Goldman Sachs

Tyler Durden's picture

America - Good, Bad Or Ugly? Part 1: The Bad





This nation has become a land where character and integrity are secondary to profits for the few and self serving interests of the powerful.  And as we are seeing already for the third time in this millennium’s infancy, stability and prosperity can be but short lived for even the highest paid CEO’s in such a world.

 
RANSquawk Video's picture

RANSQUAWK PREVIEW VIDEO: ECB September'15 Rate Decision: The ECB are expected to leave all three rates unchanged, with focus turning to inflation and the possibility of an expansion to the QE programme





 

  • All surveyed analysts expect the ECB to keep their three key interest rates unchanged
  • A number of analysts have suggested that inflation rhetoric could be downbeat and further QE is a possibility later this year, as such any potential indication to this by Draghi is likely to take centre stage at the press conference
  • The central bank are said to be concerned by inflation expectations, with low energy prices and recent EUR strength raising concerns about the central bank’s mandated 2% inflation target
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Goldman Warns This Extreme Indicator "Is Rare Outside Of A Recession"





The current VIX level of 26 is equal to the median VIX level over the last three recessions. As Goldman warns, while extreme VIX levels periodically occur, our analysis shows that VIX levels in the high-twenties to low-thirties for extended periods of time are rare outside of recessions. Furthermore, this was foreseeable as equities were ignoring potential warning signs from other asset classes prior to the recent sell-off.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

BNY Scrambles To Fix Unresolved ETF "Glitch" By Monday Market Open





A glitch in the Matrix (if you will) that affected pricing for 1,200 mutual funds and ETFs still wasn't wholly resolved as of Sunday evening after executives worked through the weekend in a frantic attempt to resolve the issue ahead of Monday's open. Remember, if anyone asks, none of this has anything to do with flash-crashing, broken markets.

 
RANSquawk Video's picture

RANSQUAWK WEEK AHEAD PREVIEW - 31st August 2015: This week sees the final US Nonfarm payrolls report before the September FOMC rate decision, while the ECB rate decision and press conference is this week’s main event in Europe





 

· The final US Nonfarm payrolls report before the September FOMC rate decision takes centre stage this week after developments in China last week dampened expectations for a Fed rate lift off

· The ECB rate decision and press conference is this week’s main event in Europe, with some analysts forecasting an extension to QE by the end of the year

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Did The Fed Intentionally Spark A Commodity Sell-off?





...one theory is that some within the Fed realized that QE wasn’t working, and never worked, thus another path was needed. But what alternative did they have, since rates were already ZERO? So maybe they changed course and took a strong dollar policy vs. a weak one to intentionally weaken the commodity sector and thus boost consumer spending. Throughout this down turn, that message has been repeated by Yellen herself many times, as a source of economic stimulus and for sure has been repeated over and over in the media and the talking heads of Wall Street.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Japan's Legendary "Twitter Trader" Reveals The Secret Of His Multi-Million Dollar Success





Two years ago, when we first profiled Japan's mysterious "Mister Watanabe" daytrader - aka CIS - we thought it may just all be a hoax. But, as his claims this week that he made $34 million trading the panic on Monday - "I do my best work when other people are panicking," Bloomberg reports, CIS - who claims JPY20bn AUM, has become a cult figure among Japan’s tight-knit community of day traders. Notorious for lines like "Not even Goldman Sachs can beat me in a trade," CIS drops some knowledge this week on how he has become so successful... "Buy stocks that are being bought, and sell stocks that are being sold." Just don't tell Cramer.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Central Bankers’ Malodorous War On Savers





The private economy and its millions of savers exist for the convenience of the apparatchiks who run the central bank. In their palpable fear and unrelieved arrogance, would they now throw millions of already ruined retirees and savers completely under the bus? Yes they would.

 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Scariest Number For The Oil Industry: $550 Billion





Just over half a trillion dollars: that's how much cash US shale producers and other oil industry companies will need to repay in maturing debt over the next 5 years.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Computer Glitch" Plaguing ETFs Is "Unrelated" To Monday's Flash Crash, BNY Swears





During Monday's flash crashing mayhem, the fragility of the ETF pricing system was exposed for all to see. While common sense dictates that the extreme market moves, trading halts, and tripped circuit breakers may have had quite a lot to do with the epic divergences between NAV and unit pricing, the real culprit was a "computer glitch" caused by a botched "systems change" last Saturday. The fact that the trouble calculating NAVs across nearly 800 mutual funds happened on the very same day as the flash crash is strictly coincidence. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China's Great Wall Of Worry - Goldman Warns China Options Signal Caution Ahead





China has been the epicenter of recent market concerns as global markets focus on China's growth trajectory. Equity markets have been hit hard but the question is - how much further is there to go before it's over? Goldman Sachs looks at what the options market telling us? With HSCEI implied volatility over 40, a significant term structure inversion, and high skew, Goldman warns options all signal caution ahead.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

How The US Economy Underwent Half A Rate Hike In The Past Week Without The Fed's Permission





In the past week, ever since the Fed's FOMC minutes which sent the S&P tumbling from 2100 to their lows in the overnight session, some 13% lower, the US economy underwent the functional equivalent of a 15 bps rate hike, or more than half the rate hike that the Fed has been so terrified to engage in for years.

 
Reggie Middleton's picture

Reggie Middleton's Prognosticated Market Crash and False Positives in Interest Rate Raise Promises





Not only is the equity market going to crash (after a dead cat bounce) the property market is about to pass out pain like you won't believe.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Central Banker Blames Fed For Market Rout





While the western mainstream media meme is that "this is all China's fault" - despite the fact that the real break happened after the FOMC Minutes last week - Xinhua reports that China central bank blames wide-spread expectations of a Fed rate hike in September for the global market rout... demanding The Fed "remain patient."

 
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