Well, who knew it was gonna actually get close to fisty-cuffs? According to CNN Polls, 65% believe Obama won (with 50% saying by a lot) and 19% that Romney won by a lot. Obama dominated speaking time 44:05 to a mere 40:50 for Romney (almost the same margin as in the last debate [12]); but Romney (somewhat ironically) crushed Obama in the drinking game 44:23. Obama Intrade Odds wavered during the debate ending marginally higher but S&P 500 futures are tracking lower. Twitter interest fell 30% from the first debate. Full Bloomberg Headlines and Top Ten Debate Lines below. Obama uttered a brisk 7651 words for a 173 word/min pace (172 last debate) while Romney's 8006 words were spoken at a 196 word/min pace (slower than his 217 pace of the last debate) but still the winner. So, time: Obama, drinking-game: Romney, word-count: Romney - the winner of tonight's debate is Mitt Romney.
The Ten Best Debate Lines (via Politico [13])
ROMNEY:
- “When do you graduate? 2014. When you come out in 2014, I presume I’m going to be president. I’m going to make sure you get a job.
- “When we’re talking about math that doesn’t add up, how about $5 trillion of deficits over the last four years. That’s math that doesn’t add up.”
- “We took a concerted effort to go out and find women who had backgrounds that could be qualified to become members of our cabinet. I went to a number of women’s groups and said, ‘Can you help us find folks.’ And they brought us whole binders full of women.”
- “You shouldn’t have to hire a lawyer to figure out how to get into this country legally.”
- “The president took Detroit bankrupt. You took General Motors bankrupt. You took Chrysler bankrupt. So when you say that I wanted to take the auto industry bankrupt, you actually did. And I think it’s important to know that was a process that was necessary to get those companies back on their feet so they could start hiring more people.”
OBAMA:
- “Gov. Romney doesn’t have a five-point plan; he has a one-point plan.
And that plan is to make sure that folks at the top play by a different
set of rules.” - “When he said behind closed doors that 47 percent of the country considers themselves victims who refuse personal responsibility, think about who he was talking about: folks on social security who have worked all their lives; veterans, who sacrificed for this country; students, who are out there trying to hopefully advance their own dreams but also this country’s dreams; soldiers, who are overseas fighting for us right now; people who are working hard every day.”
- “We haven’t heard from the governor any specifics beyond Big Bird and eliminating funding for Planned Parenthood in terms of how he pays for that.”
- “I don’t look at my pension. It’s not as big as yours, so it doesn’t take as long.”
- “Gov. Romney was a very successful investor. If somebody came to you, governor, with a plan that said, ‘Here, I want to spend $7 or $8 trillion and we’re going to pay for it but we can’t tell you until maybe after the election how we’re going to do it.’ You wouldn’t have taken such a sketchy deal and neither would you, the American people.”
Twitter Interest fell notably:
7.2 million tweets per min during debate, Twitter estimates. First debate saw 10 million, the Twitter record for political events.
— Alicia M. Cohn (@aliciacohn) October 17, 2012 [14]
CNN Poll [15]:
[16]
Time In The Game:
- Obama 44:05 Minutes
- Romney 40:50 Minutes
Winner: Obama
Drinking Game Stats (via @DebateDrinking) -
[17]
Winner: Romney
Bloomberg Headlines:
ROMNEY
*ROMNEY SAYS STUDENTS HAVE MORE DEBT ON THEIR BACKS THAN BEFORE
*ROMNEY SAYS 'JOBS HAVE BEEN TO SCARCE'
*ROMNEY SAYS THE PRESIDENT'S POLICIES DO NOT PUT PEOPLE TO WORK
*ROMNEY SAYS 'WE HAVE NOT MADE PROGRESS WE NEED TO MAKE'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'MY PLAN WAS TO HAVE DETROIT GO THROUGH BANKRUPTCY'
*ROMNEY SAYS BANKRUPTCY IS A PROCESS TO GET PEOPLE BACK ON FEET
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA'S 'DETROIT ANSWER IS WAY OFF THE MARK'
*ROMNEY SAYS OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION ARE DOWN ON FEDERAL LANDS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I BELIEVE IN OUR RENEWABLE CAPABILITIES'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'HOW IN THE WORLD DID PRES. SAY NO TO PIPELINE?'
*ROMNEY SAYS COAL JOBS AND PRODUCTION ARE NOT UP
*ROMNEY SAYS NO ONE BELIEVES OBAMA WILL PUSH FOR ENERGY JOBS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I WILL FIGHT TO CREATE MORE ENERGY' IN THE U.S.
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I WILL DRILL OFFSHORE IN ALASKA AND VIRGINA'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I DON'T HAVE A POLICY TO STOP WIND JOBS'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'MIDDLE INCOME TAX PAYERS HAVE BEEN BURIED'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I WANT TO BRING RATES DOWN ACROSS THE BOARD'
*ROMNEY SAYS THE TOP 5% OF THE TAX PAYERS 'WILL STAY THE SAME'
*ROMNEY SAYS NO LONGER WILL 'YOU PAY TAX ON YOUR SAVINGS'
*ROMNEY SAYS NO TAXES ON INTEREST/CAPITAL GAINS FOR MIDDLE CLASS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I AM NOT LOOKING TO CUT TAXES FOR WEALTHY PEOPLE'
*ROMNEY SAYS JOBS ARE GOING BECAUSE OF OBAMA'S POLICIES
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA TALKS ABOUT MY PLAN IN A WAY THAT IS FOREIGN
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I KNOW WHAT IT TAKES TO BALANCE BUDGETS'
*ROMNEY SAYS AS GOV. TRIED TO FIND WOMEN TO BE IN MY CABINET
*ROMNEY SAYS I REALIZE IF YOU HIRE WOMEN YOU NEED FLEXIBLE SKED
*ROMNEY SAYS HELPS TO ADAPT TO FLEXIBLE WORK SCHEDULE FOR WOMEN
*ROMNEY: EVERY WOMAN IN U.S. SHOULD HAVE ACCESS TO CONTRACEPTIVE
*ROMNEY SAYS PRES.BUSH HAD A DIFFERENT PATH FOR A DIFFERENT TIME
*ROMNEY SAYS IF YOU ELECT OBAMA 'YOU GET REPEAT OF LAST 4 YRS'
*ROMNEY SAYS THIS PRESIDENT 'CAN'T DO WHAT HE SAID HE WOULD DO'
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA 'DOESN'T UNDERSTAND' HOW TO CREATE JOBS
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA IS 'GREAT AS A SPEAKER' AND DESCRIBING VISION
*ROMNEY SAYS WE WELCOME PEOPLE IN THIS COUNTRY AS IMMIGRANTS
*ROMNEY SAYS WE SHOULD GIVE GREEN CARDS TO PEOPLE WITH SKILLS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'NEED TO STOP ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION'
*ROMNEY SAYS WON'T GRANT AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO COME ILLEGALLY
*ROMNEY SAYS THE E-VERIFIED PART OF ARIZ.LAW IS A NATIONAL MODEL
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I AM NOT IN FAVOR OF ROUNDING UP PEOPLE'
*ROMNEY SAYS MY INVESTMENTS ARE HANDLED BY BLIND TRUST
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA IS RIGHT 'THE BUCK DOES STOP AT HIS DESK'
*ROMNEY SAYS MANY DAYS PASSED BEFORE WE KNEW IF THIS WAS PROTEST
*ROMNEY SAYS 'WHY DIDN'T WE KNOW' REASONS BEHIND BENGHAZI ATTACK
*ROMNEY SAYS DAY AFTER BENGHAZI OBAMA FLEW TO FUNDRAISERS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'THIS WAS A TERRORIST ATTACK' NOT DEMONSTRATION
*ROMNEY SAYS LOOK AT THE SPACE BETWEEN 'US AND ISRAEL'
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA'S POLICIES IN MIDDLE EAST WERE 'APOLOGY TOUR'
*ROMNEY SAYS IT TOOK OBAMA 14 DAYS TO CALL BENGHAZI TERRORISM
*ROMNEY SAYS I AN NOT IN FAVOR OF MAKING CERTAIN GUNS ILLEGAL
*ROMNEY SAYS I DON'T WANT TO BRING ANY NEW GUN LEGISLATION
*ROMNEY SAYS 'TWO PARENT FAMILIES' MAKE POVERTY RATES GO DOWN
*ROMNEY SAYS GREATEST FAILURE OF ADMINSTRATION WAS FAST&FURIOUS
*ROMNEY SAYS I WANT TO UNDERSTAND FAST AND FURIOUS
*ROMNEY SAYS THE ASSAULT WEAPON BAN IN MASS. WAS BI-PARTISAN
*ROMNEY SAYS TRICKLE DOWN GOV'T WON'T CREATE MORE JOBS IN U.S.
*ROMNEY SAYS TRICKLE DOWN GOV'T HAS NEVER WORKED ANYWHERE
*ROMNEY SAYS 'CHINA HAS NOT PLAYED BY RULES' CURRENCY MANIPULATE
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMA REFUSES TO LABEL CHINA A CURRENCY MANIPULATOR
*ROMNEY SAYS CHINA TAKES UNFAIR ADVANTAGE OF MANUFACTURING
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I WILL BE STRICT WITH PEOPLE WE TRADE WITH'
*ROMNEY SAYS OBAMACARE HAS BEEN REASON COMPANIES ARN'T HIRING
*ROMNEY SAYS 'CHINA HAS BEEN CHEATING OVER THE YEARS'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'CHINA HAS BEEN STEALING OUR IP'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'CHINA HACKS INTO OUR COMPUTERS'
*ROMNEY SAYS GOVERNMENT DOESN'T CREATE JOBS
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I CARE ABOUT 100% OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE'
*ROMNEY SAYS 'I BELIEVE WE ARE ALL CHILDREN OF GOD'
OBAMA:
*OBAMA SAYS 'WE NEED TO BE CREATING JOBS IN THIS COUNTRY'
*OBAMA SAYS 'I WANT TO BUILD MANUFACTURING JOBS' IN THE U.S.
*OBAMA SAYS 'NEED TO MAKE SURE WE HAVE BEST EDUCATION SYSTEM'
*OBAMA SAYS 'HAVE TO REDUCE OUR DEFICIT' TO INVEST IN EDUCATION
*OBAMA SAYS 'ROMNEY HAS A ONE POINT PLAN'
*OBAMA SAYS PLAN HAS THOSE ON TOP 'PLAYING BY DIFFERENT RULES'
*OBAMA SAYS 'MOST IMPORTANT THING IS TO CONTROL OUR OWN ENERGY'
*OBAMA SAYS 'OIL IMPORTS ARE AT LOWEST LEVELS IN 16 YEARS'
*OBAMA SAYS WE HAVE ABOUT 600K JOBS THAT CAN COME FROM ENERGY
*OBAMA: ROMNEY'S PLAN 'TO LET OIL COMPANIES WRITE ENERGY POLICY'
*OBAMA SAYS 'VERY LITTLE OF WHAT GOV. ROMNEY SAYS IS TRUE'
*OBAMA SAYS ALL OF A SUDDEN ROMNEY IS A CHAMPION OF ENERGY
*OBAMA SAYS 'WE ARE STARTING TO BUILD MORE EFFICIENT CARS'
*OBAMA SAYS WITH ROMNEY'S POLICY WE COULD BE IN FINANCIAL MESS
*OBAMA SAYS 'MY TAX PHILOSOPHY IS SIMPLE'
*OBAMA SAYS 'WANT TO CONTINUE TAX CUTS ON MIDDLE CLASS'
*OBAMA SAYS 'THE WEALTHY DO A LITTLE BIT MORE' ON PAYING TAXES
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY'S ALLIES IN CONGRESS ARE HOLDING 98% HOSTAGE
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY AND I 'JUST HAVE A DIFFERENT THEORY' ON TAXES
*OBAMA SAYS 'TOP DOWN ECONOMICS' WON'T WORK FOR EVERYBODY
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY 'CAN'T TELL YOU' WHAT LOOPHOLES HE WILL CLOSE
*OBAMA SAYS THE COST OF WHAT ROMNEY WANTS TO DO IS ABOUT $8T
*OBAMA: ROMNEY IDEAS 'BIG BIRD & DEFUNDING PLANNED PARENTHOOD'
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY'S TAX PLAN DOES NOT ADD UP
*OBAMA SAYS ONE OF THE FIRST BILLS I SIGNED WAS LILY LEDBETTER
*OBAMA SAYS LILY LEDBETTER ACT IS NOT WOMEN'S ISSUE,FAMILY ISSUE
*OBAMA DEFUNDING PLANNED PARENTHOOD IS A POCKETBOOK ISSUE
*OBAMA:ROMNEY FEELS OK HAVING WASHINGTON DECIDE ON WOMEN HEALTH
*OBAMA SAYS WHEN I STARTED 'WE CAME IN DURING HARD TIMES'
*OBAMA SAYS 'YOU ARE LAST PERSON WHO WILL GET TOUGH ON CHINA'
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY IS DIFFERENT THAN BUSH
*OBAMA SAYS BUSH NEVER SAID TO STOP PLANNED PARENTHOOD FUNDING
*OBAMA: BUSH UNLIKE ROMNEY WAS IN FAVOR OF IMMIGRATION REFORM
*OBAMA SAYS OBAMACARE IS SAME HEALTHCARE PLAN AS ROMNEYCARE
*OBAMA SAYS 'TALENT FROM ALL AROUND THE WORLD WANT TO COME HERE'
*OBAMA SAYS WE NEED TO FIX A BROKEN IMMIGRATION SYSTEM
*OBAMA SAYS IF WE 'GO AFTER' ILLEGALS, GO FOR CRIMINALS
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY SAID HE WOULD 'VETO THE DREAM ACT'
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY BELIEVED IN SELF-DEPORTATION AND ARIZ. LAW
*OBAMA SAYS 'MY PENSION IS NOT AS BIG AS YOURS GOV. ROMNEY'
*OBAMA SAYS 'WE HAVEN'T SEEN REPUBLICANS SERIOUS ON IMMIGRATION'
*OBAMA SAYS 'NOBODY IS MORE CONCERNED ABOUT DIPLOMATS THAN I'
*OBAMA SAYS 'WHEN FOLKS MESS WITH AMERICANS WE GO AFTER THEM'
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY PUT OUT PRESS RELEASE AFTER BENGHAZI
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY'S RELEASE WAS POLITICAL NOT PRESIDENTIAL
*OBAMA SAYS IN TERMS OF BENGHAZI'WE WILL FIND OUT WHAT HAPPENED'
*OBAMA SAYS SEC. CLINTON HAS DONE GREAT JOB,BUT SHE WORKS FOR ME
*OBAMA SAYS DAY AFTER BENGHAZI ATTACK, I SAID THIS WAS TERRORISM
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY SUGGESTION WE PLAY POLITICS IS OFFENSIVE
*OBAMA SAYS NO ONE ON OBAMA TEAM WOULD PLAY POLITICS OR MISLEAD
*OBAMA SAYS THAT HE CALLED ATTACK TERROR THE DAY AFTER BENGHAZI
*OBAMA SAYS AMERICA HAS LONG TRADITION OF HUNTING, PROTECTION
*OBAMA SAYS WE NEED TO MAKE SURE TO NOT GIVE CRIMINALS GUNS
*OBAMA SAYS WEAPONS FOR SOLIDERS SHOUDLN'T BE ON STREETS
*OBAMA SAYS HE WANTS TO LOOK INTO ASSAULT WEAPONS BAN
*OBAMA SAYS AUTOMATIC WEAPONS SHOULD BE OUT OF CRIMINAL HANDS
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY WAS FOR ASSAULT WEAPON BAN BEFORE AGAINST IT
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY SAID HIRING TEACHERS DOESNT GROW ECONOMY
*OBAMA SAYS GOV. ROMNEY AND I BOTH WANT TO LOWER CORP.TAX RATES
*OBAMA SAYS 'WE ARE ON PACE TO DOUBLE OUR EXPORTS'
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY'S COMPANY INVESTED IN PIONEERS OF OUTSOURCING
*OBAMA SAYS THERE ARE SOME JOBS THAT WON'T COME BACK TO AMERICA
*OBAMA SAYS 'I WANT HIGH WAGE, HIGH SKILL JOBS' IN AMERICA
*OBAMA SAYS 'I DON'T BELIEVE GOV'T CREATES JOBS'
*OBAMA SAYS 'I ALSO BELIEVE EVERYBODY SHOULD HAVE FAIR SHOT'
*OBAMA SAYS THERE IS DIFFERENT VISION ABOUT MOVING U.S. FORWARD
*OBAMA SAYS ROMNEY'S 47% ARE VETS, STUDENTS, MIDDLE CLASS
Word-clouds to come... to break the tie...
Obama - 7,651 words (seemed to like talking about Governor (62x) Romney (43x), Jobs, Got Going, and Country)
[18]
Romney - 8,006 words (People, Get Going, Four Years, Jobs, Want)
[19]
So - the results are in:
- Time - Obama
- Drinking Game - Romney
- Word-Count - Romney
The Winner Is: Mitt Romney