• EconMatters
    04/27/2015 - 14:18
    If the DOJ and CFTC is going to be consistent, then they have to indict the entire financial community from the CME, Exchanges, Brokers, Institutions, Investment Banks, Hedge Funds, Management Funds...

Tyler Durden's picture

Guest Post: Bubbles And Central Banks - Is There A Connection?

According to the popular way of thinking, bubbles are an important cause of economic recessions. The main question posed by experts is how one knows when a bubble is forming. It is held that if the central bankers knew the answer to this question they might be able to prevent bubble formations and thus prevent recessions. Contrary to Shiller, in order to establish that a bubble is forming we don’t need to apply the same methodology employed by psychologists. What we require is the establishment of a correct definition of what bubbles are all about. Once it is done, one discovers that bubbles have nothing to do with some kind psychological malfunction of individuals – they are the result of loose monetary policies of the central bank.

Tyler Durden's picture

Holiday Spending Plans Collapse

It seems, as Jim Quinn notes, the 99% are not cooperating with the 1% plan for economic recovery. As Gallup reports, average Americans plan on spending 10% less for Christmas gifts this year than last year. Not only that, but they are spending 19% less than they spent in 2007 and 18% less than they spent in 1999. The average American is spending less because they have less as the talking heads on CNBC and the rest of the MSM tell me that things are great. Opening stores on Thanksgiving will not save anyone and perhaps more critically, the last 2 times the November forecast for holiday spending slumped - the US entered recession!

Tyler Durden's picture

Did Twitter Break The Options Market? BATS Declares Self-Help Against CBOE

UPDATE: 23 minutes later - Self-Help is revoked...

Well that didn't take long...


But, as CNBC previously noted, we are getting used to these "broken markets" by now so it doesn't matter...

GoldCore's picture

Gold Flows East As Three Pieces Of Bacon Sell For €105 Million

Yesterday, the World Gold Council released its Gold Demand Trends 2013 Report which demonstrates quite clearly that the Chinese continue to accumulate gold; gold continues to flow east to both government and consumer channels.

Tyler Durden's picture

Spanish FinMin "Concerned" As Public Debt Surges To New Record

Spain’s public debt climbed sharply in September to a new record high of 954.863 billion euros, casting doubt about the government’s ability to meet its target for the end of the year. Even finance minister Cristobal Montoro acknowledged that "there are concerns about the pace of the increase," adding that this meant bringing down the public deficit even more of a priority. As El Pais reports, according to figures released Friday by the Bank of Spain, the state’s outstanding obligations climbed 10.181 billion euros in the month from August to a level equivalent to 93.4 percent of GDP. The government’s target for the full year is 94.2 percent, a figure that has already been revised upward. The central bank estimated GDP in the 12 months to September at 1.022 trillion euros. But, apart from that, Spanish bond spreads near pre-crisis lows...

Tyler Durden's picture

WTF Chart Of The Day: The "It's Not Working" Edition

Despite Janet Yellen's commitment to continue supporting the economic recovery the transmission system of government interventions is clearly broken. As STA Wealth Management's Lance Roberts shows in the simple chart below, it has taken $35.17 of government intervention to generate $1 of economic growth over the past 5 years. More importantly, the rate of diminishing returns is increasing. In other words, it is taking consistently more dollars of intervention to create an incremental increase in economic growth.

RANSquawk Video's picture

RANsquawk - Weekly Wrap - 15th November 2013

williambanzai7's picture


One heckuva job...

Tyler Durden's picture

Fact Or Fiction: The President's 11-Point Plan To "Fix" Obamacare

Responding to his administration’s ongoing struggles with the launch of Obamacare, President Barack Obama announced a proposal today that would enable insurance companies to grant one-year extensions to the health plans of Americans who would otherwise face cancellation. Here are some of Obama’s other plans to fix the troubled rollout of his signature health care law...

Tyler Durden's picture

CIA Database Tracks All US Money Transfers

While hardly as dramatic as ongoing revelations of Big NSA Brother probing every aspect of Americans' lives, overnight the WSJ reported that in addition to the complete loss of privacy - which should now be taken for granted - the CIA has been added to the list of entities that scrutinize every online interaction, and is "building a vast database of international money transfers, including Western Union, that includes millions of Americans' financial and personal data, officials familiar with the program say." The program will be (and is) carried out under the same provision of the Patriot Act that enables the National Security Agency to collect nearly all American phone records. In other words, instead of being upfront that all the CIA, and administration, care about is tracking large flows of money that may have "evaded" taxation, and is traditionally used by expats to send modest amounts of money back to their host countries, what the CIA is instead focusing on is whether mom and pop are using Western Union to deposit $500 in Al-Qaeda's account in Afghanistan.

Tyler Durden's picture

Twitter Options Open Over 25% More "Expensive" Than Facebook

Twitter's stock price is not happy. The unleashing of Twitter options this morning appears to have created a need to sell the underlying (after yesterday's exuberant pre-options jump). Over 1 million lots (100 million shares) have changed hands already in Twitter across all maturites but perhaps most notable is the demand. At-the-money implied volatility (an apples-to-apples way of comparing options 'costs') is around 50% for a December maturity which compares to 40% for Facebook options of the same maturity. It seems more than a few of the IPO owners are looking to hedge (as puts are notably more "expensive" than calls).

Tyler Durden's picture

Madrid Buried In Trash As Garbagemen Strike Continues For 10th Day

The trouble with proclaiming 'victory' over the crisis in Spain (read the whole of Europe) and the ECB enabling governments profligacy with the ghost of OMT future is that it merely emboldens. As Al Jazeera reports, Madrid's garbage collectors have been on strike since November 5 to protest layoffs and pay cuts. With garbage piling up on the streets of Madrid, the mayor issued private trash-collecting companies an ultimatum on Wednesday: end the street cleaners' strike or lose their contracts. More than 30,000 residents have signed a petition to the defense minister asking for the streets to be cleaned. The following images show the chaos...

Tyler Durden's picture

And Another Miss: Industrial Production Contracts 0.1% On Expectations Of A Rise

First it was the Empire Mfg Index. Now it is the turn of Industrial Production which as the Fed just reported declined by -0.1% in October, a drop from the upward revised 0.7% increase in September driven by a -1.6% collapse in mining and a -1.1% drop in Utilities, while pure manufacturing rose a modest 0.3% in October, just above the 0.1% from September. And confirming the increasing slack, Capacity Utilization dipped once again, from the 78.3 in September, to 78.1 once again driven by a notable drop in Mining Capacity down from 90.5 to 88.7. In short: the news today so far has been bad enough to validate the "BTFATH mentality" which means Kevin Henry's 1800 price target on the S&P remains unchanged.

Tyler Durden's picture

Goldman Previews Japan's QE Moar: "BOJ Could Purchases Outright Equities"

Two days ago, when we posted ""Frustrated" Liquidity Addicts Demand Moar From BOJ As Nikkei Rally Stalls", we suggested that more QE from the Bank of Japan is just around the corner (and likely to take place as early as April) as the only real "driver" behind Abenomics, the surge in the stock market had stalled for nearly 6 months. 48 hours later, and 700 points in the Nikkei higher, the realization that indeed more QE is coming has swept through the market like wildfire. So what will the Bank of Japan's expansion of quantitative easing look like, when supposedly only $75 billion per month amounting to a whopping 70% of all new issuance, is not enough? According to Goldman "the BoJ could take the lead in this reallocation process by notably increasing its purchases of risky assets, such as ETFs and RIETS, or even outright equities – say purchasing a wide range of Japanese equities by index weight." It may get even better: "the BoJ is likely to consider more unorthodox policy to push up inflation expectations" - like paradropping NGDP, better known as paradropping yen (a move Yellen herself is now contemplating as we previewed back in September).

Tyler Durden's picture

Venezuela Jails Over 100 "Bourgeois, Barbaric, Capitalist Parasites"

"It's time to deepen the offensive, go to the bone in this economic war," warned Venezuelan President Maduro - echoing Hugo Chavez's iron fist of socialism (and nationalization) before him - as his decision to jail over 100 businessmen is "defending the poor." As Reuters reports, plenty of Venezuelans have applauded his measures, saying price hikes were out of control, while others have expressed fears that Maduro could be uncorking dangerous forces as opposition forces note Maduro's economic policies were "chillingly similar" to those of Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe. Officials say unscrupulous companies have been hiking prices of electronics and other goods more than 1,000 percent. Critics say failed socialist economic policies and restricted access to foreign currency are behind Venezuela's runaway inflation. No matter which, Maduro thundered "They are barbaric, these capitalist parasites!"

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