Evercore

Wall Street Sees Zero Chance Trump's Budget Passes

The priorities outlined in the Trump budget weren’t a surprise to anyone who paid attention during the campaign, and those proposals will likely have trouble making it through Congress unscathed, analysts said. Here are some sellside opinions:

Wall Street Scrambles To Change The Trump Narrative Again

Until yesterday, the prevailing Wall Street consensus was that in the absence of specifics from President Trump on his economic and fiscal plans, the market would be disappointed, and proceed to slide. It did not, in fact quite the opposite.  As a result, the world's best paid strategist have once again revised the Trump-related narrative.

Evercore ISI: "Trump Budget Not Happening"

In a note by Evercore ISI's Terry Haines and Ernie Tedeschi, the analyst duo pours cold water on Trumps' budget proposal before it has been even formalized and confidently predicts that "Trump budget not happening" adding that the most likely outcome is that "Congress will modestly hike defense and nondefense spending."

Dow Dragged Lower By UnitedHealth After Government Sues Largest US Health Insurer

The Dow Jones "Industrial" Average is suffering one of its worst intraday declines in weeks as a result of a 3.6% drop in UnitedHealth shares, which are sinking on news that the DOJ joined a whistleblower lawsuit against the insurer filed by a former executive claiming the country's largest health insurer overcharged Medicare hundreds of millions of dollars.

Wall Street Responds To Today's Jobs Report

Following today's jobs report, the market's reaction to the unexpectedly strong January payrolls visualized in the charts below, is straightforward: the disappointing wage growth is an indication that the Fed may not hike rates for quite a bit longer than expected, and will likely will be forced to reduce its rate hike expectations from 3 to 2 (in line with the market) or fewer if wage growth continue to stagnate.

Frontrunning: January 6

  • December Jobs Data to Wrap Up Obama’s Economic Legacy (WSJ)
  • FBI Says Democrats Refused Access to Hacked E-Mail Servers (BBG)
  • As Trump attacks, Nissan at bigger risk than Toyota (Reuters)
  • Democratic leader Schumer emerges as Trump's newest punching bag (Reuters)
  • PBoC raises renminbi’s daily fix by most since 2005 (FT)
  • China central bank urges rational investment in bitcoin (Reuters)

Frontrunning: November 16

  • U.S. stock futures slip as post-election rally slows (Reuters)
  • Pence Ousts Lobbyists From Transition Team (WSJ)
  • Infighting hits Trump’s foreign policy transition (FT)
  • Trump’s Win and Transition Turmoil Buy Time for FBI Chief Comey (BBG)
  • Elizabeth Warren Sends Donald Trump Letter Criticizing Transition Team’s Wall Street Ties (WSJ)
  • Saudi Arabia set to reveal depth of oil reserves (FT)