LIBOR

It's Official: NY Fed President Bill Dudley To Retire Mid-2018

The New York Fed today confirmed a weekend report that president Bill Dudley intends to retire from his position in mid-2018 to ensure that a successor is in place well before the end of his term. Dudley’s term ends in January of 2019 when he reaches the 10 year policy-limit in the role.

The Dollar Funding Shortage: It Never Went Away And It's Starting To Get Worse Again

Negative cross currency basis swaps indicate that the structural tightness in dollar liquidity never disappeared despite the weaker dollar. If dollar funding markets get a lot tighter again, this won’t be good news for EM markets with offshore (Euro) dollar debt in the region of $10 trillion. Rolling over dollar debt periodically will be uncomfortable, to say the least, for some of the region’s banks.

"Dear Fed, Hike Slower... Shrink Faster..."

"Investors not being properly rewarded for the risk they are taking can have longer term repercussions... The normal process of price discovery has been changed, not just by the Fed’s activity in the market using its balance sheet, but also through the constant barrage of headlines designed to move markets."

A Brief History Of Tail Risk: From LTCM, ABX, CDS, To VIX

"While I think valuations may be stretched, my bigger concern is that the real risk lies in market structure – more specifically to volatility and correlation strategies that quickly propagate through the financial markets with the aid of algorithmic trading..."

Frontrunning: August 25

  • Trump to push for tax reform passage by year’s end, says Cohn (FT)
  • Bond Routs, Stock Surges: Jackson Hole Can Be Messy for Markets (BBG)
  • Hurricane Harvey intensifies (Reuters)
  • GOP Plan to Kill Estate Tax Sets Up Conflict Over Charitable Giving (BBG)
  • ECB Is Set to Buy More Bonds (WSJ)

Frontrunning: August 17

  • Trump policy doubts, weak inflation to weigh on Wall Street (Reuters)
  • Trump Remarks on Violent Rally Rattle Aides, Risk Agenda (WSJ)
  • Trump blasts Republican senators over Charlottesville criticism (Reuters)
  • Trump's crisis spurs talk of White House departures (Reuters)
  • Apple denounces neo-Nazis as Spotify bans ‘white power’ tracks (Guardian)