So here we are, disgust from so many, euphoria from others, and LOTS of uncertainty about what’s to come. Meanwhile, all the disgust and euphoria - these are intense emotions that cloud judgment. We human beings tend to make very bad decisions... and miss a lot of important cues... when we’re emotional.
Update: after a rather quick hearing, the Nevada judge rejected the Trump legal team's request for a lawsuit over allegedly illegal balloting, saying "I'm not going to issue any order. I'm just not going to do it."
The day has finally arrived and as of minutes ago voters in eastern states have begun voting for the next US president. Polls are open in eight states, including battlegrounds Virginia and New Hampshire, as well as in New York, where Clinton votes at a public school in Chappaqua, Trump at a public school in Manhattan.
".. all of this within two weeks of the election, puts a thumb on the political scale that will tarnish the FBI’s reputation and in my opinion, most respectfully, prevents Jim Comey from staying on as FBI director no matter which of the two candidates are elected tomorrow."
"A new round of QE is more likely over the next two years than the Fed hiking by 100 basis points. With Washington in gridlock, the pressure on the Fed to do more will go through the roof. The residual credibility they have will need to be used up."
"The group has repeatedly made bullish announcements about OPEC intervention during periods of low liquidity (e.g. US holidays), and whenever short positions become large. If prices continue to slip, the chances for bullish OPEC headlines grow, which could lift prices briefly even if there is no follow through." - Morgan Stanley
US Index futures, together with European and Asian shares surged after the FBI cleared Hillary Clinton one last time of her handling of emails as secretary of state which it repeated wasn’t a crime. Oil, gas rise, together with most industrial metals; the yen and Swiss franc retreated with gold, silver and other flight to safety assets.
The US oil rig count has risen for 22 of the last 24 weeks and is up 9 in the last week to 450 - the highest since Feb 2016. Despite this surge, US production remains flat during the same period - hovering around 8.5mm barrels. No reaction in crude following its early chaos on OPEC headlines...