China
46 Months Of Accelerating Deflation Mean Beijing Is Now Trapped
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/09/2016 10:47 -0500At this point, the longer China does nothing, the greater its problems will become. As such Beijing needs to choose: either collapse the economy in a deflationary wave, leading to a debt crisis and widespread social unrest, or devalue massively overnight in hopes of stimulating inflation, leading to collapsing profit margins, and even more widespread social unrest.In short, our condolences China: having decided to adopt Western neo-Keynesian economics, with the typical monetarist bent, you too are now trapped with no way out. But don't worry: so is everyone else. Good luck.
Taiwan Election: How a DPP Win Would Tick Off China
Submitted by EconMatters on 01/09/2016 00:49 -0500Time Magazine cover says she could lead the only Chinese democracy. The same woman also said "Violence Is Normal in a Democratic Society"
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This Is The $3.5 Trillion "Neutron Bomb" That Keeps Kyle Bass Up At Night
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 22:57 -0500"... what we are going to see next is a credit cycle, and in a credit cycle you see some losses, but if China's banking system loses 10%, you are going to see them lose $3.5 trillion."
Chinese Immigrant Turned Citizen Defies Obama Gun Grab: "I Will Never Be A Slave Again"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 22:00 -0500"I am a Chinese immigrant and an American citizen by choice. I once was a slave before and I will never be one again. I will always stand with my AR, no matter what my President signs with his pen."
Why Is North Korea Our Problem?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 20:00 -0500Once, there was a time when Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini and Tojo ruled almost all of Eurasia. And another time when a monolithic Sino-Soviet Communist bloc ruled from the Elbe to the Pacific. As those times are long gone, is it not time for an exhaustive review of the alliances we have entered into and the war guarantees we have issued, to fight for nations and interests other than our own?
China's Largest Bank Is Mystery Buyer Of Massive 1,500 Ton Gold Vault In London
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 19:54 -0500Here is precisely where the brand new gold vault of the world's biggest bank will be located.
Market Massacre: Worst Ever First Week Of Trading
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 19:03 -0500Islamic Radicalism: A Consequence Of Petro-Imperialism
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 19:01 -0500The mainspring of Islamic extremism and militancy isn’t the moderate and democratic political Islam, because why would people turn to violence when they can exercise their right to choose their rulers? The mainspring of Islamic militancy is the despotic and militant political Islam of the Gulf variety. The Western powers are fully aware of this fact, then why do they choose to support the same forces that have nurtured jihadism and terroris?
Stunning Photos From China's Creepiest Modern Ghost Town
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 18:00 -0500"It is more than anywhere the symbol of the Chinese Dream with all its challenges and contradictions, an Orwellian vision of a bright future caught up by a less flamboyant reality."
Weekend Reading: Breaking Markets
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 16:30 -0500"Some people are never too old to find new ways to lose money."
"The Entire Risk Paradigm Is Shifting" - Stocks Join Global 'Reality' Adjustments
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 15:35 -0500The entire risk paradigm is shifting more so than it already has. Commodities and “money” more broadly are winning the argument, so to speak, having declared long ago greater downside risks. This is increasingly taking on the proportions of a global reset.
When 3 Trillion Just Isn't Enough: Analysts Fret Over "Worrying" China Reserve Burn
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 15:01 -0500"The burn rate has been worrying. It’s not about how long it gets to zero, its about how long it gets to about 2, which is what they need."
Priced For Perfection - Why This Burrito Market Is Heading For A Fall
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 14:40 -0500In March 2014 Wall Street’s ex-items S&P 500 earnings forecast for 2015 was about $133 per share; it ended up 20% lower at $106. Yet here they go again - the consensus for 2016 started out at $137 per share last spring, and is just now beginning to make its way back toward the high $120s. It is a barometer of the abject complacency and intellectual sloth that has descended on the casino owing to two decades of Fed coddling and seven year of free money for the carry trades. In the case of Chipotle, it was always just a burrito. In the case of the US and world economy and financial markets, it’s not even that.
How Low Will The Yuan Go? Deutsche Bank Answers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 13:09 -0500"Until the market acquires greater confidence on the intended scale of currency depreciation as well as the equilibrium level of capital outflows (and effectiveness of capital controls) concerns around China’s currency policy are unlikely to subside any time soon."
The China Narrative That Really Matters
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 12:14 -0500"I get nervous because the next move in China is going to be a political move, and political moves are never well anticipated by markets. The Beijing regime is going to take steps to defend itself, or at least insulate itself, from the growing Narrative that they are incompetent. Heads will roll. Literally, in all likelihood. But the incompetence genie is very hard to stuff back into the bottle, and depending on whose head is on the chopping block, regime stability can deteriorate very quickly. Now that's what will make me change my bullish stance on China fundamentals, and that's what will make the US market swoon of last August look like a gentle spring rain."




