headlines
Futures Flat After News Greek Deal Distant As Ever, Dollar Surge Continues
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/27/2015 05:51 -0500It had been a painfully quiet session in Asia (where Chinese levitation continues with the Shanghai Composite up another 0.6% oblivious of yesterday's rout in the US, because as we explained for China it is now critical to blow the world's biggest stock bubble) and Europe, where the only notable news as that for the first time in months the ECB had not increase the Greek ELA, keeping it at €80.2 billion on conflicting reports that Greek deposit withdrawals had halted even as Kathimerini said another €300MM had been pulled just yesterday, suggesting the ECB has reached the end of its road when it comes to funding nearly two-thirds of what Greek deposits are left in local banks. But the punchline came moments ago when Bloomberg reported that "Greece will likely miss a deadline for a deal with creditors by the end of the week as the two sides have made little progress during talks in recent days."
The Birds & The Bees: Suicide By Pesticide
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/25/2015 17:00 -0500What the honey-bee die-off means for humanity...
With All Major Markets Closed For Holiday, Here Are The Major News
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/25/2015 06:35 -0500- Bond
- Chicago PMI
- China
- Consumer Confidence
- Consumer Sentiment
- Core CPI
- CPI
- Creditors
- Dallas Fed
- default
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- Fisher
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- headlines
- Housing Starts
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Michigan
- Money Supply
- New Home Sales
- Nikkei
- Portugal
- recovery
- Reuters
- Richmond Fed
- Switzerland
- Trade Balance
- Trade Deficit
- University Of Michigan
- Yen
With US markets closed for the Memorial Day holiday, and some of the key European markets likewise shuttered for public holiday including the UK, Germany and Switzerland, it is difficult to find where one can observe or trade the weekend's newsflow, which is once again centered on developments in Europe, where on Sunday Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s People’s Party suffered its worst result in a municipal election in 24 years while Greece continues to threaten with default 5 some years after it should have officially pulled the plug.
Steen Jakobsen Warns, Brace For The Next Recession
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/23/2015 12:00 -0500The financial world today is now an island on its own – separated from the real economy, as can be seen by the paradox of record high valuation in the stock market coinciding with record low inflation, employment , productivity and no hope. There is asset inflation, but deflation in the real economy. When the world has been this long at the zero-bound, the misallocation, the inability to reform, and a toolbox without new tools creates a mandate for change. "I expect stocks to trade sideways for the balance of 2015 and have now sold all my fixed income, increased my gold exposure, and I’m looking to buy mining companies and overall to increase my exposure to commodities beyond the normal allocation."
Yellen Warns "Rate Hikes Appropriate This Year", Blames "Snowy Winter" - Live Feed
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/22/2015 11:55 -0500Traders looking to get an early start on the holiday weekend will have to wait a bit longer today, as Janet Yellen is set to speak to a sold-out audience at the Providence, Rhode Island Chamber of Commerce’s Economic Outlook Luncheon today.... *YELLEN SAYS RATE RISE AT SOME POINT THIS YEAR IS APPROPRIATE
Greece May Need To Issue IOUs Schaeuble Says After Latest Failure To Reach A Deal
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/22/2015 07:14 -0500"German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble conceded the possibility that Greece may need a parallel currency alongside the euro if the country’s talks with creditors fail," Bloomberg reports. Meanwhile, "sideline" negotiations between Greek PM Tsipras and Angela Merkel breakdown in Riga.
Chinese Stock Bubble Frenzy Returns; US Futures Flat Ahead Of Today's Pre-Holiday Zero Volume Melt Up
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/22/2015 05:51 -0500- Australia
- Bank of Japan
- Bond
- China
- Conference Board
- Consumer Confidence
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- default
- Equity Markets
- France
- Germany
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Greece
- headlines
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Base
- Monetary Policy
- Nikkei
- Price Action
- recovery
- Unemployment
The highlight of the overnight newsflow may have been the BOJ's preannounced statement that it is keeping its QE unchanged (which comes as no surprise after a few weeks ago the BOJ adimitted it would be unable to keep inflation "stable" at the 2% in the required timeframe), but the highlight of overnight markets was certainly China, where the Banzai Buyers have reemerged, leading to another whopping +2.8% session for the Shanghai Composite which has now risen to a fresh 7 years high.
Guest Post: This October The World Will Change - "China Is Preparing For Something Big"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/21/2015 22:10 -0500"China... across the board... is preparing for something big in currency markets... The world has an unease about the dollar system... former President Hu of China said 'the dollar is a product of the past'."
Top 10 Banks To Sell Your Soul
Submitted by Pivotfarm on 05/21/2015 15:48 -0500Janet Yellen at the Federal Reserve believes that the partying on Wall Street and in the financial institutions may “lead to trouble”.
Housing Recovery - Real Or Memorex
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/21/2015 12:11 -0500The rising risk to the housing recovery story lies in the Fed's ability to continue to keep interest rates suppressed. It is important to remember that individuals "buy payments" rather than houses. With each tick higher in mortgage rates so goes the monthly mortgage payment. With wages remaining suppressed, 1 out of 3 Americans no longer counted as part of the work force or drawing on a Federal subsidy, the pool of potential buyers remains tightly constrained. While there are many hopes pinned on the housing recovery as a "driver" of economic growth in 2015 and beyond - the lack of recovery in the home ownership data suggests otherwise.
Despite Weak Economic Data Overnight, Futures Slide On Rate Hike Concerns
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/21/2015 06:00 -0500- Australia
- Bank of England
- Bank of Japan
- Bond
- China
- Consumer Confidence
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Double Dip
- Eurozone
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Greece
- headlines
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Markit
- Monetary Policy
- national security
- Nikkei
- Output Gap
- Price Action
- Real estate
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Treasury Supply
- Trichet
- Unemployment
The big news overnight was neither the Chinese manufacturing PMI miss nor the just as unpleasant (and important) German manufacturing and service PMI misses, but that speculation about a rate hike continues to grow louder despite the abysmal economic data lately, with the latest vote of support of a 25 bps rate increase coming from Goldman which overnight updated its "Fed staff model" and found surprisingly little slack in the economy suggesting that the recent push to blame reality for not complying with economist models (and hence the need for double seasonal adjustments) is gaining steam, and as we first suggested earlier this week, it may just happen that the Fed completely ignores recent data, and pushes on to tighten conditions, if only to rerun the great Trichet experiment of the summer of 2011 when the smallest of rate hikes resulted in a double dip recession.
4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/20/2015 20:00 -0500The uncertainty surrounding the inevitability, if not the exact timing, of multiple and possibly overlapping volatility drivers is itself a source of volatility. For the average person, these signs can be scary. Taking steps to avoid the circus as much as possible, such as extracting money from the markets, securing personal assets, and waiting out the swings, can be a source of emotional comfort and future financial stability.
The Gloves Come Off: Moody's Warns Of Greek "Deposit Freeze" As Schauble "Won't Rule Out Default"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/20/2015 14:22 -0500Asked whether he would repeat an assurance he gave in late 2012 that Greece wouldn't default, Wolfgang Schäuble told The Wall Street Journal and French daily Les Echos that “I would have to think very hard before repeating this in the current situation.” To which Moody's had just one thing to add: "there is a high likelihood of an imposition of capital controls and a deposit freeze."
Greece To Tax Bank Transactions, Says IMF "Won't Get Any Money" On June 5
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/20/2015 08:00 -0500"A senior government official says that among the proposals discussed with the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund is the imposition of a levy on bank transactions, whose exact rate will depend on the exemptions that would apply. The aim is to collect 300-600 million euros on a yearly basis," Kathimerini reports. Meanwhile, parliamentary speaker Nikos Filis has a message for the IMF.
Futures Flat With Greece In Spotlight; UBS Reveals Rigging Settlement; Inventory Surge Grows Japan GDP
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/20/2015 06:00 -0500- 200 DMA
- Bank of England
- Bank Run
- BOE
- Bond
- China
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- default
- Deutsche Bank
- fixed
- France
- Gilts
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Greece
- headlines
- Housing Market
- Housing Starts
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- LIBOR
- Netherlands
- Newspaper
- Nikkei
- Nominal GDP
- Obama Administration
- OPEC
- Portugal
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Rating Agencies
- Real estate
- Recession
- recovery
- Switzerland
- Yen
The only remarkable macroeconomic news overnight was out of Japan where we got the Q1 GDP print of 2.4% coming in well above consensus of 1.6%, and higher than the 1.1% in Q4. Did it not snow in Japan this winter? Does Japan already used double, and maybe triple, "seasonally-adjusted" data? We don't know, but we do know that both Japan and Europe have grown far faster than the US in the first quarter.



