This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
Researchers Expect Over 20 US Ebola Cases In Weeks, "You Don't Want To Know Worst Case"
"We have a worst-case scenario, and you don't even want to know," warns Alessandro Vespignani, a researcher creating simulations of infectious disease outbreaks, but there could be as many as two dozen people in the U.S. infected with Ebola by the end of the month. The projections only run through October because it’s too difficult to model what will occur if the pace of the outbreak changes but, as Bloomberg reports, Vespignani warns if the outbreak becomes more widespread in other regions, it "would be like a bad science fiction movie."
Alessandro Vespignani, a Northeastern University professor who runs computer simulations of infectious disease outbreaks warns there could be as many as two dozen people in the U.S. infected with Ebola by the end of the month.
...
The projections only run through October because it’s too difficult to model what will occur if the pace of the outbreak changes in West Africa, where more than 8,900 people have been infected and 4,400 have died, he said. If the outbreak isn’t contained, the numbers could rise significantly.
“If by the end of the year the growth rate hasn’t changed, then the game will be different,” Vespignani said. “It will increase for many other countries.”
The model analyzes disease activity, flight patterns and other factors that can contribute to its spread.
“We have a worst-case scenario, and you don’t even want to know,” Vespignani said. “We could have widespread epidemics in other countries, maybe the Far East. That would be like a bad science fiction movie.”
The worst case would occur if Ebola acquires pandemic status and is no longer contained in West Africa, he said. It would be a catastrophic event, one Vespignani says he is confident won’t happen.
The CDC disagrees...
It’s unlikely that Ebola will ever exceed 20 cases in the U.S. or Europe because of their extensive health care infrastructures, said Ramanan Laxminarayan, director of the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, a non-profit think tank in Washington, D.C. The problem in the developed world will center more on the economic impact, he said.
“The damage is not as much in the number of deaths as much as in the panic it creates and all the disruption it creates in trade and travel,” he said. “It’s important for public health officials to strike a balance between being serious and certainly not creating panic.”
“It’s not going to be like the movie ‘Contagion,’” he said.
And Eli Perencevich, professor of epidemiology at the University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, said average Americans shouldn’t see any risk from the virus outside of the medical community because patients aren’t terribly infectious until the disease peaks...
“There’s a high probability that there will be another person who comes in, no matter what we do, but the risk is in the hospital,” he said in a telephone interview. “As long as people who know they have been exposed to the virus get themselves quickly to the hospital, even after they have started a fever, it should be OK because they aren’t that infectious.”
* * *
Let's hope he is right!
»
- 74473 reads
- Printer-friendly version
- Send to friend
- advertisements -
"hey i wonder if there is any money in this"
There absolutely is depending on where you want to take it, but it's probably not much. However, that little diatribe is going to be incredible click bait for the whackadoos -- I'd definitely use an anonymous domain service... and then post your link to beforeitsnews.com
okay I did it. what a jape!
ebolahoaxtruth.com
bookmark it! expect updates any time i am gripped with insanity!
Visitor #31 !
Two minor suggestions...change the background image to biohazard symbols and ebola pictures. Add an ebola body counter, and link it to the number of visitors.
I almost did that for the backgrounds but then decided it didn't fit with the "it's a hoax" line. So I used something that looked like ebola instead. maybe I should change to the ebola plushie (yes there is a toy). a infection counter is likewise not in keeping with the line, but on the other hand might be fun to have anyway like "this many peole are not infected because it is a HOAX!"
Thanks for the suggestions.
Awesome! Now you need a bitcoin donation address. on the left side of the page.
I love soft pretzels!
Up to 114473 visitors... LOL!
Coog, a bad case of the Clap is also "absolutely epic" but only to the person who has it.
Hyperlink it, so ppl can click on it.
Awesome. I will forward it to my friend who has been telling me the same thing, and wouldn't let me get a word in edgewise.
sure go ahead. link back to ZH they love the traffic.
edit: or link to the source: ebolahoaxtruth.com
Why would Christian Missionaries, and Christian organizations as Doctors without Borders lie...or even be complicit in a hoax?
It would destroy their credibility and their organization in the long term as they get their funding from donation.
Christians do not think like unbelievers. We do not believe that the ends justify the means. And if there were corrupted individuals within those organizations then they would be outed by those within the organization whom are faithful to Christ.
Principles over profits.
(In a sense I hope that you are right that it is a hoax. But somehow...it is just not a hoax this time.)
Time to make your page go viral... a few well placed links on Congressional members Facebook pages should do the trick.
you have my permission :)
Lemme guess. Ain't no vaccine for the Filohoax Ebola Tejas virus nedder.
I read on dem dar Natural News healtnRangers that it mutatered again.
Your still shit blood and all your gizzards out n'all, but you also shit flaming hot chili sauce, too, right out the ol' tailpipe with it.. And it's like, WAY BIGGER cause they do everything BIGGER in Tejas y'all don't ha know it even down to things like blastin' shitty flaming hot blood out the nickel slot yehahhaw flamin pile a munkey nuts yeah, sumbitch. Sheeiittt, we goon' show ya'll how we do the opackolips Tejas style! Yeah we may all be dead but BIGGER DEAD than them Yankee queers who only die small and wear skinny jeans and slippers while doin' it. That ain't no way to die, emo boy! Step up and die like ha got a set. Hot damn watch me blast fire n blood out my Diamond Gussets!
It's true though. I read it. Said it just like that.
By 'zone' you mean 'high' right?
That's the only time I can stretch the current situation into something more crazy than it really is, to the point I almost don't believe it.
ha ha ha.
Speaking of idiots. Our own president Obola admitted to hugging and kissing nurses who have treated Ebola patients. Either he's going to get very sick or else he knows something about this disease that you and I don't, like it's a fucking hoax.
http://rt.com/usa/196556-ebola-obama-us-protocol/
Or he is, you know, dumb.
"Our own president Obola admitted to hugging and kissing nurses who have treated Ebola patients."
Pictures or it didn't happen!!
They were male nurses. The Secret Service confiscated all evidence at gunpoint.
Exactly. Never attribute anything to malice that can be explained by stupidity.
No, he just knows that even ebola is afraid of a Joe Biden presidency.
Obola is immune to Ebola.
Different genus.
I think it sounds better to say Ebola is immune to Obama...
LOLZ!
So that's how Ebola looks like... in writing.
lol at the up and down arrows
that is my favorite part.
Cougar_W what made you write that the way you did? That is James Joyce-like stream of consciousness. I hope that folks will understand what you did there. I like it.
wow thanks for the compliment. but you should know that really I'm just insane.
I would hope that you are insane. If you aren't insane by now then I would worry. I am told that you and I should get a room. Well, that is fine with me as long as the room is filled with liquor and a couple of nice reclining chairs so we can get piss drunk and talk about philoshophy.
Ah...the love of shops.
Coug', didn't Tyler tell you that you're supposed to take only ONE Red Pill a day?
Cougar, I have a request. Will you please feed Tommy Frieden to a tiger (or 2 or 8)?
Thanks in advance,
e_
Well done.
I'm protected because I made this hat from aluminum foil.
http://youtu.be/w-0TEJMJOhk?t=1m16s
omg that was brilliant
Love his work. Remember first hearing him on the radio in Chicago when I was kid. That was really good.
Thanks!
In return: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wFNO2sSW-mU
WHEN YOU WRITE IN ALL CAPS IT FEELS LIKE YOU'RE YELLING AT ME!!!
GOOD BECAUSE I'M YELLING WHILE I'M TYPING THIS SO IT'S WORKING!!!!1!!
Sorry...I'm hard of hearing. What was that again?
GOOD.......BECAUSE...I...AM...........YELLING!!!!
Go outside it will cure that- AND TAKE 100MILIGRAMS OF COLIDAL SILVER>...!!!LOL
"COLIDAL"
Yes, scream your poor spelling skills, wouldn't want anyone to miss that.
TAKE 100MILIGRAMS OF COLIDAL SILVER...
I think you mint to say "coloidal" like I meant to say US Mint.
Anyway, where can a person get a decent review of the Blessed Trinity's, (Father Paulson / Only Begotten Geithner and the Holy Bernanke), testimonies from last week's AIG trial besides the market's wild rides of late? Seems ZH is still on sabbatical with this one.
just askin'
Couger is one of the best on ZH. I was concerned when I saw all caps but then I read it and I get it... and I laughed. Cougar tried a different style of writing and I liked it. I say plus one for going a fecetious rant like that.
thx i try to take it up a notch now and again.
Get a room you two...
OK
Bravo sir.
I never took you for a mainframe coder, cougar. You working PL/1 or COBOL?
FORTRAN mostly
Good Thangz. I espaped PL/1 for IBM COBOL and then signed onto a java slave galley to get away from that!
I've seen people here get all bent out of shape on email because some poor nerd still wearing a polyester 3 piece doesn't bother to take his caps lock off.
Shouted at them, you know, being rude and all OMG!!!
I don't care about the caps but if you go rebooting on me thats when I start heading for the door.
THIS kind of "Fortran":
http://madscienceunlimited.com/fiction/theexchange.html
"all-caps" pretty much explains Fortran to a tee.
Well, that explains the message in all caps.
well coug, that's a pretty good advertisement
for learning to Trust your own intuition/reality
after you've done a bit of real re-search of course.
and the Truth is, everyone has "one", no two exactly alike.
perspective, that is.
best get 'em in order, its sure to be a wild ride incoming.
Holding a clip board eh?
Cougar, take a trip to W-Africa and report back to us, will ya?
r u kidding? people are dying over there.
Idiot
Do you look like a Smurf?
Anybody who questions the msm and government's agenda in hyping up the ebola fear must believe in lizard people?
The good news for you is that if and when the US version of Operation Condor takes place, you will likely be safe.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Condor#U.S._involvement
Hard to say at this point....I am waiting for pix of liquified victims..
Will US obesity slow down the liquification progress ?
Does in infect fat cells?
Shit, there goes my soap business.
Of course, that will mean a constant supply of raw materials?
pods
No. But Brawndo will.
Electrolytes! Waters for toilets.
More to work with, so probably yes.
After the Sandy Hook hoax, the Boston Bombing false-flag and the MH-17 escapades, need you ask?!
An American, not US subject.
"The only 'epidemic' is an epidemic of FUD."
I believe the talking points being blasted over the TV are working. I just heard someone in my office say, "I am so scared. When are they coming out with the vacine? You know, I wouldn't be surprised if ISIS came over here with the virus. They don't care if they die because they are going to get their virgins."
I could barely contain my laughter.
Yup, nothing like FUD to short circuit critical thinking skills, what little there was in the first place.
A commenter, TimBrady, on use of fear in 1984:
I would add that one of the key elements they use is "reality creation." It's part of their "who controls the present controls the past; who controls the past controls the future." Citizens never know if anything that they were told was "true" yesterday is true today --- or if it ever was true. If people make their decisions based on the available information, and the information can be manipulated to get the citizens to believe anything, then they are under the governments control with a shot being fired --- by their side, at least.
http://www.enotes.com/homework-help/how-the-party-control-citiznes-ocean...
An American, not US subject.
I would love to hear which part of your statement the downer gang were protesting. It is actually one of the least controversial things you have posted, imo.
Ebola? I blame Boooosh (meat)
Real, but the government's potential to use Ebola to tyrannize is an even larger threat.
Again..."shelter and pace"...I mean "shelter in place."
It's "hard tellin not knowing." And we'll probably never know until we're dead anyway so...
There would be no need for governments potentila to tyrannize
If you are all dead or dieing
Think about it.
.GOV does have a stake in every tax paying citizen to pay off it's debt
Who is going to worry about the debt if every one is dead?
<---- Death by Ebola is Real
<---- Death by Ebola is Fake
BOHICA
So, BTFBOHICA then?
No reason to btfanything.
Wait it out long enough and there will be plenty to go around.
For me, it has overtones of the whole terrorism meme. In other words, if it's such a threat, why are the borders wide open? Why are planes still flying into and out of west Africa?
So I see two possibilities: A) it's fake or highly exaggerated; B) it's real and the "authorities" are highly inept. Either way, it will be used to centralize even more power and further erode civil liberties.
EDIT: Third possibility — it's real and the "authorities" are insane/evil/satanic/demonic/reptilian.
Its a drill w/ live elements, IMO. To what extent they are willing to 'go live' I don't know.
I think the pictures of the house being quaranteened show the bredth of the police state that is in place and the fact that the public will allow for government agents to do "whatever it takes" to keep them "safe".
The Boston Marathon bombing proved that Americans will actually cheer for martial law.
well, if "Americans" accept their corporate labeling, and the uni-form that goes with it, and the brand-flag, and the invisible lines that define the territory. . .
then yeah, "martial law" is an inevitable double-plus good.
blue pills like candy!
Yes, sad but true.
This seems to be consensus among those who are critical and aware of a) media-suggested perceptions and b) state-enacted realities.
There was a video posted by El Oregonian a few days ago - I haven't had any time to keep up to date, so I have yet to watch this in full. From the few minutes I did see, the speaker managed to present enough datapoints to make me question any and all information regarding this 'scare' (word of great importance and effect).
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZonCVRQ-2s
Will watch later.
In general, the turn of events here just dosn't add up. I do tend to lean towards it being real... kind of hard to fake something on such a scale. I also tend to lean towards Hanlon's Razor regarding the handling of the situation.
The economy (and geopolitics) are hanging by a thread. I think priority one is to downplay this straight away - and right up until the math rolls over them (or it brought under control/fizzles out). Big gamble - but they dont really have any other option (from thier perspective... keeping the ponzi going - barbarians at the gate, etc.).
Along the way, the media just can't help themselves. TPTB can't just swing this one way or the other like is done with politics and policy.
Gates Foundation enlists CSL to explore plasma treatment for Ebola. Usual suspects involved.
http://headlines.ransquawk.com/headlines/gates-foundation-has-enlisted-csl-csl-at-to-explore-plasma-treatment-for-ebola-16-10-2014
CSL are the people behind the Cervical Cancer Vaccina Gardasil, which are causing leg paralysis on girls around the world.
Do a search for Gardasil Paralysis and weep. Those people should be thrown in Jail.
You forgot another possibility: Timing.
They could very well be rolling out the closing of borders and air travel, to coincide with a Monetary Reset, and thus trap any Capital trying to flee.
One hand washes the other.
p.s. If this is indeed the case, then you do realize the irony of ZHers asking for borders to be sealed?
Agree on timing, but...
By all means, Kirk. Cross over into Mehico now. Report back your results.
Take your gold and silver and FRNs with you. You can't get out now and you wouldn't even be able to bribe 20 feet in. An amigo on that side will take it and your ass will go to jail. Try claiming refugee status and signing up for welfare. You'd actually have a better case for it now than the beaner babies...
Face it folks. They went for it. They don't do false flags every fucking time. They let it in. They wanted it in. Then, they lost control.
<<-- Ebola is REAL
<<-- US Government reaction is faked
THERE FIXED IT FOR YAH..
Yeah... Terrible... So what's next? Because this ebola crap isn't cutting it...
That IOS 8.02 ON THE OTHER HAND!!!
Man!!!!!
So, it sounds like they're saying it's contained then, right? Okay...
But.......that's assuming there are no more 'Duncan's who decline to tell anyone of their contact.
"We've only got...2,647...or is it 2,648? Seven?...2,647 of those Mr. President.
Yes, sir we're working on that.
No, sir we don't think It Came From Outer Space.
What's that?
Well...all options are on the table sir..
Sure...we can do take out. Mexican or Chinese?
That's for food you idiot!
What?
Uh, oh...
[Ebola is real] [Obola is fake]
Apparently Obama doesn't think getting a pardon will be adequate.
I was waiting to hear from the modelers. In about 2 weeks we'll have a pretty good idea who is right.
If you like your infection, you can keep your infection! All hail king obola!
infected=$((infected << 1))
00000001
00000010
00000100
00001000
00010000
00100000
01000000
10000000
00000000 [NO V FLAG]
00000000 [NO V FLAG]
00000000 [NO V FLAG]
00000000 [NO V FLAG]
excuse me stewardess, I speak Binary.
clever girl
Jurasiac Park reference..I like it! Certainly applies..
Isn't that what Mr. Hadden says to Ellie Arroway...?
You need to upgrade to a 32-bit processor.
[sound of long inhalation]
There'll be no one to stop us this time.
[sound of respirator]
hahahahahahahaha
[sound of respirator]
[sound of throat clearing]
It just isn't as ominous after a hit of helium.
[sound of respirator]
Markets are turning red again.
But CNBC people are still optimistic and excited.
"The damage has been done"
"Buy the dip"
Only one guy makes sense. Santinelli. Santinelli on Bullard: "What he said didn't make any sense"
I want to see the terror in their faces again when the indices tank in the last half an hour... it was so much fun...
Jawboning ... besides, Bullard has no vote this year ... or in 2015
"voters" need to speak up
I wouldn't buy this dip with your money, let alone mine.
Yep.
Goldman Sachs would buy this dip with your money. Then they'd sell and take your money...muppet.
Goldman Sachs..."Doing God's work"
When a person drowns, they feel a rush of euphoria -- shortly before the embrace of death.
Frieden= band director on the Titanic.....play on...
These over-paid political hacks never expect to have to actually do anything. Once in a while a crisis happens and their incompetence is laid bare for all the world to see.
Is Tiny (Tiptoe...) Tim available as guest soloist?
No?
Well, crap.
Eh, figuratively speaking of course.
They were a quartet, without a director. . . and they played on volutarily. You insult them with the comparison to this useless political hack.
Speaking of idiots. Our own president Obola admitted to hugging and kissing nurses who have treated Ebola patients. Either he's going to get very sick or else he knows something about this disease that you and I don't, like it's a fucking hoax.
http://rt.com/usa/196556-ebola-obama-us-protocol/
There's a third possibility - he's a lunatic inflated narcissist who thinks he's above a mere disease -- and he's going to catch it and die.
Please! Please! Please!! If only we could be so lucky. I think the whole US Senate should go give Vinson a big kissing hug and Obama don't stop!! Keeping kissing the nurses!!! Don't give up you can win that inverse lotttery..
Alexander O'Neal on Ebola: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJUmUWW4Lv0
An American, not US subject.
My sister looks cute in her braces and hazmat suit
A handful of sanitizer in her hair...
[/saturday night's alright for ebola fighting]
2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256-512-1024-2048-4096-8192-16384-32768-65536-131072-262144-524288-1048576-2097152-4194304-8388606-16777216-33554432-67108864-134217728-268435456-536870912- GAME OVER.
who do we appreciate: Obola Obola Obola.
I would like to see an estimate of how many cases inthe US would overload the system
So far we have 2, and the Obolacare website's crashed six times and Yale New Haven hospital has quarantined itself.
How many positive pressure treatment rooms do we have in the US?
Last I read, it was only 15 or so.
Long Pennram, Zeeco, Incinco, and Masterburn...
20 we are there now.
GLP has people reporting there are cases all over the place and we are under a media black out at this time. Edmonton, Carolina, Florida, California.
Count 5 sets over.
And that's the optimist in me talking.
Seasmoke...
29 doublings at 21 day doubling rate = 609 days...which is a little over 20 Months.
This outbreak started in March of this year. That was 8 Months ago. So now our survival time has diminished to 12 months.
We can also garner that it started roughly 230 days ago. Dividing that by 21 days yields 10.9 Doubling Cycles.
210.9 = 1911 cases.
But we are well over that reported.
Thus one must conclude that the doubling rate is faster than the 21 days reported.
So we have a year of survival on the outside...My bet is that it will not last that long.
This is not surprising. And I expect that the Doubling Rate will continue to increase as the Differential of an Exponential Function is an Exponential Function. The rate of change of the Doubling Rate is also an Exponential Function.
The numbers do not lie. This will not end well.
I love how these people caveat their research with stateme like " if the outbreak isn't contained". They're flying all over the place you idiot. I think it's safe to say it's not contained.
"... the risk is in the hospital."
Damn right it is. Go in with a broken nose, and leave in a body bag. Avoid hospitals like this plague.
Avoid health care workers, dentists, people who cut hair, anyone who deals with the public. Doctors are the new lepers.
please infect india already. ebola in india would be hilarious.
Are you picturing a group of scrawny guys gang-raping a girl lying in the street bleeding and dying of Ebola?
We ARE now, Thank you very much!
Dirty Little Monkey...
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=5d4_1409234565
that beautiful moment when Ebola meets Avian Flu...
...whilst Ebola in China would be just another repeat of the same thing that has happened 20 or 30 times. Collapse of society, rise of war lords, partitioning of the country, starvation, cannibalism.
not really, china's very capable of enacting strict quarantine measures, and isn't afraid of issuing travel bans. china doesn't fuck around with stuff like this.
I'm doomed if I stay here. Ebola is now here. Time to escape to Wisconsin but I have to go pick up some exterior paint at Menards first and use the rebate coupon I finally received in the mail. Work still has to get done Ebola or not.
http://www.myfoxtwincities.com/story/26805663/cdc-had-ebola-concerns-with-new-york-to-minneapolis-passenger
Obola is completely under control, the head asshole at the CDC sez as long as you follow "pro-toe-call" it's all good. Team Obozo is on the case, just ask yourself what are the odds of complete morons screwing things up?
FUBAR!
If Ebola does'nt crush the economy, there is always Windows 10 release...
I'm testing the Windows 10 Technical Preview now.
The start button is back, but the media hub is attached to it like an ugly mole.
At installation it asks you to create a profile using a Microsoft account (Hotmail, Live) which tracks you inside, outside, upside down.
You can create a local non-parasitic profile but it is "not recommended".
Microsoft just can't seem to help themselves.
Maybe the final release will have a retinal scanner required for login!
Or one could continue using an older or Linux os...
And pretty soon they'll sell laptops without harddrives that are thinclients direct to the cloud where Amazon and all the companies will buy access to your cloud-drive so they can tailor ads for you to buy stuff you haven't even thought of yet.
ebworthen -- you know Windoze10 tech preview has a keylogger in it, right? I couldn't get rid of that thing fast enough.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/10/07/windows_10_data_collection/
http://thehackernews.com/2014/10/download-Windows-10-keylogger.html
Fed's already got a come back plan Obola Bucks... Only accepted at the top 5 main banks or at buying stocks.
They may subcontract Canadian Tire and get them to print for them because their gonna need so many of them, and ask Zaire how the people liked their Trillion Dollar Notes.
No so....Windows has had a clipboard since Windows 3.
Awesome!
STOP ALL FLIGHT FROM WEST AFRICA NOW !
Thats Racist!! We need to double the flights out of the Ebola Outbreak Region. Especially any sick kids!! Put them in class by our kids it will be wonderful and loving!!
Obama Loves you all!! He even kissed and hugged some nurses!!
The Governemt Loves You!! They would never let it spread out of control so they can bring in Medical Martial Law under a UN Mandate with UN peacekeepers and forced vaccination check points?! No!!!
They would never give billions of dollars to the coming GSK Ebola Vaccine which probably isn't going to work and kill off over 25% of the population! They don't have an agenda to get RID OF US ALL!!