LIBOR

The Mechanics Of NIRP: How The Fed Will Bring Negative Rates To The U.S.

Now that talking about NIRP in the US is no longer anathema but a matter of survival for market participants for whom frontrunning the Fed's policy failure has emerged as a prerequisite trade, the question is: what are the mechanics of NIRP, what are the implications of negative rates for US markets. Here is the handy answer

Frontrunning: January 29

  • World shares heat up as Bank of Japan goes sub-zero (Reuters)
  • Stocks Rally With Bonds as BOJ Ends Grim January on High Note (BBG)
  • Japan Follows Europe Into Negative Interest Rate Territory (WSJ)
  • Decision On Oil Cut Only Possible If All Exporters Agree, Russian Energy Minister Says (BBG)
  • Trump overshadows Republican debate even as he sits it out (Reuters)
  • Trump skips debate, wins on social media (Reuters)

Frontrunning: January 28

  • Unease over Fed rate path dents European stocks (Reuters)
  • Global Stocks Pressured After Fed Statement (WSJ)
  • Japan's Economy Minister Amari to Resign Over Graft Scandal (BBG)
  • Authorities working to clear remaining protesters in Oregon occupation (Reuters)
  • China Sharpens Efforts to Halt Money Outflow (WSJ)
  • Eurozone January Economic Sentiment Falls Sharply, Hits 5-Mth Low (MNI)

Jailhouse Diary Of A Libor Manipulation Scapegoat

"It was over. The guard led me into a room daubed in graffiti, with the faint smell of cigarettes and urine. He allowed me to use the toilet, but it had no door – the days of privacy and dignity were over. A plastic toilet with no seat. I couldn’t really comprehend it."

The Credit Crunch Is Back: Banks Scramble To Collateralize Loans To Record Levels

Banks have finally woken up to the risk their billions in C&I loans issued to fund "financial engineering" are exposed to. The reaction: an unprecedented surge in loan collateralization, with the percent of total loans secured by collateral soaring by nearly 50% in the past quarter to a record 55.9%, the highest ever!

Frontrunning: December 22

  • Battered oil wins respite, lifts stocks (Reuters)
  • Oil Halts Decline as Emerging Market Stocks Climb on China (BBG)
  • Bonds Set to Beat Stocks Globally in 2015 After China Falters (BBG)
  • SpaceX Falcon rocket nails safe landing in pivotal space feat (Reuters)
  • China Leaders Flag More Stimulus After Top Economic Meeting (BBG)
  • SEC to Retrench Case Against SAC’s Steven A. Cohen (WSJ)

In First Post-Hike Reverse Repo, Fed Removes $105Bn Liquidity From 49 Banks

In what appears to be an orderly process, The NY Fed's first Reverse Repo operation since The FOMC 'raised' rates released $105.185 billion of Treasury collateral to 49 banks at a rate 25bps, draining the same amount of system liquidity.  This is being greeted as good news by many as no major disprutions appear to have occurred... aside from, of course, a 6bps plunge in long-end bond yields, 250 point drop in The Dow, and notable weakness in high-yield bonds. While some had feared up to $1 trillion would need to be withdrawn to achieve The Fed's goals, the size of this initial RRP suggests there is considerably less excess liquidty in the system than many would believe... indicating a notably more fragile system than we are being led to believe.

What Benefits To Savers? Banks Rush To Hike Prime Rate To 3.50%, Forget To Increase Deposit Rate

Someone forgot to give the banks the memo that the Fed's first rate hike since 2006 was supposed to, at least on paper, benefit the savers of America and not so much the, well, banks.. Because the ink hadn't even dried on the Fed's statement and one after another banks revealed that they would promptly boost their Prime lending rate from the current benchmark of 3.25% to the new Fed Funds-implied prime rate of 3.50%.

Money Is Becoming Unmanageable

Why are the worlds’ most successful investors having so much trouble lately? The short answer is that the markets they used to understand have been replaced by something very different. In this new, post-market world, money managers can’t separate signal from noise and end up on the wrong end of wild swings in commodities, currencies and interest rates. And now their clients are figuring this out.

The Deep State & The War On Cash

If we are forced to keep our money in the bank... and cash is outlawed... the Deep State will have total economic control over us all.