• GoldCore
    09/04/2015 - 07:43
    Large pools of gold in indebted nations will be vulnerable. Pool accounts, digital gold bullion vaulting providers and depositories in the UK and the US might have their companies and assets...
  • Sprott Money
    09/04/2015 - 05:58
    It can't continue indefinitely, and there has to be a terminal point, and I think obviously we're much closer to that.

China

China
Tyler Durden's picture

Fed's Lacker Says "Strong Case For Rate Hike... August Jobs Data Won't Change Decision"





With just 20 minutes to go until the latest most important jobs report ever in the history of man, Richmond Fed Chief Lacker just explained why "the case for raising rates is still strong"...

LACKER: BOTH MANDATE CONDITIONS 'APPEAR TO HAVE BEEN MET', EXCEPTIONALLY LOW RATES NO LONGER WARRANTED BY JOB MKT
LACKER: AUG. JOBS REPORT UNLIKELY TO `MATERIALLY ALTER' PICTURE

But perhaps most crucially, Lacker explains "recent financial market volatility is unlikely to affect economic fundamentals in the United States and thus has limited implications for monetary policy," removing the one last leg for permabulls to rely on (that is if you velieve The Fed is not Dow-Data-Dependent).

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Warships Came Within 12 Miles Of U.S. Coast





As WSJ reports, "Chinese navy ships off the coast of Alaska in recent days weren’t just operating in the area for the first time: They also came within 12 nautical miles of the U.S. coast, making a rare foray into U.S. territorial waters, according to the Pentagon."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 4





  • Jobs Report Could Seal the Deal on Rates (WSJ)
  • The Jobs Report and the August Curse: Jobs Day Guide (BBG)
  • Migrants hold out on Hungarian 'freedom train'; Orban says millions coming (Reuters)
  • Migrant Crisis Divides Europe (WSJ)
  • German industry orders fall in July on weak foreign demand (Reuters)
  • Alibaba’s Jack Ma, Joe Tsai to Borrow $2 Billion Against Shares (WSJ)
  • U.K. Retailers Post Worst Sales Decline Since Financial Crisis (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Previewing The "Most Important Jobs Report Ever" - What Wall Street Expects





Perhaps one of the most notable features of the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report - which those with a flair for the dramatic have once again dubbed the "most important ever" simply because it may greenlight (or not) a Fed rate hike (any NFP print at 230K and above likely assures a September move by the Fed - which Wall Street consensus sees rising by 217K in August (although with Goldman a far below consensus 190K, and Wall Street's biggest cheerleader Joe LaVorgna predicting only 170K one has to wonder) is just how hard the punditry is trying to talk it down, with everyone from Joe LaVorgna to Bloomberg explaining why it is very likely that - due to seasonals only, and nothing but seasonals - it will be a weak report, only to be revised higher.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Futures Slide More Than 1%, At Day Lows Ahead Of "Rate Hike Make Or Break" Payrolls





Moments ago, US equity futures tumbled to their lowest level in the overnight session, down 22 points or 1.1% to 1924, following both Europe (Eurostoxx 600 -1.8%, giving up more than half of yesterday's gains, led by the banking sector) and Japan (Nikkei -2.2%), and pretty much across the board as DM bonds are bid, EM assets are all weaker, oil and commodities are lower in what is shaping up to be another EM driven "risk off" day. Only this time one can't blame the usual scapegoat China whose market is shut for the long weekend.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Losing Faith? Traders Dump Japanese Stocks At Fastest Pace In History





The narrative of the omnipotent central banker continues to be questioned with China's inability to save its own market the latest incarnation of investors losing faith. Nowhere has the religious zealotry been more fervent than in trading Japanese stocks where Abe and Kuroda have broken every independent rule in their manipulation of wealth-giving stocks. However - it appears their time is up, as Bloomberg reports, foreigners dumped 1.43 trillion yen of Japanese equities in the three weeks through Aug. 28, Tokyo Stock Exchange data updated Thursday show. That’s the most for any three-week span on record, overtaking the period when Bear Stearns Cos. collapsed in 2008.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why China Liquidations May Not Spike US Treasury Yields





There is no doubt that the Chinese economy is in a material economic slowdown. Policy officials’ aggressive actions and scare tactics against equity short sellers could continue to cause capital flight. However, this does not mean that China is going to sell large quantities of Treasuries. There is too much co-dependency between the US consumer and Chinese exporter. Destabilizing the US Treasury market with large sales would be tantamount to shooting themselves in the foot.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

US Equity Futures Mini-Flash-Crash As Japanese Econ Minister Opens Mouth





Just as the machines had learned the "Buy when Japan opens" signal, Japanese leaders unleash their usual stream of utter tripe and break the bid. Tonight's chosen member was Japanese Economy Minister Amari who said "it is important for markets to act calmly, not move in a volatile manner," adding "stock markets are not reflecting fundamentals," reflecting on the fact that G-20 ministers had discussed China and "monetary tightening was likely in some advanced countries." This sparked a plunge in USDJPY and an instant 100-point plunge in Dow futures.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

As China Parks Its Ships Next To Alaska, Here's Obama





As Xi and Putin stand proudly before the parade of China's military might and Chinese navy ships enter the Bering Sea for the first time ever, President Obama is busy doing other things just a few hundred miles away...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

FX Traders Fear "Worst Case Scenario" For Brazil As FinMin Cancels Travel Plans, Rousseff Meets With Lula





The situation in Brazil is deteriorating rapidly after finance minister Joaquim Levy canceled a G20 appearance in Turkey (irony) and convened a meeting with embattled President Dilma Rousseff. FX traders fear a worst case scenario involving Levy's exit. Meanwhile, former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is en route to Brasilia tonight to meet with Rousseff one-on-one. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

4 Charts Show Why This Rally May Become A Rout!





Now that we’re in the classic “crash season,” the situation only looks worse. This season technically started in mid-August, and won’t end until mid-October. This is not to say the chaos won’t continue later on into the end of this year. It just means the worst decline, this first wave down, is likely to come in the next several weeks. So consider this current bounce a gift. The signs are all there that this global bubble is done. Use this time to get out of any passive investments in stocks.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bridgewater's 'All-Weather' Fund Goes Negative For 2015 After Risk-Parity's Worst Quarter Since Lehman





The $80 billion Bridgewater All Weather Fund, a risk-parity model managed by hedge fund titan Ray Dalio, was down 4.2% in August, according to Reuters citing two people familiar with the fund's performance. This leaves the fund down 3.76% for 2015 as the frameworks for these funds are forced mechanically to reposition as correlations and volatilities across asset classes break down. Just as we saw in the summer of 2013's Taper Tantrum, the last 2 weeks have seen 4 to 5 sigma swings in daily returns and 'generic' risk-parity funds have suffered the biggest 3-month losses since the financial crisis.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

US To Slap Chinese Hackers With Sanctions Ahead Of Xi Visit





"There is no reason to embarrass the president of China..."

 
RANSquawk Video's picture

RANsquawk Nonfarm Payroll Preview 4th September 2015





 

 

This Friday appears to be make or break for the Fed's data dependency, as the FOMC's September rate decision looms.

 
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