Commercial Real Estate

Goldman's Top Strategist Reveals The Two Biggest Risks To The Market Today

"We’ve also seen a growing allocation of retail and institutional money into “premium chasing” quant strategies, including, for example, ETFs that sell equity vol. I think many of these developments are positive, but the associated market structure remains largely untested. So I would not rule out the risk of a glitch that triggers, say, a 5-10% correction."

Beige Book Signals Inflation & Healthcare Concerns Amid Modest Growth

Despite major disruptions from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, all 12 Federal Reserve Districts indicated that economic activity increased in September through early October. Several Districts noted increased manufacturing input costs, citing storm impacts (with 58 mentions of the word Hurricane) and labor constraints (employers were having difficulty finding qualified workers), but The Fed notes healthcare service prodviders were less upbeat.

The Cost Of Delusion - Asset Prices & Monetary Policy In An Irrational World

"The lesson for investors is that much of the picture presented today in prices for various assets classes is an illusion foisted upon us all by reckless central bankers. Yellen and her colleagues seem to think that they can spin straw into gold by manipulating markets and asset prices..."

More Bad News For Autos: Wells Fargo Car Loan Originations Crash To All Time Low

While Wells Fargo's earnings report was disappointing, missing on revenue and reporting another decline in overall loan growth, it contained another flashing red light: auto loan originations crashed 47% Y/Y to only $4.3 billion, the lowest print since the bank started disclosing this item back in 2013.

What If The Tax Donkeys Rebel?

I would hazard a guess that an increasing number of tax donkeys are considering dropping out as a means of increasing their happiness and satisfaction with life. When the often overworked tax donkeys start bailing out, there may be no substitute source of taxes.