PIMCO

Futures Fail To Rebound As Deutsche Bank Tries To Comfort Markets That It Is "Fine"

After yesterday's "Hillary rally" in the US, the overnight's session has seen more risk-on sentiment as European stocks advanced, ignoring weakness in Asia as investors followed every twist of shares of beleaguered lender Deutsche Bank, whose CEO last night assured Bill readers that the bank is not seeking a bailout, which however was contradicted by a Zeit article this morning reporting that Germany may seek as much as s 25% "bailout" stake in a worst case scenario.

Frontrunning: September 19

  • Global Stocks Rise, Buoyed by Commodities (WSJ)
  • For Yellen, a September Fed surprise could close confidence gap (Reuters)
  • Robot detonates New Jersey device in latest bomb discovery (Reuters)
  • Syria Truce Hangs in Balance Amid Attacks, Lack of Aid (WSJ)
  • Merkel’s Party Suffers Worst Berlin Loss of Postwar Era (BBG)
  • China’s Home Prices Rise Most in Six Years as Sales Gain (BBG)

Wells Fargo: Who Says Crime Doesn't Pay

As scandalous as the Wesll Fargo debacle was, what is far more insidious, is the damage it inflicts (once again) upon the very fabric of free market capitalism, trust in laws, and last but not least: trust and belief in actual contrition.

Frontrunning: September 15

  • Global stocks struggle for footing after bond slip (Reuters)
  • Mobileye says Tesla was 'pushing the envelope in terms of safety' (Reuters)
  • Donald Trump is a problem for the whole world, EU's Schulz says (Reuters)
  • Stuck on Ship, One Gloomy Hanjin Crew Waits to Learn Its Fate (WSJ)
  • U.K. Approves EDF’s £18 Billion Hinkley Point Nuclear Project (BBG)

Frontrunning: September 13

  • IEA Changes View on Oil Glut, Sees Surplus Enduring in 2017 (BBG)
  • Futures dip with oil as investors assess rate hike chances (Reuters)
  • Hilsenrath - Divided Federal Reserve Is Inclined to Stand Pat (WSJ)
  • 'I didn't think it was a big deal,' Clinton says of pneumonia bout (Reuters)
  • Clinton's Lead Narrows Among Independents, Voters Nationally (NBC)
  • Libor’s Reaching Point of Pain for Companies With Big Debt Loads (BBG)

"It's Never Different This Time" PIMCO Warns "The Tides Of Risk Will Flow Eventually"

The old Wall Street expression is “They don’t ring a bell at the top.” This snarky adage is usually employed by those saddened financial managers who ride a successful investment to a peak and then watch in horror as it reverses course to a level below their cost basis. A pity this notion is misguided, since the market frequently “rings the bell.” It is just that most market participants are not listening. Perhaps they should be listening now.

Global Stocks Slide, Futs Flat; Commodities Down On Stronger Dollar As Hike Odds Reprice Higher

The dollar index rose to a two-week high on Monday, while bond yields jumped to their highest since June and global stocks sold off after senior Federal Reserve officials indicated a U.S. interest rate increase was on the cards in the near term. The Fed effect - and the stronger dollar - reverberated through markets, pressuring stocks in Europe and emerging markets, pushing oil below $47 and the commodity complex lower.

Global Stocks Rise, US Futures Near All Time Highs As Flood Into Emerging Markets Continues

European shares advanced, with gains in automakers  helping Germany’s benchmark DAX Index turn positive for the year for the first time. Stocks rose around the world, led by emerging-markets, as oil climbed further after its best week since April and traders pushed back bets on higher U.S. interest rates. S&P futures advance and Asian stocks little changed as rising oil prices bolstered investor sentiment.

Wall Street Reacts To The BOE's QE Failure

As first reported yesterday, in a striking development, the BOE failed to monetize all the longer-maturity gilts it had hoped to purchase on just the second day of its restarted QE operation, as it encountered something striking: an offerless bond market. Today Wall Street responds.

Frontrunning: August 10

  • World stocks hit one-year peak, dollar sags on weak U.S. data (Reuters)
  • Trump's remarks on gun rights, Clinton unleash torrent of criticism (Reuters)
  • Newly Released Emails Highlight Clinton Foundation’s Ties to State Department (WSJ)
  • One-in-five U.S. Republicans want Trump to drop out: Reuters/Ipsos poll (Reuters)
  • Soaring Debt Has U.S. Companies as Vulnerable to Default as 2008 (BBG)
  • BOJ to defend QQE in Sept policy assessment (Reuters)

Futures, Global Stocks Rise As Oil, USDJPY Drops: All Eyes On The Jobs Report

With all eyes on today's jobs report, where consensus expects a 180K payrolls gain, European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all rise amid a surge in government debt as markets digest the BOE's "kitchen sink" easing for a second day. But please don't overthink it. In deja vu fashion, Bloomberg summarizes the action simply as "stocks rose around the world on speculation central bank stimulus measures will support the global economy." We've heard that just a few times before.