Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 26





  • Bankers Brace for Fed Wind-Down (WSJ)
  • A Veteran Saudi Power Player Works To Build Support to Topple Assad (WSJ)
  • Gunmen shoot at weapons experts' vehicle in Damascus: U.N (Reuters) - as long as it's not drones
  • ECB Council Members Split in Jackson Hole Over Rate Cuts (BBG)
  • Fed Officials Rebuff Coordination Calls as QE Taper Looms (BBG)
  • As Egyptians Ignore Curfew, Talk of a U.S.-Brotherhood Conspiracy (NYT)
  • Pipeline-Capacity Squeeze Reroutes Crude Oil (WSJ)
  • Lawmakers Probe Willful Abuses of Power by NSA Analysts (BBG)
  • Indictments Expected in Alleged Trading Code Theft (WSJ)
  • India’s ONGC takes Africa gasfield stake (FT)
  • Capital Flight Drains Reserves as Rupee, Rupiah Fall (BBG)
  • Banks scale back rates business (FT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

New Week Starts With Another Full Market Halt





Last week it was the Nasdaq, today it was the Eurex Exchange, which broke down "due to technical issues" shortly after 2 am Eastern and which was offline for over an hour. Further keeping a lid on liquidity and upward momentum is today's UK market holiday which has resulted in a driftless move lower across European stocks, following a red close in the Nikkei225. It only means that the inevitable ramp up in the disconnected from all fundamentals and reality market will have to come only during US trading hours when the NY Fed trading desk steps up its POMO-aided levitation.

 
RANSquawk Video's picture

RANsquawk - Week Ahead - 26th August 2013





 
Tyler Durden's picture

Is The Secular Bear About To Growl?





Secular bear markets are not "one-way" down markets, but a series of "cylical" ups and downs. As the following series of charts of the inflation-adjusted S&P Composite shows, it would appear time (and price) is not on the side of this bull-market's extension...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

More Than One-Third Of Louisiana Unemployment Payments Are "Improper"





Louisiana tops the nation's list of "improper" payments for unemployment insurance with a 3-year rate of 38.67%.  Of course, this is the "improper" payments they know about (as only 29.7% of overpayments have been recovered). A stunning 28% of Louisanans who claimed benefits did so even after returning to work. However, while the Louisiana data points are bad, they are not alone. As the chart below shows... 16 states have "improper" payment rates of over 14%. One wonders why the world doesn't trust the US so much anymore?

 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Guest Post: Obama Picks Cass Sunstein (America’s Goebbels?) To Serve On NSA Oversight Panel





“It is the absolute right of the state to supervise the formation of public opinion.” - Goebbels

Only under the Obama Presidency, in which every appointment, minor or major, is handed only to the most corrupt, devious crony to be found, can a man like Cass Sunstein be appointed to serve on the NSA oversight panel.  Cass is a noted propagandist, who has advocated that government agents should infiltrate groups and discussions that push “conspiracy theories” in order to delegitimize them. But don’t take our word for it...

 
Pivotfarm's picture

US Bankrupt!





After the banks, after the city of Detroit it will be the USA that will be going bankrupt and filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. If only that were possible! But unfortunately it won’t be.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Things That Make You Go Hmmm... Like The Hypocrisy Of Bankers





The Hippocratic Oath is one of the most widely known Greek medical texts. It requires a new physician to swear upon a number of healing gods that he will uphold a set of professional ethical standards. The premise of the original Oath, which supposedly started out like this is clear: First, do no harm. Over the last several years, a new oath has appeared in the world of finance as global investment banks have been hauled in front of Senate committees, Congressional panels, various regulatory bodies, and (what always used to be the harshest of judges) the public: the Hypocritic Oath. It begins thus: First, admit no wrong.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

10-Year, Copper, Yen And Rupee: Key Technical Levels





BofA's MacNeill Curry warns that "several major FX, commodity, and bond markets are flashing warning signals of a change of trend." Specifically, he notes that JPY is set to resume its devaluation path (USDJPY bullish) with a 106.00 target; US 10Y Treasury bonds are "at risk" of a bullish turn on a break back below a yield of 2.802%. This would suggest the charts are beginning to price in a "Taper-on" story (as USD repatriation flows cease and allow the JPY to weaken and bonds rally back on 'moar printing') and perhaps that is what fits with his view that the Indian Rupee melt-down is showing signs of stalling.

 
williambanzai7's picture

WeLCoMe To MENA...





In one picture...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Logic Behind The Fed's Overnight Reverse Repo Facility: Not Taking, But Adding Liquidity





Much has been said about the recently announced (with the release of the Fed's July Minutes) proposal for a full-allotment overnight reverse repo facility, some of it confused, some of it desperate to read deeply into what the Fed is suggesting with this superficially tightening process, and most of it just plain wrong. What the Fed is simply trying to do with the O/N RRP, in a few words, is alleviate collateral pressures for "high-quality assets" - the same thing that the TBAC has been whining about for the past 2 quarters - by making available an elastic supply of risk-free assets to a fairly broad set of investors. As BofA adds, "The full-allotment feature would mean that eligible investors could effectively place as much cash as they wished at a fixed rate, which would be determined in advance by the Fed." In brief, a Fed O/N RRP facility would substantially reduce or even eliminate concerns about the lack of high quality liquid assets.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Gold Double-Slam Takes Out All Bids Following Price Spike





Minutes after ramping above the critical $1,400 level, gold has been slammed lower instantaneously, twice in the last hour, as a result of a rumored trade originating at the BIS (and specifically the desk of our old friend Benoit Gilson) slamming down the entire bid stack in a desperate case of "banging the open", giving up gold's gains from Friday's close...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Gold, Crude Spike On Pre-War Jitters





Events over the past 48 hours have shown beyond a reasonable doubt that the US may have the most confused, conflicting foreign policy of any western nation, on one hand banging the populist drums and demanding loudly that Syria allow UN inspectors, while on the other demanding even louder that no inspectors be allowed because they won't find anything. And while the US population has already spoken, with those who are against a US intervention outnumbering the false flag warmongers by a ratio of over 6 to 1, it is the market that is speaking even louder following the start of premarket trading on Sunday night with both key hard assets, gold and crude, spiking in early trading.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

BreaKim Bad: 40-50% Of North Koreans Seriously Addicted To Meth





Perhaps in an effort to numb themselves of the daily grind of a delusional dictator amid widespread starvation, North Koreans have turned en masse to the 'bingdu' or ice. As the WSJ notes, a study in the Spring of 2013 found that "Almost every adult in that area (of North Korea) has experienced using ice and not just once," and the author noted that "at least 40% to 50% are seriously addicted to the drug." Unsurprisingly for the closed nation, there is no official data, but as poppy fields disappeared in the nation, meth dealers were quick to step in and 'Heisenberg' the people's needs. Now "doing ice is a social thing; it is a lot of fun," as the 'epidemic' has spread from mid-ranking officials and police officers in 2004-2008 to the general population of students and youth now.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Africa: The Next Major Boom-Bust Cycle?





As Western economies start to regress in earnest following decades of failed and destructive monetary inflation and debt accumulation, yield-starved investors are allocating real capital to the one industrially untapped continent in the world: Africa. However, we’re not seeing industry moving to Africa to set up shop. Rather, politically-directed capital flowing into the African resources sector is fueling and financing the strongest consumer boom in the world. It’s a vendor financing model for Asia, and it portends a major boom and bust cycle for the African continental economy.

 
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