• Monetary Metals
    07/28/2014 - 02:38
    Notice the “icicles” dripping all over the place? They occur at different times of the day. What are they? Each one is a brief but dramatic price drop.

Merrill

Merrill
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 30





  • Government Heads Toward Shutdown (WSJ), First U.S. Shutdown in 17 Years at Midnight Seen Probable (BBG), Congress in game of chicken (RTRS)
  • Italian Premier Pursues Last-Ditch Rescue of Government (WSJ)
  • Election risk rattles Italian government bonds (RTRS)
  • Obama and Ryan Stay on Sidelines on Budget (WSJ)
  • Volcker Rule Costs Tallied as U.S. Regulators Press Deadline (BBG)
  • Faltering Chinese Factory Growth Adds to Rebound Fears (FT)
  • Health Law Hits Late Snags as Rollout Approaches (WSJ)
  • Apple Overtakes Coca-Cola as Most Valuable Brand, Study Finds (BBG)
  • Euro-Area September Inflation Slows More Than Forecast on Energy (BBG) - Puting will fix that shortly
 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Government Shutdown Looms: A Q&A On What Happens Next (And Who Stays At Home)





With a government's October 1 shut down - temporary of course - now seemingly inevitable, and more importantly with the peak debt ceiling negotiations due in just about a week after which point the Treasury will run out of money, many wonder what comes next. That this is happening just two short years after the dramatic August 2011 debt ceiling impasse, when the market tumbled 20% and likely slowed economic growth is still fresh in everyone's mind, is hardly helping matters. Add a potential political crisis in Greece and Italy, and suddenly a whole lot of unexpected variables have to be "priced in."

 
EconMatters's picture

Tesla: Where Retail Investors Rushing in and Nest Eggs Cracking





Every year there seems to be a few momentum stocks defying logic, reality while bleeding all shorts getting in the way.  This year, Tesla Motor is one such stock. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 27





  • House GOP banking on Plan C (Politico)
  • Pimco shook hands with the Fed - and made a killing (Reuters)
  • BlackBerry's Torsten Heins has a $55 Million golden parachute (Reuters)
  • JPMorgan Urged to Pay More in Mortgage Deal (NYT)
  • Soros Adviser Turned Lawmaker Sees Crisis by 2020 (BBG)
  • U.N. Members Agree on Syria Disarmament (WSJ)
  • U.N. Says Humans Are 'Extremely Likely' Behind Global Warming (WSJ)
  • The non-falsifiable threats emerge: Shutdown Would Shave Fourth-Quarter U.S. Growth as Much as 1.4% (BBG)
  • Swaps Rules Worry Industry: Coming Regulations Have Market Players Concerned About Possible Disruption (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 25





  • JPMorgan eyes $4bn ‘pay for peace’ deal (FT)
  • Prosecutors Pursue Big SAC Settlement (WSJ) - in the US if you are rich enough, no crime is bad enough
  • Cruz's Defiant Stand Is Also a Lonely One (WSJ); Texas senator speaks for more than 14 hours (FT)
  • Iran Applies Brakes to U.S. Mideast Plans (WSJ)
  • Americans in Poll Doubt Economy Rebound in Defiance of Forecasts (BBG)
  • Big Banks Cut Basel III Shortfall by $112 Billion at End of 2012 (BBG) - the equivalent of 10 bridges to the Kalahari desert
  • Obama’s Jabs at Russia on Syria Shows Diplomacy Tensions (BBG)
  • ICAP Staff Face Criminal Charges Tied to Libor  (WSJ)
  • Alibaba Is Said to Shift Target for I.P.O. to U.S. From Hong Kong (NYT)
  • Home gold rush is over (Reuters)
  • Conoco in landmark Alaska drone flight (FT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

On This Day 15 Years Ago The LTCM Bailout Ushered In "Too Big To Fail"





While the commemoration of the 5 year anniversary of the start of the Great Financial Crisis is slowing but surely fading, another just as important anniversary is revealed when one goes back not 5 but 15 years into the past, specifically to September 23, 1998. On that day, the policy that came to define the New Normal more than any other, namely the bailout of those deemed Too Big To Fail, a/k/a throwing good (private or taxpayer) money after bad was enshrined by Wall Street as the official canon when faced with a situation where capitalism, namely failure, is seen as Too Dangerous To Succeed. This was first known as the Greenspan Put, subsequently the Bernanke Put, and its current iteration is best known as the Global Central Banker All-In Systemic Put. We sow the seeds of bailing out insolvent financial corporations to this day, when instead of making them smaller and breaking them up, they are rewarded by becoming even bigger, even more systemics, and even Too Bigger To Fail, and their employees are paid ever greater record bonuses.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

BlackBerry Enters LOI With Fairfax Financial To Be Taken Private At $9.00/Share; Deal Subject To Diligence, Financing Outs





Following Friday's stunner of a stock halting press release, moments ago BBRY was halted again, this time however for some "good" (relatively speaking) news. The firm reported that it has entered into a Letter of Intent (so nothing definitive yet) with Fairfax Financial, according to which BBRY shareholders would receive U.S. $9 per share in cash - Transaction valued at approximately U.S. $4.7 billion - Consortium permitted 6 weeks to conduct due diligence - BlackBerry entitled to go-shop during due diligence period, subject to payment of a termination fee in the event alternative offer accepted. In other words an LBO, one which however has not only but many outs: "There can be no assurance that due diligence will be satisfactory, that financing will be obtained, that a definitive agreement will be entered into or that the transaction will be consummated." Which means that once the buyers figure out the potential disaster on the books, expect the final price (if any) to be revised lower as one after another MAC clause is triggered. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 23





  • Triumph Confirms 'Era of Merkelism' (Spiegel)
  • Merkel must reach out to leftist rivals after poll triumph (Reuters)
  • Norwegian Air says both its Dreamliners hit by technical issues (Reuters)
  • Chinese court gives Bo Xilai life sentence (CBS)
  • Social Dems Deflect Talk of Merkel Alliance (Spiegel)
  • Blasts shake Nairobi mall, smoke pours from building (Reuters)
  • Open-Government Laws Fuel Hedge-Fund Profits (WSJ)
  • Forbes Calls Goldman CEO Holier Than Mother Teresa (Matt Taibbi)
  • BlackBerry move away from consumers unlikely to stem decline (Reuters)
  • And another Greek strike: Greek teachers, civil servants to strike against layoffs (Reuters)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 19





  • Bernanke Resets Policy by Doing Nothing as Markets Soar (BBG)
  • Stocks Jump to Five-Year High as Metals Rally on Fed (BBG)
  • Centre-left bigwig says hard to stay allied with Berlusconi (ANSA)
  • J.P. Morgan 'Whale' Fine Put at Over $900 Million (WSJ)
  • Banks’ $10 Billion Sweet Spot Sets Off Buying Spree for Lenders (BBG)
  • Time to taper? Not if you look at bank loans (Reuters)
  • Mortgage Lending Reaches 5-Year High (WSJ) ... and then plunges as Fed gives "all clear" for a few months
  • Yellen Chances Grow as Obama Aides Test Senate Support (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 18





  • Fed likely to reduce bond buying, pass policy milestone (Reuters)
  • Fall in Home Loans Pushing Fed Away From Taper in Mortgage Bonds (BBG)
  • Russia says U.N. report on Syria attack preconceived, political (Reuters)
  • China House Price Surge Raises Prospect of Steps to Cool Market (FT)
  • Cyprus Plans to Complete End of All Capital Controls... some time in 2014 (FT)
  • GOP Reworks Budget Terms (WSJ)
  • U.S. Navy was warned that Washington shooter 'heard voices' (Reuters)
  • Berlusconi Impeachment Vote Looms (WSJ)
  • Ageing could weaken central banks, spur rate volatility (Reuters)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 17





  • Less Tapering Becomes Tightening Credit No Matter What Fed Says (BBG)
  • Yellen Is Now Top Fed Hopeful (WSJ)
  • Syria - A chemical crime, a complex reaction (Reuters)
  • More ECB collateral: Wrecked cruise ship Costa Concordia raised off rocks in Italy (Reuters)
  • Aging Boomers Befuddle Marketers Eying $15 Trillion Prize (BBG)
  • Abe Turns Pitchman, Says Japan Is Now A Buy (WSJ)
  • Ex-JPMorgan Employees Indicted Over $6.2 Billion Loss (BBG)
  • Barack Obama blinked first in battle for Lawrence Summers (FT)
  • Berlusconi to support Italian government in video message: sources (Reuters)
  • How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

25 Fast Facts About The Federal Reserve





Amid the 100 year anniversary of the creation of the Federal Reserve, it is absolutely imperative that the American people understand that the Fed is at the very heart of our economic problems.  It is a system of money that was created by the bankers and that operates for the benefit of the bankers.  The American people like to think that we have a "democratic system", but there is nothing "democratic" about the Federal Reserve.  Unelected, unaccountable central planners from a private central bank run our financial system and manage our economy.  There is a reason why financial markets respond with a yawn when Barack Obama says something about the economy, but they swing wildly whenever Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke opens his mouth.  The Federal Reserve has far more power over the U.S. economy than anyone else does by a huge margin.  The Fed is the biggest Ponzi scheme in the history of the world, and if the American people truly understood how it really works, they would be screaming for it to be abolished immediately.  The following are 25 fast facts about the Federal Reserve that everyone should know...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 16





  • Summers Quit Fed Quest After Democrats Spurned Obama Favorite (BBG)
  • Geithner Still Not Interested in Fed Chair Slot (WSJ)
  • Gross’s Trade Sours as Bonds Lose Faith in Fed Guidance (BBG)
  • Bob Diamond calls for bank rules shake-up (FT)
  • Russia says may be time to force Assad's foes to talk peace (Reuters)
  • Iran Dials Up Syria Presence (WSJ)
  • Kerry Seeks to Sell Syria Deal (WSJ)
  • Shutdown of Japan’s Last Nuclear Reactor Raises Power Concerns (BBG)
  • Emerging Stocks Rise to 3-Month High as Bonds Gain on Fed (BBG)
  • Bernanke’s Maradona swerve hits bonds (FT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 13





  • U.S., Russia to push for new Syria peace talks (Reuters)
  • Elite Syrian Unit Scatters Chemical Arms Stockpile (WSJ)
  • Obama to nominate Summers as Fed chief: Nikkei (Reuters)
  • Boehner Wants Joint Talks on Debt, Budget (WSJ)
  • House Republicans go for broke in fiscal battles (Reuters)
  • Pimco, BlackRock Together Received More Than a Quarter of Verizon's $49 Billion Bond Deal (WSJ)
  • Insane financial system lives post-Lehman (Gillian Tett)
  • JPM to add $2.5 billion to its litigation reserves in the second half of the year (WSJ)
  • Goldman’s Zurich offices visited over working-hours complaint (FT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Verizon Launches $49 Billion Largest Bond Deal Ever; Postpones Europe Investor Meetings





Smashing the previous record $17 billion deal from Apple which is doing so badly (in yield and spread terms), Verizon - in order to fund the mega deal with Vodafone - is launching an 8-part $49 billion deal done at what appear reasonable spread levels (though spreads are dramatically wider than a month ago as one would expect for such a releveraging). With the bulk of the deal ($36 billion) maturing 7 years or longer, it would appear that (and desk chatter confirms) demand was relatively high and BofAML also notes that Verizon will now have a huge $69 to $79 billion of index-eligible bonds. This will make Verizon the 4th largest issuer in the US high-grade market index, right up their with Goldman Sachs and Citigroup. Amid all this exuberance though, something odd popped up:

  • *VERIZON POSTPONES EUROPE INVESTOR MEETINGS ABOUT VODAFONE DEAL

Reuters is reporting that with a $101 billion order book already, it appears they had no ned to shop the deal in Europe. Amazing what ZIRP repression will do...

 

 
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