Goldman Sachs

"We've Never Had A Shock To The System Like This" - Global Selloff Accelerates On Brexit, Italy, "Unknown" Fears

The flight to safety following last week's quarter-end window dressing is accelerating, with constant news and flashing red headlines of record low yields across DM government bonds once the norm, and as of moments ago Denmark's 10Y bonds joined the exclusive club of sub-zero yields; gold has soared to fresh multi-year highs above $1,370, the risk-off currency, the Yen, soaring and sending the USDJPY just above 100, while sterling crashed overnight once again below 1.27, levels not seen since 1985.

Not Even Death Will Help You With Student Loans

"I felt so comfortable because it was the State of New Jersey. It's the state, my government, trying to help me out and achieve my American dream. It turns out they were the worst ones"

ETF Securities Reports Biggest One-Day Gold Inflow Since Financial Crisis

It never ceases to amaze how vastly different the investment styles of gold paper vs physical traders are: while we have documented previously how the latter tend to buy progressively more the lower the price, "investors" in paper-derivatives such as ETFs and ETPs are quite the opposite, where only momentum matters. Once a reflexive buying spree is unleashed, paper buying begets even more paper buying. Nowhere is this more evident than in today's daily report of ETF Securities, where "inflows into gold ETPs of US$263mn on Friday 1st July were at their highest since inception."

Frontrunning: July 1

  • Bond yields sink as central banks head for easier policy (Reuters)
  • PM hopeful Gove says UK leader must believe in Brexit (AP)
  • U.K. Can’t Bank on EU’s Rationality in Talks (WSJ)
  • Gove Makes Case for U.K. Premiership After Johnson Betrayal (BBG)
  • ECB not debating abandoning capital key in QE buys (Reuters)

Day 3 Of Global Post-Brexit Rally: European Stocks, US Futures At Session Highs

Day three of the post-Brexit rally continues, and after some initial weakness due to concerns about Chinese currency devaluation, both European stock and US equity futures were trading at session highs, facilitated by yesterday's stress test results which saw dozens of US banks unleash a tsunami of stock buyback announcement which in turn pushed S&P futures to new post-Brexit highs.

Is This Where All Those Companies "Leaving England" Will Go

As companies evaluate whether to depart the UK for France, they may want to consider scenes such as the following showing relentless local protests, now stretching for months, against the much maligned anti-labor reform.

Frontrunning: June 29

  • Global stocks gain as Brexit nerves settle (Reuters)
  • Draghi Wishes for a World Order Populists Will Love to Hate (BBG)
  • Merkel Says No Way Back From Brexit as Cameron Regrets Loss (BBG)
  • EU leaders meet without UK to plot Brexit response (FT)
  • Division, confusion as EU rethinks future without Britain (AP)

Global Stock Surge Continues As "Investors Look To Central Banks For Support"

Why the ongoing rally? A squeeze, sure, and also month-end fund flows. But the fundamental driver remains one and the same, and we quote Bloomberg: "the relief rally endures as Asian and European stocks rally with crude oil amid speculation policy makers will use stimulus to blunt the impact of the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union, including a pause in the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. Investors are looking to policy makers for support."

The Accusations Begin: David Cameron Blames Brexit On Merkel And EU "Immigration Failure"

David Cameron told European leaders he lost the EU referendum because they failed to address public concerns over immigration, as tensions rose ahead of looming Brexit negotiations. The British PM said that fears of mass immigration were "a driving factor" behind the vote and free movement would have to be addressed in Brexit talks. He was mostly referring to Angela Merkel who blocked British demands before the referendum for an "emergency brake" on migrant numbers.

Frontrunning: June 27

  • After ‘Brexit’ Vote, Europe’s Leaders Debate Timing of U.K.’s Departure (WSJ)
  • Pound Slumps, Banks Tumble on Brexit Fallout; Bonds Extend Gains (BBG)
  • To Brexit or Regrexit? A dis-United Kingdom ponders turmoil of EU divorce (Reuters)
  • ‘Brexit’ Sparks Political Turmoil Across U.K. (WSJ)
  • 10 ways to leave EU lover; scenarios for Brexit (Reuters)
  • The $100 Trillion Bond Market’s Got Bigger Concerns Than Brexit (BBG)