China

China

RBC: The Next Pain Trade Is Coming In 1-3 Months

It’s pretty simple folks - Chinese liquidity injections / “looser” financial conditions = relief rally in Chinese industrial metals on the WTD, which is an ‘inflation expectations’ tailwind.

US PMIs Tumble To 9-Month Lows, Catching Down To Collapse In 'Hard' Data

Following disappointment from China last week, and Europe this morning, US PMIs (both manufacturing and services) dropped and disappointed as it appears the lagged impact of China's slumping credit impulse are finally hitting the world's economies. With 'hard' data collapsing to 13 month lows, it is not surprising that 'soft' survey data is finally catching down with Manufacturing at 8-month lows.

Frontrunning: June 23

  • One year after Brexit: Forget euro zone breakup, sterling now deemed riskier (Reuters)
  • Senate Holdouts Seek Upper Hand in Perilous Health Bill Talks (BBG)
  • Trump’s Tape Ruse Risks Fresh Legal Jeopardy in Russia Probe (BBG)
  • Arab states demand Qatar closes Jazeera, cuts back ties to Iran (Reuters)
  • Qatar Seen Rejecting List of Severe Demands to End Gulf Crisis (BBG)

Prepare For A Surge In Volume: Russell Rebalance Day Is Here

Welcome to the one year anniversary of the Brexit vote. Welcome also to the annual Russell rebalance, traditionally one of the busiest trading days of the year: last year's rebalance helped propel a near record turnover of over 15 billion shares. In fact, in four of the last five years, reconstitution day ranked in the 10 busiest trading sessions.

The Real Purpose Behind The Russian/Trump Conspiracy Propaganda

"The Russian circus is going nowhere because it was never meant to go anywhere. It is distraction and drama, a soap opera for the ignorant masses. Trump will not be removed from office. If he does end up impeached, the impeachment will fail. As I have said since before the election, the establishment needs Trump as president... the US system is going to move into the next phase of collapse under Trump's watch, and the elites need their scapegoat."

How Central Banks Intend To Fight CryptoCurrencies

Last week, Jens Weidmann, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Bank for International Settlements gave a speech outlining some ideas on how to best address the challenges that cyrptocurrencies pose to central banks.

Frontrunning: June 22

  • European stock markets stumble as oil languishes near lows (Reuters)
  • Some Trump Aides Want a New Leader at the Fed (BBG)
  • Goal of Saudi Shake-Up: Drag Country Into the Modern Era (WSJ)
  • Under fire in Washington, Trump back in campaign mode in Iowa (Reuters)
  • Revenue Slides at Some Trump Businesses, but Vegas Tower Brings Windfall (WSJ)