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Fed Hikes Rates, Unleashing First Tightening Cycle In Over 11 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On the 7th anniversary of entering ZIRP, and for the first time since June 29th 2006, The Federal Reserve announced today that it will try and raise interest rates:

*FED RAISES INTEREST RATES 0.25 POINT IN UNANIMOUS VOTE

Of course, the flowery language and dots are as dovish as possible while maintaining some semblance of credibility with regard growth expectations as The Fed unleashes a tightening cycle for the first time in over 11 years.

Pre-FOMC: S&P Futs 2050, 2Y 98bps, 10Y 2.29%, Gold $1072, Oil $36, EURUSD 1.0960

 

 

Heading into the decision, gold and silver suddenly started to fade, bond yields slid notably, and the USD jerked lower.

What's happened since The Fed folded in September? Macro "data" got worse... Market "data" got better...

 

The Fed has never raised rates in December when stocks were down over the last 6 months...

h/t @RyanDetrick

And when it has raised rates in December, stocks have pushed lower.

 

The Fed is raising rates today with the VIX above 20 for the first time since 2000...

 

That did not end well...

 

The Fed is also raising rates with Junk bonds trading worse that after Lehman...

 

* * *

In the end, the Fed did not surprise, and raised interest rates for the first time in almost a decade in a widely telegraphed move while signaling that the pace of subsequent increases will be “gradual” and in line with previous projections. The Federal Open Market Committee unanimously voted to set the new target range for the federal funds rate at 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, up from zero to 0.25 percent. Policy makers separately forecast an appropriate rate of 1.375 percent at the end of 2016, the same as September, implying four quarter-point increases in the target range next year, based on the median number from 17 officials.

“The committee judges that there has been considerable improvement in labor market conditions this year, and it is reasonably confident that inflation will rise, over the medium term, to its 2 percent objective,” the FOMC said in a statement Wednesday following a two-day meeting in Washington. The Fed said it raised rates “given the economic outlook, and recognizing the time it takes for policy actions to affect future economic outcomes.”

The increase draws to a close an unprecedented period of record-low rates that were part of extraordinary and controversial Fed policies designed to stimulate the U.S. economy in the wake of the most devastating financial crisis since the Great Depression. The FOMC lowered its benchmark rate to near zero in December 2008, three months after the collapse of investment bank Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and 10 months before unemployment in the U.S. peaked at 10 percent.
 

*  *  *

Full Redline below:

The number of words per statement:

 

There was much expectation that the Fed's announcement would be a Dovish hike based on a reduction in the 2016 median dot, however the Fed did not do that, and instead while the Kocherlakota negative dot was removed, the FOMC kept the median 2016 fed funds rate at 1.4% for year end, suggesting 4 rate hikes during 2016 and that the market is underestimating the pace of rate increases.

Where there was some dovishness was in the 2017 year end median FF, which was reduced from 2.6% to 2.4%. This can be seen in the compared dot plots.

Additionally, what is perhaps even more surprising is that while the Fed did boost its 2016 year end GDP forecast, it cut the median core PCE forecast from 1.7% to 1.6%, suggesting that the deflationary forces continue to prevail aside from the "transitory" impact of oil.

 

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Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:57 | 6931609 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

So what happened Tyler? ZH offline...I was about to go back to smoking meth.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931681 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

DDoS FEDCOCK FUCK.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:57 | 6931610 22winmag
22winmag's picture

I'm not battening down the hatches, I'm running for the hills.

 

Piss on the FED.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:33 | 6931878 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

HANG THE FED !

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:57 | 6931612 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The fed broke the Hedge.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931660 Zero-Hegemon
Zero-Hegemon's picture

History will simply remember it as a hedge too far

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:06 | 6931700 Titus
Titus's picture

ABC Media must be running it on a budget. Wonder if the owners of ABC Media belong to a tribe?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:40 | 6932433 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Uuuhhhh, Disney?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:58 | 6931614 U4 eee aaa
U4 eee aaa's picture

What was that? Did they DDOS you right after the announcement?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:09 | 6931721 clawsthatscratch
clawsthatscratch's picture

When as many of us as there are try to get to the site, it acts just like a DDOS attack, some backbone routers may have geeked when they saw all the traffic.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:12 | 6931962 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Bullshit. It was an attack. This site has handled quite large volumes of traffic before.

 

They will track it. They will find out. And you can bet that they will expose it.

 

The Goyerments (many thx to Brandon) are all about managing the perspective as they believe that appearances are much more important than actual substance.

 

In fact that is the underlying attitude of far too many and is the root of the problems. Nobody wants to deal with reality as delusions are much more comfortable.

 

Like you, perhaps?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:58 | 6931615 jomama
jomama's picture

A rate hike so large it crashed ZH!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:49 | 6931618 pickatheweek
pickatheweek's picture
Zerohedge.com website not working? Is it down right now? http://www.isitdownrightnow.com/graphics/sprites.png); width: 80px; height: 23px; vertical-align: top; border: none; cursor: pointer; background-position: 0px 0px; background-repeat: no-repeat no-repeat;" type="button" /> Zerohedge.com Server Status Check ZeroHedgeWebsite Name: www.zerohedge.comURL Checked: no responseResponse Time: ~34 minsDown For: DOWN
Zerohedge.com is DOWN for everyone.

It is not just you. The server is not responding...  

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:58 | 6931620 Sacker of Cities
Sacker of Cities's picture

So is ZH under attack! Part of a full Fed frontal? 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:01 | 6931645 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

a preview of Trump's "Outer Limits" Internet:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8CtjhWhw2I8

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:58 | 6931621 Zero-Hegemon
Zero-Hegemon's picture

Did somebody request a liquidity enema? I think it landed on zerohedge.com.

No, not spooky at all, not spooky at all.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:59 | 6931622 ZIRPY
ZIRPY's picture

Market acting like nothing has changed. Hopefully silver goes on sale soon!

 

BTW, I'm not changing my name!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:38 | 6931906 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

No need. You are but an infant at this stage, ahead of your time, that's all.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:59 | 6931623 Shibboleth
Shibboleth's picture

On the unicorn highway. Yihaa!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:59 | 6931626 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

The bell tolls twelve, and all is well.

dingding,  dingding.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:59 | 6931628 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

The Fed sold $1T in junk bonds over the last few weeks.  That won't create a supply glut.  Everything is awesome!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 15:59 | 6931630 de Cosmos
de Cosmos's picture

What's that flushing sound?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931631 Conax
Conax's picture

How odd, ZH went down at 2, came back almost exactly an hour later.

Somebody threw the switch on our asses. 

Look, ma!

We're finally Somebody!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:03 | 6931665 Truther
Truther's picture

That would be Paul (Moe). I hated his fucking guts. The fucker didn't like the compliments too well.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:00 | 6931632 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Goody ! .... maybe now we'll all make another 28 cents per month on our savings !

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931662 The Fonz...befo...
The Fonz...before shark jump's picture

Nope rate hike on prime but not on deposits....

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:05 | 6931688 Rainman
Rainman's picture

awwww ... rats !

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:06 | 6932024 Esso
Esso's picture

You mean the JPMorgue isn't going to double the interest on my deposits to two one-hundrdths of one percent?

Shit, there goes that 12-pack of pop I was going to buy at Walgreen's for the year.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:00 | 6931633 TN Jed
TN Jed's picture

I want to hear what this now means from all the prognosticators who've said all along, "They'll NEVER raise rates!"  Will they parse their previous statements or is the end neigh?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:11 | 6931742 stormcrow
stormcrow's picture

Peter Schiff said in a recent commentary that he was now allowing for a possibly of a rate hike because the Fed had gone out of its way to change the narrative from rate hike = rocket liftoff to an expectation that the Fed was going to be more slow and cautious. I'm with him that the Fed cannot claim victory and say that QE and rate cuts "worked" until they actually normalize rates and shrink the balance sheet like they said they would.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:00 | 6931636 ifishivote
ifishivote's picture

DOW on it's way to an all-time high. Not a chance in hell they raise rate again in 2016. They are more dovish then ever

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:01 | 6931643 charlie303
charlie303's picture

Is it the end of the world?

No!

Just another Zero Hedge website crash!!!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:01 | 6931647 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

YO...What Happened?

so in need of my ZH Fix right at THAT moment

poof...you when away

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:01 | 6931648 Sacker of Cities
Sacker of Cities's picture

Funny, most movements in the various markets are just the opposite of what you would expect. Of course the first move is usually the wrong move!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931649 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Next move will be to reverse, but not until after some painful conditions for the plebes.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931650 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Welcome to the beginning of the end. It was nice knowing you guys.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931651 Itch
Itch's picture

Oh, the wee woman is up for it.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:15 | 6931754 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Hey ZH, the banks and finacial system are supposed to convulse after the .25% hike, not your server!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:26 | 6932077 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Posted in the wrong place. Relocated.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:30 | 6932131 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Conan the Libertarian...Let's try this again...

 

There is always Kitco Forums. They cannot totally quiet us. They'd lose the entire communications network if they attempted it.

 

Edit...Okay...That is screwing up...I cannot reply to your post as it is relocating underneath this one for some reason.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931655 aliki
aliki's picture

she had no choice but to raise. they were in a box. SPY will go up and test 210.00 and then most likely roll-over IMO.

im guessing they didn't expect the dollar to get beat-up & gold fly on this.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:37 | 6932417 Sivad UK
Sivad UK's picture

Did USD get beat up?

Looks to me like a mixed bag. The big ticket trade outside of $yen is US/Europe and USD rallied 20 pips... 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931656 FranSix
FranSix's picture

No draining of liquidity. So expect a bond market rally rather than steepening of the yield curve. How they're going to manage jawboning another rate rise is beyond me.

My guess is they're going to throw the stock market under the bus, because liquidity has to remain to prop up bond markets without QE.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931657 pebblewriter
pebblewriter's picture

Will an 1/4% increase matter?  Only to the extent it affects USDJPY.  The yen carry trade -- and, to some extent oil prices -- are still ALL THAT MATTER. 

Yellen "don't need to see oil prices rebound" translates into we'll keep oil prices low so we can sell the BoJ on further declines in the yen and rationalize continued dovish monetary stance.

http://pebblewriter.com/just-another-day/

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:02 | 6931658 Phillpots
Phillpots's picture

How the hell can this insolvent bank raise interest rates I will never know.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:03 | 6931663 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

This press conference is such a theatre...

It was probably practiced 17 times with everybody and the questions were available 3 days before to prep Janet...

I would like to see somebody ask a "real" question, instead of all the nerds giving her one straight line after the other.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:46 | 6932719 conscious being
conscious being's picture

The nerds know if they go off script and ask the wrong questions, they'll get thrown out, won't be invited back and will soon wind up unemployed nerds.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931664 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Next will be housing going in the shitter after mortgage apps drop.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:11 | 6931741 mtndds
mtndds's picture

I cant wait.  Housing is WAY overpriced in CA.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:26 | 6931807 Blankenstein
Blankenstein's picture

 

It is overpriced in almost all other places as well, though most not as bad as CA.  No place is immune to the effects of QE, ZIRP and the twist.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:03 | 6931666 phantom blot
phantom blot's picture

smellin' yellin...someone left the gate open....to the cunt farm

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931670 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

back to tumblr, they have some purty pictures on there

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931671 seek
seek's picture

As expected.

Now on to the next question -- the time frame of the rate cut. A month? Quarter? Before the elections?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931674 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

So much for never raising rates.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931676 ZIRPY
ZIRPY's picture

This realy is a  short bus rally LOL

Reality will set in by tmrw

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:06 | 6931679 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

When you see what they are about to do to the USD, you will understand all the upcoming rate hikes.  There cannot possibly be enough organic economic demand for the USD in this economy.  The USD is way too high.  That was the policy error.  The rate hikes are as much cover for the USD take down as the other way around.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:25 | 6932370 mkkby
mkkby's picture

Duh.  Raising rates while every other central bank is doing nirp and printing like mad????  That means a strong dollar, not weaker.

Please, try to engage your brain once in a while.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:33 | 6932405 Sivad UK
Sivad UK's picture

Uhh - No... Contra liquidity policy when the rest of the world is printing? USD should rally. It's not a comment on value - just common sense...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:04 | 6931680 yellensNIRPles
yellensNIRPles's picture

The fact that such a miniscule rate rise has anyone up in arms is all you need to know about how fucked up things truly are. I'm sitting this one out. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:05 | 6931687 maneco
Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:13 | 6931694 Jacksons Ghost
Jacksons Ghost's picture

RELEASE THE KRACKEN!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:06 | 6931696 wmbz
wmbz's picture

So Granny Jack did it! I didn't think she would.

Let's see how long it sticks.                                                                        

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:06 | 6931706 Black Forest
Black Forest's picture

burp

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:06 | 6931707 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

Contrary to popular predictions of doom, the only thing the Fed managed to crash was the Zero Hedge server.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:07 | 6931709 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

DOW 20K here we come - and it won't mean a fucking thing to the actual "real" economy 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:08 | 6931717 Grimaldus
Grimaldus's picture

Progressive criminal banker policy at it's finest.

 

 

Grimaldus

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:10 | 6931728 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Just as Hank Paulson threatened Congress with the need for 700 billion bailout or else "heaven help us all', it appears as if these same bankers have been crying to the FED "heaven help the economy if you raise interest rates, the markets will tank, etc."

Bottom line , it is all BS. Time will tell , but it looks as if the FED has given all the insiders plenty of time to preposition themselves in front of this rate increase. So far matkets taking it all in stride. 

Interesting that gold is inching up. Did the FED mistakenly  assume that the higher interest rate would mean in the short term a stronger dollar, and thus decrease demand for gold, and drop in price? I.e., let its "guard" (manipulation) down?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:10 | 6931729 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Well JANET IS LIKE THE queen of Hollywood.

WHen Carole Lombard was asked about her torrid love life with Clark G, the King of Hollywood; she quipped :

If his peepee were one inch shorter we would call him the Queen of Hollywood.

Well, Janet you are the Queen with a .25% + interest rate.

Lets hope it grows on you and you really become the undisputed KING !

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:13 | 6931738 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  WTF? Z/H gets ZAPPED for over a half an hour?  [Error 503 servers overloaded] 

   Welcome to China{PBoC}, who'll be berry hoppy about the $usd selling after the announcement.

 Keep your eyes on the prize folks... It's that $1.1 trillion OPEX expiry on FRYday. :-D

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:22 | 6932104 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Yes. Yes. Yes..

 

Can the PPT shit $1.1 Trillion? Yeah? After Yellen announces her strategy to REMOVE $800 Billion?

 

When an irresistable force encounters an unmovable object you can expect some fireworks...I'd say.

 

Looking forward to Friday.

 

LMAO.

 

It will be spectacular.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:11 | 6931739 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

Of course, if this doesn't work to revive animal spirits, there's always Plan B...

And speaking of Plan B?...

Seen this one before... CVA 65 and 75 are gettin mighty old and are too costly to decommission properly (nuclear propulsion systems) aside.

Already have Fukushima planted firmly in our brains with the radiation to match (just ask the men and women aboard this U.S. aircraft carrier how that went) so what's a little more of it to start another charitable war of choice for all of that money that's already been spent and lost over 14 long years!!!

signed

Federal Reserve Bank

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:12 | 6931740 smacker
smacker's picture

OMG -- thrown off ZH -- couldn't log back on -- down -- down --down -- went to lie down -- called doctor -- ZH back up -- feel better -- gasp (!)

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:15 | 6931753 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  We clearly need to move Z/H to the "dark net" with all the other terrorists.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:27 | 6932130 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

At least there should be some agreed meeting point to be able to vent if this happens again.

How about myspace.com?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:13 | 6931744 OldFahrtyPants
OldFahrtyPants's picture

Who CUT the Hedge?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:14 | 6931749 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

CNBC headline is "Yellen: Fed Policy Remains Accomodative"

Think about that for a moment.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:15 | 6931757 jjsilver
jjsilver's picture

How can a criminal cartel ever have credibility? How does an alleged news organization have any credibility by not reporting the facts about the Federal Reserve?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:16 | 6931763 Irish Yoga
Irish Yoga's picture

I don't care what s/he hikes as long as it's not h/er skirt.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:16 | 6931765 yogibear
yogibear's picture

No wonder Benanke wanted to leave ASAP.

He knew he created a mess.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:17 | 6931774 surf0766
surf0766's picture

gold/silver/commodities should go down on a rate increase not up.  Man the financial system is upside down

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:33 | 6931877 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

I picked the right day to start sniffing glue.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:19 | 6931782 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

Jeez, first it turns out that Gold isnt going to rally to $3000, then it turns out that there isnt QE Infinity, and lastly it turns out that the Fed wont stay at 0% forever either!

The combined moronosphere on Zerohedge really isnt kicking alot of goals these days.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:35 | 6932402 mkkby
mkkby's picture

Let's not forget the world was going to end on last september's jewish holiday.  Before that jade helm.  And every 3 months or so before that, going back to infinity.

How many drooling idiots said we wouldn't make it to the end of this year?  Nuclear war with russia last week and the week before.

On deck -- Obama's gonna cancel the election.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:19 | 6931786 falak pema
falak pema's picture

OT/ But relevant to GOP Operatics and how the international media sees the Exterme right sing its hate arias :

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/dec/16/republican-debate-isis-wa...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:19 | 6931787 NoDoomForYou
NoDoomForYou's picture

So, how much slower does the deficit get paid down now..... :)  almost couldn't keep a straight face with that...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:19 | 6931788 G.O.O.D
G.O.O.D's picture

Prepare the Laser!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:20 | 6931794 the 300000000th...
the 300000000th percent's picture

They made it go green today. Wonder what it cost them?...... Or should I say us

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:00 | 6932002 EndOfDayExit
EndOfDayExit's picture

They have an iron grip on markets. There appears to be a 'team' in place moving the markets in such a way as to confirm to the "agenda". The next logical step is for every trader out there to follow suit, becasue, what the f*, let us just join the momentum and make some money in the process... Yeah, the prices do not make any sense, but who cares?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:20 | 6931795 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

"todays decision reflects our confidence in the US economy".
AAAAARRRGGGHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Constantly hearing these lies make me want to eat a pack of razorblades!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:20 | 6931798 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

 

But feel free to continue with your collective psychotic, racist, sexist, paranoid, conspiratorial explanations of the world. As ever.  

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 20:03 | 6932783 conscious being
conscious being's picture

Dude, the nonFedral Reserve, convening to set market interest rates is a conspiracy.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:21 | 6931801 CosmicDebris
CosmicDebris's picture

I'm gonna go ahead and predict an interesting last 30 minutes in the market today.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:23 | 6931808 In.Sip.ient
In.Sip.ient's picture

WOW!  I mean WOW!

They actually hiked rates!?!

 

You know folks, that means they've thrown in the towel,

and are more interested in keeping the FED afloat

than they are about WS...

 

Is the US$ really THAT close to the vortex???

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:23 | 6931809 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

To all stock investors, ho ho ho, merry fucking Xmas.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:25 | 6931820 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Have a stroke, you bitch!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:26 | 6931824 moonmac
moonmac's picture

 I guess I’m the one with shit for brains. The good news is bad news is bad again.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:28 | 6931832 CHoward
CHoward's picture

OK - rates went up a whopping 0.25% and NOTHING FUCKING HAPPENED!!!!  HaHaHa

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:37 | 6931899 SmedleyButlersGhost
SmedleyButlersGhost's picture

I know next to nothing .. let's go with nothing - about economics but when money can be borrowed for free - fukin free! - and then they want 000.25% and that's a problem, that's fucked up. If a 000.25% rate increase on a loan is going to sink you - sorry, you're already fuked. The good news is that the side by side I bought was for cash. Heavy sucker but the thing will not jam or need parts.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:53 | 6932231 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Your PPT was hard at work.

 

Look at the whipsaws that happened after 2PM on those charts.

 

And on Friday all hell will break loose. And when it does then I will be rejoicing.

 

HaHaHa.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:29 | 6931838 PrezTrump
PrezTrump's picture

what happend dudes? we get ddos'd?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:29 | 6931844 Exit through th...
Exit through the gift store's picture

"There could always be an Unseen Shock to the financial markets" ~ Yellen

Raise that Flag boys, raise it high and false.

Oh no and the economy was just heating up!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:31 | 6931854 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

Why would they raise rates now? To show fake confidence in the economy? This would make the dollar stronger, right? Deflationary? I wish I were smart.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:52 | 6932119 Exalt
Exalt's picture

I'm not smart, but I do know some economics and the play is pretty simple in principle but very hard to read in practice.

I think the FED are saying to hell with the economy and are more interested in sending earnings to banks, themselves included. Rising levels of cash in their pockets and the higher yield on cash are the real story here. Yes a rising interest rate should support Dollar strength but it's not like it makes much difference. The Dollar is not a FED concearn as much as the solvency of the banking system.

In the current market, there's no saying whether "lift off" would be deflationary. Yes technically it should be, but financial stocks will soar and this might bouy the "recovery" from losses in the real sector. The fiscal sector is literally eating the real sector alive right now. It's like a crack dealer that's hooked the whole neighbourhood on cheap crystal and is now demanding more. People become fiends and dealers kings.

We'll see what happens now in junk bonds and whether tightening the taps on liquidity will unhinge things... unexpectedly... for now, expect some serious frothiness.  I have a feeling it will take an event in debt markets, real corporate earnings or in funding decisions for Congress to get people to start thinking. The question is how much higher can rates go before we get an event? Will an event even be heeded by the FED?

Poor December sales are inevitable, so time will tell how tight banks will squeeze and if the death of the real sector is at hand.

-- now is a good time to take that job at the bank, there might not be any others in the months to come.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:32 | 6931858 yellensNIRPles
yellensNIRPles's picture

I bet Yellen and crew read ZH. Probably reading it right now...

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:32 | 6931866 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture
So, where is all the chaos and pandemonium? All the destruction, terror and mayhem? I was hoping for some real fireworks, something dramatic and spectacular. Tanks in the streets, tumbrels trundling toward serried ranks of guillotines, that kind of thing.
Or better yet, some real Old Testament wrath of God type stuff. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes...The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria!"
We're *waiting*.
Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:54 | 6932277 Exalt
Exalt's picture

Give it a couple months, things are about to get really interesting. People think this is about growth and inflation, possibly the Dollar. They are falling for the shell game. What's happening is bankers have us where they want us, loaded up with credit. They'll raise and raise until they strangle everything to get themselves solvent.

Making the peasants fight for scraps is how it starts. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:32 | 6931867 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture
So, where is all the chaos and pandemonium? All the destruction, terror and mayhem? I was hoping for some real fireworks, something dramatic and spectacular. Tanks in the streets, tumbrels trundling toward serried ranks of guillotines, that kind of thing.
Or better yet, some real Old Testament wrath of God type stuff. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes...The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria!"
We're *waiting*.
Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:32 | 6931871 Falling Down
Falling Down's picture

Listening to her jawboning to the press, right now.

Really excruciating listening to her yammer on. The lies she spews about inflation and employment are the same we've seen from .guv and the media.

Just keep repeating the lies, Janet. Eventually even boobus americanus won't believe you.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:47 | 6931953 Two Theives and...
Two Theives and a Liar's picture

Unfortunately there is no limit to the stupidity and gullibility of boobus americanus....they wont wake up until there's no more doritos on the shelves! Even then they will willingly go to FEMA camps if promised more doritos...

To quote PCR ". People as uninformed and as gullible as Americans have no future. Americans are a dead people that history is about to run over."...

http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2014/11/20/pcr-interviewed-russia-italy/

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:51 | 6931954 numapepi
numapepi's picture

Wasn't it Goebbels who said, “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:15 | 6932575 GhostOfDiogenes
GhostOfDiogenes's picture

Funny.

He was talking about the jewish controlled allies and their lies.

Ignorant people trying to appear intelligent always get a kick about kicking the Nazi's down and thinking that they are better because of jew lies they learned in publik skool.
But the USA is worse than ze Germans ever were, in fact everything the Germans were the USA could never be, sadly. Just too many weak stupid people who pray at the alter of team vagina....ha!

Same as it ever was.

Gobbels from the grave rape!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:33 | 6931874 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

c'mon baby let the good times roll...all night long.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:34 | 6931876 To Hell In A Ha...
To Hell In A Handbasket's picture

Fuck the FED, fuck the money changers, fuck the entire CENTRAL BANK SCAM and fuck the subserviant politcians who've displayed nothing short of cowardice to allow this shit and daylight robbery of the plebs to take place. Bring the whole shit down and end this charade. CUNTS!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:35 | 6931889 The Gladiator
The Gladiator's picture

OK. Tyler and the rest of you buffoons at ZH. That came and went with no earthquakes,tidal waves,or other disasters. You guys need to hurry up and get your next fear inducing headlines dreamed up.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:46 | 6931948 Bear
Bear's picture

Hi Glad ... The Bear battle is lost today but the war awaits

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:50 | 6931963 PrezTrump
PrezTrump's picture

claiming victory after the first 5 min.  

its gonna hurt u bad

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:34 | 6932664 The Gladiator
The Gladiator's picture

We shall see.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:36 | 6931894 ---------
---------'s picture

RAT WAS KIKED

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:56 | 6931986 SmedleyButlersGhost
SmedleyButlersGhost's picture

Snappy comment. I know you've only been here a week, but might I suggest that you redirect your energies into upgrading your nom de guerre and image plus learning how not to double post. Then we can insult each other with more mental imagery.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:12 | 6932051 ---------
---------'s picture

47 weeks  pffffffffffffffff   look in the mirror

 

 

ignorance is raletad to stupidity

now go back to your hobbys, like washing the floor and the dishes

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:12 | 6932052 ---------
---------'s picture

47 weeks  pffffffffffffffff   look in the mirror

 

 

ignorance is raletad to stupidity

now go back to your hobbys, like washing the floor and the dishes

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:02 | 6932515 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

rofl...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:58 | 6932759 Bring the Gold
Bring the Gold's picture

Love the name and avatar not to mention the call out. Cheers.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:37 | 6931904 ---------
---------'s picture

becase of stupid rat kikes zh hedge went down

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:40 | 6931914 More Ammo
More Ammo's picture

"On the 7th anniversary of entering ZIRP"

Another reference to the chosenite 7 year cycle???

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:44 | 6931935 Bear
Bear's picture

Great Bear...ish opportunity when the night aglos with to push ES +10 over close at 12:00 tonight ... be ready

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:45 | 6931937 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

It's a festivus miracle!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:45 | 6931938 numapepi
numapepi's picture

Well, i have to admit I was wrong. I honestly couldn't conceive that the Fed would raise rates until Obama was out of office. Well they did so I was wrong. Let's see how this plays out shall we?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:36 | 6932416 Exalt
Exalt's picture

Raising rates signals his term a success but the rate of adjustment is slow enough and from a low enough base to preclude any problems popping up. When rates start going over 1% he'll have handed the baton on and all the problems that he created.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 20:24 | 6932801 Bring the Gold
Bring the Gold's picture

Big ups for admitting your error in prognostication. Takes an adult to do that. Everyone makes mistakes, adults take responsibility for them.

From a rational perspective - with the incorrect assumption the FED is interested in protecting the us economy - it would be madness to raise rates. However, the reason I suspected they would - followed by a near immediate capitulation within days or weeks followed by a move to NIRP - is because the FED is NOT interested in protecting the us economy. It is interested in empowering it's hidden owners/masters.

The primary goal of those hidden string pullers is world governance in a WTO unelected tribunal type format, as seen emerging in the TPP and other transnational trade agreements, coupled with their long held dream of a Bancor/SDR/Phoenix global digital currency.

To get to their goal nations must be bankrupted, "bad banks" scapegoated (up to and including the Squid, JPM and the FED itself) and the people impoverished to give political cover for their "White Knight" rescue by the BIS/IMF and its Bancor/SDR/Phoenix currency to save the day. The rate raise out the fuse, derivatives are the thermite. One can almost hear lord Rothschild yelling, "Pull it!"

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:47 | 6931951 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

oh god you're all wrong, this is all about creating movement on the markets (up or down)

next month the fed will announce it's lowering the rate....

and everyone that knew about it from the begining  will have made big bucks !

it's cashing time, don't forget, nobody cares about reality anymore, it's all about extracting as much as you can out

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:49 | 6931957 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

 OH BOY....Well here is our token rate hike...emjoy this year without any other further attempt to tigheten...the next stumble in the stock market will ensure that...The Fed Can NEVER RAISE RATES...so enjoy this sub 1% for the next 10 years..because we will never surpass 1%

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:49 | 6931958 G.O.O.D
G.O.O.D's picture

Ho Lee Phuk the market is on a run away.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 16:49 | 6931959 The Fonz...befo...
The Fonz...before shark jump's picture

Wow Liesman looks like he smells like piss

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:02 | 6932010 White Knight
White Knight's picture

SHANANIGANS!!!

 

This means next to nothing if you ask me. If they didnt hike the economy would have collapsed soon. Now that they've hiked, the economy will collapse soon.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:08 | 6932020 Junerberno
Junerberno's picture

Rates were raised for "Main Street" but the liquidity provided to Jewish titans is not being curtailed at all, as the Fed went out of its way to announce. It's extraordinary- it's bearish every "real" commodity but bullish fake Internet stocks who will never have any GAAP earnings. And, of course, bullish M&A for Goldman and buybacks for the Jewish raiders. Every time I think the Jew has reached his limit of shame, or of stealing my money, he reminds me he has no such constraints or limits.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:13 | 6932311 Sivad UK
Sivad UK's picture

Is there any way we can subdivide threads so that those of us who are independent thinkers but not rabid anti-semites can actually take part?

 

A lot of good discussion can be had without the boogy man being invoked at any opportunity...

 

BTW: This wasn't for Main St... Main St is in debt to their ears in revolving credit and the prime rate is going up (went up)... So go fish...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:08 | 6932544 GhostOfDiogenes
GhostOfDiogenes's picture

If you are such an "independant thinker", as you claim to be, how can you not come to the inevitable conclusion that jews run the world, to the detriment to all life on earth, its a jew world order?

For instance.

The suxtent virus that disabled fukushima daiiachi caused a....explosion from what israelis put there.

Now the israelis are controlling the situation and hiding the truth and killing the planet....just like they coveredup themselves after 911.

The very bottom of the rot and corruption on earth has been by the jews.

And you are so pathetic...you need a safe space? Do you want a pillow for your head, coward?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 20:54 | 6932977 Bring the Gold
Bring the Gold's picture

Wait stuxtnet caused an earthquake?

Also, if you folks used the term Zionist which includes non-Jew globalists and excludes Jewish children and Jewish people who are actually amazing fucking human beings you might get more traction. Blaming all the worlds ills on Jews is a non-starter because it's empirically false.

Globalists and Zionists are reasonable terms or Illuminati if you prefer. We all get who you mean. If you start going off the rails with "All Jews" which is implied by the word Jews you sound like an idiot with not the slightest grasp of history let alone reality.

Are there Jews who are plotting for global government and/or "Greater Israel"? Yes! Are there insane Rabbis who see "goyim" as cattle? Yes! Are all or even most Jews pure evil sociopaths? FUCK NO!

That kind of essentialist bullshit is worthless and actually gives COVER to indivual Jews who engage in the kind of plotting you speak of. There are people of every race, gender, religion, creed and background who are trying to bring about despotism of one form or another. There are also the overwhelming majority of all people from all backgrounds who are decent human beings.

Blaming everything on ONE group at the level of race/culture due to circumstances of birth is unbelievably stupid and dangerous and again provides cover for actual psychopaths who threaten us all.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:43 | 6932430 Exalt
Exalt's picture

No no no... rates were raised for BANKS! This is the tightening of the banking leash on the peasants!

We asked the masters for help, put our heads in their noose and now they will SQUEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEZE.

-- and please drop the anti-semitism, it's terrible and no good for the ZH community. Jews are people too.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 19:15 | 6932578 PeakOil
PeakOil's picture

Indeed Jews are people too. And, in my experience, good people. Zionists, on the other hand, not so much.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 20:57 | 6933041 Bring the Gold
Bring the Gold's picture

Exactly. +1 and see my post above. It's beyond old.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:08 | 6932029 Dickweed Wang
Dickweed Wang's picture

On the 7th anniversary of entering ZIRP . . .

 

Remember LaGarde's weird speech with all the references to the number "7"??  Coincidence??  I think not . . . when it comes to crazy shit like numerology and references to their "sacred" numbers (7, 11, 22 and 33) there are no coincidences with TPTB . . . . . my question is what does this signify, if anything?? 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:18 | 6932342 Lucky Leprachaun
Lucky Leprachaun's picture

Yeah but the point is that nothing came of  LaGarde's 'prophesy'. The day came and went.  I think you can make the numbers add up to anything if you set out to find a pattern.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:55 | 6932449 Exalt
Exalt's picture

There is no prophecy. Only the marking of the start of an era of overt enslavement.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:18 | 6932086 Falconsixone
Falconsixone's picture

So much for fake recovery.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:26 | 6932122 Grandad Grumps
Grandad Grumps's picture

The only expectation that I have from this is more dollar strengthening ... but that has already been in the works.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:27 | 6932128 o r c k
o r c k's picture

Plan B needs to be over 10 grand.  The whirly birds here.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 17:36 | 6932162 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

OH! NO! Payday loans are going up to 466.25% a year!

http://www.sltrib.com/news/1807724-155/payday-loan-utah-loans-interest-l...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 18:29 | 6932395 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Vertigo is for pussies! Look! Up there! A golden mountain goat!

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