China
China Q4 Annualized GDP: 6.8%; CPI: 1.2%; PPI: -1.1%
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/22/2009 02:01 -0500GDP at 6.8% was not a surprise: it was Right on top of expectations. This is compared to 9.0% for the same period last year.
PPI came out at -1.1%, a whole 100 bps lower than consensus, and much lower from the 2% last year.
CPI was 1.2% versus an expectation of 1.6%. The decline in CPI indicates deflation is picking up; the more notable decline in the PPI is more troubling as it is a leading indicator for much lower CPI numbers down the line.
China GDP Number out Late Today
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/21/2009 14:53 -0500At 9PM Eastern, the Chinese will announce their Q4 annualized GDP YoY change number. The consensus is 6.8% according to Bloomberg. This is a drop from 9% as of the prior reading. As Paul Kedrosky observes, the likelihood for a (much) lower number should not be excluded... 0% China GDP growth was presented as one of the major fat tail events of 2009 which in the current market environment means it is an almost virtual certainty.


