This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
A Scientific Model Of What A Zombie Apocalypse Would Look Like (And Where Not To Hide)
The best spots for riding out a zombie apocalypse are sparsely populated areas of Montana and Nevada, which remain untouched even four months, according to a new study by researchers at Cornell University who have developed a statistical model for simulating the spread of a fictional zombie epidemic. As The WSJ reports, with real-life applications to modeling viral outbreaks, Cornell offer dire warnings for those who live in Scranton, PA - with northeastern Pennsylvania as the U.S. location most at risk of being overrun by the undead.
Highly populated areas are a bad bet in general, of course. But Alexander Alemi, a graduate student and one of the authors of the paper, notes that the most susceptible spots change over time.
Seven days after the initial outbreak, lower Manhattan, with the map’s highest population density at 299,616 people, has the highest zombie susceptibility. In fact, the New York City metro area in general is probably best avoided, as are other large cities like Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas.
By 28 days out, however, the pattern has shifted, Mr. Alemi says. Instead of individual cities being at the greatest risk, areas located between multiple major cities are most vulnerable. “You start to see interactions between different cities,” he says. While northeastern Pennsylvania, identified in the paper as the country’s most vulnerable region, “doesn’t have a particularly high population itself, it is near all these other high population areas.”
...
Also a bad bet—Bakersfield, Calif., which sits uncomfortably near San Diego, Los Angeles and San Francisco.
* * *
The spread starts slow and accelerates fast..
Blue - clear; Red - Zombies, Green - wiped out
As you can see, for the parameters we chose, most of the United States population has been turned into zombies by the first week, while the geographic map doesn't necessarily seem all that compelling. In the early stages of the outbreak, while the population is roughly homogeneous, the zombie plague spreads out in roughly uniform circles, where the speed of the infection is tied to the local population density. Infestations on the coasts, with their higher population density, have spread farther than those near the center of the country. After several weeks, the map exhibits stronger anisotropy, as we spread over larger geographical areas and the zombie front is influenced by large inhomogeneities in population density. After four weeks, much of the United States has fallen, but it takes a very long time for the zombies to diffuse and capture the remaining portions of the United States. Even four months in, remote areas of Montana and Nevada remain zombie free.
* * *
Another good reason to move?
* * *
Cornell also previously released The Zombie Survival Guide...
Source: The Wall Street Journal
Full Cornell paper below...
»
- 132880 reads
- Printer-friendly version
- Send to friend
- advertisements -
Like you?
Do you work for fiatskis?
that map seem oddly familiar to viewership map of reality shows ...
Since most sane folks know 'zombie invasion' is code for financial collapse and 'financial zombie' hordes seeking food; the models should probably not be strictly biological. I'd incorporate a few 'dollar density' factors over just population density.
In the end we all know that the good go to Boulder and the evil come to (or in my case stay in) Vegas....we're 'always open'.
The bigger zombie apocalypse threat will occur when the EBT cards stop working...
Zombie defense measures still apply. Double tap.
Shoot em in the ankles and let them writhe along on the ground. Sleep in an upper bunk bed and you're golden.
If I really want to know what to do in the event of a zombie attack, I'll consult Rob himself...
If I'm not mistaken, the original (Night of the Living Dead, George Romero) was filmed somewhere in PA, was it not...?
Pittsburg and vicinity.
Monroeville Mall to be exact.
Forget the "zombies"; people are concerned with riots in the urban areas when it all goes down: Baltimore, Washington DC, Philadelphia, ect.. How do you put down the riots and protect the women and kids living there as well as your own family members living outside these areas. Don't think FEMA is going to be of much use. Probably just the opposite.
I'm thinking those FEMA camps are for the families of police and homeland security,
to keep them safe, whilst hubby goes viking on the general population.
This!
Being in the sububs is def better than being in the "city"..but it's still not a safe bet.
Those lucy enough to have "MUD CUTTERS" (assault rifles for shooting minorities) will be okay since most of these people are stupid, unorganized and cannot aim.
The real problem is having bands of organized, armed white people raiding other communities and such.
Alot of blood is going to be spilled when/if the EBT card and system collapses.
Looks like I'd have to go home to Kansas but stay in the western part. I'd head Southwest where the Bluegrass Fest is every year.
Debt zombies are everywhere - individuals, families and SME companies.
They will not be worried about bio-zombies, just more inclined to empathise.
Switzerland, Luxembourg apply for China-led infrastructure bank
I'm buying land in Tuktoyaktuk. No way any zombies are going to get me there.
No zombies in Tuk...
but watch out for narwhales..
thinking Banks Island
80,000 musk ox
can't be wrong ..
I think the only thing that will eat you there are the bears.
Just stay out of the garbage dump, and you'll be fine.
And here I thought Chicago, New York, and LA were already overrun with zombies...
did they realize that the zombie apocalypse started when every societal reject purchased a smart phone?
The iTards are spreading at an alarming rate.
How to survive:
1) Duct tape
+
2) Old clothes
= Indestructible Duct tape armor that is both light, flexible, bite proof.
The rest is easy, the only time you will die while surviving the zombie apocalypse is when you let your guard down and get bitten. . . proper protective gear is what its all about. . . full helmets . . . light weigh body armor that can not be punctured by teeth . . . and you have plenty of time to correct for any surprises that would otherwise take you out of the game.
life is better
with duct tape..
If you can't solve the problem with Duct tape then you're not using enough Duct tape.
Silence is golden, duct tape is silver.
Alexander Alemi, a graduate student and one of the authors of the paper, has no expertise, just tv enhanced speculation so stop reading.
I intend to complete my PhD in Physics with a focus on theory, then work towards a professorship.
focus on theory. great
a professor of theory.
right now it would be nice to have some people with their feet on the ground
considering the growth of the zombie population
If only a real zombie event would happen. These proxy zombies propagate and thrive due to government cultivation.
I'm in a pretty rural spot, so it's likely that there wouldn't be many real zombies that would make it to where I live. I can't image that hunting them wouldn't turn into a sport in very short order. Guided hunts, a scoring system, etc.
How many authors of bullshit are the Tyler's going to post here huh?
First off, recommending Nevada as a Place to go is the most idiotic thing one could do because 80% of Nevada is government owned.
Second, the map that show the increase of zombies doesn't take into account that most of them would decline within a Few Days because Amurica has enough guns and ammo to wipe out those zomies lickity split.
Come on Tyler's you can do better than this.
Sincerely,
A humble peanut in the gallery.
They did not write it. We talk all the time here about where to go and what to do if the SHTF. This is someone's computer modeled guess based on a disease model. They post it to stimulate debate about something they know posters here talk about. They are catering to their audience.
MsCreant- to a point I'll agree with you but the point of fight club is to be above the curve and promote the good solutions.
For the Tyler's to allow an author to promote such things is akin to ZH pumping gold ETF's and financial debt instruments even though this place is about zero hedging. The debate is supposed to happen in the comment section like it used to be.
Posting stories with sophomoric conclusions without realizing who your audience is says more about the Tyler's than the author.
That's my beef and I'm sticking to it.
No crap, KY and WV hillbillies overrun by zombies? Archery preferred for resuable ammo. In a pinch, the deer rifle will do.
.22 is better for zombies. lightwieght, quiet, can carry hundreds of rounds in your pocket. one shot to the head kills a zombie quite effectively...
Save your ammo, burn them with fire.
lmao
it's already struck the ussa
only being zombies, none of you can recognize it.
lmao
Meh, if ya can't beat 'em, join 'em.
"Braaaaaaiiinnnssss . . . "
https://youtu.be/RWpU8sX10_4
So this is an article about how to hide from the effects of the check kiting between the Treasury and the Fed? Are they not the ultimate zombie creators?
AIG! Backdoor zombie, gonna bite chu' bailout bitchez, make your company, your nation state, all zombies.
I knew it. The Zombie Apocalypse starts at "The Office"!(Scranton, PA)
Someone watched "28 Days" and "28 Days Later" and really liked it.
Sounds like the Chinese paid for this research. They must want US citizens to vacate Scranton so they can establish one of their own cities there. And you think Goldman Sachs throws financial curve balls?
This is as big a joke as Skoussen's strategic relocation book.
zombies is an analog for a measels variation or Ebola mutation or SARS and make no mistake its coming, Obama criminal invasion policies demand it.
No farmer could pull off such "human husbandry" policies (mass unscreened immigration) without a disease disaster.
It's only a matter of time.
This has nothing to do with zombies.
If you actually scan the paper for the acknowledgements section, this was funded by NSF, so yes, our tax dollars were spent on this.
The "zombies' aspect of it was probably a light-hearted attempt to cover up that this is modelling of a bio-weapon and spreading as a function of contagiousness, contagion vectors, weather, transport, social effects, etc. I am not comforted by the idea that our govt is still actively studying these things, but I am not surprised either.
They've been studying/testing germ dispersal for quite some time, as well as genetic effects of certain applied vaccinations, add in the GMO affects to help compromise the immune system and it shouldn't be too hard to get their protocols in place for The 6th Extinction... all of which comes riding in with the usual cosmic 'dragons' spreading fire, death and destruction along with a nice helping of plague every few years for centuries... they don't them 'dark ages' for nothing, nor do these govt scientists call it the 6th extinction for nothing. 'Something Wicked This Way Comes'.... and soon. Perhaps it'd be a nice time for a brown dwarf surprise to act as our black swan surprise? Then once things seem to cool off, just wait for the 'dragons' to do their thing. Extinction level event= ~95% killoff.... and not much is left besides ourselves, our various 'pets' and food sources, so it really won't take too much and given the level of ponerological infiltration on a global scale, it's way too late to fix the game, as the 'game' has already been 'fixed'... against the herd. Sayonara.
this model is just a copy of the Bieber Fever that ravaged the country back on 2010. It had the same devistating effects.
are you a "Belieber"?
I know these guys are interested:
http://www.the-scientist.com/?articles.view/articleNo/40791/title/DARPA-...
Though the challenge may be for recruitment this is not:
http://article.wn.com/view/2015/03/19/Darpa_cure_for_Ebola_could_protect...
That explains why the elite are getting property in Patagonia, Paraguay and New Zealand
All the zombies in Bakersfield will be high on crank
This is simply welfare for the PhDs which are going to be "restructured" just as soon as the student loan bubble goes tits up. A lot of worthless curricula will become costly excess baggage such as political science, sociology, (pick one) studies, you get the point. It will die hard because it's a hotbed of Marxism and our tax money will be distributed to the mess as long as they can keep the sheeple dumbed down. Mommy and daddy will want Johnny and Suzie to get their middle-aged asses out of the nest and go to work but Johnny majored in African Studies and Suzie majored in art. No value, so over in the corner of welfare signup with the dropouts from junior high. Voting will be mandatory, though, no matter for whom you vote, they are all the same, anyway. Just put your stamp of approval on this rotten government, so no bitching allowed about the collapse, after all, YOU voted for it. That's their monkey transfer program to the sheared sheep.
Being a conspiracy minded distrustful sort, I wonder what the real purpose of the study is. It probably involves the intentional introduction of lethal microbes in the prime locations and the study is for projected prepositioned war assets in the most likely places of resistance after the initial maximum panic shock has been introduced.
Zombies, my ass. The evil shits are up to no good.
But...but..."Womens'Studies" is an important course. We can't eliminate that one!
Good luck ladies, with your new university degree.
Target practice along I10?
Reporting in from Kentucky. Locked and loaded. Bring it on. Zombie hunting on the weekends. Great sport.
Stateside.
Tonight Show Transcript
July 8, 1972
JOHNNY CARSON: So then, zombies are real?
CARL SAGAN: Yes, they are.
JOHNNY CARSON: I did not know that.
ED McMAHON: Ha ha ha.
I'm not overly concerned as most of the zombies won't make it far past the city limitz, once the batteries that run the mobility devices start to lose steam. Those that do own a car won't likely get much further than what a tank of gaz will get them, and if they do reach me I'll point them to the nearest feedlot or hog finishing bulding for all the fresh(or not so fresh) meat they can handle.
Ain't no city zombie going to flee to the northern wilderness of North Dakota and Minnesota, there's bears up there. Hell, according to these maps even Angle Inlet isn't safe.
Interstate zombie derby could become a new sport.
Zombie Deathrace.
seems like a waste of money. just a staandard epidemiological ma. who da fuck cares/
I would pay to see a movie of D.C. Zombie politicians pouring out of the capital rotunda devouring the brains of citizens. That would be better than Sharknado. Also how come no one has ever made a movie about hoards of zombie kittens swarming through a college campus eating screaming chearleaders? If only I knew how to crowdfund my zombie movie ideas, I could lower the artistic standards of american cenima.
The worst part would be watching them trying to cross 26 lanes of rush hour traffic on the Beltway. The second worst part would be seeing the ones who stayed behind watching Redskins football in Landover Maryland.
The really sad thing is that you'd probably RAISING the standards of American cinema.
Kidding aren't you? About AK not on the map?
AK is the handout state! Would be NOTHING there if not for Big Daddy Sam.
Certainly nothing has been done since statehood to make AK self-sufficient. Hardly any farms or animals raised here anymore. About 400k pop living in greater Anchorage/Palmer-Wasilla most likely to starve, but they will do so in style...
Once the barges and trucks stop coming AK IS Doomed! Not on the map? Wiped off the map more like it!
Anyone else notice these maps would be unchanged if we changed the text to "A Scientific Model Of What A Race War Would Look Like (And Where Not To Hide)?"
Even the zombies need their Meth. fix, hence Bakersfield as the primary western hotspot.
Glad to see what the best and brighest are up to in our universities, instead of studying the real and present danger of Fukushima, other nuclear meltdown scenarios in the US, or massive solar flare events likely to wipre out the grid considering we have 0 safeguards (that would be cheap and effective.)
It's called "Spending other people's money".
This is all settled science: Joe Biden came out of Scranton
What are zombies in today's culture?
Zombies are the unthinking masses who discover that their reality was false and all of their support structures have vanished over an unthinkably short period.
That's ok, I just have to be able to outrun that fat white kid down the block
This is what the zombies are like where I live.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=O-jq5W4hAzw
From the Walking Dead, 'we live in their world now.' Indeed
Cornell U is now nothing more than a community college in my mind.
I'd love to know the amount of grant money those clowns finagled to publish this slop.
My local courthouse spent taxpayer money developing a zombie map for the county. No kidding, my neighbor has one I seen it.
Your tax dollars at work!
Hey! It's for the children.
Newsflash......if it happens, Montana and Nevada will be the most populace place in the US lol. I'm staying right where i'm at in KS. If my redneck friends and I can't defend ourselves with the arsenol we have......there is no safe place.
Anyone see that force field that Boeing just patented? The one that looks like the one in Star Wars? Got me to thinking, I know right, about how your always hearing how it's funny that we eventually develope the tech you see in the movies. Maybe it's the other way around, and that's the elites little game of showing us what it's gona be like. Not to mention get richer at the same time.
Evans City, Pa, which was 6 miles from where I grew up, was ground zero for the filming of Night of the Living Dead. We use to take acid and sing guts on trees, guts on trees, was that you who sneezed? you whooooooo sneeeeeezzzzzzzed, guts on trees, guts on trees whenever we used to skip out of school and trip out up there. Kids don't know how to have a good time these days.
I think I'm now understanding where your posts are coming from.
LOL just drove past there the other day on my way to Clems Trailer sales.
Aluminum tornado magnets.
The zombie apocolypse is already in full swing. They are being pumped out by the 10's of thousands EVERY YEAR from the leftist(communist) indoctrination centers... more widely known as public edumucation and academia.
What needs to be studied is the CPC (commies per capita) distribution throughout the us and propagate a viral attack upon those socialist centers.
A kind of electro shock therapy to cleanse the Republic.
Maybe I'm just being paranoid but this almost appears to be a hidden way (hidden in plain sight) of warning the Elite about what is coming soon. Delineating safe areas to be and also where not to be when the SHTF. Coming to a neighbourhood near you.
But, as I said, maybe I'm just being paranoid.
People aren't running Zombie outbreak plans (go find it) because it's a real threat; it's a polite way of training for lethal crowd control in societal breakdown.
Aurora Ex Machina
I'll do this once, and once only.
Life is not as simple as you'd like.
In fact, life is even more chaotic and complex than you or I can imagine, and there are players in the Great Game working long term strategy, players who aren't really even the same species as you anymore in terms of mental frameworks, cases where ideologies haunt shells of actors having totally consumed them, entire legions of silenced minds who cannot believe the swill forced through the central communications.
Your heuristic path is happy with evil Muslims. That's the point of the media; parse heuristic capabilities quickly into an amalgamation that works, and satisfies all of them. From Fox to Alex Jones to the Guardian to the Socialist Worker Party to ZH to all of them. What needs to be co-opted, is. What can be mocked and left, will be. When safety valves need to exist, they will.
Riddle me this: do you really think the majority of ZH readers actually comment, or believe the literal words and so on? If you do, you're not playing properly, and should get the fuck out of dodge. Here's a hint: Paul Krugman takes time on an International Platform to state that he's not actually posting here. Well, derp. I'm guessing he'd not reply the same if someone on Reddit, HN, Biao etc did so.
Oh, and a head's up. "We think the price is worth it". And no, even if I dislike the 1996 Israel clean break plan or the Neo-Con New American Century, I don't make the mistake of thinking they exist in a vacuum. All the Great Game players have these plans. There's no single conspiracy, there's a multitude of massively talented individuals with differing ideologies with massive resources all in a tiny pot, all seemingly unable to meld.
Plans within Plans.
The major issue at the moment is that last time the Game was changed, a lot of the different modal thinkers were terminated with extreme prejudice (and, unsurprisingly, mostly female). [And at this point, you won't be even following this, it's for viewers]. Newsflash: when fish go, things will get messy. People aren't running Zombie outbreak plans (go find it) because it's a real threat; it's a polite way of training for lethal crowd control in societal breakdown.
For the record; Abrahamic Religions all have the same ideological root. So you're all basically killing each other over the same set of principles, just slaughtering over your interpretations of the same fucking idea. But hey, sure, let's bring it all down to the lowest common denominator and revel in it, no? Same goes for Hindus / Buddists or whereever someone is perverting the 'God Mode' part of their brain for violence.
God is not Good.
As for those wanting a second coming, you probably don't. Both sides are unfit, and the next stage contains neither side, if we're playing dualism. Which is probably why both sides of this coin aren't interested in actually moving the Great Game forward.
/rant over, go back to sleep.
Actually, the real Krugman was on here for a day. If I remember it correctly, he got his ass kicked and ran away crying like a schoolgirl.
Naw, it's just a stupid egghead writing an article.
Sailboat, rum, bow wenches.... Later.
See example http://www.travelbuff.net/images/nude_cruises/endless_summer/endless_sum...
First off, you have to come to understand that Zombie Apocalypse is a metaphor for social collapse. Once you wrap your mind around that, you begin to understand why the DOD has CONPLAN 8888.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/05/16/dod.zombie.apocalypse.plan.pdf
This is why the Homeland Security is Prepping for the Zombie Apocalypse.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwKSJQI3tco
Exactly ... We are the zombies.
Own a shotgun or two.
Last thing you want to do is stand in your driveway only with your dick in your hand trying to fight off zombies.
Washington DC: Bald Vegan Zombies
These maps are probably not bad estimates of the spread of a pandemic of any sort.
I wonder how this is going over with the Scranton Chamber of Commerce. They are probably fretting that it will crater the tourism industry there...
Set up net neutrality wi-fi computer terminals to sign-up for free ObamaCare insurance, they ought to come in droves.
/sarc
Zombies are everywhere, from video games to prime time, but what do they mean? This article does a good job of drilling down into the social meanings of the meme.
http://www.thecactusland.com/2015/02/were-all-zombies.html
Everyone knows these public university studies about the zombie apocalypse are just another way of generating content for corporations without the masses picking up on it. Of those who do get it, pretty much everybody gets the concept of surviving longer than the other "zombie", looking for the same resources, food, and friends. What people don't get is the other side. The darker side. Being infected represents a total change in mind set, a total shift in game theory from prey to predator. However, I think Paul Craig Roberts has it more right though. And I'd personally like to stick it in the craw of all you "Orwell" afficiandos who go commando over the internet. Fuck you and your ghost.
Replace the word zombie with starving then start a fire with there maps.
WTF?
First this piece (stupid and fluffy as it may be)
The Best Place To Live In The United States? Here Are 9 Maps To Consider
And now this.
Whatsamatta Z.H.? Slow news day?
You don't have to be overrun by the zombies to end up dead. Once the zombies take out the power plant that provides you with electricity, you're pretty much history. See James Burke's TV show "Connections." Season one, episode one.
Ever watched James Burke / After The Warming / 1989?
ATW
Colorado
Oregon
Any opinion on whether Colorado or Oregon would be better?
I can't believe it.
Have you ever considered taking back control of your country?
I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.globe-report.com
The song that, aside from the Zombie Apocalypse, that made Scranton famous:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ODMye94wMfk
Harry Chapin: 30 THOUSAND POUNDS of BANANAS 81
Yes, yes, it makes absolutely perfectly sense for a university to create models on a zombie outbreak. It is exactly this kind of research that shows the academic brilliance in the US. And, as an added bonus ZH gets something really important to write about.
"Scientific" and "Zombie" in the same title? Really?Too late. Earth is already a zombie planet.
These are not the zombies you are looking for, move along!