Credit Suisse

Monte Paschi Fails European "Stress Test" Meant To Restore Confidence In Europe's Struggling Banks

Moments ago, the European Banking Authority published the 2016 bank stress test results, whose purpose - as every other year -  is to inspire confidence in Europe's struggling banks; it differs from a market-based assessment of bank stress - that particular "test" can be seen by observing the stock prices of such giant banks as Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse, both of which recently hit all time lows. As previewed yesterday, Italy's 3rd largest, and most insolvent bank, Banca Monte di Siena was the worst performer in European regulators’ stress tests, and the only lender to have its capital wiped out in the exam. 

Frontrunning: July 29

  • Yen, bond yields rise as Bank of Japan action underwhelms (Reuters); Bank of Japan Takes Modest Easing Action (WSJ)
  • Hong Kong shares end lower as BOJ disappointment sweeps Asia (Reuters)
  • Accepting White House nomination, Clinton offers 'clear-eyed' vision (Reuters)
  • Two Conventions, Two Distinct World Views (WSJ)
  • Democrats Emphasize American Exceptionalism at Convention (BBG)
  • Clinton’s Image Among Democrats at a Historic Low (WSJ)

Monte Paschi Bailout In Peril As 3 Banks Walk Out: Are More "Pensioner Suicides" Next?

According to Reuters, Morgan Stanley and Italian lenders UniCredit and Intesa SanPaolo have rebuffed a proposal by Italy's third-largest lender, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena to back its proposed 5 billion euro cash call, a development which may lead to a bail-in of the troubled lender, and potentially spark contagion across the Italian banking system.

Frontrunning: July 28

  • Fed caution hits dollar as Japan anticipation builds (Reuters)
  • Obama asks U.S. voters to 'carry' Clinton to White House, defeat Trump (Reuters)
  • Democrats skewer Trump (Politico)
  • Obama, Biden Toss Barbs at Trump and Say Clinton Is Only Choice (BBG)
  • Did Donald Trump’s Executives Violate the Cuban Embargo? (BBG)

US Futures Rise With All Eyes On Kuroda As Global Stocks Tread Water

Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, and was down 0.5% in early trading.

What Wall Street Thinks Of Apple's Earnings Beat

After beating on revenues and earnings despite a steep drop in both revenues and iPhone orders and projecting a third consecutive quarter of declining profits, Apple is up nearly 8% pre-market as traders clearly liked what Tim Cook did in the quarter. More importantly, Wall Street liked the results too. Here is a summary of what some of the key analysts thought.

Global Stocks, Futures Continue Rise On Apple, Japan Stimulus; Yellen On Deck

The markets were following a rollercoaster night for the Japanese Yen, when after several media headlines Abe was said to have announced a stimulus package that would be more than JPY28 trillion, sending Japanese stocks higher 1.7% while the USDJPY spiked but well off overnight highs, pushing risk assets higher. Europe and US futs were also in the green on optimism from AAPL's earnings, but all eyes will be on today's FOMC announcement.

Italy Races To Arrange €5 Billion Bailout For Monte Paschi Before Friday's Stress Test

Italy is scrambling to secure a privately-backed bailout of Monte dei Paschi di Siena, the most exposed of the country’s troubled lenders, including a plan to raise €5bn of fresh capital so as to avert nationalisation, the FT reports. The bank needs to obtain some €5 bilion in capital ahead of Friday's stress test, or else a dire "contagion" scenario could unfold that could impair not only all Italian banks, but promptly spread first to France and then to Germany...