Credit Suisse

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Frontrunning: July 24





  • Humans Beating Robots Most Since ’08 as Trends Shift (BBG)
  • Easing of Mortgage Curb Weighed (WSJ)
  • European Banks Face Capital Gap With Focus on Leverage (BBG)
  • Signs Suggest China Warming to Idea of Stimulus (WSJ)
  • China Coal-Fired Economy Dying of Thirst as Mines Lack Water (BBG)
  • Jeans and shoes show criminal underbelly of China-EU trade (Reuters)
  • How U.S. drug sting targeted West African military chiefs (Reuters)
  • Japan scrambles jets after China plane flies by southern islands (Reuters)
  • Apple Plots Return to Growth After Coping With Aging Lineup (BBG)
  • AT&T Falls Shy of Analyst Estimates as Discounts Hurt Margins (BBG)
  • SAC insider trading case takes twist (FT)
 
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Frontrunning: July 23





  • Biggest Banks Face Fed Restoring Barriers in Commodities (BBG)
  • SAC to Employees: Cohen Didn't Read Dell Email at Heart of SEC's Case (WSJ)
  • Second (and Third) liens are back, and so is 2005: As Banks Retreat, Hedge Funds Smell Profit (WSJ)
  • Singapore funds benefit from Asian wealth (FT)
  • 2 years later the lies haven't changed one bit - Tepco hit over slow admission of radioactive leak (FT)
  • How big tech stays offline on tax (Reuters)
  • Hilton Leads Rush to Africa in Fastest Boom (BBG)
  • U.S. and UK fine high-speed trader for manipulation (Reuters)
  • Key witness takes stand in SEC case against Goldman's Tourre (Reuters)
  • Boomer Sex With Dementia Foreshadowed in Nursing Home (BBG)
  • Bentley SUV gives £800m boost to UK car industry (FT)
 
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Frontrunning: July 22





  • Earthquake Sends Kiwis Screaming From Wellington Buildings (BBG)
  • China quake death toll more than doubles to 54, hundreds hurt (Reuters)
  • In 2011, Michigan Gov. Snyder said bankruptcy wasn't an option for Detroit. Two years later, he changed his mind (WSJ)
  • GlaxoSmithKline says Chinese laws might have been violated (FT)
  • SEC Tries Last Ditch Move to Put SAC’s Cohen Out of Business (BBG)
  • Detroit’s Bankruptcy Reveals Dysfunction Common in Cities (BBG)
  • Obama to start new offensive on economy (FT)
  • As WTI and Brent reunite, Gulf of Mexico faces squeeze, not glut (Reuters)
  • Extended Stay Files for Public Offering (WSJ)
  • Apple Developer Website Hacked: Developer Names, Addresses May Have Been Taken (MacRumors)
  • Treasuries Not Safe Enough as Foreign Purchase Pace Slows (BBG)
 
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"Any News Is Good News" Levitation Continues





Don't look now but futures are up as usual, driven higher by both good and bad news. The biggest event of the weekend, if largely priced in, was the victory by Abe's coalition in the upper-house leading to the following seat breakdown. Of course, judging by the Yen and market reaction, which barely managed to eek out a gain: its first in four trading days, the event was largely of the "sell the news" type despite such bold proclamations: "Abe’s victory in the upper house is bullish for Japanese equities and the Japanese economy as a whole, as the removal of political headwinds bolsters the government’s ability to press forward with all ‘three arrows’ of its growth strategy," John Vail, Tokyo-based chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management Co., which manages $162 billion, wrote in an e-mail. Elsewhere in Europe, Portugal bond yields have plunged by roughly 60 bps on news that the Portuguese President Silva has backed the centre-right coalition government, consequently ruling out snap polls. Well, what else is he going to do? This also comes on the heels of a Goldman report that said a second bailout for the country will be necessary and will likely be discussed in the fall. That too is bullish. What also was bullish in Europe apparently is that government debt hit a new record high of 92.2% of GDP. Remember: debt is wealth so just buy more futures. Looking forward to the US, the market will focus on the latest existing home sales data, the Chicago Fed activity index, as well as earnings report releases from McDonalds, Texas Instruments and Halliburton and a bunch of other companies that will beat EPS and miss revenues.

 
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Frontrunning: July 19





  • Detroit ‘Gut Kick’ Poses New Test for Long Suffering City (BBG)
  • Florida lawmakers urge overhaul of 'Stand Your Ground' law (Reuters)
  • Investors pour huge sums into US equity funds (FT)
  • Snowden Standoff Threatens Obama-Putin Moscow Summit (BBG)
  • China, U.S. companies' great hope, now a drag (Reuters)
  • Morgan Stanley stock traders rebuild burned bridges (Reuters)
  • Huawei spied for China, claims ex-CIA head Michael Hayden (FT)
  • Gorilla Flipping Homes as Rebound Revives Rapid Trades (BBG)
  • BRICS joint action at G20 summit may be wishful thinking (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: July 18





  • MSM always "ahead" of the curve: Fed’s Messages Raise Volatility in Threat to Profits (BBG)
  • Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves (WSJ)
  • Draghi to Carney Face Test Backing Guidance on Rates (BBG)
  • House Republicans Vote to Delay Obamcare Mandates (Reuters)
  • China media accuses Japan PM of dangerous politics (Reuters)
  • China will replace America as the leading superpower, global attitudes survey finds (SCMP)
  • Nonqualified mortgages make up as much as $1.5 trillion of the $10 trillion home-loan market (BBG)
  • Dell $24.4 Billion Buyout Plan Is a Nail-Biter as Vote Looms (BBG)
  • Republicans could see more bruising Senate primaries (Reuters)
  • GM delays Chevy Cruze debut by a year (Reuters)
  • Peltz needs support for PepsiCo restructuring dealsa (FT)
  • Sweaty Wall Streeters Skip Booze for Spin-Class Meetings (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: July 17





  • Bernanke Seeks to Divorce QE Tapering From Interest Rates (BBG)
  • China launches crackdown on pharmaceutical sector (Reuters)
  • Barclays, Traders Fined $487.9 Million by U.S. Regulator (BBG) - or a few days profit
  • Barclays to fight $453 million power fine in U.S. court (Reuters)
  • When an IPO fails, raise money privately: Ally Said to Weigh Raising $1 Billion to Pass Fed Stress Tests (BBG)
  • Bank of England signals retreat from quantitative easing (FT) ... Let's refresh on this headline in 6 months, shall we.
  • Russia's Putin puts U.S. ties above Snowden (Reuters)
  • Smartphone Upgrades Slow as 'Wow' Factor Fades (WSJ)
  • Snowden could leave Moscow airport in next few days (FT)
  • New Egypt government may promote welfare, not economic reform (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: July 16





  • India Joins Brazil to China in Efforts to Tighten Liquidity (BBG)
  • Seven dead as police and protesters clash in Egypt (Reuters)
  • U.S. senators fail to cut deal, head for showdown on filibuster (Reuters)
  • Gasoline Tankers Beating Crude for First Time on Record (BBG)
  • Smithfield's China bidders plan Hong Kong IPO after deal (Reuters)
  • Bitcoin ETF plan struggles to find support (FT)
  • Big Home Builders Gobble Up Rivals Starved for Cash (WSJ)
  • Putin wants Snowden to go, but asylum not ruled out (Reuters)
  • Zimmerman's lawyer calls prosecutors 'disgrace' to profession (Reuters)
  • McDonald’s to bring Big Mac to Vietnam (FT)
  • Korean Pilots Avoided Manual Flying, Former Trainers Say (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: July 15





  • An actual Bloomberg headline: Granny’s Gold Bars Are Key to Vietnam Push to Boost Dong (BBG)
  • Gay delivers further body blow to troubled sport (Reuters)
  • China Wealth Eludes Foreigners as Stocks Earn 1% in 20 Years (BBG)
  • Bernanke Boom Signaled by Yield Surge as Market Recalculates (BBG)
  • Portugal's Parties Set Deadline for Pact (WSJ)
  • Corporate Spending Set to Surge in U.S. (BBG)... or not at all based on the actual corporate data
  • Legal Fears Slowed Aid to Syrian Rebels (WSJ)
  • A mega-camp adds to the Boy Scouts’ troubles (Reuters)
  • GSK accused of being ‘ringleader’ in China probe (FT)
  • 19 Hospitalized in US-Ukraine Army Exercise - Ministry (RIA)
  • Egypt Islamists march as senior U.S. official visits (Reuters)
  • German spies made use of U.S. surveillance data (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: July 10





  • MSM discovers that soaring dollar hurts corporate profits: P&G to Apple Hurt by Strong Dollar Keep S&P 500 Profits in Check (BBG)
  • China Posts Surprise Drop in Exports (WSJ) - lol: "surprise"
  • Plan Reins In Biggest Banks (WSJ)
  • European Commission Seeks Authority to Wind Down Banks (WSJ) - and Germany just says 9
  • U.S. Banks Seen Freezing Payouts as Harsher Leverage Rules Loom (BBG)
  • Brussels sets up clash with Berlin over banks (FT)
  • EU to Toughen Creditor-Loss Rules at Failing Banks From August (BBG) - or September, or October, but definitely November... 2023
  • China's crude, iron ore imports falter as demand cools (Reuters)
  • Obama pushes economic case for immigration as House eyes next steps (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: July 8





  • Greece's Economic Future 'Uncertain,' Creditors Say (WSJ)
  • Secret Court's Redefinition of 'Relevant' Empowered Vast NSA Data-Gathering (WSJ)
  • Thomson Reuters Halts Early Peeks At Consumer Data (WSJ)
  • Larry Summers Circles as Fed Opening Looms (WSJ)
  • S&P to Argue Puffery Defense in First Courtroom Test (BBG)
  • Geithner joins top table of public speakers with lucrative appearances (FT)
  • Losing $317 Billion Makes U.S. Debt Safer for Mizuho to HSBC (BBG)
  • Pilot Error Eyed in San Francisco Plane Crash  (WSJ)
  • Investment group sues U.S. over Fannie, Freddie bailout terms (Reuters)
  • Egypt officials 'order closure of Islamist party HQ' (AFP)
  • Heinz Kerry Transferred to Boston Hospital for Treatment (BBG) - a boating accident?
 
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“The Year of the Glitch” - The Dark (Pool) Truth About What Really Goes On In The Stock Market: Part 4





Congress wanted to know what would happen if such a “glitch” ate a hole in the balance sheet of a Too Big to Fail bank? The answer: yet another round of tax-payer bailouts.

There was more. BATS, Facebook, and Knight were just the three most prominent computer glitches of the year. Outsiders were realizing what the insiders had known for years: The U.S. stock market was plagued with glitches that happened on a daily basis, and not just in stocks. Markets for commodities, bonds, and currencies all had their fair share of computer-driven mishaps. Increasingly, investors were wondering not only if the market was rigged, but whether it was completely broken. Indeed, the trade publication Traders Magazine called 2012 “The Year of the Glitch.”

 
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Frontrunning: July 3





  • Portuguese bond yields soar amid political turmoil (FT)
  • Portugal Resignation Rocks European Markets (WSJ)
  • Portugal, Greece risk reawakening euro zone beast (Reuters)
  • Egypt’s military chiefs hold crisis meeting as Mursi snubs ultimatum (Al Arabiya)
  • Egypt Crisis Deepens as Mursi Refuses to Step Down (BBG)
  • Hidden microphone found in London embassy: Ecuador (AFP)
  • Health Law Penalties Delayed (WSJ)
  • Rise in mortgage rates cut into homebuyer demand last week (Reuters)
  • Bolivia angered by search of president's plane, no sign of Snowden (Reuters)
  • Olympus ex-chairman gets suspended sentence (FT)
 
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Europe In Turmoil: Spreads Explode On Portulitical Crisis; Egypt Ultimatum Nears





And just like that things are going bump in the night once more. First, as previously reported, the $100+ WTI surge continues on fears over how the Egyptian coup will unfold, now that Mursi has a few short hours left until his army-given ultimatum runs out. But it is Europe where things are crashing fast and furious, with the EURUSD tumbling to under 1.2925 overnight and stocks sliding on renewed political risk, with particular underperformance observed over in Portugal, closely followed by its Iberian neighbor Spain, amid concerns that developments in Portugal, where according to some media reports all CDS-PP ministers will resign forcing early elections, will undermine country's ability to continue implementing the agreed bailout measures. As a result, Portuguese bond yields have spiked higher and the 10y bond yield spread are wider by over a whopping 100bps as austerity's "poster child" has rapidly become Europe's forgotten "dunce." The portu-litical crisis has finally arrived.

 
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Frontrunning: July 2





  • Egypt on the edge after Mursi rebuffs army ultimatum (Reuters)
  • Inside China's Bank-Rate Missteps (WSJ)
  • Obama Urges Morsi to Respond to Protesters' Concerns (WSJ)
  • How Fed’s 7% Jobless Avoids Deterring Bondholders Is Mystery (BBG)
  • Obama Joins With Political Foe Bush at End of Africa Trip (BBG)
  • China may introduce deposit insurance by year-end (China Daily)
  • China’s Slowdown Could Slam Hong Kong (BBG)
  • Government 'to ask Rothschild to advise on RBS split' (Telegraph)
  • Martin Feldstein: The Fed Should Start to 'Taper' Now (WSJ)
 
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