Commercial Real Estate

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What Manipulation Does To The Free Market





Had the federal government held a constant measuring stick rather than "tinkering, engineering, distorting" key government calculations such as the size of the economy (GDP), the rate of inflation, level of unemployment, or size of federal deficits and federal debt...the reality we face would be plain and honest choices needed.  Instead, the responsibility of those working for "the people" has been breached via falsifying and distorting each of these (over decades).  This consistently improves the output and does not allow a true means to quantify and qualify the nations health.  Simply put, the government has continually tinkered, tampered, and distorted the accounting so as to mislead or create a falsely positive appearance. 

 
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Every Time This Has Happened, A Recession Followed





As of today, we now have three consecutive quarters of tightening lending standards. In fact, based on the latest survey, net lending standards tightened even more than during Q4 as shown in the chart below, and are now the tightest on net since the financial crisis. Needless to say, if a recession and a default cycle has always followed two quarters of tighter lending conditions, three quarters does not make it better.

 
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Junk Economics: Michael Hudson Rages "Wall Street Has Taken Over The Economy.. & Is Draining It"





Everything that the classical economists saw and argued for – public investment, bringing costs in line with the actual cost of production – that’s all rejected in favor of a rentier class evolving into an oligarchy. Financiers in the 1% are going to pry away the public domain from the government and privatize it so that they get all of the revenue for themselves. It’s all sucked up to the top of the pyramid, impoverishing the 99%. “As long as you can avoid studying economics, you know what’s happened. Once you take an economics course you step into the brainwashing of an Orwellian world.”

 
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Valued At $16 It Sold For $68 Million "In 7200 Seconds" - The Inside Story Of Vancouver's Wildest Property Deal





"The property is worth, what, C$20 million, and somebody pays C$60million? One wonders what’s going on. Is this New York? Is this Hong Kong?"

 
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Should Investors Be Bullish Or Bearish Right Now: BofA Explains





"Our “Japanification” theme argues for big, fat, volatile trading ranges being the norm. The rallies (Japan rallied +20% every year during the 1990s (Chart 8) and the fades are always driven by Policy (panic & complacency), Profits (troughs & peaks in PMI’s) & Positioning (fear & greed). As bulls begin to dominate, confidence in the macro improves & the Fed starts to talk-up prospect of rate hikes, we would use Q2 to add to volatility exposure." - BofA

 
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Jim Grant: "Make America Solvent Again"





$13,903,107,629,266. Can the nation afford this much debt? This much we have learned about debt after 40 years of writing and study: It is better not to incur it. Once it is incurred, it is better to pay it off. America, we have a problem.

 
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Wells Fargo Finally Reveals Its Dire Energy Exposure: $32 Billion To Junk-Rated Oil And Gas Companies





The punchline in Wells Fargo's earnings report is in the reminder of just how generous Wells has been in lending to junk-rated oil and gas companies in the recent past to compensate for its eclining NIM: Wells reported that ~22%, or $8.8 billion, of exposure to investment grade companies, which means $32 billion is to junk-rated companies!

 
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Guest Post: Why Hillary Clinton’s Paid Speeches Are Relevant





Hillary Clinton’s paid speeches are not relevant because of anything that they said, but because the organizations that paid typically $225,000 to her, for each of them, were paying a servant, for extremely valuable services that that servant is being expected to provide to the owners and top executives of that organization if that servant becomes the U.S. President (or, in the case of her husband Bill) for valuable services that already were provided by that servant when he was a President. They’re pay-offs, for services that are anticipated, or else that have already been provided. They are not (such as the author was assuming) for “the speech.”

 
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Here Are Some Of The Americans In The "Panama Papers"





Today we finally get some answers to the question on everyone's lips: who are the Americans in the Panama Papers? Surprisingly, there are no politicians of note are in files but plenty of others. Among them: retirees, scammers, and tax evaders, all of whom found a use for secrecy of offshore companies.

 
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2016: The End Of The Global Debt Super Cycle





The credit markets are signaling that the debt fueled expansion that began in 2010 is turning to bust. This is the most precarious moment in financial market history because as the world slides into recession global central banks have no ability to soften the oncoming recession with debt creation. The world economy is on the precipice of another Great Depression.

 
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Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda: Deranged Lab Rats





It’s sad that “we the people” continue to allow deranged captured academics, under the complete command of the banking cabal, to control the destiny of our country. They have failed for 103 years, but we continue to bow down to these central bankers as if they knew what they were doing. They do know how to debase the currency, obfuscate true inflation, prop up financial markets through monetary manipulation, and generate prodigious amounts of propaganda and misinformation to coverup their true purposes. The people will sit idly by until these deranged rats destroy the world.

 
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It's Moved Beyond Vancouver: "Downtown Seattle Has Entered The Phase Of Ponzi Financing"





In the past, the value of a commercial property was "the capitalized value of the stream of rents from that property." In this order of things, occupancy rates (content) mattered. Now, commercial properties are not selling content and value but merely value. Meaning, they are selling a "projected increase in price." Meaning, downtown Seattle has entered the phase of Ponzi financing. "My speculation is that this has been caused by people looking to move their money into the US,"

 
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The Lego Movie Economy





After the February jobs report, President Obama said “America’s pretty darn great right now.”  He then went on to disparage the “doomsday rhetoric” of the Republicans, which he said was pure “fantasy. I think that there is a good chance that this will enter the Hall of Fame of miss-timed statements, right up there with this jewel from Ben Bernanke in March 2007:  “At this juncture, however, the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the sub-prime market seems likely to be contained.”

 
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Increasingly Inefficient Bubbles - "The Liquidations In August & January Are Just The Start"





The wealth effect was meant as another of Keynes’ proposed “pump priming” methods, but it, too, has failed to materialize like the others (redistribution). If valuations are to return to a more considered level, economically speaking, the liquidations in August and January would be just the start.

 
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How This Default Cycle Is Different: Record Low Recovery Rates





Once the current short squeeze is over, expect everyone to start paying far more attention to recovery rates and the true value of "fundamentals." Here's why.

 
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