New Home Sales

The 50 Altered States Of American Housing

“I think we can let go of the idea that if builders build more homes, then somehow homes overall will be more affordable... We have a permanent housing inflation problem that started four decades ago and will not be easily cured by dithering with the inventory of larger homes.”

Pending Home Sales Disappoint, Realtors Fear Unhealthy Price Appreciation

Following New Home Sales rebound to their highest since 2008, amid record high prices, Pending Home Sales disappointed with a mere 0.2% MoM rise (versus +1.2% expectations) showing very little bounce off May's tumble. Northeast sales saved the day with a 3.2% surge but The South and West both continued to slide. As NAR's Larry Yun noted however: "home prices are showing little evidence of slowing to a healthier pace that more closely mirrors wage and income growth."

Global Stocks, Futures Continue Rise On Apple, Japan Stimulus; Yellen On Deck

The markets were following a rollercoaster night for the Japanese Yen, when after several media headlines Abe was said to have announced a stimulus package that would be more than JPY28 trillion, sending Japanese stocks higher 1.7% while the USDJPY spiked but well off overnight highs, pushing risk assets higher. Europe and US futs were also in the green on optimism from AAPL's earnings, but all eyes will be on today's FOMC announcement.

New Home Sales Rebound To Highest Since 2008 As Median Home Price Rises Back Over $300,000

Moments ago the latest data from the Census Bureau shelved any lingering concerns about a sharp slowdown in the US housing market, when it reported that in June new home sales surged 25.4% from a year ago and up 3.5% from the upward revised May print of 572K to 592K, above the 560K expected, and the highest number reported since 2008, even if still well below half of the peak hit before the recession struck.

USDJPY Plunges On Japan Stimulus Concerns; US Futures Flat With As Fed Begins Meeting

In a turbulent session for FX, the Yen soared as much as 1.4%, the most in three weeks, after Finance Minister Aso says the government will "leave actual policy measures to BOJ", sending the Nikkei lower by 1.4%. European stocks and U.S. equity index futures are little changed despite the slide in the key carry pair as the Fed starts its two day meeting.

Key Events And Earnings In The Coming Week

The key economic releases this week include consumer confidence on Tuesday, the durable goods report on Wednesday, and the advance release of 2nd quarter GDP on Friday. The July FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. There are several scheduled speeches from Fed officials this week. 197 S&P 500 companies are due to report (or 38% of the index market cap) with the notable names including Apple, Verizon, Facebook, Coca-Cola, Alphabet, Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

New Home Sales Plunge Most In 8 Months Following Sharp Downward Revisions; Median Home Price Tumbles

Despite exuberance in existing home sales, new home sales just printed 551k SAAR - missing expectations for the first time since Oct 2015 - sliding by the most since Sept 2015. With the last 3 months of exuberant increases - to 8 year highs - now revised drastically lower; and median prices tumbling to the lowest since June 2015, the picture of the US housing recovery is considerably less rosy than before... time for a rate-hike?

Voting Begin: Stocks Surge, Sterling Hits 2016 Highs, Futures Flirt With 2100

On the day voting for the UK referendum finally began, what started off as a trading session with a modest upward bias, promptly turned into a buying orgy in painfully illiquid markets shortly after Europe opened as an influx of buy orders pushed European stocks 2% higher, propelled by cable which was above 1.49 for the first time since December and USDJPY climbing over 1.05 in sympathy, following the release of the final Ipsos Mori poll which showed Remain at 52% to 48% for leave.

Goldman's Internal Tracker Of The Economy Just Dropped To The Lowest Since 2009

Goldman's internal economic tracker, the Current Acticity Indicator, just dropped for one more month, from May's 1.3% print, to 1.2%, and contrary to expectations of a GDP rebound in Q2, this is the lowest economic "expansion" print since 2009. Perhaps not surprising is that this series has been declining in virtually a straight line since the end of QE3.

BofA Credit Analyst Loses It: "Central Banks Created A Fantasy Land"

"We fully recognize and appreciate that low global yields and the need to stay invested creates a positive technical that is difficult to fight against. But fight we do.... We find it incredible that 76% of the most important economic indicators from the
selloff are worse today but yields are about 200bp lower."

McMansions Are Back And They're Bigger Than Ever

According to just released data, both the median and average size of a new single-family home built in 2015 hit new all time highs of 2,467 and 2,687 square feet, respectively.

 

Pending Home Sales Soar Most Since 2010, Beats By 6 Standard Deviations

On the heels of the 17-sigma beat in new home sales, pending home sales soared 5.1% MoM in April - 6.5 standard deviations above economist estimates of a 0.7% jump. Pending home sales rose for the third consecutive month in April and reached their highest level in over a decade, according to the National Association of Realtors. All major regions saw gains in contract activity last month (with The West surging 11.5% MoM) except for the Midwest, which saw a meager decline.