China

China
Tyler Durden's picture

China Q4 Annualized GDP: 6.8%; CPI: 1.2%; PPI: -1.1%





GDP at 6.8% was not a surprise: it was Right on top of expectations. This is compared to 9.0% for the same period last year.
PPI came out at -1.1%, a whole 100 bps lower than consensus, and much lower from the 2% last year.
CPI was 1.2% versus an expectation of 1.6%. The decline in CPI indicates deflation is picking up; the more notable decline in the PPI is more troubling as it is a leading indicator for much lower CPI numbers down the line.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China GDP Number out Late Today





At 9PM Eastern, the Chinese will announce their Q4 annualized GDP YoY change number. The consensus is 6.8% according to Bloomberg. This is a drop from 9% as of the prior reading. As Paul Kedrosky observes, the likelihood for a (much) lower number should not be excluded... 0% China GDP growth was presented as one of the major fat tail events of 2009 which in the current market environment means it is an almost virtual certainty.

 
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