The recent blow-up of the Dallas Police and Fire Pension System was entirely predictable. The combination of overpriced financial markets, inadequate contributions and overly generous pension promises mean dozens of US local and state government pension plans will end up in the same situation.
The US Navy will deploy a third Nimitz-class supercarrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) Strike Group in Asia to add to the fleet of two carriers already patrolling the South China Sea. This new deployment is part of US Navy’s attempt to boost its naval air forces in this part of Asian region.
"This is another firm that, while I wouldn’t say they were fine a week ago, they didn’t look like they were headed to collapse, and a week later they’re dead. It was messier than optimal. Is it systemic or not? Fingers crossed, we hope not."
The Lira - officially the world's most volatile currency - has lost 11% of its value since the start of 2017 (down 8 of the last 9 days against the USD). In fact, the lira headed for its biggest five-day loss since Lehman (Oct 2008) after a pledge by Turkey’s central bank to support the currency failed to convince investors.
Venezuela’s central government has issued new dollar debt for the first time in more than five years, selling $5 billion in notes effectively to itself, using China's Haitong securities as underwriter, in what has been dubbed a "mysterious" transaction.
One day after Toshiba's new CEO, Satoshi Tsunakawa, pulled a page from the book of his ill-fated predecessor Hisao Tanaka who presided over the biggest accounting fraud scandal in the company's history, and bowed down during a press conference to apologize to investors, the company's stock crashed by the limit 20%, bringing its two day loss to 32% and wiping out $5 billion in market cap in two days.
"I sometimes feel like ‘The Grim Reaper’, scouring the research savannah in a ghoulish quest to harvest bad news with a forceful sweep of my scythe. Imagine then my perverse delight when our credit team produced what is one of the scariest charts I have seen for a very long time." = Albert Edwards
With the Trumpflation euphoria easing back slightly overnight, leading to a modest paring in the USD index and US Treasury yields, Asian and European stocks rose, while US equity futures rebounded to just shy of new all time highs, as crude jumped on renewed optimism that OPEC will agree to cut output; metals rebounded from last week’s losses as yields dropped and the dollar halted its longest winning streak versus the euro.
“I was very concerned back in 2007. I was very concerned with the consequences of this bubble imploding. I'm much more worried today. In 2007, I wasn't worried about the world. I wasn't worried about geopolitical. And I never want to be part of the lunatic fringe, but if people aren't concerned about geopolitics right now, they're not paying attention"
While every establishment politician and mainstream media pundit has proclaimed the end of the world as we know it if Donald Trump were to win next week, it appears - perhaps throwing off the narrative of exactly who is the "most dangerous" candidate - that the risk of the US Dollar has dropped along with Trump's resurgence...