China

China

Frontrunning: April 7

  • Israel, U.S. Lawmakers Press Case Against Iran Nuclear Deal  (WSJ)
  • Rand Paul tries to broaden libertarian appeal (Reuters)
  • Fewer Oil Trains Ply America’s Rails (WSJ)
  • Chicago voters go to polls in first ever mayoral runoff (Reuters)
  • FedEx to buy TNT to expand Europe deliveries (Reuters)
  • Mohamed El-Erian Has Most of His Money in Cash (BBG)
  • In Surprise Move, Australia Holds Rates (WSJ)
  • Oil falls as Iran, China discuss more supply (Reuters)

Back From Holiday, European Stocks Celebrate Atrocious US Jobs Data, Jump Over 1%

Yesterday it was only the US that got the full benefit of the market-wide stop hunt that sent the US market soaring on its biggest opening ramp in 2015 following the worst payroll data since 2013, because Europe was closed for Easter Monday. Which means today it was Europe's turn to celebrate atrocious US data (yes, yes, snow - because somehow tremendous January and February jobs data was not impacted by snow), and in the first European trading session of the week, equities have started off on the front-foot.

As US Seeks To "Contain" Iran Nuclear Plans, Russia & China Expand Theirs

As The United States continues to 'deal' with Iran's nuclear ambitions, Sputnik News reports that "the expansion of cooperation between the Russian Federation and China in the nuclear sphere is being actively discussed." The source went on note that talks on the construction of the seventh and eighth units of the Tianwan Nuclear Power Station in China are in the final stage following the signing of a major memorandum of understanding between Russian and Chinese officials in March 2014, that laid the groundwork for future energy cooperation between the two countries. Isolated?

This Is Why The US Just Lost Its Superpower Status According To Larry Summers

"This past month may be remembered as the moment the United States lost its role as the underwriter of the global economic system... With US commitments unhonoured and US-backed policies blocking the kinds of finance other countries want to provide or receive through the existing institutions, the way was clear for China to establish the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank," the former Treasury Secretary says, in a sharp rebuke of US foreign policy.

Why From China's Biggest Bear, Hugh Hendry Became One Of Its Biggest Bulls

Considering that Chinese equities are the best performing market in USD terms (second only, oddly enough, to Russia) in 2015, one can see why after a disappointing 2012 and 2013, and modest 2014, Hendry has hit 2015 out of the park with a bang, generating a 10.6% return in the first two monthes of the year. So is Hendry still bullish on China's stock market prospects?  Why yes, and then some. But is he is contrarian just for the sake of being contrarian? Does he see something in China that nobody else does? Or is he simply right... or wrong, as the case may be? We will let readers decide.

Spin-O-Nomics In A World Of Unraveling Globalism

The USA set the tone for 21st century magical finance, in which “wealth” was “created” by digital accounting fraud. The effects at home are visible on our landscape of suburban hyperwaste and decrepitating older towns and cities.

Greek Minister Slams Troika's "Unbelievable Prejudice" As EU Proclaims Tsipras' Government "Cannot Survive"

The rhetoric, threats, and promises continue to increase as Greece, its international creditors (i.e. Troika), and its potential pivot partners from Russia to China to Iran all vie for attention. With EU officials proclaiming "[the Greek] government cannot survive," suggesting Tsipras divorce himself from the extreme left of his party; and with 68% of Europeans polled believing Greece is a drag on the EU economy, Greece's last best hope perhaps remains with a pivot to another Troika (Russia, China, and Iran) as energy minister Panagiotis Lafazanis denounced Greece’s international creditors for treating the country with "unbelievable prejudice and as a colony." This all on the day when FinMin Varoufakis 'promises' Christine Lagarde that Greece will repay its IMF loan on April 9th (somehow?).

Frontrunning: April 6

  • Political Battle Ramps Up Over Iran Nuclear Deal (WSJ)
  • Greece moves to quell default fears, pledges to meet 'all obligations' (Reuters)
  • Isolated Greece pivots east to Russia, China and Iran. But will it work? (Telegraph)
  • Frustrated officials want Greek premier to ditch Syriza far left (FT)
  • Greek political unrest and deepening debt crisis fuel talk of snap election (Guardian)
  • Rand Paul’s Challenge: Charting His Own Course (WSJ)
  • In Greenspan Conundrum Redux, Odds Are on Bond Traders’ Side (BBG)
  • Yemen's Aden suffers amid clashes, aid deliveries delayed (Reuters)
  • Record Gasoline Output to Curb Biggest U.S. Oil Glut in 85 Years (BBG)

Stock Futures Keep Losses, Gold Near Highs After Worst Jobs Report Since 2013

As market participants slowly make their way back to trading desks around the post-Easter world, and especially the US where a truncated session on Friday morning ended in tears for anyone hoping for a 2015 US recovery following an abysmal March nonfarm payrolls print, they find that unlike on previous occasions, the equity futures liftathon is nowhere to be found this morning, with the S&P set to resume trading in the red for 2015. Away from Greece, whose future remains in limbo, the biggest development over the holiday weekend was a Goldman note in which the central-bank friendly firm said that "the right policy would be to put hikes on hold for now."

Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression

"This is not going to be a 1921-style two-year recession that we bounce back from after a little bit of pain and unpleasantness. After a 50-year global economic boon involving what is now a $59 trillion expansion of credit in 50 years, this isn’t going to be a one or two-year hard recession. This is going to be a multi-decade global depression and I’m not sure that anyone alive today would live long enough to see the recovery."

China's 'Warren Buffett' Denies Rigging His Own Stocks

With 30% of the 'money' in Chinese stocks officially 'dumb money' and leverage of epic proportions, it is hardly surprising that the wealthiest of wealthy are - allegedly - taking advantage. As the broad Chinese stock market has surged, Hanergy Holding Group - the world's largest solar power company - has seen its stock price triple in a few months with late-day surges driving a lot of the gains. Amid accusations from the industry, Hanergy's chairman, Li Hejun - among China's wealthiest - has denied manipulation of its stock price, suggesting the public's recognition of the thin-film power generation's prospect is the reason... sure...

Facing A Housing Hard-Landing, Chinese Propaganda Goes All-In: "Set Positive Agenda; Boost Market Confidence"

With China's economy facing an imminent hard-landing unless it succeeds in stabilizing its housing sector, what is China doing? The same thing that the US has been doing over the past 7 years using such traditional propaganda pathways as mainstream media and Financial TV outlets such as CNBC, however with an emphasis on real-estate instead of stocks: it has unleashed an unprecedented propaganda onslaught by its "Department of Truth" urging China's population to drop everything and back the truth up with a brand new Chinese house... or second... or third. Because unless it succeeds to get the local population to jump right back on the housing bandwagon, the hard landing beckons.

America's Warfare State Revolution

It is impossible to overstate the magnitude of the warfare-state revolution that transformed the federal government and American society after World War II, but  modern-day Americans continue to remain convinced that their system of government has never changed in a fundamental way. They continue to play like their governmental system is founded on the same constitutional principles as when the country was founded. It is a supreme act of self-deception. The truth is that America has now had two different governmental systems: One without a national-security apparatus and one with it. It seems to us that it’s a no-brainer as to who was right and which system was better in terms of freedom, privacy, peace, prosperity, and harmony.