CDS

CDS

Largest Saudi Bank Crashes To Record Low

Despite the exuberant rebound in the price of oil - and the hope that this means something other than an over-financialized commodity being short-squeezed by rumors - all is not well across the oil producers of the world. Having noted the record surge in default protection for Saudi Arabia (ahead of its looming debt deal), we note that National Commercial Bank's stock price has collapsed to record lows. This is Saudi Arabia's largest bank, and is often used as a proxy for the royal family's wealth...

The First Victims Of The Libor Surge Have Emerged... In Japan

So far US banks have escaped the recent Libor surge, but the higher funding costs and shrunken market are hitting Japanese banks particularly hard, as they have been sourcing as much as a third of their U.S. dollar liquidity in the short-term U.S. market. Japanese banks have about $125 billion to $150 billion of CP and CDs maturing before the end of September.

Investors Panic-Buy Saudi Default Protection Ahead Of Big Debt Deal

Amid expectations that The Kingdom will sell bonds as early as next month, investors are panic-buying protection against default on Saudi Arabia. The last few weeks have seen a surge in CDS notional outstanding to its highest on record even as Saudi risk has stabilized after quadrupling in the last year.

Deutsche Bank Exec Suggests Scrapping Top Bonuses; Vows Bank Is "Better Than It Seems"

Overnight Deutsche Bank's consumer banking chief and member of its 10-member management board, Christian Sewing, told Bild that the German bank's board should discuss scrapping bonuses for top executives for a second year after Germany’s largest bank put dividend payments on hold. And since slashing bonuses tends to leave a bitter taste in the mouths of shareholders, Sewing tried to spin the recent speculation about the bank, telling Bild its "condition is significantly better than it seems."

Citigroup Bond Trader: "I Know How It Ends, I Just Have No Idea When That Is"

"Low vol and rising prices is a perfect recipe for fast money / the street getting longer.  You no longer get punished on random positions and your P&L keeps steadily ticking higher.  Thus you feel emboldened to get longer as you don’t feel the risk that you are carrying. Everyone gets longer for a period of time and then finally you have the ability to have a sell off. I know how it ends, I just have no idea when that is."

China Bond Yields Drop To Decade Lows As Economy Sinks After New Loan Creation Tumbles

Following an unprecedented credit expansion by China, which in the first few months of 2016 injected well over a trillion dollars in total credit, the payback - as previewed here - is coming. As reported earlier, overnight China reported that a swath economic activity, from factory output to investment and retail sales, slowed last month, reflecting renewed weakness in China’s economy, resulting in10Y bond yields dropping to near all time lows.

Buffett Exits Entire Credit Default Swap Exposure, As Citi's Appetite For Derivative Destruction Surges

It was considered one of the bigger paradoxes for years. Back in 2003, Warren Buffett famously dubbed derivatives “financial weapons of mass destruction” and yet over the next several years went ahead and entered a number of the contracts, including both equities and credit, ostensibly by selling CDS to collect up monthly premiums. However, at least when it comes to CDS, after several years of Berkshire trimming its credit derivative exposure, it is now completely out. Meanwhile, Citi is loading up on any CDS it can find...

Citi Is Stunned How Quickly The "Extraordinary Political Backdrop" Is Deteriorating

"These developments point to a marked increase in political risks in systemically-significant countries. At the start of the year, we flagged many of these as  well as introducing our thesis that rising Geopolitical Risks, accompanied by rising "Vox Populi" risks such as Brexit and changing US politics, were at risk of converging in new and powerful ways. Even so, we did not anticipate quite how many would transpire, let alone within such a compressed timeframe."

Global Stocks, Futures Rise On Disappointing Chinese Trade Data, Hopes For More Central Bank Intervention

In an otherwise quiet overnight session, which among other things saw Germany sell 10Y Bunds with a zero coupon and a negative yield (-0.05%) for the first time ever (despite being uncovered with just €4.038BN sold below the €5.00BN target) anyone hoping for a confirmation that China will be able to prop up the world economy once more, was left disappointed when earlier this morning China reported June exports and imports that once again dropped substantially in dollar terms as soft demand at home and abroad continued to weigh on the world’s largest trading nation.

Entire US Cyber Network Is Already Compromised, Clinton Emails Are The Least Of Our Worries

Hillary Clinton's emails and server misconduct are the least of our worries. The fact that her server was receiving files that passed through or originated on the State Department servers is enough to know she exposed her private system to hackers. Michael McCaul, a Texas Congressman and Chairman of The House Committee On Homeland Security called Clinton "careless" and said she "potentially did harm" to national security, but the truth is the US system is/was/has been compromised, for years, since before Hillary tapped in her new network

A Period Of Major Civil Unrest Looms – How To Win An Inevitable Confrontation With The Status Quo

It’s quite fitting that the shameless police murder below occurred on the exact same day that Hillary Clinton was set free by the top cops in the nation thanks solely to her position of power and influence... None of this will be lost upon a citizenry which is already seething with rage and very close to a tipping point. Increasingly, the general public is coming to the very unpleasant realization that they live in a corporate oligarchy in which they are subjects rather than citizens. The more they are pushed into a corner, the sooner they will lash out in all sorts of ways.

EU Banks Crash To Crisis Lows As Funding Panic Accelerates

The signs are everywhere - if you choose to look - Europe's banking system is collapsing (no matter what Draghi has to offer). From record lows in Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse to spiking default risk in Monte Paschi, the panic in Europe's funding markets (basis swaps collapsing) is palpable.

Italy Bans Short-Selling In Monte Paschi For Three Months, Forgets To Ban Buying Of CDS

Consob bans for three months net short positions on Banca MPS shares - The prohibition shall apply from tomorrow 7 July 2016 until 5 October 2016 - It affects derivatives and market makers as well. The prohibition on net short positions strengthens and extends the ban to short selling adopted yesterday, as the new prohibition bans both short selling on BMPS shares and short positions taken though single stock derivatives on BMPS shares.