Ben Bernanke

Ben Bernanke
Tyler Durden's picture

The Double Fallacy Recovery - The Fed's Central Planning Is Destroying Capitalism





Economists keep claiming economic recovery fulfilled, and yet it is found nowhere other than the BLS... and it is certainly not the view of funding and credit markets. In answering why economists and policymakers would throw out the vast and growing volume of especially market-based contradictions to their preferred labor view, we only have to note that this is an existential question for them.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Janet Yellen Admits Fed Is Evaluating Possibility Of Negative Rates





"We had previously considered them and decided that they would not work well to foster accommodation back in 2010. In light of the experience of European countries and others that have gone to negative rates, we’re taking a look at them again because we would want to be prepared in the event that we needed to add accommodation."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Negative Rates Are Dangerous" OECD Chair Warns "Our Entire System Is Unstable"





"There is excessive debt everywhere and negative interest rates are dangerous... My number one fear? That’s the same as asking me where it will start. When you view the economy as a complex, adaptive system, like many other systems, one of the clear findings from the literature is that the trigger doesn’t matter; it’s the system that’s unstable. And I think our system is unstable... Central Bank models are just wrong"

 
Tyler Durden's picture

It Was Never About Oil





What we do know is that the eurodollar system is failing and we know how it is failing. From negative swap spreads to the shrunken, depressed money and credit curves, they all spell out the death of the current standard. The money supply, for lack of a more appropriate term in the “dollar’s” universe, is in the long run converging with the shriveled economic baseline. The immediate problem for our current circumstances is that we don’t yet have any idea what that foundation might look like even now- how far is down.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Buyer's Remorse? Axel Merk Warns "The Fed Doesn't Have A Clue!"





"The Fed doesn't have a clue!" - We allege that not only because the Fed appears to admit as much, but also because our own analysis leads to no other conclusion. With Fed communication in what we believe is disarray, we expect the market to continue to cascade lower - think what happened in 2000. To understand what's unfolding we need to understand how the Fed is looking at the markets, and how the markets are looking at the Fed.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Bubble Deflates – And Crash Risk Rises





We already suspected in mid 2013 (worrying about the market far too early as it has turned out in hindsight) that there were parallels to what happened in the late 1990s bull market, specifically near its end in the year 2000. However, in the meantime, even more such parallels have become noticeable.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Is This How The Smart Money Is Betting On A Market Crash?





Instead of allocating capital to expensive tail risk bets on direct asset class collapse (in equities, credit, and commodities), it appears, just as we detailed previously, the 'smartest money in the room' is "betting" indirectly on a stock market crash through eurodollar options.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

What Happens Next?





It would be hard to find better proof that the canary in the coalmine is singing and that his song is landing on ears deafened by 6 years of BTFD behavior than this.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Welcome To The Recovery: 1 In 7 Americans (45.5 Million) Remain On Food Stamps





More than six years into Dear Leader’s glorious economic recovery, 45.5 million Americans, or one in seven, remain on food stamps. We'd say that’s a problem, but we don’t want to be accused of “peddling economic fiction.”

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bill Gross Trolls "Addled, Impotent" Central Bankers, Asks "How's It Workin' For Ya?"





"Why after several decades of 0% rates has the Japanese economy failed to respond? Why has the U.S. only averaged 2% real growth since the end of the Great Recession? “How’s it workin’ for ya?” – would be a curt, logical summary of the impotency of low interest rates to generate acceptable economic growth worldwide. "

 
Sprott Money's picture

Ten years after the Greenspan Fed





When asked that question last year at the New Orleans Investment Conference Greenspan had two words for the interviewer.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario





"The severely adverse scenario is characterized by a severe global recession, accompanied by a period of heightened corporate financial stress and negative yields for short-term U.S. Treasury securities.... As a result of the severe decline in real activity and subdued inflation, short-term Treasury rates fall to negative ½ percent by mid-2016 and remain at that level through the end of the scenario."

 
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