European Union

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Frontrunning: June 19





  • Greek PM optimistic on debt deal as banks bleed (Reuters)
  • Greek central bank chief says banking system stable (Kathimerini)
  • ECB Said to Confer on Emergency Greek Aid Amid Cash Flight (BBG)
  • More tax "avoidance": Citigroup to shift European retail banking HQ to Dublin (Reuters)
  • Florist's tip led police to Charleston shooting suspect (USAToday)
  • Asian shares edge higher on Fed caution, China sell-off intensifies (Reuters)
  • Toyota in damage control mode after American exec arrested (Reuters)
  • Venezuela Oil Loans Go Awry for China (WSJ)
 
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George Soros Warns Washington To "Mend Relations With China" Or Face World War 3





"Both the US and China have a vital interest in reaching an understanding because the alternative is so unpalatable," Soros wrote in an article for the New York Review of Books, with the danger imminent if Chinese economic reforms fail forcing President Xi Jinping to "foster some external conflicts to keep the country united and maintain himself in power." These "conflicts" would present themselves in the form of a Sino-Russo alliance which could draw the entire world into war.

 
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Greek Debt Committee Just Declared All Debt To The Troika "Illegal, Illegitimate, And Odious"





"Greece not only does not have the ability to pay this debt, but also should not pay this debt first and foremost because the debt emerging from the Troika’s arrangements is a direct infringement on the fundamental human rights of the residents of Greece. Hence, we came to the conclusion that Greece should not pay this debt because it is illegal, illegitimate, and odious."

 
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Bank Of Greece Pleads For Deal, Says "Uncontrollable Crisis", "Soaring Inflation" Coming





As the war of words between Athens and Brussels reaches a fever pitch ahead of Thursday's Eurogroup meeting, the Bank of Greece has made a plea to both sides as capital controls and a "Lehman Weekend" loom. "A manageable debt crisis, as the one that we are currently addressing with the help of our partners, would snowball into an uncontrollable crisis, with great risks for the banking system and financial stability. An exit from the euro would only compound the already adverse environment, as the ensuing acute exchange rate crisis would send inflation soaring.

 
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Frontrunning: June 17





  • Greek central bank issues 'Grexit' warning if aid talks fail (Reuters)
  • Kerry says 'patience wearing thin' on Syria's Assad (Reuters)
  • Juncker accuses Athens of misleading Greek people (FT)
  • Al Qaeda kills two Saudis accused of spying for America (Reuters)
  • Hedge-Fund Bet Hits Pensions (WSJ)
  • ‘Flash Crash’ Trader Navinder Sarao Worked With Fund Network Now Under Investigation (WSJ)
  • 'Me? Rich?' U.S. presidential hopefuls play middle-class card (Reuters)
  • You’ve Been Warned: Central Bankers Turning Less Market-Friendly (BBG)
 
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The Two Contending Visions Of World Government





U.S. President Barack Obama’s proposed ‘Trade’ deals are actually about whether the world is heading toward a dictatorial world government - a dictatorship by the hundred or so global super-rich who hold the controlling blocks of stock in the world’s largest international corporations - or else toward a democratic world government - which will be a global federation of free and independent states, much like the United States was at its founding, but global in extent. These are two opposite visions of world government; and Obama is clearly on the side of fascism, an international mega-corporate dictatorship... What’s at stake here is nothing less than whether the future of the United States, and perhaps even of the world, will be democracy, or else fascism.

 
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Russian Pivot: Greek PM Schedules Putin Meeting Ahead Of "Lehman Weekend"





With his back against the wall, and with Syriza party hardliners apparently no closer to backing concessions, Alexis Tsipras looks set to once again play the ‘Russian pivot” card, as the Kremlin says a “working meeting” between the Greek PM and Russian President Vladimir Putin is now scheduled for Friday in St. Petersburg.

 
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OMT Decision By EU Top Court Sets Europe On Renewed "Collision Course" With Germany





As expected, earlier today the pro-ECB top European Union court found that Draghi's impromptu announcement of an OMT, which was basically the wrapping of his "whatever it takes" policy from 2012 to prevent the collapse of the Eurozone when peripheral bond yields were hitting daily records, was perfectly legal.

 
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On The Floridian Clod & Hillary Is The New Nixon





"...a bigger bundle of platitudes and insincerities has not been served up since the heyday of Nixon. As the politicians are so fond of saying these days, make no mistake, Hillary is the New Nixon."

 
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Frontrunning: June 15





  • Tsipras Hardens Greek Stance After Collapse of Talks (BBG)
  • Obama Fights to Save Trade Bill (WSJ)
  • German Stock Market Pain Seen Just Beginning Should Greece Exit (BBG)
  • Russia to boost forces in western flank if U.S. stations arms in east Europe (Reuters)
  • Lab Nears Settlement Over Pricey Medicare Drug Tests (WSJ)
  • China's $358 Billion in Margin Loans Points to Next Bear Market (BBG)
  • Draghi Faces EU Court Ruling on 2012 Bond Plan as Greece Teeters (BBG)
  • Sex, lies and debt potentially exposed by U.S. data hack (Reuters)
 
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European Stocks Slide, Greece Tumbles But US BTFDers Emerge After Collapse In Greek Bailout Talks





European shares remain lower, close to intraday lows, with the banks and autos sectors underperforming and food & beverage, retail outperforming. Tsipras hardens Greek stance after collapse of bailout talks. The Italian and Swedish markets are the worst-performing larger bourses, the U.K. the best. The euro is weaker against the dollar. Greek 10yr bond yields rise; Spanish yields increase. Commodities decline, with copper, nickel underperforming and natural gas outperforming. U.S. Empire manufacturing, net TIC flows, NAHB housing market index, industrial production, capacity  utilization due later.

 
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Greece Refuses To Blink; EU Says Noncompliance "Not An Option"





On the heels of what appeared to be an ultimatum from EU creditors, Greece remains defiant on pension cuts and a VAT hike, testing the troika's resolve as the countdown to the next maybe-deadline continues. Meanwhile, Germany warns that Grexit could embolden EU "separatist" movements and Dijsselbloem reminds Tsipras that noncompliance isn't an option.

 
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