Risk Management

Sornette's Supercomputer Is Betting On A Market Crash

“One can observe the continuation of a trend in the growth of positive bubbles in the fixed income asset class for the second month. The fraction of stocks diagnosed in a positive bubble state increased this month to exceed 36% compared with 32% last month. Mixed bubble signals still occur only in few commodity indices. We also observe renewed bubble activity in currency pairs.”

7 Myths Of Investing

"There are no sidelines. Those saying this seem to envision a seller of stocks moving her money to cash and awaiting a chance to return. But they always ignore that this seller sold to somebody, who presumably moved a precisely equal amount of cash off the sidelines."

A Simple Method Of Risk Management

In hindsight, it is easy to see that investors should have been out of the market in 2001 and 2008. However, remember just prior to those two major market peaks the Wall Street mantra was the same then, as it is today: “This time is different.”

The Evaporation Of Risk

"If you look around the poker table and can’t spot the pigeon, it’s probably you.."

Axel Merk's 'Best Bubble Indicator' Is Setting Up For "Major Shock"

"In my experience, complacency, with its cousin low volatility, is the best bubble indicator I am aware of. Perceived safety gets investors to pile into investments that they later regret. When it happens on a massive scale, major market distortions may be created that can lead to financial crises. And as the tech bubble that burst in 2000 shows, even if there is no systemic risk, the unwinding can be most painful to investors."

Reuters Goes To China, Discovers "Ghost Collateral"

"The first time I went, I saw the steel,” recalled Wang, an attorney at Beijing DHH Law Firm, which represents the Shanghai branch of CITIC. "Afterwards, the banker got in contact with me and said, ‘The pledged assets are no longer there"

7 Trading Rules You Won't Follow

Explain this to me. I have been listening to all of these people on television talking about how great the market is doing. However, my advisor convinced me back in 1998 to buy a bunch of blue chip stocks and just hold them. Well, almost 20-years later, I am not much better off than where I started and am still a long way from where I need to retire. I just don’t get it.”