Credit Suisse

"Someone Is Wrong" - Why The Quant War Means Vol Is Set To Soar

"No matter what happens, there’s going to be volatility, because someone is wrong,” said Mark Connors, Credit Suisse’s global head of risk advisory in New York. “Even though we won’t have rate resolution, we will have the look of Congress and there will be some position changes given the positioning is very disparate -- very long and very short. That’s unstable."

US Futures Flat, Rebound From Session Lows On Rising Election Jitters

Asian stocks, S&P futures and European shares trade flat as a tightening race for the U.S. presidency spurs demand for haven assets including the yen while weighing on stocks and Mexico’s peso. A turbulent overnight session saw some early risk off following the plunge in Facebook shares and the Fox News report that an FBI probe into the Clinton foundation may lead to a "likely indictment."

Frontrunning: October 31

  • FBI in Internal Feud Over Clinton Probe (WSJ)
  • As Clinton struggles, Trump tries to raise doubts (Reuters)
  • Dollar shakes off Clinton FBI scare, global stocks stay spooked (Reuters)
  • Mark Carney stands ready to serve 8-year term at Bank of England (FT)
  • Clinton Team Questions FBI Director’s Motive (WSJ)
  • OPEC Splits Prevent Deal With Other Producers to Curb Supply (BBG)

Qualcomm Buys NXP For $47 Billion: Biggest Semiconductor Deal Ever

Last night, David Rosenberg pointed out something troubling:  we have just witnessed five multi-billion dollar deals this past week alone — $207 billion globally (AT&T/Time Warner; TD Ameritrade/Scottrade) in what has been the most active announcement list since 1999. We can now add another massive deal to the list: this morning Qualcomm announced it would buy NXP Semiconductors NV for about $47 billion, including debt, as it seeks to expand the reach of its chips from phones to cars.

Deutsche Bank Considering Alternatives To Paying Cash Bonus

In what may be the worst news yet for DB's employees, moments ago Bloomberg reported that the German Bank is exploring "alternatives to paying bonuses in cash" as Chief Executive Officer John Cryan seeks to boost capital buffers.

Cashless Society - Is The War On Cash Set To Benefit Gold?

If governments allow banks to shut down bank accounts of individuals or companies without a fair trial and due legal process, it will create a very dangerous situation indeed. In this environment, buying gold is rational behaviour to even the biggest paper-bugs out there. The current monetary experiment of massive QE is no longer the main concern of prudent investors and institutions, it is now combined with negative interest rates and bail-ins.