CDS

CDS

Political Turmoil Returns To Europe: French-German Spread Blows Out To Five Year Wides

Despite a calm start to European trading, with local equity bourses posting solid early gains, European political fears have returned this morning, resultin in a blow out in French government bond yields, pushing the 10y yield now higher by 5bps and 5y up 8bps, as early losses extend after latest poll shows support for anti-euro presidential candidate Marine Le Pen rising in both election rounds.

Here Are The Best Hedges Against A Le Pen Victory

According to BofA, the best ways to hedge increased risks of a potential Eurosceptic win in the upcoming French election is favouring 10y peripheral spread wideners in Spain vs France, longs in 5y5y Germany and 5y Dutch sovereign CDS. In the options space, the banks recommends going long vol with a hybrid 6m10y strangle. In inflation, it likes 5y5y French CPI v HICP widener and a long 30y OATei breakeven vs inflation swap.

Deutsche Bank To Slash Jobs Across Equity, Fixed Income Trading

Having seemingly survived their existential crisis last year, it appears the world's most systemically dangerous bank remains under pressure. Just a day after missing analysts' earnings expectations, Deutsche Bank is set to announce major job cuts across its trading businesses.

The Full Breakdown Of How Trump Tax Policies Will Impact S&P Earnings

Some form of corporate tax reform under Trump seems likely likely as it is a stated priority of President Trump and has widespread Congressional support. In the following analysis, BofA analyzes the four components that could have big equity implications on S&P500 earnings over the coming years.

The Dallas Pension Fiasco Is Just The Beginning

The recent blow-up of the Dallas Police and Fire Pension System was entirely predictable. The combination of overpriced financial markets, inadequate contributions and overly generous pension promises mean dozens of US local and state government pension plans will end up in the same situation.

Toshiba Falls By Limit 20%, CDS Soar By Most On Record As Full Extent Of Damage Revealed

One day after Toshiba's new CEO, Satoshi Tsunakawa, pulled a page from the book of his ill-fated predecessor Hisao Tanaka who presided over the biggest accounting fraud scandal in the company's history, and bowed down during a press conference to apologize to investors, the company's stock crashed by the limit 20%, bringing its two day loss to 32% and wiping out $5 billion in market cap in two days.

Presenting SocGen's "Most Frightening Credit Chart"

"I sometimes feel like ‘The Grim Reaper’, scouring the research savannah in a ghoulish quest to harvest bad news with a forceful sweep of my scythe. Imagine then my perverse delight when our credit team produced what is one of the scariest charts I have seen for a very long time." = Albert Edwards