Sovereign Risk

Sovereign Risk

Is A US Default Imminent: Liquidation Panic Grips T-Bills Market

While the politicians and the mainstream media are playing down any concerns about the US debt ceiling, Treasury Bill market participants are seeing chaos as the yield curve has snapped across the Sept-Oct divide with panic-buying in bills that mature ahead of the September-end (Q3-end liquidity needs), and dumping of October bills.

Bill Blain: "What A Fascinating Week This Is Shaping Up To Be"

"The next crisis is more likely to stem from the last in terms of unintended consequences. Over inflated financial asset bubbles (caused largely by the actions of central bankers - QE), will be front and centre. Sure, we can point to synchronised growth across the globe, but the real issues of confidence are under stress."

Korean Sovereign Risk Spikes After Syrian Airstrike

Despite being rated five levels higher than Thailand by Moody’s Investors Service, the cost of insuring South Korea’s bonds against default is now more expensive for the first time in 7 years.

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BIS Admits TARGET2 Is A Stealth Bailout Of Europe's Periphery

"In the period leading up to mid-2012, T2 balances grew strongly due to intra-euro area capital flight. At the time, sovereign market strains spiked and redenomination risk came to the fore in parts of the euro area. Private capital fled from Ireland, Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain into markets perceived to be safer, such as Germany, Luxembourg and the Netherlands."

German Default Risk Spikes To Highest Since Brexit As Merkel Lead Plunges To Multi-Year Low

Germany’s Social Democrats narrowed the gap with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s bloc to the closest in more than four years, reinforcing a poll bounce after they chose outsider Martin Schulz to challenge Europe’s longest-serving leader. As Bild reports, the 6-point surge in opposition support was the biggest ever recorded for the party... and may explain why German sovereign risk spiked to its highest since Brexit.

What Happens Next In Italy: Here Is Goldman's Take

While the market overcame its initial scare following yesterday's counter-establishment Italian referendum vote, and European stocks proceeded soar in the overnight session by the most since Trump's presidential victory, what happens next in Italy is largely unknown. What follows are Goldman's snap thoughts on the Italian next steps.