- Jobs Report Could Seal the Deal on Rates (WSJ)
- The Jobs Report and the August Curse: Jobs Day Guide (BBG)
- Migrants hold out on Hungarian 'freedom train'; Orban says millions coming (Reuters)
- Migrant Crisis Divides Europe (WSJ)
- German industry orders fall in July on weak foreign demand (Reuters)
- Alibaba’s Jack Ma, Joe Tsai to Borrow $2 Billion Against Shares (WSJ)
- U.K. Retailers Post Worst Sales Decline Since Financial Crisis (BBG)
US Manufacturers saw new orders rise at a modest 0.4% in July (missing expectations of a 0.9%). However, year-over-year Factory Orders crashed 14.7% (thanks in large part to last year's Boeing order dropping out of the cycle). But even ex-Transports, New orders tumbled 0.6% in July and plunged 6.9% YoY. This is the 9th month in a row of YoY drops and is without doubt signalling an imminent US recession...
"There’s no flying beams of light, no 'pew! pew!' sound effects. But it is nonetheless a working laser cannon, and it will take your drone down."
News That Matters
Durable Goods Orders rose a better than expected 2.0% in July (but that is notably slower than the 4.1% revised growth in June). Non-defense Capital Goods growth remains stagnant as core capex orders have now been in deceline 6 straiught months year-over-year. Furthermore, on a non-seasonally-adjusted basis, YoY Durable Goods New Orders collapsed 20.4% - the worse level since the financial crisis as last year's Boeing orders outlier washes out of the numbers... but even ex-Transports the numbers remain recessionary-ugly.
- Global Stocks Struggle to Shrug Off China Fears (WSJ)
- Brief Respite Ends for European Stocks Amid Renewed Retreat (BBG)
- Stock futures rise after China injects $21.8 billion (Reuters)
- China turmoil needn't rattle BOJ, yen rise not a worry: Abe adviser (Reuters)
- Stock-Market Tumult Exposes Flaws in Modern Markets (WSJ)
- Dollar gains as stocks recover, lessens safe-haven bid for yen (Reuters)
News That Matters
- No End in Sight for Oil Glut (WSJ)
- Dozens of Clinton emails were classified from the start, U.S. rules suggest (Reuters)
- China August Manufacturing Activity Hits Lowest Level Since 2009 (WSJ)
- German Manufacturing Strengthens as Economy Shifts Up a Gear (BBG)
- Israel responds to rocket attack with protest and air strikes (FT)
- ASX carnage: 2015 fast becoming a year to forget (Canberra Times)
- Hong Kong Stocks Enter Bear Market After Falling From April Peak (BBG)
Yesterday we showed a chart demonstrating that while the top 10 "Unicorn" startups have a private valuation of $156 billion on just $4 billion in revenue, what caught readers' attention is that the average employee among these 10 companies is worth a whopping $8 million. But what about the "value" of employees at public companies, and especially at the blue chips, names such as MSFT, XOM, JPM, MCD and, the more recent trailblazers, AAPL and FB? The answer is shown below.
Boeing, whose Chairman Jim McNerney says the demise of the Export Import bank amounts to "craziness", lost a contract worth several hundred million dollars last month, after the buyer backed out citing credit concers related to the expiration of the Depression-era institution's charter. Now, Boeing and GE alike are threatening to move American jobs overseas if Congress fails to renew the authorization for what some commentators call "a vast, well-funded network of consultants, lobbyists and big-government interest groups."
16 Months after Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 disappeared off the coast of Malaysia, The Telegraph reports that fragments of a wing washed up in the French island of Reunion (near Madagascar) could be wreckage from the missing plane, according to an aviation expert.
Straight-forward discussion of next week's economic data and events, and why it is important for the dollar.
While this week has been, and continues to be, devoid of macro updates, yesterday's flurry of mostly disappointing earnings releases both before and after the open, including some of the biggest DJIA companies as well as the current and previously biggest and most important companies in the world, AAPL and MSFT, both of which came crashing down following earnings and forecasts that were well short of market expectations, came as a jolt to a market that was artificially priced by central bank liquidity and HFT momo algos beyond perfection. Add to that yesterday's downward revision to historical industrial production which confirmed the US economy is a step away from recession, as well as last night's Crude API inventory build which is once again pressuring WTI lower and on the verge of a 49 handle, and perhaps the biggest question is why are futures not much lower.
Piling on more debt is the worst possible way to correct structural trade and productivity imbalances, yet that is the Eurozone's "solution" to Greece's debt/ trade/ productivity/ corruption crisis.
- Fed Chair Yellen To Speak As Global Tensions Rise (WSJ)
- Greek PM Tsipras seeks party backing after abrupt concessions (Reuters)
- France Hails Greek Aid Proposals as Germany Reserves Judgment (BBG)
- Greek PM says does not have mandate to exit eurozone (Reuters)
- France Intercedes on Greece’s Behalf to Try to Hold Eurozone Together (WSJ)
- Frozen Funds, Fleeing Tourists: Greek Startups Feel the Pinch (BBG)
- Doubts Simmer Despite China’s Gain (WSJ)