Credit Suisse

Risk Parity Funds Suffer Worst Month Since 2015 As Breadthless, Fearless Stock Market Soars

The market moves since the US elections have been both big and surprising, and as JPMorgan notes, fund managers have been either too slow or too reluctant to jump into the Trump trade. However, algo-based Risk-Parity funds suffered the most with their biggest loss since Dec 2015 as market 'fear' tumbles to 9 month lows (and stocks are the most overbought in 13 years).

Frontrunning: November 23

  • S&P 500 Futures Signal Rally Ebbing; Bonds Decline in Europe (BBG)
  • Oil prices capped by doubts OPEC-led cut will end glut (Reuters)
  • Fed Minutes to Be Parsed for Insight on Inflation, Jobs (WSJ)
  • Trump keeping 'open mind' on pulling out of climate deal (Reuters)
  • Trump Raises Prospect of Keeping Ties to His Firms (WSJ)

Global Wealth Update: 0.7% Of Adults Control $116.6 Trillion In Wealth

In 2016, 3.5 billion adults, or 73% of total, had wealth under $10,000 accounting for 2.4% of global wealth. In contrast, the 33 million millionaires comprise 0.7% of the adult population, but own 46% of household wealth. And the, at the very top, 50,800 are worth at least $100 million, and 5,200 have assets above $500 million.

"Someone Is Wrong" - Why The Quant War Means Vol Is Set To Soar

"No matter what happens, there’s going to be volatility, because someone is wrong,” said Mark Connors, Credit Suisse’s global head of risk advisory in New York. “Even though we won’t have rate resolution, we will have the look of Congress and there will be some position changes given the positioning is very disparate -- very long and very short. That’s unstable."