Goldman Sachs

Frontrunning: January 20

  • How Trump Aims to Broadly Reshape Policy (WSJ)
  • Trump Calls for Unity at Opening Concert as Inaugural Festivities Begin (NYT)
  • Trump Takes the Reins of a Deeply Divided Nation (BBG)
  • Washington braces for anti-Trump protests, New Yorkers march (Reuters)
  • After the Parties, a Protest for the Ages (WSJ)

Will The Fed Start Reducing Its Balance Sheet? Here Is Goldman's Answer

"We would be very surprised to see a discussion of asset sales under Chair Yellen’s leadership, but a shift to more active management of the maturity of new Treasury purchases could be an option; shortening the duration of new purchases would quicken portfolio runoff once it begins." - Goldman Sachs

Live Stream: Steven Mnuchin Testifies As Democrats Go On The Offensive

In what is sure to be one of the fieriest confirmation hearings to date, Steven Mnuchin, Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary, is set to take questions from the Senate Finance Committee this morning as Democrats will undoubtedly being looking to score theatrical points with the working class folks of the Midwest by peppering the "Foreclosure King" with zingers on his time at Goldman Sachs and OneWest.

Global Stocks Dip; Bond Yields, Dollar Rise After Yellen's Rate Guidance; All Eyes On Draghi

European and Asian shares, and S&P futures slipped, while government bond yields jumped to multi-week highs on Thursday after Yellen's hawkish speech. Oil rose after API reported a drop in crude inventories. The euro rebounded as investors look to Mario Draghi to address rising European inflation that make the ECB's stimulative policies look increasingly out of sync.

Jamie Dimon: "The Euro Zone May Not Survive"

Speaking to Bloomberg TV in Davos, JPM CEO Jamie Dimon said “the euro zone may not survive,” and added that "what went wrong is going wrong for everybody, not just going wrong for Britain, but in some ways it looks like they’re kind of doubling down."

VIX Spikes To 2-Week Highs As Dow Erases 2017 Gains

VIX spiked this morning to near 13 (shock horror) - the highest since January 3rd - as Goldman Sachs was unable to support the Dow, which dropped below 19750 for the first time since 2016...

"Everything Is A Partial Reversal Of Yesterday" - Stocks, Dollar Rebound Following Trump Scare

European shares decline led by a plunge in Pearson shares, S&P futures were modestly in the green as Asian and EM stocks gained. The dollar rebounded against most major currencies after retreating 1.3% on Tuesday to the lowest in a month following Trump's "strong dollar" comments and halted a seven-day drop against the yen. "Everything is just a partial reversal of the price action yesterday," RBC Capital Markets currency strategist Adam Cole said.

In Defense Of Populism

"Populism is not a bug, but is a key feature in any democratic society. It functions as a sort of pressure relief valve for free societies. Indeed, it allows for an adjustment and recalibration of the existing order at the exact point in the cycle when it is needed most. In our current corrupt, unethical and depraved oligarchy, populism is exactly what is needed to restore some balance to society."

Key Events In The Coming Week: Trump Inauguration, Davos, Theresa May, ECB, China GDP

The week ahead will be a busy one, with a plethora of events including the Davos shindig, where particular focus will be on Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first Chinese president to attend. China will also announce GDP on Friday, which also marks the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th US president. Tuesday brings Theresa May's long-awaited Brexit speech.