Renaissance

The Market Wizard's Wizard - An Interview With Jack Schwager

"...someone with a great risk-adjusted return might have employed a strategy of selling way out-of-the money puts on equities since late 2008. That strategy would have produced great return/risk performance, almost like a money machine, but the trouble is that type of strategy also embeds a large tail risk. So even though the track record of this strategy would show low volatility, there would be the risk of catastrophic losses... Ironically, many strategies with low volatility are the most susceptible to event risk.

Irreversible Damage - The U.S. Economy Cannot Be Repaired

The mainstream media has been carefully crafting the propaganda meme that the Trump administration is inheriting a global economy in “ascension,” when in fact, the opposite is true. Trump enters office at a time of longstanding decline and will likely witness severe and accelerated decline over the course of the next year. The signs are already present, and this fits exactly with the basis for my prediction of the Trump election win - conservative movements are indeed being set up as scapegoats for a global economic crisis that international financiers actually created.

Russia Launches Biggest Arctic Military Expansion Since Fall Of USSR

Russia is quietly engaging in the biggest military build-up in the Arctic since the 1991 Soviet fall and will, in some areas, give Moscow more military capabilities than the Soviet Union once had. "These Arctic bases are on our territory. Unlike some other countries we are not building them overseas."

Futures, Dollar Slide; European Stocks At 3-Week Lows As "Trump Reality Sets In"

While US stocks closed near session, and all time highs on Friday, the first green close on inauguration day in over 50 years, Monday has seen a modest case of buyer's remorse, with European stocks sliding, Asian shares mixed and U.S. futures lower as the dollar weakened for the 3rd consecutive day to a six-week low, dropping as much as 1% against the Yen, as anxious investors awaited more details of Donald Trump’s policies.

Trump Team Will Not Attend Davos: "Would Betray Populist-Fueled Movement"

Trump won’t send an official representative to next week's globalization summit in Davos because, as Bloomberg reports citing a senior member of Trump’s transition team: "the president-elect thought it would betray his populist-fueled movement to have a presence at the high-powered annual gathering in the Swiss Alps."

The Corporate Bond Market: Binge-Borrowing

For those tapping the fixed income markets, the borrowing bingefest is conspicuous in its constancy. Not only did global bond issuance top $6.6 trillion last year, a fresh record, sales are off to a galloping start thus far in January.

Frontrunning: January 5

  • Dollar Posts Biggest Drop Since Trump's Win (BBG)
  • World stocks hit 1-1/2 year high after strong China data (Reuters)
  • Apple pulls New York Times apps in China after government request (Reuters)
  • Macy’s Axes Jobs and Stores, Echoes Kohl’s on Weak Holiday (WSJ)
  • India’s Cash Woes Are Just Beginning (BBG)