Bank of America

Bank of America

VIX ETF Smashes All Records

For the first time in history, yesterday saw VXX (the VIX ETF) traded more volume than the most-traded stock in the S&P 500. With speculative positioning at record shorts (extreme levered long stocks) and volume soaring beyond Aug 2015's previous record, we suspect this will not end well...

Step Aside London Whale: Goldman Is Now Using Retail Deposits To Fund Investments

Goldman has been using the proceeds from the new deposits to directly fund speculative activity such as trading and investments, as well as more conventional activity such as creating looans. Goldman Sachs built up its consumer bank, led by 40-year-old Goldman partner and credit trading veteran Gerald Ouderkirk, whose job is to use consumer deposits and other types of funding for trades, investments and loans.

Sharing Economy Shambles - Airbnb Hosts Having Difficulty Refinancing Homes

Until recently, home loans generally covered two types of properties: primary residences or investments. That was before services like Airbnb allowed anyone with an extra room to make a bit of extra money by renting it out for short periods of time. This blurred line between “my house” and “my investment” is causing trouble for some homeowners when they go to refinance their mortgages.

JPM's Head Quant Is Back With A Stark Warning: Volatility Is About To Surge; Here's Why

"Over the past 2 months the S&P 500 has been trading in a dead zone. Now this is all about to change as a number of important catalysts materialize this month, seasonals push market volatility higher, and leverage in systematic strategies and option positioning provide fuel for volatility. We expect a significant increase in realized volatility, correlations and tail risk in September and October."

Traders Return From Vacation To Find S&P Futures Flat, Oil And Dollar Lower, Amid Flurry Of M&A

The return from summer holidays has started in much the same way as we left off August, with another subdued session that has seen European stocks little changed, Asian shares advance and S&P futures are modestly in the green amid a flurry of M&A. The US dollar weakened, with the Bloomberg Dollar Index down 0.2% for the 2nd day in a row as prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike this month remained subdued.

Bank of America "Thinks The Unthinkable"

"The unthinkable: BB yields about to become negative. Such has been Draghi’s influence across the whole credit market that we are close to seeing our first negative yielding BB-rated bond. But if debt costs for speculative grade companies become “inverted”, then the economics of LBOs will be transformed, and the quality of the assets they are buying will become secondary. We see a growing risk that another private equity cycle emerges in Europe."

The U.S. Economy: Bad Moon Rising

As for the incredible realm, one explanation is that the Fed is scared stiff it has nothing left in its toolbox to combat the next recession. Few major downturns have begun with the fed funds rate so perilously close to zero. The ultimate Catch 22 is that the flatness of the yield curve makes any fantasy of a Fed rate hike all too real for a dead breed the world once knew as ‘bond market vigilantes.’ It’s altogether possible that one more hike would be all it takes to invert the yield curve. The rest, as history has never failed to repeat, would be just that – history.