Yuan
Frontrunning: October 30
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/30/2012 06:51 -0500- U.S. Super Storm’s Record Flooding Lands Blackout Blow (Bloomberg)
- Sandy Carves a Path of Destruction Across the U.S. East Coast (WSJ)
- Losses May Exceed Those of 2011 Storm (WSJ)
- Hurricane Sandy Threatens $20 Billion in Economic Damage (Bloomberg)
- Huge fire in Sandy's wake destroys dozens of NYC homes (Reuters)
- Possible levee break in New Jersey floods three towns (Reuters)
- Apple Mobile Software Head Forstall Refused to Sign Apology (WSJ)
- Stagflation in Spain (Bloomberg)
- German Oct. Unemployment Rose Twice as Much as Forecast (Bloomberg)
- A declining Japan loses its once-hopeful champions (WaPo)
- Unable to copy it, China tries building own jet engine (Reuters)
- Obama Signs Disaster Declarations for NY, NJ (YNN)
With American Markets Shut For Second Day, China And Japan Come To Its Rescue
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/30/2012 06:25 -0500
With the stock markets of the "developed world" in limbo for the second straight day and leaderless as New York is paralyzed, and the US was set to be closed for a second straight day, and with futures tumbling to their lowest level in over 2 months overnight, it was time for the East to step up. And step up it did! First, it was China's turn, which while still refusing to ease outright, conducted a massive 395 billion yuan reverse repo - this operation is the biggest on record, according to Bloomberg data going back to 2004, which in turn sent China's seven-day Repo rate plunging the most since January. And because this whopping injection would prove to be promptly internalized, a few short hours later Japan followed with nothing less than QE9! Just around 2 am eastern, the BOJ announced the 9th installment in its neverending monetary farce, when it said it would proceed to monetize an additional Y11 trillion in assets. From BusinessWeek: "The BOJ expanded its asset-purchase program by 11 trillion yen ($138 billion) to 66 trillion yen, the central bank said after a policy meeting today. The range of forecasts in a Bloomberg survey was from 10 trillion yen to 20 trillion yen." Of course, in this bizarro world in which intervention is the only thing left, the latest Japanese QE had an immediate and opposite effect of that planned, sending the USDJPY lower the second it was announced, as the amount announced was disappointing to most who had expected even more easing, and the halflife was for the first time in recorded monetary intervention history, absolute zero! But at least this failed intervention for Japan, helped America, sending ES from 1393, a full 13 ticks higher, where they are now. And so the epic defense of 1400 (and 1.2900 in EURUSD) continues for a 5th straight day!
How Central Bank Policy Impacts Asset Prices Part 3: FX
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2012 13:41 -0500
The actions of the world's central banks, from driving rates to the limit or beyond ZIRP into the unconventional moeny-printing (or more acquiescent QE), there is little doubt that the currency wars are under way. As SocGen notes, the spillovers from advanced economies' actions (exporting inflation) into EM currency appreciation create subsequent needs for EM bank actions at times when inflationary concerns remain high. With the Yuan at 19 year highs and suffering from outflows, the potential for QE-based inflows this time could be welcome by the CCP.
Frontrunning: October 26
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2012 06:29 -0500- AllianceBernstein
- American Campus Communities
- Apple
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Boeing
- Bond
- Bond Dealers
- China
- Citigroup
- Credit Suisse
- Deutsche Bank
- Fail
- Ford
- Germany
- Greece
- Insider Trading
- International Monetary Fund
- Ireland
- Japan
- KKR
- LBO
- LIBOR
- Mexico
- Morgan Stanley
- Private Equity
- Raj Rajaratnam
- Raymond James
- Real estate
- Recession
- Redstone
- Reuters
- Spirit Aerosystems
- Unemployment
- Viacom
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- Yuan
- Greece Faces Need for Additional Assistance: €30 billion (WSJ)
- Greeks fail to agree on bailout terms (FT)
- The report that got the NYT banned on the Chinese interweb: Billions in Hidden Riches for Family of Chinese Leader (NYT)
- Bo Xilai: China parliament expels disgraced politician (BBC)
- Japan Adds Stimulus Amid Threat of Bond-Sale Disruption... $9.4 billion (Bloomberg)
- Hubbard Said to Prefer Treasury Chief to Fed If Romney Wins (Bloomberg)
- 9 More Banks Subpoenaed Over Libor (WSJ)
- Romney raises $112m in 17 days (FT)
- Amid Cutbacks, Greek Doctors Offer Message to Poor: You Are Not Alone (NYT)... no, we are all broke
- Muni Downgrades Top 2011 Total on Weak Economy: Moody’s (Bloomberg)
- Ireland urges ECB to commit to bond-buying (FT)
- Cameron and Clegg unite in EU demands (FT)
Frontrunning: October 25
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/25/2012 06:31 -0500- AllianceBernstein
- Apple
- Bad Bank
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Barclays
- BBY
- Best Buy
- Boeing
- China
- Citigroup
- Corruption
- Countrywide
- Credit Suisse
- Crude
- Deutsche Bank
- Evercore
- Fannie Mae
- Federal Deficit
- Freddie Mac
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Honeywell
- Japan
- JPMorgan Chase
- Keefe
- LIBOR
- Motorola
- Raj Rajaratnam
- Raymond James
- Recession
- Reuters
- SAC
- Starwood
- Starwood Hotels
- Time Warner
- Transparency
- Treasury Department
- Verizon
- Wall Street Journal
- Yuan
- Japan grapples with own fiscal cliff (Bloomberg)
- Japan Protests After Four Chinese Vessels Enter Disputed Waters (Bloomberg)
- Asian Stocks Rise as Exporters Gain on China, U.S. Data (Bloomberg)
- An obsolete Hilsenrath speaks: Fed Keeps Rates Low, Says Growth Is Moderate (WSJ)
- ECB Said to Push Spain’s Bankia to Swap Junior Debt for Shares (Bloomberg)
- Spain’s Bad Bank Seen as Too Big to Work (Bloomberg)
- China postpones Japan anniversary events (China Daily)
- Carney Says Rate Increase ‘Less Imminent’ on Economy Risk (Bloomberg)
- Credit Suisse to Cut More Costs as Quarterly Profit Falls (Bloomberg)
- Obama offers a glimpse of his second-term priorities (Reuters)
- Draghi defends bond-buying programme (FT)
Frontrunning: October 24
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/24/2012 06:41 -0500- Apple
- B+
- BAC
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- BOE
- Bond
- CBL
- China
- Citigroup
- Copper
- Crude
- Deutsche Bank
- Fisher
- France
- Germany
- Hong Kong
- Institutional Investors
- Insurance Companies
- Japan
- Keefe
- KKR
- Madison Dearborn
- Markit
- Merrill
- Mervyn King
- Monetization
- New York City
- New York Stock Exchange
- Nomura
- NYSE Euronext
- People's Bank Of China
- Real estate
- recovery
- Reuters
- Royal Bank of Scotland
- Wall Street Journal
- Yuan
- China May Forgo Easing as Economy Rebounds, Survey Shows (Bloomberg)... or as food and house inflation has never gone away
- China Edges Out U.S. as Top Foreign-Investment Draw Amid World Decline (WSJ)
- Fed to keep buying bonds despite firmer U.S. growth (Reuters)
- Bernanke Seen Attacking Jobless Rate With QE Until His Term Ends (Bloomberg)
- Mortgage applications plunge 12%, down for third week in a row (Dow Jones)
- Exchanges Retreat on Trading Tools - Fund Managers, Regulators Say Certain Orders Are Risky, Aid High-Speed Firms (WSJ)
- Europe Bank Chief to Defend Bond-Buying Plan (WSJ)
- Japan, China Envoys Met Last Week for Talks on Island Feud (Bloomberg)
- Goldman’s Pill Says ‘Guerrilla’ ECB to Impose Losses on Skeptics (BBG)
- Chance rise of an Obama defeat (FT)
- King Says BOE Is Ready to Add to QE If U.K. Recovery Fades (Bloomberg)
- Rajoy Sees Case for Slowing Spain’s Austerity as Economy Shrinks (BusinessWeek)
- Hong Kong Intervenes to Defend Peg as Upper Limit Tested (Bloomberg)
Frontrunning: October 23
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/23/2012 06:29 -0500- B+
- Barack Obama
- China
- Citigroup
- Comcast
- Credit Suisse
- Exxon
- France
- General Motors
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Japan
- Keefe
- KIM
- Kimco
- Mexico
- Miller Tabak
- Morgan Stanley
- net interest margin
- News Corp
- Obama Administration
- President Obama
- ratings
- Recession
- recovery
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Starwood
- Tax Revenue
- Tender Offer
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- Wilbur Ross
- Willis Group
- Yuan
- Moody’s Cuts Ratings on Catalonia, Four Other Spanish Regions (Bloomberg)
- And the market top: Billionaire Ross Interested in Buying Spanish Bank Assets (Bloomberg)
- Japan Jojima denies govt seeks $250 bln BOJ asset buying boost (Reuters)
- China hints at move to strengthen Communist rule (Reuters)... well everyone else is doing it
- Euro-Area Bailout Fund Faces Challenge at EU’s Highest Court (Bloomberg)
- Obama, Romney now tied in presidential race: Reuters/Ipsos poll (Reuters)
- Former China Leader Jiang Resurfaces Before Political Transition (Bloomberg)
- Some in Congress look to $55 billion fiscal cliff 'fallback' (Reuters)
- CLOs stage comeback in US (FT)
- TXU Teeters as Firms Reap $528 Million Fees (Bloomberg)
- China’s Factories Losing Pricing Power in Earnings Threat (Bloomberg)
Frontrunning: October 22
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/22/2012 06:28 -0500- B+
- Barclays
- Bloomberg News
- Bond
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Confidence
- Credit Suisse
- Currency Peg
- Deutsche Bank
- Fail
- Fannie Mae
- General Motors
- Germany
- GOOG
- Hong Kong
- Iran
- ISI Group
- Japan
- Lloyds
- Merrill
- Monetary Policy
- Morgan Stanley
- Natural Gas
- People's Bank Of China
- Quantitative Easing
- RBS
- Reuters
- Royal Bank of Scotland
- SL Green
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- Yuan
- Dead Heat for Romney, Obama (WSJ)
- The Cheerful Billionaire Who Thinks Obama's a Socialist (Businessweek)
- "Get to work, Mr. Japanese Chairman": Japan Exports Tumble 10% as Maehara Presses BOJ to Ease (Bloomberg)
- Chinese Investors Fear Chill in Canada (WSJ)
- Rosneft Buys BP’s TNK-BP Stake for $26 Billion in Cash, Shares (Bloomberg)
- Hong Kong Defends Its Currency Peg for First Time Since 2009 (Bloomberg)
- Democrats threaten payroll tax cut consensus (FT)
- Spain's Rajoy gets mixed message in regional votes (Reuters)
- Merkel to warn UK on Europe budget veto (FT)
- Netanyahu says doesn't know of any U.S.-Iran talks (Reuters)... neither does Iran, so near certainty
- Der Kurrency Tsar: ECB’s Knot Backs Schaeuble Call for Stronger EU Budget Power (Bloomberg)
- Fannie Mae Limiting Loans Helps JPMorgan Mortgage Profits (Bloomberg)
China, China, Everywhere; But Not A Drop Of QE To Drink
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/21/2012 20:44 -0500
With this evening's news that Japan and the USA are 'backing down' from a planned 'joint security drill' to recapture a remote 'uninhabited' island in Okinawa province (apparently amid concerns of backlash from Beijing); and chatter of the PBoC gauging demand for reverse repos (instead of flooding us with newly minted Yuan which everyone believes is just the remedy), it seems very clear who the world's super-power is (militarily and economically). Furthermore, as The Diplomat explains, multi-faceted challenges to the new leadership — possible economic stagnation, social unrest, elite disunity, and a revival of pro-democracy forces — will make it more distracted and less politically capable to maintain discipline on numerous actors now involved in China's foreign policy. The effects of such accumulated internal woes, while not necessarily aggressive, are certain to be an erratic pattern of behavior that both worries and puzzles China's neighbors and the rest of the international community. As they note, the only thing we are certain about is undertainty. "Be careful what you wish for. A weaker China could nevertheless inflict serious damage to the world order."
Overnight Sentiment: Another Disappointing European Summit
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/19/2012 06:14 -0500Yesterday for the first time in years, the irrelevant headlines out of Europe, which continues to pretend to shuffle money out of one pocket (Germany's) into another (everyone else's), was well-deservedly backstage to the Google earnings fiasco one day ahead of the 25th anniversary of Black Monday (which is today). The EU summit was one of the more toothless ones in a long time, with no discussions at all of the one item that matters - Spain's bailout (as well as Greece's) - but with a lot of fluff considerations for a EU banking union and joint deposit guarantees - events which, like in the June summit, Germany has implicitly gone along with for the ride, but explicitly has said only over its dead body and in which it will not participate (note we said "pretends" above). The summit continues today for a second day, and will hardly make any more news than it did yesterday. In real news, GE missed revenue expectations and joins virtually every other company this earnings seasons in confirming deteriorating unfudgable topline conditions. Elsewhere, in Greece a pool by VPRC for Greece Tomorrow showed that the anti-bailout Syriza party would win outright with 30.5% of the vote, with New Democracy getting 27% and the Pasok coalition partners getting 5%. The Neo-Nazis would get 14%. Also notable is that on Sunday Spanish regions Basque country and Galicia hold local elections. As Rabobank warns, Galicia is Rajoy’s home region, and traditional stronghold of his Popular Party. A poor PP showing may highlight political hurdle to making bailout request, thus challenging the recent OMT-inspired support to Spanish bonds. This in turn would confirm what we have said all along, namely that a bailout request means an end to the current ruling regime and political chaos. Finally, the November 25 Catalonian elections may also trigger Spanish euphoria reversal.
Frontrunning: October 16
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/16/2012 06:28 -0500- Apple
- Australia
- B+
- Bank of New York
- Barack Obama
- Barclays
- Blackrock
- Bond
- Brazil
- China
- Citigroup
- Commercial Paper
- Consumer Confidence
- CPI
- Credit Line
- Credit Suisse
- Creditors
- default
- European Union
- Eurozone
- Federal Reserve
- Federal Reserve Bank
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- Germany
- Henderson
- Hong Kong
- Housing Market
- Iran
- Israel
- iStar
- Italy
- Japan
- LIBOR
- Natural Gas
- News Corp
- Portugal
- Raymond James
- RBS
- Real estate
- Recession
- recovery
- Reuters
- Rupert Murdoch
- Serious Fraud Office
- State Street
- Trade Balance
- Verizon
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- World Trade
- Yuan
- Hillary Clinton Accepts Blame for Benghazi (WSJ)
- In Reversal, Cash Leaks Out of China (WSJ)
- Spain Considers EU Credit Line (WSJ)
- China criticizes new EU sanctions on Iran, calls for talks (Reuters)
- Portugal sees third year of recession in 2013 budget (Reuters)
- Greek PM says confident Athens will secure aid tranche (Reuters)
- Fears over US mortgages dominance (FT)
- Fed officials offer divergent views on inflation risks (Reuters)
- China Credit Card Romney Assails Gives Way to Japan (Bloomberg)
- Fed's Williams: Fed Actions Will Improve Growth (WSJ)
- Rothschild Quits Bumi to Fight Bakries’ $1.2 Billion Offer (Bloomberg)
As Far as the Eye Can See: Stagnation
Submitted by ilene on 10/15/2012 21:17 -0500One way or another, change is coming.
Frontrunning: October 15
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/15/2012 06:30 -0500- Australia
- Blackrock
- California Public Employees' Retirement System
- China
- Citigroup
- Credit Suisse
- Creditors
- Crude
- default
- Evercore
- France
- Global Economy
- Greece
- Hong Kong
- Japan
- Keefe
- Lazard
- Merrill
- Morgan Stanley
- Natural Gas
- New Zealand
- Newspaper
- Raymond James
- Real estate
- Realty Income
- recovery
- Reuters
- Royal Bank of Scotland
- Securities and Exchange Commission
- Wall Street Journal
- World Bank
- Yuan
- Hilsenrath Humor du jour: Bernanke Advocates Stronger Currencies (WSJ)
- Auditors want two more years for Greece on deficit (Spiegel)
- More bluster: Schaeuble Rules Out Greek Default as Samaras, Troika Bargain (Bloomberg)
- And even more bluster: De Jager Says Greece Needs to Make Fiscal Reforms Immediately (Bloomberg)
- Global Economy Distress 3.0 Looms as Emerging Markets Falter (Bloomberg)
- Central bank governor stresses inflation control (China Daily)
- Greek Yields Reach Post Debt-Swap Low as Bunds Slip on Schaeuble (Bloomberg)
- Roth and Shapely win Nobel prize for economics (Reuters)
- Fed chief rounds on stimulus critics (FT)
- IMF Board Sees Biggest Power Shift Reshuffle in Two Decades (Bloomberg)
- EU Girds for Summit as Nobel’s Glow Fades on Crisis Response (Bloomberg)
- Japan security environment tougher than ever (Reuters)
Frontrunning: October 10
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/10/2012 06:14 -0500- Apple
- Bain
- Bank of England
- Barack Obama
- Barclays
- BOE
- Budget Deficit
- China
- Citigroup
- Corruption
- Credit Suisse
- Exxon
- Fitch
- France
- General Electric
- Germany
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Greece
- Hong Kong
- Housing Bubble
- International Monetary Fund
- Janet Yellen
- Japan
- Keefe
- Merrill
- Mervyn King
- national security
- Newspaper
- Raymond James
- Real estate
- Reuters
- Roger Penske
- Spectrum Brands
- Vladimir Putin
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- Yuan
- U.S. Military Is Sent to Jordan to Help With Crisis in Syria (NYT)
- IMF Weighing New Loans for Europe (WSJ)
- Romney Targets Obama Voters (WSJ)
- China’s Central Banker Won’t Attend IMF Meeting Amid Island Spat (Bloomberg)
- Japan Calls China PBOC Chief Skipping IMF Meeting ‘Regrettable’ (Bloomberg)
- German media bristles at hostile Greek reception for Merkel (Reuters)
- The End Might Be Near for Opel (Spiegel)
- IMF sounds alarm on Japanese banks (FT)
- Cash Tap Stays Dry for EU Banks (WSJ)
- Goldman in Push On Volcker Limits (WSJ)
- IMF Vinals: Further Policy Efforts Needed to Gain Lasting Stability (WSJ)
- King signals inflation not primary focus (FT)
Overnight Sentiment Liquid: IMF Cold Water And PBOC Reverse Repo Gusher
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/09/2012 06:30 -0500Overnight sentiment is decidedly negative, following the across the board cut of growth forecasts by the IMF late yesterday. The only bright light was the PBOC dumping 265 billion yuan ($42.1 billion) in reverse repos in an open-market operation (a liquidity adding operation) whose only purpose was to roll the massive reverse repo from before the Golden Week. The resulting 2% jump in the Shanghai Composite came as traders expect an imminent rate cut by the PBOC. The irony of course is that as long as Reverse Repos are the liquification instrument of choice, the local central bank will do nothing else in an economy which is once again overheating in several industries, the most important of which continues to be housing. Furthermore, as long as the spectre of a 15% surge in pork prices is over the horizon, the PBOC will do nothing. Period. Elsewhere, as BBG summarizes, FX is mostly modestly lower with the AUD outperforming on rising iron ore price. Metals mostly modestly lower despite the crippling South African strike which has now migrated to catch iron ore mines as well. Treasury yields moderately lower, partly in catch-up after yesterday’s holiday. Bund yields modestly higher sovereign-to German yield spreads mixed with mostly modest changes. Few if any macro economic news today.



