Late-Day Buying Panic Saves Stocks From Worst Start To January In 84 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Santa Rally...?

 

An ugly day... just as we predicted

 

The bloodbath started in China, which was halted early on circuit breakers...

 

Europe was ugly...

 

And that dragged US Futures lower, which were not helped by weak manufacturing data, weak construction data, and not helped by overly confident Fed speakers, but shortly before the EU close a hug eblock sucked up all ther liquidity in futures and stalled the selloff. We rallied back to VWAP around 1995 in S&P then faded...

 

The machines did their best at 1101ET to stall the weakness, which ramped to VWAP before institutional selling started...

 

Cash indices saw Dow break to a 16,000 handle, S&P under 2,000, and Nasdaq under 5,000...before a late-dat $2-3bn MOC buy order out of nowhere lifted everything...

 

The moment 330ET hit, VIX was slammed (via rampant buying XIV - inverse VIX ETF) and S&P pumped back above 2000

 

Financials were worst, Energy best...

 

FANTAsy stocks all plunged with Tesla and Amazon worst...

 

But Apple managed to ramp back to green briefly as we supposed its ubiquitous buyback prgram stepped in...

 

US equities dropped to 3-month lows, catching down to high yield bonds' weakness once again - just as they did in August...

 

Financials tumbled to 3-month lows, catching down to the yield curve collapse just as they did in August...

 

Treasury yields dropped all morning but as Europe closed, sellers moved in lifting yields and reducing sme of the early flatness...

 

The US Dollar index rose on the day against the majors (as European buying beat Asia selling)...

 

And Asian FX tumbled to fresh 6 year lows against the USD...

 

Commodities were a mixed bag. Despite USD strengtrh, Gold surged over 1% buit silver was stalled when US growth was questioned and sent crude tumbling...

 

Crude ended the day lower as record gluts and weak growth trumped any war premium fears...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart:  Just as we warned last week, we have seen this pattern of global pass the illiquidity hot potato contagion before...

 

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: You know it's a bad day when...

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Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:09 | 6996890 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Same old shit show...Stawks will turn around and blast right back up. The DOW could be 18,000 by Friday!

It's almost like some kind of magic is involved!

 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:37 | 6997055 Jtrillian
Jtrillian's picture

I sense a dark presence. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:09 | 6996893 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

3 30 on the mark. Uncanny - you can set your watch by it. We'd be deep in 16,000 without the stick save.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:09 | 6996895 Hephaestus
Hephaestus's picture

Worked great this time. Each time they do it more and more will ride the pattern.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:15 | 6996932 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

You can say that again. 

then the boat rolls over.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:10 | 6996902 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Fed Cleveland Chair says China contained ... buy all the things.

                    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-04/fed-s-mester-shrugs-off-stocks-drop-and-says-u-s-economy-sound

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:11 | 6996907 razorthin
razorthin's picture

There's an endless supply of printed fodder.  It will take revolution and bloodshed.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:11 | 6996909 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

SO WE GO FROM DOWN 430 PLUS AT 3:00 TO FUCKING DOWN 273 ON DOW AND LESS THAN 2 PERCENT DOWN.

 

YUP, MUST BE ALL THOSE FUCKING BTFD PPL WHO WERE RUSHING IN ON THE 1ST TRADING DAY OF THE YEAR TO BUY SOME STAWKS.

 

FUCK THE FED, AUDIT THOSE BASTARDS

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:22 | 6996980 R19
R19's picture

It was the E*Trade baby.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12 | 6996913 Sir SpeaksALot
Sir SpeaksALot's picture

as we all know - there is no market. just algos transferring stocks ownership from the left to the right pocket of the FED.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12 | 6996914 thx111
thx111's picture

PPT came back from New Year's Party hangover at 3:30pm. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12 | 6996915 thx111
thx111's picture

PPT came back from New Year's Party hangover at 3:30pm. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12 | 6996916 BeaverCream
BeaverCream's picture

You bought that dip right fam?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:15 | 6996934 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Wall St never had it so easy.  Show up for work at 3:28, execute a buy order, then sell at 3:58.  Half an hours work per day, millions of dollars in bonuses.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12 | 6996920 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

I can just see Janet typing in the last zero of the $3b ETF order....

Viola!  Thank you future debt issuence!  Thank you tax payer.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:19 | 6996937 razorthin
razorthin's picture

Stop the taxpayer bullshit.  Do you think they would do this if raising taxes were even possible, and if it were mathematically possible to service existing debt let alone pay down the balance??  It doesn't matter and they know it. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:26 | 6996996 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture
No, Bank Bailouts HAVEN’T Ended -

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-03/no-bank-bailouts-haven’t-ended

"The Cost Is Very High": Portugal Taxpayers Face €3 Billion Loss After Second Bank Bailout In 2 Years -

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-21/cost-very-high-portugal-taxpaye...€3-billion-loss-after-second-bank-bailout-2-y

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:27 | 6997009 razorthin
razorthin's picture

Portugal ain't got its own printing press.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:29 | 6997019 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

It's called running a deficit -

Budget Deficit Explodes Higher In Portugal After Government Throws In Towel On Bad Bank Sale

- Zero Hedge

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:18 | 6996947 Sweet Cheeks
Sweet Cheeks's picture

I want to see who entered those orders that kept pushing the market back up.  Surely, there were not that many BTFD today.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:30 | 6997028 R19
R19's picture

Min order size on FED mobile trading app is $100 mil.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:13 | 6996921 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

New highs in January. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:13 | 6996926 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Yes cause after all there is nothing but value here... ( blows nose )

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:14 | 6996928 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Some idiot earlier said bounce from 1990-2000ish possible (1989.68 low for the day).  This was as we know a garbage bounce.  Unless the "ramp it and camp it" morning move can muster up enough bullshit to open this bitch above 2040-2042 and keep it there this may be another attractive entry for net shorts.  

Legit bounce could occur off 1969/1970ish.  

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:18 | 6996949 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Smallies and Transvestites already "down too much already" . . . . . . perhaps in the short run???  Financials still getting going and vulnerable.  XLF volume surged today and it closed way up near the daily high suggesting suckers still BTFDing financials let it carry over in the AM if the farce is on with ES futs up big.  

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 17:51 | 6997320 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Who would be buying these stocks?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:15 | 6996933 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

I hope China puke noddles over Yellen's fat face....

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:16 | 6996938 R19
R19's picture

Best PPT of the year by far.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:17 | 6996940 philosophers bone
philosophers bone's picture

Can someone explain how buyback programs lift stock prices legally?  Aren't companies required to buy at the last independent price, meaning they can't ramp up their own stock?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:34 | 6997461 toadold
toadold's picture

Well they changed the laws a few decades aga so there are loopholes galore.  To oversimplify a company doesn't buy its stocks directly they use second parites to do it.  Commercial Banks, Brokerages holding margin accounts, Obama's uncle's brother.  Basiacally anyboody who can get a hold of goverment printed money directly. Tax payer supported Ponzi.   

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:36 | 6997471 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

They (the companies) buy their own shares, then retire those shares, thereby raising the EPS since there are less shares in the pool, which then causes the stock price to go higher. 

 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:17 | 6996941 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

I don't always buy stocks, but when I do it's with a $2-$3B MOC order.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:17 | 6996945 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

Who is coming to Oregon? Nice wildlife sanctuary I'd like to see....

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:18 | 6996953 Bear
Bear's picture

PPT ... Bid, Bid, Bid

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:18 | 6996954 indaknow
indaknow's picture

Seems money on the sidelines will be buying stawk every day at 3:30 whether they know it or not. Who said Ma and Pa aint coming back to this market...you just don't get to reap the rewards!

The smart money is selling directly to the tax payers. FUCKING CROOKS

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:21 | 6996962 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

Relax...remember how downsizing meant you loss your job ...until  you recovered and saw the light and meaning of it all ...that your company was not downsizing but rightsizing and you felt much better... well the stock market was just rightsizing... do you feel better now! 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:20 | 6996965 apoorboy
apoorboy's picture

I didn't buy....did you buy?   WHO bought?

 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:38 | 6997061 optimator
optimator's picture

I don't know, but they just upped the limit on our credit card they're using for this.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:20 | 6996966 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

LOL! No shit sherlock.  The real question is by whom?

I think we all know the answer to that question.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:20 | 6996967 apoorboy
apoorboy's picture

I didn't buy....did you buy?   WHO bought?

 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:24 | 6996987 indaknow
indaknow's picture

We all bought. we just don't know what we bought and can never sell.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:20 | 6996968 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

Who wouldn't want to be long into China's opening tonight? I assume they arrested anyone who sold yesterday

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:26 | 6997002 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

Chinese Army deployed to trading rooms to shoot any shorters...

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:25 | 6997631 Kefeer
Kefeer's picture

"Chinese Army deployed to trading rooms to shoot any shorters......who were not part of the elitists"

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:21 | 6996975 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

330 has become the new 420. It's always 330 somewhere !!!!

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:23 | 6997628 Kefeer
Kefeer's picture

Only on the real ugly days like today.  Otherwise the 10 minute super rally at 3:50pm ET still seems to be in play as well as the late morning through early afternoon stabilization balancing act nearly everyday.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:24 | 6996986 PrimalScream
PrimalScream's picture

a late day  buying panick .  AHAHAHA!!!!

OHH yeah ... i need to spend a lot of money on something that is only worth 10% of its face value.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:24 | 6996992 bilbert
bilbert's picture

I am shocked, I tell you!

Who woulda thought a late day stick save?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:31 | 6997007 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

BTFD at 330pm with a S@TFL, so easy I think Elmo can trade this mkt

 

you knew these fuckers were gonna try a stick save especially on day 1 of the yr.

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