Boeing

Adventures In 'Quantitative Tightening'-Lane

"Here, in the spirit of modest contemplation, we offer several hunches, inklings, conjectures, and guesses as to what quantitative tightening might mean. These are not predictions. They’re merely a starting point from which you can extend out your own visions into the future..."

Bond Selloff Returns As EM Fears Rise; Oil Slides; BOJ Does Not Intervene

U.S. index futures point slightly lower open. Asian shares rose while stocks in Europe fell as energy producers got caught in a downdraft in oil prices and reversed an earlier gain after Goldman unexpectedly warned that WTI could slide below $40 absent "show and awe" from OPEC.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Yellen, Inflation, Durables And GDP

The main releases this week are the durable goods report on Monday, the Q1 GDP revision on Thursday, and the personal income and spending report on Friday. There are also many speaking engagements by Fed officials including a speech by Fed Chair Yellen on Tuesday.

Frontrunning: June 22

  • European stock markets stumble as oil languishes near lows (Reuters)
  • Some Trump Aides Want a New Leader at the Fed (BBG)
  • Goal of Saudi Shake-Up: Drag Country Into the Modern Era (WSJ)
  • Under fire in Washington, Trump back in campaign mode in Iowa (Reuters)
  • Revenue Slides at Some Trump Businesses, but Vegas Tower Brings Windfall (WSJ)

Frontrunning: June 20

  • Central bank caution beefs up stock gains (Reuters)
  • Pound Drops as BOE's Carney Says Not Yet Time to Raise Rates (BBG)
  • Oil Just Hit Its Lowest Level of the Year (BBG)
  • Britain charges Barclays, ex-bosses over 'unlawful' Qatari deal (Reuters)
  • Senate GOP Sets Ambitious Deadline on Health-Care Vote (WSJ)

Futures, European Stocks Flat As Oil Suddenly Tumbles; Pound Slides

European stocks were flat after starting off strongly earlier, dragged lower by energy stocks. Asian stocks, U.S. futures little changed as oil tumbled with Brent tumbling as low as $45.85/bbl to the lowest intraday since November 30 and taking out a 38.2% Fib support, after a one-minute spike in volume to a day-high 5,208 lots just after 6am, with WTI mirroring Brent's momentum, and falling as much as 98c to $43.22, lowest since November 14.

Frontrunning: June 19

  • UK PM May says attack on Muslims near mosque is 'sickening' (Reuters)
  • Macron Under Pressure to Deliver as French Turnout Plummets (BBG)
  • Market Volatility Has Vanished Around the World (WSJ)
  • Real victory will be in 5 years, says Macron camp after election win (Reuters)
  • Brexit Talks Kick Off in Brussels as May Urged to Soften Stance (BBG)

Global Stocks Jump, Dow Futs At New All Time Highs As Brexit Talks Begin

S&P futures rose 0.3% in subdued trading with Dow Jones futs once again in record territory as European stocks jump 0.6% following Sunday's landslide victory for Macron's party in the French parliamentary elections and as Brexit negotiations are set to officially roll out on Monday.