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3 Things: "You Should Buy, Professionals Need To Sell"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/28/2015 15:49 -0500Every day when you flip on the media, there is someone telling you that now is the time to "buy" into the market. Of course, if you are buying, then who is selling? The only "net buyers" of equities this year have been "individuals," while "professional" firms have been "net sellers." This is the epitome of the classic "smart money/dumb money" analysis where individuals are used by institutions to offload positions that are no longer optimal. The question is with corporate profits and earnings declining, weak economic data, and the threat of tighter monetary policy - will individuals once again be left "holding the bag" while institutions derisk portfolios in advance of the next decline?
Nigel Farage Rages At Modern Day "Brezhnev Doctrine" In Portugal's Democracy Crisis
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/28/2015 10:57 -0500Nigel Farage unleashes another of his must-watch rage-fests aimed at the collapse of democracy in Europe. Amid the stunning "democracy crisis" in Portugal, where, as we detailed here, the government has lost its majority but the anti-EU opposition is being prevented from attempting to form a coalition, Farage fumes "this is the modern day implementation of the Brezhnev Doctrine. This is exactly what happened to states living inside the USSR."
Why Are Half Of All 25-Year-Olds Living With Their Parents? The Federal Reserve Answers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/27/2015 21:55 -0500Back in 1999, a quarter of all 25-year-olds lived with their parents. By 2013 this number has doubled, and currently half of young adults live in their parents home. Here, according to the St. Louis Fed, is the answer why.
Leaked TAFTA/TTIP Chapter Shows EU Breaking Its Promises On The Environment
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/27/2015 19:20 -0500At the heart of the European Commission's philosophy is the implicit acceptance that investors' rights take precedence over the public's rights -- in this case, those concerning the environment. Everything in the leaked sustainable chapter is couched in terms of aspirations -- the US and EU are encouraged to do the right thing as far as sustainable development is concerned, but there are few, if any, obligations or enforcement mechanisms. When it comes to protecting investors, on the other hand, everything is compulsory, backed up by supranational tribunals that can impose arbitrarily large fines, payable by the public. Although it is true that governments are given the "right" to legislate as they wish when it comes to the environment, investors are given the "right" to sue those governments black and blue if they attempt to do so.
The Calm Before The Storm
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/27/2015 19:17 -0500Have you noticed that things have gotten eerily quiet in the month of October? For those that don’t want to believe that hard times are on the way, they can take comfort in the eerie period of calm that we are experiencing right now. What they don’t realize is that this truly is “the calm before the storm”, and the global economic crisis that is ahead of us is going to be far beyond what most people ever dared to imagine was possible.
Consumer Confidence Slides As Low Gas Prices No Longer Lift Sentiment
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/27/2015 09:08 -0500Despite ongoing low gas prices, a recovery in stocks, and the nationally-advertised unemployment rate remaining low, Consumer Confidence tumbled in October from eight-year highs to three-month lows. Worse still, "hope" slid to its lowest in 3 months as "jobs plentiful" slid notably with fewer jobs and decreasing income.
What Recovery? Record Number Of Americans Become Blood Plasma "Sellers" To Make Ends Meet
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2015 17:55 -0500Having previously explained President Obama's recovery in charts, we thought words and pictures would be a better indicator of the dire situation facing so many Americans that get missed by the business media's spotlight. With 9.4 million more Americans below the poverty line than before the crisis, as The LA Times reports, it's disturbing to see so many people so destitute - even if they're working - that they've resorted to selling body fluids to make ends meet. The going rate for plasma donation, which can take a couple of hours, is about $25 or $30. But Octapharma is offering $50 for the first five visits, "when you get that $50, you feel good," one plasma 'seller' said, "I paid my gas bill."
Worst News Ever? World Health Organization Says Steak "Probably" Causes Cancer
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2015 17:05 -0500"Red meat, under which the IARC includes beef, lamb and pork, was classified as a 'probable' carcinogen in its group 2A list that also contains glyphosate, the active ingredient in many weedkillers."
Bank of Japan Will Not Boost QE This Week, Abe Advisor Warns; Yen Jumps
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2015 07:42 -0500
Having soared 175 pips in two days, on the back of ECB and PBOC actions, USDJPY is rolling over this morning as a senior adviser to Japanese PM Shinzo Abe tells Reuters that The Bank of Japan "can wait a while" before easing more. This follows another adviser's comments on Friday that "further easing wasn't necessary." With a trail of broken markets (bonds first and now stocks), and broken promises (only 25% of Japanese now believe Abenomics will boost the economy), Abe faces an uphill battle in winning the fight against the "deflationary mindset" that officials have been so adamant they have already won.
Will This Manic Stock Market Rally End In Tears?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2015 07:21 -0500
Can the stock market completely ignore these five key changes and keep powering higher on the fumes of Mario Draghi's promises?
Futures Fizzle, Europe Red As Markets Ask: "What Do Central Banks Do Now?"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2015 05:56 -0500- Apple
- Auto Sales
- Bank of Japan
- BOE
- Central Banks
- China
- Crude
- Dallas Fed
- Deutsche Bank
- Equity Markets
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Market Sentiment
- Monetary Policy
- NASDAQ
- New Home Sales
- Nikkei
- None
- Porsche
- Price Action
- recovery
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Standard Chartered
- Starwood
- Toyota
- Unemployment
- Volkswagen
- White House
- Yen
- Yuan
In our Chinese stock market wrap following Friday's unexpected rate cut, which saw the Shanghai Composite storm out of the gate, we said that "we would not be surprised to see China's stocks sliding back into the red very shortly as "sell the news" concerns return, and as the increasingly more addicted "markets" demand even more liquidity from central banks just to stay unchanged, let alone rise to new all time highs." Sure enough, with just minutes to go before the close, the SHCOMP wiped out all its daily gains and was set for a red close had it not been for the "national team" miraculous last minute intervention which was inevitable after Friday's PBOC rate cut, and which lifted the composite 0.5% into the green as the euphoria was rapidly evaporating.
Just When You Thought Wall Street's Heist Couldn't Get Any Crazier...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/25/2015 17:45 -0500In reading various recent regulatory reports, it is clear that almost none of the promises that were made to the public about what was going to happen under Dodd-Frank financial reform is actually happening. Welcome to another day at the casino where the model continues to be — heads they win, tails you lose.
The Fatal Fallacy Of Faith In The Fed's Assumed Powers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/25/2015 16:45 -0500Doing as Yellen and her counterparts demand is the biggest risk of all. The Yellen Doctrine requires that central banks be both correct and able, abilities that have been (and can only be) in utter short supply. Her view would show more proactive and effective central bank management where only reactive and impromptu, last minute white-knuckling has abounded. Central banks have been in the past year only holding on for dear life, which is where obscurity has been their benefit. In the end, however, it will bring about their own downfall as it only serves to make matters worse. Yellen wants the central bank to be viewed as almost godlike, but they continually reveal themselves weak, deceptive and ineffectual; eschewing all long run sustainability in order to just make it through one day at a time.
Tony Blair Admits Iraq War Led To Rise Of ISIS, Apologizes For "Mistakes"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/25/2015 10:03 -0500"Our mistake in our understanding of what would happen once you removed the regime. Of course, you can't say that those of us who removed Saddam in 2003 bear no responsibility for the situation in 2015."
Is Mario Draghi About To Go Full-Kuroda? RBS Says ECB Could Buy Stocks
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/23/2015 14:05 -0500Now that Mario Draghi has telegraphed more easing from the ECB come December, the question is what exactly the bank will announce. Will Draghi cut the depo rate further into negative territory? How long into 2017 will PSPP be extended? Given the scarcity of purchasable paper, will the ECB expand the universe of eligible assets and if so, will Draghi go full-Kuroda knowing full well that you never, ever go full-Kuroda?



