Credit Suisse

"Russian Roulette" - Credit Suisse CEO Admits "EU Banks Not Really Investable"

European banks are in a “very fragile situation” and are “not really investable as a sector" according to Credit Suisse chief executive Tidjane Thiam. Speaking at a conference in London this morning, The FT reports, the CEO of Europe's 'other Deutsche Bank' said "only a fool would try to make a five-year prediction in a world that is so random," wishing John Cryan (DB CEO) well, "I hope that they come out of their current predicament."

The Italian Referendum: What You Need To Know

In addition to the recent note by Credit Suisse, here, courtesy of a note by UBS' Felix Huefner, is what you need to know about the upcoming Italian referendum - an event that has been dubbed by some as the most important risk event for Europe in the remainder of the year - scheduled for December 4.

Frontrunning: September 26

  • Stocks Drop on Bank, Commodity Company Woes; Turkish Lira Falls (BBG)
  • Clinton and Trump to square off in highly anticipated debate showdown (Reuters)
  • Profit Slump for S&P 500 Heads for a Sixth Straight Quarter  (WSJ)
  • Oil rises as OPEC meets, volatility hits post-Doha high (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Slumps to Fresh Record Low on Capital Concerns (BBG)
  • Police Videos Fail to Quiet Protests in Charlotte (WSJ)

Spot The Odd (Hedge Fund Strategy) Out

The trend is your friend... until the end. August was a great green month for many hedge funds (with Multi-Strategy and Event-Driven strategies doing best). But, as RBC notes., 'trend-following' CTA/Managed Money funds "got smoked."

"The Big Short's" Steve Eisman Reveals What The Next Big Short Is

Asked to name the next big short, Eisman initially declined. “I’m not in such a rush to do it again,” he said. “It took years off my life.” Then he relented, saying, “The only big short out there is when the world loses confidence in QE.”

Raoul Pal: Business Cycle Tinder For A Global Banking System Fire

"...after every single two-term presidential election (i.e. when the incumbent changes) and there is a 100% track record of a recession within the next 12 months. It either starts just beforehand or starts afterward, but within 12 months there is a 100% chance of a recession... Even if they do raise rates, the yield curve will flatten like crazy... I think the Fed is almost an irrelevance at this point."

US Futures; Euro Stocks Slide On Deutsche Bank Liquidity Fears; Bonds Bid

Following yesterday's paradoxical US stock surge catalyzed by a bevy of bad macroeonomic news, the overnight session has seen some good old "risk off" mood which hit European shares as a result of the previously reported $14 billion DOJ claim against Deutsche Bank, which sent Europe's biggest bank tumbling, dragging the banking sector lower, while a continued drop in the price of oil pushed energy companies lower.

Deutsche Bank Slapped With $14 Billion Fine By DOJ Over Mortgage Probe

Blowback? Just a few weeks after the EU slapped Apple with a $14 billion bill for "back taxes," the U.S. has responded with $14 billion fine on Deutsche Bank related to the DOJ's outstanding probe into the company's trading of mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis.

Bernanke Urges Use Of Negative Rates When Next Recession Strikes

"the fact that negative rates would be temporary and deployed only during severely adverse economic conditions would be an advantage. Like quantitative easing, which was also unpopular in many quarters, a period of negative rates would probably be tolerated by politicians if properly motivated and explained" - Ben Bernanke