I strongly suspect that Ms. Holmes' delusions that she's going to pull herself out of this mess will, at long last, be dismissed when the reaction she gets to this "3 for 1" offer is the sound of crickets.
European shares and S&P futures are modestly lower this morning, dragged down by fresh geopolitical concerns out of North Korea which last night fired 4 ballistic missiles, by renewed political jitters ouf of France where Alain Juppe announced he would not run in the presidential election, from Deutsche Bank whose aggressive equity offering has weighed on local stocks, and from China's announcement over the weekend in which it modestly cut its economic outlook.
The DOJ is probing into potential fraud by individuals who worked in Deutsche Bank's mortgage unit in the run-up to the financial crisis. The investigation of former Deutsche staffers is a push to hold individuals accountable for their role in the housing crisis
"Our bank has become subject to speculation. Ongoing rumours are causing significant swings in our stock price. ... Trust is the foundation of banking. Some forces in the markets are currently trying to damage this trust."
The signs are everywhere - if you choose to look - Europe's banking system is collapsing (no matter what Draghi has to offer). From record lows in Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse to spiking default risk in Monte Paschi, the panic in Europe's funding markets (basis swaps collapsing) is palpable.
Two former Deutsche Bank corporate brokers have been sentenced to one of the longest prison terms possible for the crime of insider trading in the UK. As US financial market participants walk free in the streets managing their own "home office" money, Martyn Dodgson and Andrew Hind will be rotting in a Wandsworth prison cell (among the worst reputed of England's prisons) for up to four and half years for what the judge called "persistent, prolonged and deliberately dishonest behavior."As Bloomberg reports, the group, including three other defendants, formed part of the FCA’s biggest insider-trading investigation dubbed Operation Tabernula.
Deustche Bank stock is ripping 10% higher after confirming old news that it will undertake a modest debt buyback of $2 billion and €3 billion (not including the CoCos). Have no fear though as Wolfgang Schaeuble proclaimed Deutsche Bank is a "strong bank" that ios "resilient" and "well positioned."
Oil prices around USD 30/bbl mean that an increasingly significant volume of future oil projects no longer make sense. Although Deutsche Bank does not expect US crude inventories to reach capacity, rising US inventories and high US crude imports may heighten downside pressures to push prices closer to marginal cash costs of USD 7-17/bbl for US tight oil, with few plausible scenarios for a strong price recovery in the short term,
Another day, another fresh all-time record low in The Baltic Dry Index as Deutsche Bank's "perfect storm" appears ever closer on the horizon. Plunging 4.7% overnight to 445 points, this is 20% lower than the previous record low in 1986 and as one strategist warns, "It’s a brutal start of the year, there’s just nowhere to hide on the market."
Following disappointing China PMI data and a collapse in US ISM Manufacturing imports data, the fact that The Baltic Dry Index has collapsed to fresh record lows will hardly be a surprise to many. However,as Deutsche Bank warns, a "perfect storm" is brewing in the dry bulk industry, as year-end improvements in rates failed to materialize, which indicates a looming surge in bankruptcies.
"... if nominal growth is 3 percent and the debt GDP ratio is 300 percent, the implied equilibrium nominal rates is around 1 percent. This is because at 1% rates, 100% of GDP growth is necessary to service interest costs."