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California - A Deluge Followed by Mega Drought?
Both NOAA and the Australian Meteorologists issued El Nino updates in the past 24 hours. The weekly numbers that were released confirm that an historic event is taking place. It now is (nearly) certain that the most significant El Nino in recorded history will be with us over the next five months. From the Aussie weather geeks:
The 2015 El Niño is now the strongest El Niño since 1997–98.
The last time we were close to the current El Nino conditions was the fall/winter of 1997/1998. National Geographic has this to say of the 1997 El Nino:
It rose out of the tropical Pacific in late 1997, bearing more energy than a million Hiroshima bombs. By the time it had run its course eight months later, the giant El Niño of 1997-98 had deranged weather patterns around the world, killed an estimated 2,100 people, and caused at least 33 billion [U.S.] dollars in property damage.
At its peak, the 1997 El Nino index reached a record high of 2.3. This extreme level was nearly reached over the past week, there is every indication that it will move higher in the coming months.
The 1997-98 results:
We just hit 2.2 on the weekly numbers. This number will climb over the coming months:
What does a super El Nino mean for California? Record rains are coming soon! The historical results from the 1997 Nino event:
National Geographic sums up the consequences of a weather system that has the power of 1m nukes:
In the U.S. mudslides and flash floods flattened communities from California to Mississippi, storms pounded the Gulf Coast, and tornadoes ripped Florida.
The effects of the 1997 Nino were felt globally:
Forest fires burned furiously in Sumatra, Borneo, and Malaysia, forcing drivers to use their headlights at noon. The haze traveled thousands of miles to the west into the ordinarily sparkling air of the Maldive Islands, limiting visibility to half a mile [0.8 kilometer] at times.
Temperatures reached 108°F [42°C] in Mongolia; Kenya’s rainfall was 40 inches [100 centimeters] above normal; central Europe suffered record flooding that killed 55 in Poland and 60 in the Czech Republic; and Madagascar was battered with monsoons and cyclones.
Okay - It's going to rain in the Pacific West the next four months. If history is any guide, the rainfall will reach record levels. Extreme flooding is a probable outcome. As the rain/snow falls the epic drought that is now going on will abate. The rivers and reservoirs will refill by the end of February 2016. BUT THEN WHAT?
If history is any guide the extreme El Nino will be followed by a crash in ocean temperatures. By next summer it is increasing likely that the world will be facing La Nina conditions. The 1997 El Nino was followed by one of the longest periods of La Nina conditions in history.
Put this together and what do you get? It now very likely that extreme weather conditions will be with us through this winter. The West and the South will be inundated with rain. But a year from now we will be facing much different conditions. The La Nina that will be with us in 12 months will bring with it very dry conditions for California. This drought is likely to last for years.
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Eastern white oak makes for good acorn eatin'.
Although I admit that after processing thousands of Juglans Nigra, the trees make better lumber.
El Nino should cause a rise in the prices of Rice and Coffee.....
Also potential for a draught in Australia (grains.....)
Endless drought, flash floods, mudslides, forest fires, earthquakes, surf radiation, oil spills, mass die-offs, crushing taxes, papparazi, what's not to love about CA? Is anyone surprised the place is emptying out en masse? The bad news is these folks are bringing their vile californicated ways to a town near you. A lot like when all the Massholes colonized Southern New Hampshire "to get away from the madness in MA.". Funny thing is they brought the nanny state with them.
You hang on to your comforting delusions of CA.. Keeps you miserables out of our cool state!
Hello?? Ever take a train ride up the spine of the East coast?
D.C., up through NY and Connecticut....
Frighteningly decayed slums and infrastructure and depressing-depressed people and weather and "scenery"..
And for you flyovers..That Rust Belt/Corn Fields ride is nearly as disheartening and stupefying.
Other than the hipper ghettos of LA, and Oakland, we don't have any of that here. A train ride up CA is beautifully scenic and relatively new and robust looking. Will make you shut-ins want to move here (I did).
Please don't!
90% of the aholes that honk horns here predictably have out of state licenses..true story!
"the bad news is these folks are bringing their vile californicated ways to a town near you."
Wherever you go, there you are.
This is why Texas needs to build a wall around its entire border. No Socialists allowed
"Socialism is an economic system characterised by social ownership and/or social control of the means of production and co-operative management of the economy, as well as a political theory and movement that aims at the establishment of such a system."
Since Texas receives $1 or every $0.75 it submits in federal taxes, doesn't that make Texas a socialistic state?
Nice to see you back marley.
"Since Texas receives $1 or every $0.75 it submits in federal taxes, doesn't that make Texas a socialistic state?"
Could you provide a link to that data? According to wikipedia Texas federal spending to revenue ratio .56 in other words they pay in twice as much as they recieve.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_taxation_and_spending_by_state
Not that I think wikipedia is a reputable source but it's better than your made up, pro-socialist, liberal bs with no source link.
Don't you know TEXAS is all that and an order of fries. Even when they get mowed down by a bunch of Mexcans they win.
a lot of the federal moula is for all the federal armed forces based in Texas
Sorry, but no. The socialist professors who write such definitions do their best to avoid the practical reality of socialism as it has always been carried out.
Socialism is an economic system characterized by political control (and ownership) of the means of production and political management of the economy. The only difference between socialism and fascism is that fascism permits the illusion of private property rights as opposed to direct state ownership of productive assets. But in both cases, the state directs exactly how such assets are to be used.
The orders come from those at the top. Those at the bottom must obey or be branded as (insert derogatory term here) subject to re-education, confiscation of assets and, if necessary, complete liquidation.
Socialism is a complete abrogation of the individual rights of man as espoused in the Enlightenment. It is, in essence, a Counter-Enlightenment designed to overthrow the dangerous idea that individuals are responsible only to God or their own consciences and owe no fealty to their earthly overlords.
Funny how the children of the socialist overlords seem to end up running things after dad has crossed the river. Much better than evil old monarchy, don't you think?
It should also be noted that socialism is designed not as an end state but merely a way station on the way to full top-down control of every single aspect of life. In this regard, the country on Earth that is nearest to an actual end-state socialist utopia is North Korea. The state owns everything. All people must work diligently to carry out the plans of the State and anyone who questions the sanity or utility of any such plans gets a quick trip to a very unpleasant place where they are convinced to think proper socialist thoughts.
socialism = oligarchy (rule by a few)
communism = oligarchy
democracy = oligarchy
dictatorship = oligarchy
The only other forms of government are Monarchy (rule by one) and Republic (rule of law) and those for all intents and purposes have been replaced by oligarchies.
oligarchy = banksters/corporate interests
Hush Marley... the Texas Ego is a very fragile thing and you don't want to tarnish the image they have of themselves with something as trivial as FACTS..... or God forbid pointing out the hypocrisy or flaws in their logic...
Got a link dipshit?
Wow 20" of rain in So Cal. That ain't even spit in places that actually get rain. The dumb fucks down there should be building storage so they can use it down the road but instead the will be crying about being flooded out, watching it all run out to the sea. Not even any delta smelt to worry about only floating meth addicts.
Evil evil dams? The horror. This is California. There are Californians here.
no, just buckets. lots and lots of buckets.
"The La Nina that will be with us in 12 months will bring with it very dry conditions for California. This drought is likely to last for years."
It depends on whether the Pacific Decadal Oscillator changes or not in the meantime.
bearing more energy than a million Hiroshima bombs........ El Nino in comparison killed an estimated 2,100 people -----Hiroshima killed 100's of thousands and millions in its aftermath from radiation DNA damage
more endless exaggeration by Krasting - should stick to stories about the end of the world if Social Security continues -
You didn't catch that that passage was a quote from an article in National Geographic?
Geo-engineering is really taking it's toll here. This sucks. Bunch of bastardos....
Mr. Krasting was 'out in front' of this earlier this year with an article posted right here about an El Nino forming in the east Pacific. Then again, look at how things can change:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-22/aint-no-nino
Then, in March:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-17/pam-was-so-big-she
Last December (2014), California was actually above normal in rainfall by a small amount, and then... Someone shut the spigot off for 8 weeks straight, and nothing but a spit or two after that and it was over for the season. That's how bizarre it's getting.
I hope this doesn't have a negative impact on wine. I better stock up.
How do you have a negative impact on whine? Laughter?
PLease, one disaster at a time. Right now we're in the OH MY GOD IT'S A DROUGHT DISASTER!!!!! It might be followed by the FUCK ME THERE"S SOOOO MUCH WATER!!!!! disaster. We shouldn't count our chickens until they hatch.
It's a false flag operation being run by Chinese oligarchs in order to get better price on CA real estate - don't cha know.
Looks like a graph of the DOW over the last month or so. Is the FED screwing up the weather too?
They haven't been aroudn long enought to screw up the climate, but I'll bet they are working on it.
Pete
As you have read many times on these threads, the Fed's printing press requires the use of fossil fuel. This has led to the global increase in CO2 which, in turn, according to the "Climate Prediction Center" and to our erstwhile predictor, Mr.K, will cause widespread calamity.
That's nothing compared to the amount of CO2 produced by bitcoin.
And that's not even counting the mining part.
Oh boy! This is a weak article. California does not need rain! Come on. They have the largest oceanic division just in front of them. Put a straw in it and make it usable. I am tired of excuses. Since when has America become a nation of takers? It is a nation of makers, goddamit. Besides, if that plan goes horribly wrong, you can always look north, right? Canada has plenty of usable water and a weak hipster population. Remember - America will always be a land of opportunity! I can't believe that you needed me to tell you that. Me. Of all people.
However...if nothing works out...you might think about relocating. You can always go Swiss, Bruce. Major advantage.
I guess what I've heard about coming out of a time warp being a very difficult adjustment is true.
Thanks Bruce...nice to see you post again. Hope to see more soon!
"Predictions are hard, especially about the future."
Wait, does this mean the northern part of the country will experience SNOW in the winter?
Hey Bruce, Long time no see.
Love the drawing/painting on the side of the wall - child with umbrella.
Banksy
Apparently the people in California do not realize they are living in a desert and have been totally spoiled by unusually wet conditions for the last 100 years.
milo...
you read Cadillac Desert?
no, this is hollywood where special effects can make you think you live in the tropics
with unlimited water
where every house has a lawn
every farm grows plants that would normally die
and every politician loves Linda Ronstadt
see sam kineson on deserts, lol
Ethiopians have no food? we have deserts too, we just dont live there. oh oh ooohhh
And that's "The rest of the story"
Good to see you Bruce.
Bullish: Landslide insurance fraud.
tut-tut
there, there?
Have the politicians in California devoted one cent to enlarging reservoirs or setting up groundwater catchment basins? No.
Politicians are useless scum, especially ones with leftish proclivities, but really all. That the Kalifornia types have not done anything to catch some of the groundwater runoff is quite simply amazing. But then our national politicians havent done anything to harden the electrical distribution system against the EMP spike that is surely coming from the sun - a prophylactic that would cost less than the government wastes in a week. When it does happen, 100 million or more Americans will die. And the morons will say it could not be foreseen. You cant make up the craven lunacy of the ruling class.
Well they did cover some reservoirs with black floating balls, so you got that going for you.
The Sierra Club and the Coastal Commission have made sure absolutely no infrastructure upgrades will happen to the California water supply no matter how much sense it makes.