It wasn't just Japan's PMI which overnight printed at a disappointing 47.6, missing expectations and signaling the sharpest decline in operating conditions since December 2012. Overnight Markit showed that the Chinese credit-induced global slowdown is coming far faster than most (if not Morgan Stanley) expected, when the Eurozone flash PMI printed at 52.9, the lowest level in 16 months. As Reuters put it, this offers "the latest evidence that a strong acceleration in growth in the first three months of the year was only temporary" and likely
"With it now taking 6.5 units of debt to produce 1 unit of GDP, additional gains from the lending channel are limited, in our view. China data already suggest diminishing returns from a flagging stimulus. Our China economic activity indicator (MS-CHEX) is at 3% versus 10% last month, while property sales in top cities have slowed to 15%Y in the first two weeks of May compared to 55%Y in April. If we think China growth softens again over the summer, the question for markets is how far ahead of this prices react. The risks are rising that the time is now."
It has become clear that there is a shift away from the expensive, all-in-one, type of financial solutions for real-time traders, passive investors, and those tangentially interested in financial market information.
Call it criminal deja vu, all over again: "Morgan Stanley and Goldman, Sachs & Co. are acting as lead joint book-running managers for the offering, with Deutsche Bank Securities, Citibank, and BofA Merrill Lynch acting as additional book-running managers."
Is this why stocks are slipping? Following Hillary's hint last night that she would like to put her husband in "charge of revitalising the economy, because you know he knows how to do it," Bill confirmed the farce this morning, admitting he has asked for an "economic role" in his wife's adminstration. As Yves Smith so eloquently noted, after having institutionalized the neoliberal economic policies that have enriched the 1% and particularly the 0.1% at the expense of everyone else, Hillary Clinton wants to give the long-suffereing citizenry an even bigger dose. Good luck America.
"On May 9, 2016, following the announcement of the board review described elsewhere in this filing, the Company received a grand jury subpoena from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ)... In the five business days since we announced our review and resignation of our CEO, we have experienced a slowdown in a significant amount of investment capital... The identified material weakness is the result of the aggregation of control deficiencies related to the Company’s “tone at the top,” which manifested in three primary areas described further below."
"It’s been a tough year. The summer does not look easy. Many of us haven’t done well enough to pack it in and head off to the beach. If that’s the bad news, the silver lining may be that pricing within and between asset classes is throwing up an outsized number of interesting opportunities."
As we reported earlier today, following the surprising "resignation" of the company's CEO and Chairman, Renaud Laplanche as a result of an "internal board review of sales of $22 million in near-prime loans to a single investor", which resulted in the stock losing a quarter of its market cap in minutes, subsequent revelations have seen the spotlight shining brightly on none other than former Morgan Stanley CEO and current Lending Club board member, John Mack, who according to Bloomberg invested in the same venture that led to the termination resignation of the CEO.
"Austrian School-like destruction, increasing exports and finally providing debt-funded domestic demand. Creative destruction, once the backbone of a functioning capitalist system, is no longer seriously considered as the social costs of this approach appear unacceptably high."
Cooler weather on Monday will help in firefighters battle to get the Alberta wildfire under control. The fire, which has destroyed about 620 square miles and has been nicknamed "The Beast", has been burning since May 1 and now has more than 100 water-dropping helicopters flying over it. After expecting the fire to double in size over the weekend, light rains and cooler temperatures helped prevent that from happening. "This is great firefighting weather, we can really get in here and get a handle on this fire, and really get a death grip on it," said Alberta fire official Chad Morrison on Sunday.
Moments ago all of our warnings about P2P lending were validated (quite painfully for those still long the company) and the Peer2Peer bubble may have finally burst, when as part of its Q1 earnings release, the board of directors announced that on May 6, 2016 it had accepted the resignation of Renaud Laplanche as Chairman and CEO. His resignation followed an internal review of sales of $22 million in near-prime loans to a single investor.
With stocks the biggest beneficiary of the late January "Shanghai Accord", it stands to reason that the US Dollar was the biggest loser. Sure enough, overnight the WSJ writes that the "powerful rallies that have lifted stocks, crude oil and emerging markets for the past three months have one important thing in common - the falling dollar - and investors are growing anxious that it could prove to be the weak link." But is a strong dollar about to make another appearance and unleash the next leg lower in risk assets?