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Global Stocks Rise On "Growth Optimism", Ignore Political Turmoil; Dollar, Oil Creep Higher

S&P futures rose 0.1% on the last trading day of the month, trailing European and Asian markets boosted by China's July Mfg. PMI, which despite declining from from 51.7 to 51.4, and missing expecations  of 51.5, saw the construction index rise to its highest level since December 13, sending Chinese iron ore futures surging and the European commodity sector broadly higher.

Q2 GDP Preview

A quick preview of today's key economic release, the US Q2 GDP number due at 8:30am ET, courtesy of the analysts at FX Daily.

Core Durable Goods Orders Disappoint But Aircraft Orders Surge 131%

A huge upside surprise for durable goods orders (+6.5% MoM vs +3.9% MoM) was dominated by a 19% spike in transportation (with non-defense aircraft orders up 131.2% MoM). However, away from this unsustainable surge in orders, Core Durable Goods Orders disappointed (+0.2% vs +0.4% exp) and Capital Goods New Orders Nondefense Ex Aircraft & Parts fell 0.1% - the biggest drop since Dec 2016.

Global Stocks Jump, Crude Booms As Yellen Looms

S&P futures were fractionally higher (+0.1% to 2,476) with all eyes on the Fed's rate decision as investors await another earnings deluge from companies including Facebook, Coca-Cola and Boeing. Asian and European shares were also higher, the Dollar rebound continued while oil rose above $48 as copper hit a two year high.

EU To Retaliate "Within Days" If US Imposes New Sanctions On Russia

According to an internal memo leaked to the press, Brussles said it should act "within days" if new sanctions the US plans to impose on Russia prove to be damaging to Europe’s trade ties with Moscow. Retaliatory measures may include limiting US jurisdiction over EU companies.

EU "Sounds Alarm" Over New US Sanctions On Russia; Germany Threatens Retaliation

The European Union "sounded an alarm on Saturday" about moves in the U.S. Congress to step up U.S. sanctions on Russia, urging Washington to keep coordinating with its G7 partners. In a statement by a spokeswoman after Republicans and Democrats in the U.S. Congress reached a deal that could see new legislation pass, the European Commission warned of possibly "wide and indiscriminate" "unintended consequences."

Adventures In 'Quantitative Tightening'-Lane

"Here, in the spirit of modest contemplation, we offer several hunches, inklings, conjectures, and guesses as to what quantitative tightening might mean. These are not predictions. They’re merely a starting point from which you can extend out your own visions into the future..."

Bond Selloff Returns As EM Fears Rise; Oil Slides; BOJ Does Not Intervene

U.S. index futures point slightly lower open. Asian shares rose while stocks in Europe fell as energy producers got caught in a downdraft in oil prices and reversed an earlier gain after Goldman unexpectedly warned that WTI could slide below $40 absent "show and awe" from OPEC.