Over the short run, markets respond to myths. Investors are ready to believe almost anything... for a while. But over the long run, there is reality. No matter how badly investors want asset prices to go up, they don’t always comply. Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen are, after all, only human. They respond to myths as much as anyone... maybe more.
This is just the beginning. The bond bubble will take months to completely implode. And eventually it will consume even sovereign nations.
They’ve spiked the punch bowl with so many lies. Home prices always go up. The debt doesn’t matter because we owe it to ourselves. We can always print more money. None of this nonsense is true. But the financial establishment tells us so. Big media repeats it over and over again. Eventually hundreds of millions of people believe it. And anyone who dares question the sanctity of this system is labeled a radical.
Stocks are certainly much cheaper than they were a few weeks ago after the worst start to a new year in Wall Street history...But cheaper doesn’t necessarily mean cheap.
We are told bank earnings and revenue are under pressure from a slew of “tough markets” but what makes those markets so untenable in the first place?
Moody's took the global energy sector to the woodshed, placing 175 global oil, gas and mining companies and groups on review for a downgrade due to a prolonged rout in global commodities prices that it says could remain depressed indefinitely. Here are the 69 US, 19 Canadian and 13 European companies (the full list of all global companies can be found here) that just Moody's black list, a grand total of 101 companies which now face a downgrade threat on just about $540 billion in total debt.
“If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.”? George Orwell
Today, none other than railroad titan Canadian Pacific (whose stock is down 4% despite the torrid surge higher in risk assets) confirmed that not only are things "worse", but the bottom may have fallen out from what until recently was one of Warren Buffett's favorite industries, after missing on both the top and bottom line, but especially during its conference call in which the management team admitted to "tremendous pressure" on the top line, "challenging times" for revenue growth, strong headwinds for the US economy in 2016 and warned another 1,000 workers are about to get the pink slip.
Remember when Bitcoin and its digital currency cohorts were slammed by authorities and written off by the elite as worthless? Well now, as the war on cash escalates, officials from The IMF to China are seeing the opportunity to control the world's money through virtual (cash-less) currencies. Just as we warned most recent here, state wealth control is the goal and, as Bloomberg reports, The PBOC is targeting an early rollout of China's own digital currency to "boost control of money" and none other than The IMF's Christine Lagarde added that "virtual currencies are extremely beneficial."
Unfortunately, what we are facing now is a predicament, rather than a problem. There is quite likely no good solution. This is a worry. During the last 18 months we have read incessantly that low oil prices, for example, $30 per barrel oil, will stimulate the economy, and the economy will soon bounce back. What is wrong with this story? A lot of things, as we see it...
Just when we thought the surreal story surrounding Mexican drug lord Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman's second capture couldn't get any more bizarre, it does just that, but in an oddly satisfying way, one which ties the soon to be incarcerated criminal south of the border with a criminal located right inside Washington D.C., one who however will never be punished. According to the Hill, a .50-caliber rifle recovered from El Chapo's hideout was one of the firearms lost by the U.S. government's gun-smuggling operation Fast and Furious.
Just before the US equity market topped out last August, none other than infamous stock-chart-extrapolator Laszlo Birinyi ventured on to CNBC and proclaimed that the S&P 500 will hit 3,200 by the end of 2017. Since the soprano uttered that extreme, US equity markets have collapsed not just once, but twice and now trade at levels first seen over two years ago...
The robo-machines are now having a grand old time hazing the August lows at 1870 on the S&P, and may succeed in ginning up another dead-cat bounce or two. But this market is going down for the count owing to a perfect storm.