8.5%
Morons At The Precipice
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/12/2015 13:25 -0500Seven years of zero rates, massive monetary inflation and incessant market backstopping have desensitized and anesthetized. Rational thought ultimately succumbed to "perpetual money machine" quackery. And now all of this greatly increases vulnerability to destabilizing market dislocations, as senses are restored and nerves awakened. "A lot of this looks like late 2007 or early 2008," warns one manager, but today, market mispricing is systemic and global – virtually all securities classes at home and abroad.
Living A Lie
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2015 21:21 -0500The lies we tell ourselves are only exceeded by the lies perpetrated by those controlling the levers of our society. The country has been living a Big Lie since the day Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, eliminating any vestiges of constraint upon central bankers and politicians.
Beware The "Massive Stop Loss" - JPM's Head Quant Warns This Unexpected Downside Catalyst Looms Next Week
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/07/2015 18:39 -0500"There are $1.1 trillion of S&P 500 options expiring on Friday morning. $670Bn of these are puts, of which $215Bn are struck relatively close below the market level, between 1900 and 2050. At the time of the Fed announcement, these put options will essentially look like a massive stop loss order under the market. This important event falls at a peculiar time—less than 48 hours before the largest option expiry in many years. "
This Is How GOLD Acted During Past Rising Rate Cycles
Submitted by Secular Investor on 11/19/2015 09:38 -0500Presenting 8 charts that proof Wall Street pundits are (mostly) WRONG...
Texan Turmoil - Visualizing The Growing (& Shrinking) Local Economies Across America
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/18/2015 21:30 -0500
The 1% Is Rolling Over
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/18/2015 20:30 -0500Today’s financial world is a tough place for the average person but paradise for rich guys. As easy money raises asset prices, the owners of those assets make effortless profits. Then they buy expensive toys and trophy properties. Hence the recent boom in fine art, high-end real estate, yachts and private jets. But like all financial trends, this one has a limit, and that limit is now in sight. The 1%, it seems, is rolling over...
The Poisonous Cocktail Of Main Street Woes And Federal Reserve Liftoff
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/18/2015 09:36 -0500Sure, the stock market had a great October with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping by 8.5%, but the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is too stark to ignore, and the Federal Reserve is about to pop the easy-money financial bubble.
Frontrunning: November 18
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/18/2015 08:02 -0500- Security jitters drive European investors back to safe havens (Reuters)
- Global Anti-ISIS Alliance Begins to Emerge (WSJ)
- Merkel says cancelling soccer match was 'responsible' decision (Reuters)
- Paris attacker may have had accomplice on journey through Balkans (Reuters)
- Drop Assad demands if you want to unite against Islamic State: Russia to West (Reuters)
- Putin sets up commission to combat terrorism financing (Reuters)
Breadth, Buybacks, & The Piercing Of The "Grandaddy Of All Bubbles"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/15/2015 18:15 -0500Global policymakers have gone to incredible measures to stabilize market, financial and economic backdrops. Yet reflationary measures will continue to only further destabilize. When policy-induced “risk on” is overpowering global securities markets, fragilities remain well concealed. Fragilities, however, swiftly manifest with the reappearance of “risk off.” Rather quickly securities markets demonstrate their proclivity for illiquidity and so-called “flash crashes.” So after an unsettled week in global markets, the critical issue is whether “risk on” is giving way to “risk off” dynamics.
Global Trade (Still) In Freefall: Imports Collapse At Largest Three US Ports
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/15/2015 15:10 -0500For the latest bit of evidence that global trade is indeed in free fall, look no further than the container terminals at the ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, Calif. and around New York harbor which handle more than 50% of seaborne freight coming into the US. As it turns out, “peak” season turned out to be anything but.
Another Bubble Bursts: Ultra Luxury London Home Prices Tumble 12%
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/12/2015 22:01 -0500“The bubble may already have burst” for the most expensive homes, Barber said. Now, "36 percent of all properties currently on the market across prime central London are being marketed at a lower price than they were originally listed at, with the average reduction in price being 8.5 percent."
Emerging Markets Slide On Strong Dollar; China Surges On Bad Data, IPOs; Futures Falter
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/09/2015 06:50 -0500- 8.5%
- Australia
- BOE
- Bond
- Carry Trade
- China
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Czech
- Daimler
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- Foreclosures
- Germany
- Global Economy
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Hungary
- India
- Iran
- Jaguar
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Lehman
- Market Share
- Mexico
- Monetary Policy
- Nikkei
- NYMEX
- OPEC
- Poland
- Price Action
- Real estate
- recovery
- San Francisco Fed
- Saudi Arabia
- Slovakia
- St Louis Fed
- St. Louis Fed
- Turkey
- Unemployment
- Volatility
Once again, the two major macroeconomic announcements over the weekend came from China, where we first saw an unexpected, if still to be confirmed, increase in FX reserves, and then Chinese trade data once again disappointed tumbling by 6.9% while imports plunged 18.8%. So how did the market react? The Shanghai Composite Index rose for a fourth day and reached its highest since August 20because more bad data means more easing from the PBOC, and just to give what few investors are left the green light to come back into the pool, overnight Chinese brokers soared after Chinese IPOs returned after a 5 month hiatus. Elsewhere, Stocks and currencies in emerging markets slump on prospect of higher U.S. borrowing costs before year-end and after data underscored slowdown in Asia’s biggest economy. Euro strengthens.
What The Oil And Gas Industry Is Not Telling Investors
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/02/2015 18:55 -0500There are very real threats to the business models of oil companies, threats that need to be explained to investors, according to a new report by Carbon Tracker. Right now, those threats are not being taken seriously.
'Lipstick'-ing The GDP Pig Amid An Epochal Global Deflationary Swoon
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/31/2015 11:15 -0500The talking heads were busy this week powdering the GDP pig. By averaging up the “disappointing” 1.5% gain for Q3 with the previous quarter they were able to pronounce that the economy is moving forward at an “encouraging” 2% clip. And once we get through this quarter’s big negative inventory adjustment, they insisted, we will be off to the ‘escape velocity’ races. Again. No we won’t! The global economy is in an epochal deflationary swoon and the US economy has already hit stall speed. It is only a matter of months before this long-in-the-tooth 75-month old business expansion will rollover into outright liquidation of excess inventories and hoarded labor. That is otherwise known as a recession.
The 6 Reasons China and Russia Are Catching Up to the U.S. Military
Submitted by George Washington on 10/28/2015 18:08 -0500As An American, I'm FURIOUS that We've Squandered Our Strengths and Resources ...




