exit was blocked with people jammed together, 100 people trapped inside killed by smoke/fire. More seriously burned/disfigured.
Stay away from crowds, they're fucking crazy, they WILL get you killed.
... And if only 1% of the panic stricken victiims fly to the USA fortreament then that's only 100 new cases in America, per week.
Ebola, yawn. Ive been living with Obola for six years now, its funny (sorta) what you can get used to. All I can say *bring it*.
Countries that border Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea have closed their borders. Yet our asshole in chief Obola still allows people from these countries into the US.
I had hoped Duncan would survive and now I hope that the Dallas nurse survives.
Didn't the Spanish Flu kill like 50 million people in 1918? This is nothing. *yawn*
50 million people probably thought that at the start of that epidemic too.
"WHO warns up to 10,000 Ebola cases per week."
"I dunno. Who?"
"Yes. "
"Yes what?"
"Yes, WHO."
"I dunno."
"Third base!"
Ebola
Doctors Without Borders: 16 staffers have been infected with Ebola, 9 have died
Latest:
http://tersee.com/#!q=ebola&t=text
Heroes is a massively overused word these days, but what MSF are doing, they are heroes.