Hugh Hendry

Hugh Hendry
GoldCore's picture

Gold mine production is peaking globally and this is “bullish for gold” according to a slowly emerging group in the gold industry. It is great to see the reality of peak gold production slowly be acknowledged in the mainstream as it is an important fundamental factor in the market which has been continuously ignored.

Hugh Hendry Interviewed On His "Eureka Moment" Trade Of The Day, QE, China, The Dollar And Much More

In a recent interview with Macro Voices, Hugh Hendry is asked about the trade he has on in his fund, to which the Scotsman says that his team recently had a “eureka moment” and figured out how to design a trade, which has a negative carry when viewed in simple terms, such that they preserve the asymmetric of risk/reward while converting it to a positive-carry trade by adding another “European sovereign component to the trade”.

"The System Simply Isn't Working" - Hugh Hendry Warns Of 1930s-Style "Dramatic Fulcrum Point" In Europe

"...we have the precedent from a much earlier time (the 1930s) when the defection of just one member from a currency union caused the system to unwind rapidly. And we can clearly sense the seeds of another popular political revolt in other member countries; a flurry of upcoming elections and referendums provides an immediate catalyst...We believe we are approaching a dramatic fulcrum point in public opinion in Europe."

"It's Not Panicking If You're First" - China Devaluation Is Closer Than Anyone Thinks

People are assuming there’s only one way to fight a war today of global proportions. We're not in that camp. We believe it will come monetarily – not military. At least at first. For once it takes place all bets are off as to what happens next. The obvious first mover advantage for China (and all its current allies) would be to use the rhetoric coming out of the current U.S. political arena, along with current, as well as proposed monetary policies via the Fed, ECB, and Japan.

Kyle Bass Shares The "Stunning" Thing A Central Banker Once Told Him

"I had a fascinating out of body experience meeting with one of the world's top central bankers in a private meeting about three years ago. it was one of those moments where I...it was one of those epiphanies almost, where it's something you and I knew, but hearing him say it, call it one of the four top central bankers in the world, it was a jarring experience for me..." - Kyle Bass

How Wall Street's Biggest Permabull Became Its Go To Permabear

Ever since the beginning of 2016 and especially in the last few weeks, while Hugh Hendry has been chugging horse doses of blue pills, Joe LaVorgna has finally discovered the red pill, and perhaps because he has been focusing a little to much on the performance of the stock price of his employer, or for whatever other reason, gradually Wall Street's biggest bull has mutated into its most outspoken bear.

Frontrunning: March 29

  • Headline of the day: Oil prices fall as investors' faith in rally wanes (Reuters)
  • Europe shares, dollar gain as investors look to Yellen (Reuters)
  • Chinese Bidder for Starwood Has Mysterious Ownership Structure (WSJ)
  • Germany wants refugees to integrate or lose residency rights (Reuters)
  • BlackRock Joins Pimco Warning Investors to Seek Inflation Hedge (BBG)
  • Goldman Sachs and Bear Stearns: A Financial-Crisis Mystery Is Solved (WSJ)

Hugh Hendry: "If China Devalues By 20% The World Is Over, Everything Hits A Wall"

"Tomorrow we wake up and China has devalued 20%, the world is over. The world is over. Euro breaks up. The world is over. The euro breaks up. Everything hits a wall. There's no euro in that scenario. The US economy, I mean everything hits a wall! Everything hits a wall! It's a 'Mad Max' movie, right. OK, China gets to be the king in 'Mad Max' world. How appealing is that?"

The Bubble Deflates – And Crash Risk Rises

We already suspected in mid 2013 (worrying about the market far too early as it has turned out in hindsight) that there were parallels to what happened in the late 1990s bull market, specifically near its end in the year 2000. However, in the meantime, even more such parallels have become noticeable.

Hugh Hendry Says "Don't Panic"; Here Is Paul Singer Explaining Why You May Want To

"The "bailout culture" often coincides with sustained weak growth because, among other consequences, successful companies have to compete with companies who are alive only because of cheap credit. Overcapacity and inefficient production are engendered by such policies, causing price and profit declines. Failure is an essential element of capitalism, and if failure is politically denied, the most effective, efficient and innovative solutions cannot "win" over the "living dead" who clutter markets and consumer baskets."

Hugh Hendry: "Today We Would Advise You That You Don't Panic!"

"It is ironic that we are perhaps best known for advising “that you panic”. However, if you are anxious at the wrong time it can prove very painful. Today, we would advise that you don’t panic!
... by withdrawing the “Greenspan put” and using their asset purchase schemes to eviscerate any notion of value, the authorities have paradoxically created a safer yet more paranoid market."

- Hugh Hendry