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Greek 1 Year Hits 763%

Tyler Durden's picture





 

If it seems like it was only 5 days ago that Greek bonds could be had for the blockbuster yield of 638%, it is because it was As of today, the same bond was yielding an even more ridiculous 763% (and remember when the MSM fluffers were telling you to buy these at the bargain basement yield of 100% in September 2011?). This price has nothing to do with the Fitch action on the country which is irrelevant, and all to do with the fact that, as noted previously, the cash coupon on the post-reorg bonds was cut once again, this time from 3.6% to just 2%, and the current price on non UK-law bonds is merely indicative of the cash on cash return investors in these bonds expect to make. It also means that the market expects a redefault in just about 1 year. And yes, we realize that at bond prices in the high teens, the yield curve is absolutely meaningless but it is still highly entertaining to watch as Greek bond yields are about to hit quadruple digits, which in itself is very indicative of the recoveries one can expect in a global sovereign ponzi, and yet the powers that be tell us this is a perfectly normal phenomenon, i.e., there is no default, and thus there is no reason to hedge for it. Alas, the whole world has gone mad.

 


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Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:23 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Now is the time buy the GGGB 1YR!  I feel sorry for all those suckers who bought last week when the yield was a mere 638%. /sarc.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:28 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Heh heh.........BOOM........winning!!!!

 

 

 

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:32 | Link to Comment Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

And it hasn't even gone parabolic yet.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:32 | Link to Comment WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

Good thing they finally concluded the bailout deal on Tuesday, no telling what the yield would be today without it.

Harharhar

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:53 | Link to Comment fockewulf190
fockewulf190's picture

Anyone wanna bet if the 1 year hits 1000% the Bundestag votes no?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment theMAXILOPEZpsycho
theMAXILOPEZpsycho's picture

Keeping my powder dry for 1000%

Then I'll be all in on Greece, with my coffee shop due to open next month as well

The time to buy is when there's blood on the streets

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:48 | Link to Comment CClarity
CClarity's picture

Zimbabwe.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:06 | Link to Comment silverbullion
silverbullion's picture

I feel sorry for the fiat paper suckers... a dirty, dirty habit I tell you.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:31 | Link to Comment BW
BW's picture

Price propaganda.  They are going to print.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:23 | Link to Comment Fips_OnTheSpot
Fips_OnTheSpot's picture

4-digit is the new normal

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:24 | Link to Comment battle axe
battle axe's picture

And you get a free goat with every bond.....

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:42 | Link to Comment bpom
bpom's picture

And you get a free goat with every bond.....or a barbecued kid on a stick.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:31 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

That and a 1/20 time share on the Acropolis.

 

 

 

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment bdc63
bdc63's picture

Hmm ... goat ... 1/20th time share ... throw in all the baklava I can eat and I'm IN!

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:24 | Link to Comment Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

763% sounds like a bargain...

sign me up.....

for fucks sake man..........when r these poor bastards gonna murder their bitch made banker owned politicians???????????

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:31 | Link to Comment Ratscam
Ratscam's picture

when they have to offer their 111 tons of gold, agreed under UK law in luxembourg jurisdiction, in exchange for the soon to fail 2012 paper bail out money.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:09 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture

Yikes. That news escaped me. I"ll have to go look it up. 

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:23 | Link to Comment Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

"But down there in the small print of the Greek deal lies the nasty side for Greece. There lies a heavy penalty clause; Greece's lenders will have the right to seize the gold reserves in the Bank of Greece under the terms of the new deal. Greece has 111 tonnes of gold. In other words Greece has given up on its "money in extremis", gold. If they default they will have nowhere else to go. Its international assets will be seized and it will not be able to trade internationally at all."

http://goldsilver.com/news/another-phase-in-the-greek-tragedy-it-could-l...

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 14:53 | Link to Comment Matt
Matt's picture

How much gold to you get?

If you buy these 700+ percent one year bonds, they get swaped out for 2 percent notes, but then when those fail, you get gold, right? how much gold for how many euros?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:24 | Link to Comment Irish66
Irish66's picture

Viagra

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:38 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

An offer we can't refuse?  This is absurd, when will U.S. bonds have this kind of yield?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:27 | Link to Comment GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

March should basically dictate the market until summer. Supernova or 2008 Redux?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:28 | Link to Comment tim73
tim73's picture

763 percent profit! Now we are talking! Better call my Nigerian contact, their offer sucks now.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:28 | Link to Comment PaperBear
PaperBear's picture

Why is this financial instrument having its price move if there isn't anyone buying or selling it ?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:28 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

This is not madness. Madness is German yields this low relative to all the others. Talk about a PREMIUM. Remember ...the goal in the USA has always been to "get banks lending again." you could have 100 billion euro's in your bank and still be insolvent...as all the Greek banks have discovered!

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:56 | Link to Comment Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

If you think it is madness then why not short them?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:29 | Link to Comment marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

beware the PIIGS of march...

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:32 | Link to Comment lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Fitch saying the exchange of bonds is DEFAULT.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:37 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

I saw that.  If this is really the case then pull the fucking CDS trigger already.  

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:54 | Link to Comment bdc63
bdc63's picture

no can do ... it's not a default until the bankers that wrote the CDSs say it's a default ... and that'll happen about week after Newt's biodome community on the moon is operational ...

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yep, precisely why I placed my money on the devils we know and commodities at the begining of the year.  Some things never change. It has paid off so far and will re-adjust in March.  Dare I say, same as it ever was.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:32 | Link to Comment rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

Make up rules on the fly. The worse things get the more bs they will come up with. I'm sure of it.  Last but not least could be "we need your gold now".

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:33 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

Im In.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:33 | Link to Comment konputa
konputa's picture

After Greece defaults there will only be PIIS

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment bpom
bpom's picture

It seems right to rebalance the acronym by adding in Senegal,  Slovakia,  or Slovenia.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:35 | Link to Comment Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

 Feb. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Cypriot banks will suffer the
second-highest losses from the haircut on Greek debt after
Greece’s own lenders, state radio CyBC reported today, citing
economist George Charalambous.
     The losses for the Cypriot banks, which hold 5 billion
euros ($6.6 billion) in Greek government securities, are
equivalent to 20 percent of Cyprus’s economy, Nicosia-based CyBC
said, citing Charalambous. He served as chairman of the
Securities and Exchange Commission from 2006 to 2011.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:35 | Link to Comment Alex Kintner
Alex Kintner's picture

My "Buying Bonds 101" book does not have a chapter on 3 digit rates. Things are truly Different This Time. I'm all in. Retirement here I come.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:35 | Link to Comment FrozenOut
FrozenOut's picture

Are there yield numbers that will crash established data systems?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:35 | Link to Comment FrozenOut
FrozenOut's picture

Are there yield numbers that will crash established data systems?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:35 | Link to Comment Ponzi Unit
Ponzi Unit's picture

Cognitive dissonance, anyone?

So, Greek debt is now an 8-bagger and default is officially off the table. You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.

We are way down the rabbit hole, still falling... still gaining speed...

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:36 | Link to Comment tim73
tim73's picture

So they are playing with a bond instrument that has no relation to real world!? Sweet, just put a symbol into a bourse and start playing! Real companies are so last century.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:38 | Link to Comment HurricaneSeason
HurricaneSeason's picture

Is the interest on those bonds taxable and what is the minimum purchase amount? I can't finf it on Ameritrade.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:38 | Link to Comment Olympia
Olympia's picture

World War III - The First Private War in History

 

Those who won all battles shall lose the war.

Bilderberg Group and the crimes against humanity.

 

This is how things work in all countries. Whatever used to belong to their people, today it belongs to the multinational companies of the Club. People were betrayed by their given leaderships and they lost everything. Capitals and markets were handed to the Club bosses. If you understand what is going on in Greece, you can understand what is going on in Britain, France, and Germany etc..

 

http://eamb-ydrohoos.blogspot.com/2012/02/world-war-iii.html

 

.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:38 | Link to Comment Sandmann
Sandmann's picture

I don't understand yields of 763%......could you explain them as Odds instead ?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:41 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Sure. The odds of Greece paying back their debt is 0%.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:45 | Link to Comment Alex Kintner
Alex Kintner's picture

Forget the interest. It's 763 to 1 odds that you'll even get your principal back.

That's the way I read it anyway.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:01 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Whoops I didn't do the proper odds notation.  The odds of Greece paying back their debt is 1:fucking never.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 13:44 | Link to Comment Willzyx
Willzyx's picture

If par is $100, maturity is 1 year, payment is $2, and the stated interest rate is 763%, a financial calculator says the present value of a Greek 1 year bond is $13.35 (down from $100).

The coupon is the easy part.  A $2 coupon on a $13.35 bond represents a return of about 15%.  The remaining 748% return comes from the assumption that Greece will pay back the full par value of $100 at maturity a year from now, on a bond purchased for $13.35.  We all know that won't happen.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:41 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

I saw that BDI has dropped to 700.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:56 | Link to Comment GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Bottom bouncing has begun. Settle in, it'll be a while.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:42 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Perfectly sustainable.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:47 | Link to Comment whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

Gettin close to escape velocity

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment forexer
forexer's picture

The new pricing model based on teseracts.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:52 | Link to Comment Tom Green Swedish
Tom Green Swedish's picture

They aren't bonds anymore, they're donations.  700 percent yield is like a payday loan times 2. They seriously got hit by an idiot earthquake. Maybe Sean Penn can head over there and save them.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:53 | Link to Comment Moneyswirth
Moneyswirth's picture

Finally, I can rotate my cash from ZNGA and AAPL into Greek government bonds at 763%. 

In the words of the great Homer Simpson, everyone's stupid except me...

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:54 | Link to Comment MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Hope Bernanke takes advantage of this bargaian.  He is good at buying junk!

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment Stylianos Kyriacou
Stylianos Kyriacou's picture

If a book named "the making of a fly" can worth $23,700,000.00 then everything is possible after all as my grandpa used to say "never underestimate stupid people in large numbers" 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TDaFwnOiKVE  (@ 7:00)

 

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:15 | Link to Comment bpom
bpom's picture

When is the last time Greece had a auction of debt?  I mean debt auction.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:13 | Link to Comment bania
bania's picture

definition of "return free risk"

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:16 | Link to Comment FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

I am perfectly willing to loan money to ordinary Greeks at the absurdly low rate of just 300%. I work for the mob. We run a clean business. Just ask my cousin Vito, yeah, the one with the crooked nose.

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:50 | Link to Comment tim73
tim73's picture

You do not! Us Albanians run the cleaner businesses, you dumbfuck. You Italians better concentrate in making lousy, no tomato crappy pizzas in NYC or ELSE! And we offer 250.  

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 11:13 | Link to Comment Stylianos Kyriacou
Stylianos Kyriacou's picture

RESPECT my brother!!!!  hehehe

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 10:50 | Link to Comment Die Weiße Rose
Die Weiße Rose's picture

Blankfein is still waiting patiently for his " 53.5% Greek Haircut "

he was last seen standing outside a Greek barber shop wearing a 1970 style Super-Jumbo Afro-Wig

"I want my " 53.5% Greek Afro Haircut " Now !" Blankfein shouted, denying that he was already bald.

According to a report in the German business newspaper Handelsblatt,

the communist group of Afro-Wig Wearing investors accepting losses voluntarily was not yet big enough for the debt deal to go ahead.

Under international finance laws, 90 % of  Super-Jumbo Afro-Wig Wearing Creditors must agree to the debt restructuring.

Therefore, Athens on Tuesday published details of a draft law that included a so-called collective action clause (CAC) to enforce participation by any reluctant Super-Jumbo Afro-Wig Wearing investor.

However, the move could be interpreted by financial markets as "disorderly default," said Hendrik Lodde, meaning that "claims from Credit Default Swaps would immediately become valid."

but by then Greece will have joined the Chinese Communist Party and moved their Athens HQ to Beijing...

http://www.dw.de/dw/article/0,,15755340,00.html

wr;)

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 11:00 | Link to Comment daxtonbrown
daxtonbrown's picture

Uh Oh! Perhaps my decision to go all in at 638% was hasty. What could have gone wrong?

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 12:13 | Link to Comment BlackholeDivestment
BlackholeDivestment's picture

 

 

                            ...gone mad? SHIIIIIT.

         This is just the sealing of the beast. Third gear is on deck. 

                 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7Ig2JJRpdo

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 12:23 | Link to Comment Spigot
Spigot's picture

Anything above Junk rates for sovereigns can be interpreted as the current bet on probablity of default payout (recovery rate):

Recovery % = 1/(1+(current%rate/100))

11.6% = 1/(1+(765%/100))

Current Recovery% per the market is about 11.6%

So, place yer bets ladys and gents, we've got a casino to run here!!

Wed, 02/22/2012 - 15:18 | Link to Comment virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

All bonds are certificates of confiscation at this point.  Rates go up? you lose, Dollar devalues? you lose, default? you lose.  Their rushing into "the safety of US Treasury's" but that house is on fire too!

 

How can any debt be 'sound' when the underlying currency is basket liner material?    It's all a con game at this point.. keep convincing the sheeple that green paper is actually worth something.

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sikefeier0728's picture

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Thu, 02/23/2012 - 08:16 | Link to Comment NFisher
NFisher's picture

I dont get this. Why would GGGB1YR go parabolic? Shouldnt they go to zilch? Who the hell buys this?

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